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Stock market today: S&P 500, Nasdaq plunge, Dow drops 1,300 points as Trump's tariffs rip through global markets

Stock market today: S&P 500, Nasdaq plunge, Dow drops 1,300 points as Trump's tariffs rip through global markets

Yahoo03-04-2025

US stocks cratered on Thursday, with the Dow tumbling more than 1,300 points as President Trump's surprisingly steep "Liberation Day" tariffs sent shockwaves through markets worldwide.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) led the sell-off, plummeting roughly 5.3%. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) sank over 4%, while the Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) tumbled 3.2%.
Among megacap techs, Apple (AAPL) shares fell over 9% amid concerns about disruption to its supply chain. China, the source of key iPhone components, was hit with additional US tariffs that raised its overall rate to 54%. Nvidia (NVDA) and other chip stocks also tumbled thanks to similar concerns. The so-called "Magnificent Seven" stocks that led the market rally over the past two years were on pace to shed roughly $800 billion in market cap.
Small cap stocks were also hit during the session as the Russell 2000 (^RUT) index declined more than 5.6%, on track to close in bear market territory.
The two-step approach to tariffs unveiled by Trump on Wednesday imposes a baseline rate of 10% on all US trading partners but applies extra duties to countries considered "bad actors" on trade — meaning they face much higher rates. The levies go into effect on April 5 and April 9, respectively.
In total, some 185 counties are impacted by the tariffs, and the new duties set the effective US tariff rate at its highest level in over 100 years.
Read more: The latest on Trump's tariffs
Stocks around the world sold off as the likelihood of retaliation from trading partners fueled fears of a full-on trade war and a severe hit to global growth. The pan-European benchmark Stoxx 600 (^STOXX) sank over 2.5%, while Japan's Nikkei 225 (^N225) slumped 2.7% to its lowest level since August.
Meanwhile, shares in retailers such as Target (TGT), and Nike (NKE) were clobbered, with both seeing double digit declines.
President Trump's shocking tariff announcement on Wednesday has markets reeling as investors, economists, and the public try to make sense of how these actions will weigh on the US and global economy in the months ahead.
In a note to clients on Thursday, economists at Wells Fargo led by Brendan McKenna wrote, "Liberation Day will also be a strong test of our deglobalization and fragmentation view."
The firm added (emphasis added):
Because while Trump's new tariff program announced Wednesday may well be the start of what Wells calls an "escalate to negotiate" strategy, the scope and scale of the administration's tariff plans make clear the international trading order that previously dictated global business logic is over.
And serves as the kind of distinct break that cannot be put back together by future administrations, no matter their own trade goals.
"We have also observed clear signs of global economic fragmentation — our view that the global economy is fracturing into two distinct economic blocs: one led by the U.S. and one led by China — is a trend that is likely to gather momentum in the years ahead as a result of Liberation Day," the firm added.
"Taking deglobalization and fragmentation a step further, in addition to a decisive shift away from China over the years, the Trump administration has also signaled a shift away from Europe this year... Point being, Liberation Day could also mark an inflection point in fragmentation."
In Wells' view, this shift away not only from China but Europe creates a potential "tri-polar" economic order in which multiple distinct blocs of economic cooperation cross-tariff one another.
Leading to a world potentially more fragmented in its trade goals, more fractured in its geopolitical agreements, and more expensive for businesses and consumers.
RH stock (RH) is getting shellacked today on the double misfortunes of a weak outlook and new tariffs.
Shares of the luxury home furnishings retailer fell nearly 40% as of midday trading. The stock is now trading at its lowest level since 2020.
On Wednesday after the market close, RH reported that it sees revenue growing 10% to 13% for the fiscal year, below Wall Street's expectations. Its quarterly results also disappointed, with revenue coming in at $812.4 million and adjusted earnings of $1.58 per share.
Meanwhile, President Trump announced reciprocal tariffs, which are likely to affect RH's supply chain. According to the company's annual report, it sources 72% of its products from Asia, 18% from North America, and 10% from Europe and other countries.
