
Most Gulf stocks firm as markets brace for pivotal week
Gains were tempered by oil prices slipping to a three-week low, pressuring sentiment in a region where oil remains a key economic driver.
Saudi Arabia's benchmark index (.TASI), opens new tab added 0.1%, helped by a 4% jump in healthcare provider Dr Sulaiman Al Habib (4013.SE), opens new tab and a 2.2% increase in SABIC Agri-Nutrients Co (2020.SE), opens new tab after the duo reported a rise in second-quarter profit.
Elsewhere, Yanbu National Petrochemical Co (2290.SE), opens new tab gained 2.9% after the firm reported a more than two-fold sequential increase in second-quarter profit.
Qatar's stock index (.QSI), opens new tab rose 0.3%, extending its winning streak into the new week after notching gains in all sessions last week, as it climbed to a fresh peak last seen over two and a half years ago.
Shares of index heavyweight Qatar International Islamic Bank (QIIB.QA), opens new tab jumped nearly 3%, as investors positioned ahead of Monday's dividend eligibility cutoff to secure an upcoming payout.
Outside the Gulf, Egypt's blue-chip index (.EGX30), opens new tab - which traded after a session's break - advanced 1.3%, hitting a fresh record high, with Commercial International Bank (COMI.CA), opens new tab advancing 3.3%.
Investors across the region are also eyeing the U.S. Federal Reserve's two-day policy meeting, where rates are widely expected to remain unchanged at 4.25%–4.50%, despite renewed political pressure from Trump for cuts.
A rise in U.S. inflation to 2.7% in June has clouded expectations for a potential rate reduction in September, with market odds narrowing to nearly 50-50.
Fed policy remains closely watched in the Gulf, where most currencies are pegged to the U.S. dollar, making it a key anchor for regional monetary stability.
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Reuters
8 hours ago
- Reuters
Berkshire takes $3.8 billion Kraft Heinz write-down, operating profit falls
Aug 2 (Reuters) - Warren Buffett's Berkshire Hathaway (BRKa.N), opens new tab said on Saturday it took a $3.76 billion write-down on its stake in Kraft Heinz (KHC.O), opens new tab during the second quarter, an acknowledgment the decade-old investment hasn't worked out. Berkshire also reported a 4% decline in quarterly operating profit as insurance underwriting premiums fell. The write-down and lower gains from common stocks caused a 59% drop in overall net income. Buffett's conglomerate signaled it remains cautious about market valuations, amid uncertainty about tariffs and growth in the broader economy. It reported a near-record $344.1 billion cash stake, and sold more stocks than it bought for an 11th straight quarter. As of mid-July, Berkshire hadn't repurchased any of its own stock since May 2024. Buffett, 94, has led Omaha, Nebraska-based Berkshire since 1965, though he plans to step down at year-end. "Investors are getting antsy and want to seek activity, and nothing is happening," said Kyle Sanders, an analyst at Edward Jones. "Buffett definitely views the market as overvalued, and will sit back and wait for something to come to him." Uncertainty about trade policies, including tariffs, has become a headwind as delayed orders and shipments led to declining revenue at most of Berkshire's consumer businesses. Jazwares, which makes the popular Squishmallows plush toys, saw revenue fall 38.5% in the year's first half. Analysts viewed overall results as lackluster. "Berkshire and the economy are at an inflection point," said Cathy Seifert, a CFRA Research analyst. "I don't think the market will embrace the combination of mediocre results, a lack of stock buybacks, and Berkshire's recent share underperformance amid a management transition." Seifert and Sanders rate Berkshire "hold." Second-quarter operating income fell to $11.16 billion, or about $7,760 per Class A share, from $11.6 billion a year earlier. Results included $877 million of currency losses as the U.S. dollar weakened. Net income, including gains and losses on stocks such as Apple (AAPL.O), opens new tab and American Express (AXP.N), opens new tab, fell to $12.37 billion from $30.35 billion. Revenue fell 1% to $92.52 billion. Buffett views unrealized investment gains and losses, including on stocks Berkshire has no plans to sell, as often meaningless to understanding his company. The $3.76 billion after-tax write-down for Berkshire's 27.4% Kraft Heinz stake, equal to $5 billion before taxes, followed the struggling food company's announcement it would consider strategic alternatives, which could include a breakup. Berkshire had carried Kraft Heinz on its books at above-market value but said economic and other uncertainties, and its longer-term plans to remain an investor, made the gap "other-than-temporary." The write-down is Berkshire's second for Kraft Heinz, following a $3 billion write-down in 2019. Buffett acknowledged at the time that Berkshire overpaid in the 2015 merger of Kraft Foods and H.J. Heinz, one of his biggest investment missteps. Kraft Heinz has suffered as more shoppers favor healthier and private-label alternatives. Its approximately 200 brands include Oscar Mayer, Kool-Aid, Velveeta and Jell-O. Berkshire also carries another big investment, its 28.1% stake in Occidental Petroleum (OXY.N), opens new tab at $5.3 billion above fair value, but reported no need for a write-down. Shares of Berkshire have fallen more than 12%, and lagged the Standard & Poor's 500 (.SPX), opens new tab by about 22 percentage points, since Buffett announced on May 3 he would step down as chief executive at year end. Vice Chairman Greg Abel, 63, will succeed him, though Buffett will remain chairman. Analysts said the premium embedded in Berkshire's stock price because of the presence of Buffett, arguably the world's most well-known investor, has eroded, while growth may slow in the insurance sector, a major Berkshire profit center. The lack of new investments has also been a