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Wall Street closes a record-breaking week with a quiet finish

Wall Street closes a record-breaking week with a quiet finish

Wall Street closed its third winning week in the last four with a quiet finish on Friday.
The S&P 500 edged down by a whisper, less than 0.1%, after setting its all-time high the day before. The Dow Jones Industrial Average fell 142 points, or 0.3%, and the Nasdaq composite edged up by less than 0.1% to add its own record.
Norfolk Southern chugged 2.5% higher after an AP source said it's talking with Union Pacific about a merger to create the largest railroad in North America, one that would connect the East and West coasts. Any such deal, though, would likely face tough scrutiny from U.S. regulators. Union Pacific's stock fell 1.2%.
The heaviest weight on the market, meanwhile, was Netflix, which fell 5.1% despite reporting a stronger-than-expected profit. Analysts said it wasn't a surprise given the stock had already soared 43% for the year so far coming into the day, six times more than the gain for the S&P 500.
American Express likewise delivered a better-than-expected profit report, but its stock lost 2.3%. Analysts pointed to slowing growth in some underlying trends, such as the number of cards it issued.
Exxon Mobil sank 3.5% and also tugged on the market. It had been challenging Chevron's $53 billion deal to buy Hess, but an arbitration ruling in Paris about Hess assets off Guyana's coast allowed the buyout to go through. Chevron fell 0.9% after losing an early gain.
Stronger-than-expected profit reports for the spring did help several stocks rally. Charles Schwab climbed 2.9%, Regions Financial jumped 6.1% and Comerica added 4.6%.
All told, the S&P 500 slipped 0.57 to 6,296.79 points. The Dow Jones Industrial Average dropped 142.30 to 44,342.19, and the Nasdaq composite rose 10.01 to 20,895.66.
In the bond market, Treasury yields eased after a report suggested U.S. consumers may be feeling less fearful about coming inflation. They're bracing for inflation of 4.4% in the year ahead, down from last month's projection of 5%, according to preliminary results from a University of Michigan survey.
That's important because expectations for high inflation can feed into behaviors that create a vicious cycle that keeps inflation high. Overall sentiment among consumers, meanwhile, was a hair better than economists expected but still well below its historical average.
'Consumers are unlikely to regain their confidence in the economy unless they feel assured that inflation is unlikely to worsen, for example if trade policy stabilizes for the foreseeable future,' according to Joanne Hsu, the survey's director.
The yield on the 10-year Treasury sank to 4.42% from 4.47% late Thursday. The two-year Treasury yield, which more closely tracks expectations for what the Federal Reserve will do with its short-term rates, also dropped. It fell to 3.87% from 3.91%.
A top Fed official, Gov. Chris Waller, said late Thursday that the Fed should cut its overnight interest rate as soon as its next meeting in a couple weeks. That follows sharp criticism from President Donald Trump, who has been castigating the Fed for holding interest rates steady this year instead of cutting them, as it did late last year.
Lower rates could give the economy a boost, and Trump has implied they could help the U.S. government save money on its debt payments, though that's uncertain. The interest rates Washington has to pay on its longer-term debt can depend more on what bond investors think than on what the Fed does, and they can even move in opposite directions.
The chair of the Fed, meanwhile, has been insisting that he wants to see more data about how Trump's tariffs will affect the economy and inflation before the Fed makes its next move. The downside of lower interest rates is that they can give inflation more fuel, and prices may already be starting to feel the upward effects of tariffs.
Traders on Wall Street think it's much more likely that the Fed will resume cutting interest rates in September, rather than later this month, according to data from CME Group.
In stock markets abroad, indexes were mixed across Europe and Asia. Hong Kong's Hang Seng jumped 1.3%, but Tokyo's Nikkei 225 slipped 0.2% ahead of an election for the upper house of parliament on Sunday that could wipe out the ruling coalition's upper house majority.
Choe writes for the Associated Press.
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Is Lucid's Reverse Stock Split a Sign of Desperation?
Is Lucid's Reverse Stock Split a Sign of Desperation?