The extent of the stock's decline after hours stunned RH CEO Gary Friedman, who reacted partway through the earnings call:
"Oh shit, OK," he said midsentence. "I just looked at the screen. I hadn't looked at it. It got hit when I think the tariff came out and everybody can see in our 10-K where we're sourcing from. So it's not a secret and we're not trying to disguise it by putting everything in an Asia bucket."
As we've been writing all day, things are pretty ugly in the stock market on Thursday.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) is down more than 4.7%. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) is down about 3.7%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) has fallen nearly 3%, or over 1,000 points.
Amid a sea of red, there are still some stocks moving higher. The Consumer Staples (XLP) sector, considered a defensive sector that investors flock to when concerned about the economic growth outlook, is the lone sector in the green, up about 0.9%.
Lamb Weston (LW) — most well-known for its frozen potato products — is the leading performer in the S&P 500, up more than 8%. Dollar General (DG) and Kroger (KR) were both up more than 4%. Phillip Morris (PM), a maker of cigarettes and other popular nicotine products like Zyn, was up more than 3% and also among the top performers in the benchmark index.
As the chart below shows, this trade had already started playing out during the recent sell-off, with Lamb Weston, Kroger, and Phillip Morris all in positive territory over the past month while the S&P 500 sank. And as the selling over economic growth fears intensified on Thursday, so too did the buying into companies investors expect will keep chugging along even if consumers curb their spending.
President Trump far exceeded Wall Street's worst fears with his "Liberation Day" tariff announcements, prompting many strategists to reconsider their previously optimistic outlooks.
"Whether the Bull Market has ended and a Bear Market has begun will be contingent on all politicians' response, domestic and foreign, to 'Liberation Day,'" Julian Emanuel, who leads the equity, derivatives, and quantitative strategy team at Evercore ISI, wrote in a note to clients Wednesday night. "Our base case is that the Bull Market is being severely tested but will remain intact."
Thursday's losses intensified a monthlong sell-off in stocks that had already prompted several Wall Street strategist to temper their expectations for the S&P 500. Now, with Trump's large tariffs further clouding the outlook, strategists are mapping out how much further the benchmark index could sink.
Read more here.
Investors are rerating their expectations for the Federal Reserve as President Trump's hefty tariffs are expected to weigh on US economic growth.
Markets are now pricing in four interest rate cuts for 2025, up from the range of two or three just a week prior, per Bloomberg data.
Renaissance Macro head of economics Neil Dutta wrote in a note Thursday morning that he expects the Fed to cut "at least four times." Dutta believes the lag in growth from tariffs will become the paramount concern rather than the potential upside to inflation.
Homebuilder stocks struggled on Thursday as President Trump's tariff plans threw a major wrench into the sector, fueling fears that higher construction costs could slow the housing recovery.
D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI), the biggest US homebuilder, was down 3% Thursday, while Lennar (LEN) and PulteGroup (PHM) fell more than 4%, respectively. The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) also declined 5%.
Trump unveiled the details of his major tariff plan on Wednesday, offering exemptions for Canada and Mexico which provided relief to the two biggest trading partners. However, China remains in the crosshairs, still facing the full brunt of the new tariffs, with rates now well above 50% on many goods.
Steel, aluminum, and other metals are exempt, and lumber was also spared from the new measures.
'While the complexity of these reciprocal tariffs makes it hard to estimate the overall impact on housing, they will undoubtedly raise some construction costs," NAHB chairman Buddy Hughes said in a statement following President Trump's tariff announcement.
"However, NAHB is pleased President Trump recognized the importance of critical construction inputs for housing and chose to continue current exemptions for Canadian and Mexican products, with a specific exemption for lumber from any new tariffs at this time," Hughes added.
Tech and Consumer Discretionary stocks led market losses on Thursday with "Magnificent 7" stocks plummeting following President Trump's reciprocal tariff announcement.
E-commerce giant Amazon (AMZN) declined more than 9% while iPhone maker Apple (AAPL) sank more than 8%, nearing a wipeout of almost $300 billion in market cap.
The Trump administration's newly announced tariffs include levies on imported goods from China to the tune of 54%, while products from Vietnam include duties of 46%.
