
Texas Tech vs UNC Wilmington predictions, game picks for 2025 NCAA Tournament first round
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NCAA players who could rise their draft stock with big March Madness performances
Get to know four prospects who could improve their draft stock during March Madness, including Tennessee senior Chaz Lanier and Texas Tech forward J.T. Toppin.
The 2025 NCAA Tournament is here, folks.
Thursday's action in the West Region features a matchup between Texas Tech and UNC Wilmington.
The Texas Tech Red Raiders finished the 2024-25 season with a 25-8 record, good for second in the Big 12. That earned them a 3 seed in the 2025 March Madness bracket. Their opponent, the UNC Wilmington Seahawks, finished second in the Colonial Athletic with a 27-7 record and a conference tournament win earned them a No. 14 seed in the Big Dance.
Texas Tech ranks as the seventh-best team in the KenPom rankings, sporting the sixth-best offense and 37th-best defense. Meanwhile, UNC Wilmington ranks 105th overall, possessing the 84th-ranked offense and 184th-ranked defense.
Here's how our experts see Thursday's Round of 64 clash playing out. Be sure to check out USA TODAY's complete March Madness bracket predictions to see our team's picks for every game. While you're at it, don't forget to read our tournament bold predictions and upset picks.
Without further ado, here's our Texas Tech vs. UNC Wilmington picks and predictions.
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Texas Tech vs. UNC Wilmington picks and predictions
Jordan Mendoza: Texas Tech
Paul Myerberg: Texas Tech
Erick Smith: Texas Tech
Eddie Timanus: Texas Tech
Dan Wolken: Texas Tech
Craig Meyer: Texas Tech 78, UNC Wilmington 61
Nathan Giese: Texas Tech 83, UNC-Wilmington 74
It's a clean sweep. None of our experts have this contest turning into an upset. Craig Meyer is backing Texas Tech to cover the 14.5-point spread and the game going under the 142.5-point total. Lubbock Avalanche-Journal's Nathan Giese is on UNC Wilmington to cover and has the game going over.
Texas Tech vs. UNC Wilmington date, start time, how to watch
Game Day: Thursday, March 20, 2025
Thursday, March 20, 2025 Game Time: 10:10 p.m. ET
10:10 p.m. ET Location: INTRUST Bank Arena in Wichita, Kansas
INTRUST Bank Arena in Wichita, Kansas TV Channel: truTV
truTV Live Stream: Sling TV - Watch Now!
Watch Texas Tech vs. UNC Wilmington on Sling TV
Texas Tech vs. UNC Wilmington odds
Odds as of Wednesday, March 19 via BetMGM.
Spread: Texas Tech -14.5 (-115)
Texas Tech -14.5 (-115) Moneyline Favorite: Texas Tech -1400
Texas Tech -1400 Moneyline Underdog: UNC Wilmington +825
UNC Wilmington +825 Total: 142.5
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New York Post
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Behren Morton has been good, not great, for the Red Raiders, and he'll need to be a lot more of the latter if Texas Tech is going to finally make good on the hype one of these years. Utah looked like a potential buy-low candidate after a disastrously unlucky 2024 campaign, but this number has tanked. No thanks. 3 TCU Horned Frogs quarterback Josh Hoover signals to his receivers during the college football game between the BYU Cougars and TCU Horned Frogs. Icon Sportswire via Getty Images Baylor and TCU are in remarkably similar positions. The bitter rivals each started slow in 2024, seats got a little warm (more so for Dave Aranda in Waco), and then both squads surged down the stretch thanks to stellar quarterback play from Josh Hoover (TCU) and Sawyer Robertson (Baylor). Both offenses should be in terrific shape this season, meaning it will be the defenses that decide the fate of these two neighbors. They're both tempting, but Kansas State is roughly the same price, and in my mind, the best of the three. Betting on College Football? Dark Horses We've seen plenty of hype trains in the Big 12 in recent years. Texas Tech, Iowa State, Kansas, Colorado, and Arizona have all, at different times, been trendy dark horses to win the conference. This year, there doesn't seem to be the same buzz around teams in the middle of the betting board. Sure, folks will tune in to see how Deion Sanders' box-office Buffaloes do without Shedeur Sanders and Travis Hunter, but the price on Colorado will always be taxed because of how much the public likes to back Coach Prime. Iowa State and BYU are both coming off of terrific seasons, but the former has a really tricky schedule, while the latter is a massive regression candidate that is lacking a clear starting quarterback. Tip your cap if they prove you wrong. Lance Leipold has been a splendid success at Kansas, completely overhauling a program that was a doormat for a decade, but there's been so much change on the offense that you'd want a bigger number to back a surprising Jayhawks jump. Much credit to quarterback Jalon Daniels for somehow still being eligible for Rock Chalk, though. You could make an argument for Houston at 33/1 with a soft schedule in Year 2 under Willie Fritz — and I'd much rather bet the Cougars than, say, Iowa State at half the price — but they'll be relying heavily on transfers, which could go sour, quick. 3 Mike Gundy will look to lead a remarkable turnaround after going 2-10 in 2024. Getty Images Long shots The truth is that you could make a case for just about anybody to gatecrash the Big 12. It's just the nature of the beast, especially with Texas and Oklahoma out of the picture. I've landed on Oklahoma State because of the man in charge, and the turnover. The Cowboys were downright poor in 2024, so Mike Gundy, entering his 21st season, overhauled the program. The offense will feature new players at just about every position, and there are new coordinators in charge on both sides of the ball. That kind of turnover can be scary when you're looking at the favorites, but when you are coming off a 2-10 campaign, it's necessary. There's every chance that the changes don't pan out, or they just lead to incremental change, but I'll never have an issue with backing someone like Gundy at this kind of number in this kind of environment. The Pokes stand at 65/1 to win the wide-open Big 12. Go and get some. Best bets for the Big 12 Kansas State to win the Big 12 (+600, BetMGM) Oklahoma State to win the Big 12 (65/1, FanDuel) Avery Johnson to win the Heisman Trophy (50/1, FanDuel) Why Trust New York Post Betting Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.