drag. Analysts believe Berkshire's BNSF unit could buy CSX (CSX.O), opens new tab to create another transcontinental railroad, after Union Pacific (UNP.N), opens new tab agreed on July 29 to buy Norfolk Southern (NSC.N), opens new tab. Buffett transformed Berkshire over six decades from a troubled and since-closed textile company into a $1.02 trillion conglomerate. Berkshire owns several insurers and reinsurers, electric utility and renewable energy businesses, several chemical and industrial companies, and familiar consumer brands such as Dairy Queen, Fruit of the Loom and See's Candies. Berkshire said the 12% quarterly decline in insurance underwriting profit stemmed primarily from reinsurance businesses and some smaller insurance businesses. Geico, its best-known insurance business, saw pre-tax underwriting profit rise 2%, as a 5% increase in premiums offset a smaller rise in accident losses. The car insurer has been ceding market share to State Farm and Progressive (PGR.N), opens new tab, while focusing on improving underwriting quality and technology and cutting jobs. Analysts said higher tariffs could be a headwind for Geico if the cost of auto parts rose, potentially increasing losses from accident claims. BNSF is also cutting expenses. Lower fuel costs helped boost quarterly profit 19% gain, though revenue and cargo volumes barely changed. The energy business, Berkshire Hathaway Energy, posted a 7% profit increase. Berkshire said it is evaluating the impact of the One Big Beautiful Bill Act, signed last month by U.S. President Donald Trump, on the "economics and viability" of its renewable energy, storage and technology-neutral projects.


Reuters
a day ago
- Reuters
Global stock index sinks with dollar, bond yields after weak US jobs data
NEW YORK/LONDON, Aug 1 (Reuters) - MSCI's global equities index fell on Friday and the dollar took a dive after weaker than expected U.S. jobs data ramped up expectations for Federal Reserve rate cuts in September as investors also considered U.S. President Donald Trump's latest tariff announcements. U.S. Treasury yield moved sharply lower after the Labor Department reported that the U.S. economy added 73,000 nonfarm payrolls last month, below the 110,000 expected by economists surveyed by Reuters. July unemployment rose up to 4.2%. June's job growth was revised sharply lower to 14,000 from 147,000. After the data, traders were betting on a 69% probability for a September rate cut compared with 37.7% on Thursday, according to CME Group's FedWatch tool. "The market is reacting to the possibility of the economy flipping into recession. The weak jobs data is piling on to weak earnings reports and weak guidance from some corporations," said Luke Tilley, Chief Economist, Wilmington Trust. But Tilley said perspective is also important when looking at Friday's moves since the market has risen sharply since around mid-April when Trump announced tariff pauses. Investors may be "repositioning around what had been a really strong run and just taking some chips off the table in light of this morning's data," he said. On Wall Street at 11:32 a.m. the Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI), opens new tab fell 640.77 points, or 1.46%, to 43,488.20, the S&P 500 (.SPX), opens new tab fell 105.82 points, or 1.66%, to 6,233.84 and the Nasdaq Composite (.IXIC), opens new tab fell 459.00 points, or 2.17%, to 20,663.45. The pan-European STOXX 600 (.STOXX), opens new tab index fell 1.81%, suggesting its biggest daily drop since April 9. MSCI's gauge of stocks across the globe (.MIWD00000PUS), opens new tab fell 12.34 points, or 1.33%, to 917.28, putting it on track for its biggest daily drop since mid-April. The softer data added to losses for the global index , which was already losing ground after a host of tariff announcements from Trump the day before. Trump ordered tariffs ranging from 10% to 41% on U.S. imports from several major trading partners. He increased duties on Canadian goods to 35% from 25% for all products not covered by the U.S.-Mexico-Canada trade agreement. He said a 25% rate for India's U.S.-bound exports, 20% for Taiwan's, 19% for Thailand's and 15% for South Korea's. However, Mexico got a 90-day reprieve from higher tariffs to allow for deal talks. In currencies, the greenback reversed course to fall sharply after the data due to increased expectations for rate cuts. Earlier it had found support in fading hopes for U.S. rate cuts. The dollar index <=USD>, which measures the greenback against a basket of currencies including the yen and the euro, fell 1% to 99.03. The euro was up 1.11% at $1.1542 while against the Japanese yen , the dollar weakened 1.76% to 148.08. The Bank of Japan held interest rates steady on Thursday and revised up its near-term inflation expectations, but Governor Kazuo Ueda sounded a little dovish in the press conference. Sterling strengthened 0.32% to $1.3247 and the Canadian dollar strengthened 0.44% versus the greenback to C$1.38 per dollar. U.S. Treasury yieldsplunged after the jobs data and the increase in bets that the Fed will resume interest rate cuts in September. The yield on benchmark U.S. 10-year notes fell 11.9 basis points to4.241%, from 4.36% late on Thursday while the 30-year bond yield fell 6.6 basis points to4.8191%. The 2-year note yield, which typically moves in step with interest rate expectations for the Federal Reserve, fell 21.6 basis points to3.733%, from 3.951% late on Thursday. In energy markets, oil prices fell more than 2% after the jobs data and on the prospects of a possible increase in production by OPEC and its allies. Oil had settled 1% lower on Thursday. U.S. crude fell 2.66% to $67.42 a barrel and Brent fell to $69.72 per barrel, down 2.76% on the day. Elsewhere, gold prices rallied to a one-week high, after the weak jobs report boosted policy easing expectations and fresh tariff announcements also spurred safe-haven demand. Spot gold rose 1.83% to $3,350.10 an ounce.