Yahoo

timean hour ago

  • Yahoo

Is Lucid's Reverse Stock Split a Sign of Desperation?

Key Points Lucid announced a preliminary filing for a reverse stock split. Typically, reverse stock splits are done by companies in financial distress. Lucid has no immediate threat of being delisted. 10 stocks we like better than Lucid Group › While all the headlines screamed about Uber Technologies' (NYSE: UBER) partnership with Lucid Motors (NASDAQ: LCID) and Nuro, an autonomous driving technology start-up, and the multimillion-dollar investment between them, there was a separate development that nearly everyone overlooked: a potential reverse stock split. Let's take a look at what exactly a reverse stock split does, what it doesn't do, and what it means for Lucid investors going forward. Is this a desperate move? Fair or foul? EV maker Lucid announced Thursday that it filed a preliminary proxy statement with the Securities and Exchange Commission (SEC) regarding a special stockholders' meeting to authorize the board of directors to complete a reverse stock split of the company's Class A common stock at a ratio of 1-for-10 (1:10). Let's break this development down into what it means, and what Lucid hopes to achieve with its potential reverse stock split. A 1-for-10 reverse stock split simply means Lucid will reduce its outstanding shares by a factor of 10, essentially combining 10 old shares into one new share. The stock price will then be multiplied by 10. In the simplest example, a company with 100 shares with a $1 stock price will reverse split into 10 shares, valued at $10 per share. It's important to note what this doesn't do, which is change the value of what investors own. While the stock price changes, proportionally to the reduction in the number of shares, the company's market capitalization will remain the same, as will the investors' voting power and position value. Now to the question on investors' minds: Is this a sign of desperation? Not necessarily, because there are a few reasons that can drive a reverse stock split. It's true that typically a reverse stock split is done by a company in danger of being delisted from major exchanges such as the NYSE or Nasdaq -- both require companies to maintain a minimum share price of $1.00. If a company's stock price falls below that threshold for 30 consecutive trading days, it receives a deficiency notice and is given a set period to raise its price -- perfect for a reverse stock split. But as we know, Lucid is currently trading at roughly $3.15 per share, and its 52-week low was $1.93 per share. While that's a little close for comfort, especially given the gloomy electric vehicle market currently mitigating tariff impacts, it's not in immediate danger of being delisted. There is also potential upside for Lucid's potential reverse stock split, as many companies try to push the price of their stock higher to entice big institutional investors. Many institutional investors and mutual funds have policies against owning positions in a stock with a price below a minimum value -- raising the price could enable more large investors to jump into the company's stock, pushing it higher. This is not what typically happens, but Lucid's goal is to make its stock more attractive to more investors. What it all means At the end of the day, the market generally views a reverse stock split negatively. It's often a company in financial distress with a falling stock price and potential to be delisted -- not qualities of a great investment. Lucid is still burning through tons of cash, it's still slowly accelerating deliveries -- although consistently, as it's turned in seven straight quarters of higher deliveries -- and much of its future hinges on the success of its new electric Gravity SUV and its upcoming midsize platform that will underpin at least three more electric SUVs. Currently, Lucid has the liquidity to fund operations flawlessly through the second half of 2026, and while the market doesn't tend to favor reverse stock splits, this shouldn't raise many red flags for Lucid investors that they weren't already aware of. Lucid is simply a high-risk, high-reward stock, and big swings in its price are inevitable. Invest accordingly. Do the experts think Lucid Group is a buy right now? The Motley Fool's expert analyst team, drawing on years of investing experience and deep analysis of thousands of stocks, leverages our proprietary Moneyball AI investing database to uncover top opportunities. They've just revealed their to buy now — did Lucid Group make the list? When our Stock Advisor analyst team has a stock recommendation, it can pay to listen. After all, Stock Advisor's total average return is up 1,048% vs. just 180% for the S&P — that is beating the market by 867.59%!* Imagine if you were a Stock Advisor member when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $652,133!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,056,790!* The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of July 15, 2025 Daniel Miller has no position in any of the stocks mentioned. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Uber Technologies. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Is Lucid's Reverse Stock Split a Sign of Desperation? was originally published by The Motley Fool Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