Nvidia (NVDA) sank more than 6% after the AI giant was also downgraded to Hold from Buy at HSBC.
Medical device stocks fell on Thursday amid a broader market sell-off pinned to the Trump administration's sweeping reciprocal tariffs.
GE Healthcare stock (GEHC) tumbled more than 10% while Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) was down more than 2% in early trading.
Yahoo Finance's Anjalee Khemlani reports:
Read more here.
Economic activity in the services sector slowed more than expected in March.
New data from the Institute of Supply Management out Thursday showed its services PMI decreased to 50.8 in March, down from 53.5 in February. Readings above 50 indicate expansion in the sector; readings below indicate a contraction in activity.
"Despite an increase in comments on tariff impacts and continuing concerns over potential tariffs and declining governmental spending, there was a close balance in near-term sentiment, between panelists with good outlooks and those seeing or expecting declines," Steve Miller, the chair of Institute for Supply Management, wrote in the release.
Given President Trump's larger-than-expected tariff announcements on Wednesday have already spooked fears about economic growth slowing, Oxford Economics senior US economist Matthew Martin wrote that Thursday's release will "exacerbate concerns over the health of the economy."
"An initial assessment of the impact of recent tariff announcements will lead us to lower our growth forecast markedly," Martin wrote. "Odds are the economy avoids a recession, but it will be dangerously vulnerable."
Stock losses accelerated on Thursday morning as the Trump administration's tariffs against US trading partners sparked fears that a trade war will lead to an economic slowdown or recession.
By 10:40 a.m. ET, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) had tanked as much as 5%. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) tanked more than 4%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) tumbled more than 3.5% — over 1,500 points.
Consumer Discretionary stocks were getting slammed during the session, with e-commerce giant Amazon (AMZN) down more than 9%.
Gold futures (GC=F) pulled back from their record high on Thursday morning but were still outperforming the rest of the commodity complex as investors reacted to President Trump's reciprocal tariff announcement.
Futures fell more than 1% amid an overall market sell-off. Meanwhile, copper (HG=F) sank nearly 4% over fears of deteriorating demand in an escalating trade war.
Other commodities also fell following Trump's announcement on Wednesday imposing tariffs on its trading partners.
Oil sank more than 7% with losses accelerating after the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) announced it will hike oil supplies more than expected in May.
Yahoo Finance's Brian Sozzi writes:
Read more here.
Stocks tanked on Thursday morning in reaction to President Trump's broad reciprocal tariff announcement, sparking fears of a looming recision amid a full-blown trade war.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) plummeted more than 4% while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) tanked 3.7%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) tumbled nearly 3% — over 1,100 points.
From retail to Big Tech, equities across the board tumbled. Megacap giants like Apple (AAPL) sank more than 7% over concerns of a disruption to supply chains in China, the source of key iPhone components. Nvidia (NVDA) and other chip stocks also declined amid similar concerns.
Meanwhile, oil futures tanked more than 7% after members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) agreed to hike supply more than expected in May, deepening price declines sparked by President Trump's reciprocal tariff announcement.
The prospect of a trade war sparking a slowdown — or worse, a recession sent commodities lower across the board.
Yahoo Finance's Brian Sozzi writes:
Read more here.
Oil futures tanked more than 6% on Thursday morning after members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) agreed to hike supply more than expected in May, deepening price declines sparked by President Trump's reciprocal tariff announcement.
West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) fell to hover below $67 per barrel, while Brent (BZ=F), the international benchmark price, declined to $70.
The oil cartel's decision to add 411,000 barrels a day to the market next month steepened losses in futures contracts after the Trump administration announced sweeping tariffs on its trading partners.
While energy was exempt from the levies announced on Wednesday, the move escalated the trade war, raising concerns about global demand. The tariffs sparked fears of economic slowdown, affecting oil markets.
Tariffs on goods imported from China now total 54%. The Asian country is the world's largest importer of crude oil.
