Wimbledon picks, best bets Saturday: Marton Fucsovics vs. Ben Shelton odds, predictions
Ben Shelton is off and running at Wimbledon.
The big-serving American has yet to drop a set in his first two rounds, and his serve has only been broken once in the tournament so far.
Perhaps even more impressively, Shelton has faced just five break points total at the All England Club.
There's very little to complain about when it comes to Shelton's performances, but he's also yet to face a real test.
All due respect to grass-court specialist Alex Bolt and his fellow Aussie Rinky Hijikata, but they just couldn't stack up to Shelton, especially when he's serving like that.
Marton Fucsovics will also be hard-pressed to deal with Shelton's A-game, but the Hungarian can be a nightmare to deal with in best-of-five tennis, and his record at Wimbledon is much better than you'd think for a player ranked 107th in the world.
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Fucsovics betting preview
Like most of the players ranked outside the top 75, Fucsovics doesn't have an elite part of his arsenal.
He's solid across the board, but he can't beat you with his serve or his defense alone.
That means Fucsovics needs everything to be working so that the best part of his game, his all-world physical endurance, can be a difference-maker.
There are few players in the world who can match Fucsovics' endurance, which is why he boasts an impressive record at the Grand Slams.
He's 46-38 in his career in best-of-five matches, which is good enough for a 54.8 percent win rate. That's a decent jump above his 48.8 percent win rate in best-of-three tilts.
The way to beat Fucsovics is to put him away early and hope that he's not running circles around you in the later stages of a five-setter.
American tennis player Ben Shelton celebrates at Wimbledon.
Susan Mullane-Imagn Images
Wimbledon: Shelton vs. Fucsovics pick
Shelton, too, has an impressive record in Grand Slams, but his path to success in this match looks very different compared to Fucsovics.
He will want to use his serve to pick up cheap points, keeping the match moving so that Fucsovics can't drag him into deep waters.
The problem is that it's unlikely that Shelton's serve will overwhelm Fucsovics like it did Bolt and Hijikata.
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Fucsovics should provide much more resistance against Shelton's serve, which will open up a path to an upset.
Tennis Abstract's model actually makes Fucsovics a -141 favorite for this match, and while that may be a stretch, it further drives home the point that Shelton will have his hands full Saturday.
The Play: Marton Fucsovics +200 (bet365)
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Michael Leboff is a long-suffering Islanders fan, but a long-profiting sports bettor with 10 years of experience in the gambling industry. He loves using game theory to help punters win bracket pools, find long shots, and learn how to beat the market in mainstream and niche sports.
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