Reuters
a day ago
- Reuters
Wall St Week Ahead AI gains and strong earnings support Wall Street as tariff woes linger
NEW YORK, July 31 (Reuters) - With more than half of second quarter earnings reported and stocks near record highs, company results have reassured investors about the artificial intelligence trade that has energized Wall Street, even if tariff worries curtailed buying. With results in from 297 of the S&P 500 companies as of Thursday, year-on-year earnings growth for the second quarter is now estimated at 9.8%, up from 5.8% estimated growth on July 1, according to LSEG data. Next week investors will get a peek at earnings from Dow Jones Industrial Average (.DJI), opens new tab constituents Disney (DIS.N), opens new tab, McDonald's (MCD.N), opens new tab and Caterpillar (CAT.N), opens new tab, for a look at the broader economy. Strong profit reports for these companies could propel the Dow, trading just shy of its December record high, to a fresh peak. Some 81% of the companies have beaten analyst expectations on earnings, above the 76% average for the past four quarters. "The earnings season has been unambiguously better than expected," Art Hogan, chief market strategist at B. Riley Wealth in Boston, said. The strength of corporate earnings is particularly reassuring for investors after the pummeling sentiment took in the prior quarter due to the twin threats of tariffs and worries over flagging economic growth. "The first quarter was a bit more mixed and you had some questionable economic data ... which I think gave the market some pause," said Tim Ghriskey, senior portfolio strategist at Ingalls & Snyder in New York. "But the second quarter seems to have just been a turnaround," Ghriskey said. The strength of results for names linked to the artificial intelligence trade - the investment thesis that AI will be a transformative force, driving a significant portion of future economic growth and company profits - is particularly heartening, investors and analysts said. "Overall it has been mega caps, growth/technology/AI that is driving a lot of the results," Ghriskey said. "This is where we want to be exposed in terms of companies ... we're at maximum equity exposures and we're comfortable there." Having boosted the market for several quarters, the trade ran into rough waters at the start of the year as the emergence of Chinese-founded artificial intelligence startup DeepSeek rattled investors, stoking concerns over heightened competition that could disrupt the dominance of established tech giants at the heart of the AI trade, including Nvidia. Strong results from Microsoft and Meta Platforms (META.O), opens new tab reassured investors that massive bets on AI are paying off. Worries over AI demand appear overblown, Macro Hive research analyst Viresh Kanabar said. The trade related tumult earlier this year prompted many investors to pare equity exposure, particularly to higher-risk growth stocks. Even after the market rebound - the S&P 500 is up about 6% for the year and near a record high - institutional investors have been slow to return to equities. Overall, investors' equity positioning is still only modestly overweight, according to Deutsche Bank estimates. Strength in earnings from AI and technology names could draw more investors and lift markets further in coming weeks, analysts said. "If you are trying to beat your benchmark and you were underweight any of the AI names you have to chase them," B. Riley Wealth's Hogan said. After S&P 500's 2.2% gain in July, the seasonally volatile months of August and September, markets might face some short-term turbulence, Hogan said. Historically, August has marked a pick-up in stock market gyrations that peaks in October. August kicked off with stocks selling off sharply on Friday as new U.S. tariffs on dozens of trading partners and Amazon's unimpressive earnings weighed on sentiment, while a weaker payrolls report added to risk aversion. But any near-term market pullback should be seen as a buying opportunity, especially in some of the mega-cap, technology names, Hogan said. With big AI names, Alphabet, Microsoft, Nvidia, Meta Platforms and Amazon, commanding about a quarter of the weight in the S&P 500, the health of the AI trade bodes well for the market at an index level, analysts said. "We're not saying the weakness isn't there in other parts of the economy," Kanabar said. "We're just saying at the index level, the largest companies dominate to such an extent (that) it doesn't matter to some at the moment."