"54% tariff on China is a significant negative surprise. The tariffs on growing emerging economies that contribute most to crude demand growth (not absolute demand) are getting hit the hardest," CIBC Private Wealth senior energy trader Rebecca Babin told Yahoo Finance.
Data from the Department of Labor released Thursday morning showed 219,000 initial jobless claims were filed in the week ending March 29, down from 225,000 the week prior and below the 225,000 economists had expected.
Meanwhile, 1.9 million continuing claims were filed, up by 56,000 from the week prior. This marked the highest level of continuing claims for unemployment benefits since November 2021.
In a separate release from data from job placement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed job cuts soared in February to 275,240 in March, up from 172,017 in February. More than 216,000 of those cuts were related to Elon Musk's Department of Government of Efficiency (Defforts.
'Job cut announcements were dominated last month by Department of Government Efficiency [DOGE] plans to eliminate positions in the federal government. It would have otherwise been a fairly quiet month for layoffs,' Andrew Challenger, senior vice president and workplace expert for Challenger, Gray & Christmas said in a release.
Auto stocks fell in premarket trading Thursday as President Trump's 25% auto tariffs took effect. However, the losses weren't as severe as in other sectors like tech and retail.
Tesla stock (TSLA) led the declines, dropping 5.8%, as smaller sales of its EVs in Germany and yesterday's deliveries number also weighed on the stock. Shares of Tesla rose on Wednesday on reports that CEO Elon Musk would step back from his government role in the coming weeks.
As for the Big Three automakers, General Motors stock (GM) fell 2.7%, Ford (F) declined 2%, and Stellantis (STLA) was down 1.3%.
European automakers BMW (BMW.DE), Mercedes-Benz (MBG.DE), and Volkswagen (VOW3.DE) all fell 2%, while Ferrari (RACE) and Porsche (P911.DE) were down over 1%.
Hyundai (HYMTF) and Honda (HMC) were down more than 1.5%, while Toyota (TM) fell 3.6%.
Bloomberg reports:
Read more here.
Copper (HG=F) futures fell 2.6% on Thursday morning amid worries that a slowdown would dampen demand for the industrial metal.
Prices lost ground even after the White House indicated that energy, steel, copper, and gold would be exempt from the tariffs announced on Wednesday, in what President Trump called "Liberation Day."
But oil futures tanked after the US imposed reciprocal tariffs on goods imported from other countries, which fueled concerns of an economic slowdown that would hit demand.
West Texas Intermediate crude (CL=F) dropped 6% to trade below $68 per barrel, while Brent futures (BZ=F) also declined almost 6% to under $71 a barrel.
Elsewhere in the commodity complex, gold futures (GC=F) retreated 1.7% as precious metals joined the global sell-off in assets. Prices initially surged after Trump's announcement, but have since reversed gains in a retreat from the records recently hit as investors sought safe haven.
Yahoo Finance's Brian Sozzi reports:
Read more here.
Before the bell, futures tied to the Nasdaq led the way down — almost 4%. Dow futures dropped over 1,200 points, and S&P 500 futures tanked by 3.4%.
President Trump's shocking tariff announcement on Wednesday has markets reeling as investors, economists, and the public try to make sense of how these actions will weigh on the US and global economy in the months ahead.
In a note to clients on Thursday, economists at Wells Fargo led by Brendan McKenna wrote, "Liberation Day will also be a strong test of our deglobalization and fragmentation view."
The firm added (emphasis added):
Because while Trump's new tariff program announced Wednesday may well be the start of what Wells calls an "escalate to negotiate" strategy, the scope and scale of the administration's tariff plans make clear the international trading order that previously dictated global business logic is over.
And serves as the kind of distinct break that cannot be put back together by future administrations, no matter their own trade goals.
"We have also observed clear signs of global economic fragmentation — our view that the global economy is fracturing into two distinct economic blocs: one led by the U.S. and one led by China — is a trend that is likely to gather momentum in the years ahead as a result of Liberation Day," the firm added.
"Taking deglobalization and fragmentation a step further, in addition to a decisive shift away from China over the years, the Trump administration has also signaled a shift away from Europe this year... Point being, Liberation Day could also mark an inflection point in fragmentation."