History suggests stocks could have more upside, says analyst
History suggests stocks could have more upside, says analyst

Miami Herald

timean hour ago

  • Miami Herald

History suggests stocks could have more upside, says analyst

There weren't many beating the bullish drum on the stock market in early April. The S&P 500 and tech-laden Nasdaq Composite were mired in a brutal downturn following harsher-than-hoped tariff announcements and growing economic concerns on jobs and inflation. The S&P 500 retreated 19% from its mid-February highs before finding its footing on April 9. That near-bear market had everyone a bit antsy, particularly given President Donald Trump's mounting trade war. Nevertheless, stocks' decline was fast and steep enough to cause most sentiment measures to signal oversold, suggesting that those willing to step into the fray could be rewarded for buying the dip. And boy, have they been rewarded. Don't miss the move: Subscribe to TheStreet's free daily newsletter The S&P 500 has marched 25% higher, and the Nasdaq has surged over 30%. President Trump's pause on most reciprocal tariffs fueled the gains on April 9. Hope that tariffs would settle at more manageable levels and significant new stimulus associated with trillions of dollars in tax cuts from the One Big Beautiful Bill Act kept the rally humming along to new all-time highs. The big question on most minds now is whether this record-setting run can continue. Those in the bearish camp point toward weaker GDP, cracks in the jobs market, and inflation risks. Bullish investors think most of those risks were priced in during the spring sell-off, and the bar has been set low enough that anything less than disaster would be good enough to push forward revenue, earnings, and economic outlooks higher, rather than lower. The debate has prompted many popular Wall Street analysts, including Carson Group's Chief Strategist Ryan Detrick, to update their outlook. Image source: Michael M. Santiago/Getty Images Stocks are forward-looking and are considered a leading, rather than lagging, indicator. The ability of stock prices to predict what may happen to the economy can be messy, with short-term fits and starts. However, stocks' ability to aggregate market participants' collective wisdom is generally considered a valuable tool for economists and investors. Related: Market legend makes surprising stock market bet The predictive nature of markets is one reason behind the old Wall Street adage, "stocks climb a wall of worry." Often, stocks bottom when everyone thinks the worst has yet to happen, and they top when everyone sees roses and daisies. Over the past three months, the stock market has climbed a big wall of concern. U.S. employers have announced over 696,000 layoffs through May, up 80% year over year, according to Challenger, Gray & Christmas. The unemployment rate has inched up to 4.1% in June from 3.4% in 2023. And inflation, while much lower than in 2022, when the Federal Reserve declared war on it by significantly raising interest rates, is still above the 2% level targeted by many, including the Fed. The backdrop still suggests that stagflation or, worse, recession is a possibility. But so far, stocks indicate the economy will sidestep most damage. While we don't know when the Fed may support the economy with interest rate cuts, most are modeling lower rates over the coming year, helping fuel economic activity. Also, the recently passed One Big Beautiful Bill Act contains significant tax cuts, including new Social Security income tax breaks and a higher State and Local Tax deduction, which provide additional money to support spending and GDP. If so, analysts who cut revenue and growth outlooks this spring will shift gears, increasing forecasts and potentially fueling additional upside. Those upward revisions would go a long way toward appeasing those concerned about the S&P 500's valuation, given that the recent rally has inflated its price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio. The S&P 500 topped out in February when its forward price-to-earnings ratio eclipsed 22. It bottomed out when the P/E ratio reached about 19. The recent rally has again pushed the S&P 500's P/E over 22, which historically doesn't correspond with favorable one-year returns. Ryan Detrick has been correctly banging the bullish drum for a while, and his team's midyear outlook also tells a bullish tale. Detrick's optimism is partially rooted in history. He often shares data highlighting how the stock market has historically behaved after catalysts, and this time is no exception. Fortunately, for bulls, history is on the side of more gains. The strategist points out that since the early 1970s, there have been five instances when the S&P 500 rose by 19% in 27 trading days like this year. Each time, the market was higher one year later, returning a median of 32.6%. Since 1950, the S&P 500 has been up one year later 74% of the time, returning a median of 10.4%. Related: Billionaire Ackman has one-word message on stock market We've already made a big chunk of returns, but Detrick's team writes, "This is still a young bull market." The average bull market lasts 67 months, and this one has only lasted a little over 30 months so far. "Like a cruise ship that is very hard to turn once it gets moving, bull markets tend to carry their momentum forward, another reason this one could last much longer than many think," wrote the analysts. As for valuation, they believe there's a bull case that a "low tariffs, big tax bill" environment will provide a catalyst for earnings, helping keep the P/E ratio in check. "It's hard to imagine that the tariffs will go back to where they were, but perhaps we're left with about 15% additional new tariffs on average- not at all trivial, but far from worst case," wrote the analysts. "Companies should be able to navigate the additional tariffs and maintain profit margins, especially larger companies with less fragile supply chains." Carson Group thinks the S&P 500 could reach 6,550, a 10% to 12% gain for 2025. Add in dividends, and the index's total return could be 12% to 15%. Currently, the S&P 500 is up about 7% in 2025. "Stocks came soaring back in one of the largest reversals ever, suggesting the lows for 2025 are likely behind us and better times could be coming for investors," said Detrick. "While 2025 has already been a wild ride - and we should still prepare for more ups and downs - we see reasons to expect this bull market to continue." Related: Legendary fund manager has blunt message on 'Big Beautiful Bill' The Arena Media Brands, LLC THESTREET is a registered trademark of TheStreet, Inc.

