2 storms brew off East Coast: See map, spaghetti model for AL95
The most notable of the storms is an area of low pressure dubbed AL95, which formed along a frontal boundary about 150 miles off the coast of North Carolina Aug. 2.
"While satellite wind data show that the low is now producing gale-force winds, the system remainsattached to a frontal boundary," the National Hurricane Center wrote in its 2 p.m. ET advisory on Aug. 3. "Environmental conditions are conducive for this system to acquire additional tropical characteristics, and a tropical storm is likely to form by Monday well east of the North Carolina coast."
The center gives the storm a 70% chance of forming a cyclone over 48 hours. Sphagetti models from USA TODAY's storm tracker suggest that the most likely path for the storm is east, away from U.S. shores.
The center also noted a second disturbance off of the coast of the Carolinas.
It said that the potential area of low pressure could form "a few hundred miles" off the coast and that "gradual development of this system is possible by midweek as the system drifts to the northwest."
The center gave the system a 20% chance of cyclone formation through seven days.
A tropical wave that is forecast to move off the west coast of Africa by late Monday, Aug. 4 could form a tropical depression, according to the National Hurricane Center.
Should another weather system develop into a tropical storm, the system would be named Dexter, which is next on the list of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season names.
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Atlantic storm map
Invest AL95 spaghetti models
Illustrations include an array of forecast tools and models, and not all are created equal. The hurricane center uses only the top four or five highest performing models to help make its forecasts.
Contributing: Jennifer Sangalang, USA TODAY NETWORK - Florida
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