In Wells' view, this shift away not only from China but Europe creates a potential "tri-polar" economic order in which multiple distinct blocs of economic cooperation cross-tariff one another.
Leading to a world potentially more fragmented in its trade goals, more fractured in its geopolitical agreements, and more expensive for businesses and consumers.
RH stock (RH) is getting shellacked today on the double misfortunes of a weak outlook and new tariffs.
Shares of the luxury home furnishings retailer fell nearly 40% as of midday trading. The stock is now trading at its lowest level since 2020.
On Wednesday after the market close, RH reported that it sees revenue growing 10% to 13% for the fiscal year, below Wall Street's expectations. Its quarterly results also disappointed, with revenue coming in at $812.4 million and adjusted earnings of $1.58 per share.
Meanwhile, President Trump announced reciprocal tariffs, which are likely to affect RH's supply chain. According to the company's annual report, it sources 72% of its products from Asia, 18% from North America, and 10% from Europe and other countries.
The extent of the stock's decline after hours stunned RH CEO Gary Friedman, who reacted partway through the earnings call:
"Oh shit, OK," he said midsentence. "I just looked at the screen. I hadn't looked at it. It got hit when I think the tariff came out and everybody can see in our 10-K where we're sourcing from. So it's not a secret and we're not trying to disguise it by putting everything in an Asia bucket."
As we've been writing all day, things are pretty ugly in the stock market on Thursday.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) is down more than 4.7%. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) is down about 3.7%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) has fallen nearly 3%, or over 1,000 points.
Amid a sea of red, there are still some stocks moving higher. The Consumer Staples (XLP) sector, considered a defensive sector that investors flock to when concerned about the economic growth outlook, is the lone sector in the green, up about 0.9%.
Lamb Weston (LW) — most well-known for its frozen potato products — is the leading performer in the S&P 500, up more than 8%. Dollar General (DG) and Kroger (KR) were both up more than 4%. Phillip Morris (PM), a maker of cigarettes and other popular nicotine products like Zyn, was up more than 3% and also among the top performers in the benchmark index.
As the chart below shows, this trade had already started playing out during the recent sell-off, with Lamb Weston, Kroger, and Phillip Morris all in positive territory over the past month while the S&P 500 sank. And as the selling over economic growth fears intensified on Thursday, so too did the buying into companies investors expect will keep chugging along even if consumers curb their spending.
President Trump far exceeded Wall Street's worst fears with his "Liberation Day" tariff announcements, prompting many strategists to reconsider their previously optimistic outlooks.
"Whether the Bull Market has ended and a Bear Market has begun will be contingent on all politicians' response, domestic and foreign, to 'Liberation Day,'" Julian Emanuel, who leads the equity, derivatives, and quantitative strategy team at Evercore ISI, wrote in a note to clients Wednesday night. "Our base case is that the Bull Market is being severely tested but will remain intact."
Thursday's losses intensified a monthlong sell-off in stocks that had already prompted several Wall Street strategist to temper their expectations for the S&P 500. Now, with Trump's large tariffs further clouding the outlook, strategists are mapping out how much further the benchmark index could sink.
Read more here.
Investors are rerating their expectations for the Federal Reserve as President Trump's hefty tariffs are expected to weigh on US economic growth.
Markets are now pricing in four interest rate cuts for 2025, up from the range of two or three just a week prior, per Bloomberg data.
Renaissance Macro head of economics Neil Dutta wrote in a note Thursday morning that he expects the Fed to cut "at least four times." Dutta believes the lag in growth from tariffs will become the paramount concern rather than the potential upside to inflation.
Homebuilder stocks struggled on Thursday as President Trump's tariff plans threw a major wrench into the sector, fueling fears that higher construction costs could slow the housing recovery.
D.R. Horton, Inc. (DHI), the biggest US homebuilder, was down 3% Thursday, while Lennar (LEN) and PulteGroup (PHM) fell more than 4%, respectively. The SPDR S&P Homebuilders ETF (XHB) also declined 5%.