Are We in a Quantum Computing Bubble?
Are We in a Quantum Computing Bubble?

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timean hour ago

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Are We in a Quantum Computing Bubble?

Key Points Quantum computing stocks have been on a tear this year, despite the technology's nascent scale and still speculative nature. Unlike the broader artificial intelligence (AI) theme, many popular quantum computing stocks are small companies with limited traction. While it can be tempting to follow the momentum, several quantum computing stocks boast valuation multiples that echo those seen during prior stock market bubbles. 10 stocks we like better than IonQ › This year has been tough for investors, particularly those who flock toward growth stocks. Just about every major industry has been impacted in some form or fashion by President Donald Trump's new tariff policies. While the broader implications of these import taxes are still unfolding, one sector that has faced abnormally large headwinds is technology. For the first time in nearly three years, investing in the artificial intelligence (AI) market hasn't necessarily resulted in outsized gains. Nevertheless, one pocket of the AI realm that has managed to circumvent the panic-selling this year is quantum computing. As of this writing (July 17), the Defiance Quantum ETF has gained 17% so far this year -- roughly double the returns seen in the S&P 500 and Nasdaq Composite. With quantum computing stocks trouncing the broader market, now may be an appropriate time to assess valuations in the sector and compare them to prior periods of heightened enthusiasm. What is a stock market bubble, and what are some examples? One of the most basic mistakes investors make is assessing a company's valuation based on its stock price. In other words, if the stock price is low, an investor might mistakenly view the company as "cheap" (and vice versa). Smart investors understand that there are far more parameters than the share price that help determine a company's valuation. Underlying financial metrics, such as revenue, gross margins, profitability, free cash flow, cash, and debt, should all play a factor in assessing the health of a business. From there, more sophisticated analysis requires investors to benchmark these figures and their growth rates against a set of peers to get a better sense of how the business in question compares to the broader competitive landscape. Many investors do not take the time to perform the due diligence exercise above and instead choose to follow broader momentum. Unfortunately, this can lead to abnormally inflated stock prices -- those that are incongruent with the underlying fundamentals of the business. Generally speaking, reality begins to set in and these companies are unable to sustain their overstretched valuations, eventually leading to harsh, dramatic sell-offs. This phenomenon is known as a stock market bubble. In the charts below, I've illustrated some valuation trends across two notable stock market bubbles. The chart above illustrates the price-to-sales (P/S) ratios for a number of high-flying internet stocks during the dot-com bubble of the late 1990s. As the trends above make clear, each of the companies in the peer set above trades at much more normalized valuation multiples today when compared to their peaks during the internet boom. Investors witnessed a similar theme in overstretched valuations during the peak days of the COVID-19 pandemic. Companies such as Zoom Communications, Wayfair, and Peloton witnessed abnormal demand for their respective product offerings as remote work became the norm. As the trends seen above demonstrate, however, these growth tailwinds were not permanent. Today, none of