2025 BNP Paribas Open: Rune [13th] vs. Draper [14th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

USA Today

16-03-2025

On Sunday, Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune (No. 13 in the world) meets Jack Draper (No. 14) in the final at the BNP Paribas Open.
Draper is the favorite to collect the tournament title against Rune, with -165 odds compared to the underdog's +130.
Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Sunday at 2:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub. Holger Vitus Nodskov Rune vs. Jack Draper matchup info Tournament: BNP Paribas Open
BNP Paribas Open Round: Final
Final Date: Sunday, March 16
Sunday, March 16 Court Surface: Hard Watch the Tennis Channel and more sports on Fubo! Rune vs. Draper Prediction
Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Rune has a 62.3% to win. Rune vs. Draper Betting Odds Rune's odds to win match: +130
+130 Draper's odds to win match: -165 Rune vs. Draper matchup performance & stats In 13 hard-court tournaments over the past year, Rune is 23-13 in matches.
On hard courts over the past 12 months, Rune has won 80.3% of his service games and 21.1% of his return games.
On hard courts over the past year, Rune has converted 84 of 220 break points (38.2%).
In his most recent tournament, the Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC, Rune lost in a round of 16 to No. 42-ranked Brandon Nakashima, 0-3 (retired) on February 26.
Draper, who has a 25-8 record in nine tournaments on hard courts over the past year, has clinched one tournament win on that surface.
Draper is 369-for-437 in service games on hard courts (84.4%) and 121-for-452 in return games (26.8%).
On hard courts Draper has won 41.8% of break points (109 out of 261) which ranks 13th.
In his last tournament, Draper came up just short of the title, losing to No. 10-ranked Andrey Rublev 5-7, 7-5, 1-6 in the Qatar ExxonMobil Open final on February 22.
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