these COVID stocks are seen as compelling growth opportunities, and their cratering valuations are a sobering reminder of the aftermath of bubbles bursting. How do quantum computing stocks compare to the valuations above? Over the last year, IonQ (NYSE: IONQ), Rigetti Computing (NASDAQ: RGTI), D-Wave Quantum (NYSE: QBTS), and Quantum Computing (NASDAQ: QUBT) have emerged as popular names fueling the quantum computing movement. With a P/S multiple of over 5,700, the tiny Quantum Computing business is the clear outlier in the quantum computing cohort illustrated above. Even so, Rigetti, IonQ, and D-Wave each boast P/S ratios that are either considerably higher or in line with the darlings of the dot-com and COVID bubbles. Are we in a quantum computing stock bubble? The quantum computing stocks referenced above are highly speculative -- arguably even more so than the highfliers during the internet era. Unlike then, today's technology behemoths, such as Amazon, Microsoft, eBay, and Cisco, have evolved into sophisticated platform businesses with diversified ecosystems. This provides them with the scale and financial flexibility to explore emerging fields such as quantum computing. Smaller players, such as IonQ, Rigetti, D-Wave, and Quantum Computing, currently face intense competition from big tech -- something the dot-com businesses did not. Given the valuation analyses explored above, many popular quantum computing stocks are clearly trading at abnormally high and historically unsustainable valuation levels. For these reasons, I think companies such as IonQ, Rigetti, D-Wave, and Quantum Computing have entered bubble territory. With that said, many big tech companies in the "Magnificent Seven" are exploring quantum applications as well. Many of these companies trade for much more reasonable valuations. While I am not convinced the broader quantum computing opportunity is necessarily in a bubble, I believe investors need to be cautious and thoughtful when selecting which quantum computing stocks to invest in. And the best choices will rarely be high-flying specialists with big dreams and small revenue streams. Should you invest $1,000 in IonQ right now? Before you buy stock in IonQ, consider this: The Motley Fool Stock Advisor analyst team just identified what they believe are the for investors to buy now… and IonQ wasn't one of them. The 10 stocks that made the cut could produce monster returns in the coming years. Consider when Netflix made this list on December 17, 2004... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $652,133!* Or when Nvidia made this list on April 15, 2005... if you invested $1,000 at the time of our recommendation, you'd have $1,056,790!* Now, it's worth noting Stock Advisor's total average return is 1,048% — a market-crushing outperformance compared to 180% for the S&P 500. Don't miss out on the latest top 10 list, available when you join Stock Advisor. See the 10 stocks » *Stock Advisor returns as of July 15, 2025 John Mackey, former CEO of Whole Foods Market, an Amazon subsidiary, is a member of The Motley Fool's board of directors. Adam Spatacco has positions in Amazon and Microsoft. The Motley Fool has positions in and recommends Amazon, Cisco Systems, Microsoft, Peloton Interactive, VeriSign, Zoom Communications, and eBay. The Motley Fool recommends Wayfair and recommends the following options: long January 2026 $395 calls on Microsoft and short January 2026 $405 calls on Microsoft. The Motley Fool has a disclosure policy. Are We in a Quantum Computing Bubble? was originally published by The Motley Fool Error in retrieving data Sign in to access your portfolio Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data Error in retrieving data

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