Trump unveiled the details of his major tariff plan on Wednesday, offering exemptions for Canada and Mexico which provided relief to the two biggest trading partners. However, China remains in the crosshairs, still facing the full brunt of the new tariffs, with rates now well above 50% on many goods.
Steel, aluminum, and other metals are exempt, and lumber was also spared from the new measures.
'While the complexity of these reciprocal tariffs makes it hard to estimate the overall impact on housing, they will undoubtedly raise some construction costs," NAHB chairman Buddy Hughes said in a statement following President Trump's tariff announcement.
"However, NAHB is pleased President Trump recognized the importance of critical construction inputs for housing and chose to continue current exemptions for Canadian and Mexican products, with a specific exemption for lumber from any new tariffs at this time," Hughes added.
Tech and Consumer Discretionary stocks led market losses on Thursday with "Magnificent 7" stocks plummeting following President Trump's reciprocal tariff announcement.
E-commerce giant Amazon (AMZN) declined more than 9% while iPhone maker Apple (AAPL) sank more than 8%, nearing a wipeout of almost $300 billion in market cap.
The Trump administration's newly announced tariffs include levies on imported goods from China to the tune of 54%, while products from Vietnam include duties of 46%.
Nvidia (NVDA) sank more than 6% after the AI giant was also downgraded to Hold from Buy at HSBC.
Medical device stocks fell on Thursday amid a broader market sell-off pinned to the Trump administration's sweeping reciprocal tariffs.
GE Healthcare stock (GEHC) tumbled more than 10% while Intuitive Surgical (ISRG) was down more than 2% in early trading.
Yahoo Finance's Anjalee Khemlani reports:
Read more here.
Economic activity in the services sector slowed more than expected in March.
New data from the Institute of Supply Management out Thursday showed its services PMI decreased to 50.8 in March, down from 53.5 in February. Readings above 50 indicate expansion in the sector; readings below indicate a contraction in activity.
"Despite an increase in comments on tariff impacts and continuing concerns over potential tariffs and declining governmental spending, there was a close balance in near-term sentiment, between panelists with good outlooks and those seeing or expecting declines," Steve Miller, the chair of Institute for Supply Management, wrote in the release.
Given President Trump's larger-than-expected tariff announcements on Wednesday have already spooked fears about economic growth slowing, Oxford Economics senior US economist Matthew Martin wrote that Thursday's release will "exacerbate concerns over the health of the economy."
"An initial assessment of the impact of recent tariff announcements will lead us to lower our growth forecast markedly," Martin wrote. "Odds are the economy avoids a recession, but it will be dangerously vulnerable."
Stock losses accelerated on Thursday morning as the Trump administration's tariffs against US trading partners sparked fears that a trade war will lead to an economic slowdown or recession.
By 10:40 a.m. ET, the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) had tanked as much as 5%. The S&P 500 (^GSPC) tanked more than 4%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) tumbled more than 3.5% — over 1,500 points.
Consumer Discretionary stocks were getting slammed during the session, with e-commerce giant Amazon (AMZN) down more than 9%.
Gold futures (GC=F) pulled back from their record high on Thursday morning but were still outperforming the rest of the commodity complex as investors reacted to President Trump's reciprocal tariff announcement.
Futures fell more than 1% amid an overall market sell-off. Meanwhile, copper (HG=F) sank nearly 4% over fears of deteriorating demand in an escalating trade war.
Other commodities also fell following Trump's announcement on Wednesday imposing tariffs on its trading partners.
Oil sank more than 7% with losses accelerating after the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) announced it will hike oil supplies more than expected in May.
Yahoo Finance's Brian Sozzi writes:
Read more here.
Stocks tanked on Thursday morning in reaction to President Trump's broad reciprocal tariff announcement, sparking fears of a looming recision amid a full-blown trade war.
The tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite (^IXIC) plummeted more than 4% while the S&P 500 (^GSPC) tanked 3.7%. The Dow Jones Industrial Average (^DJI) tumbled nearly 3% — over 1,100 points.
From retail to Big Tech, equities across the board tumbled. Megacap giants like Apple (AAPL) sank more than 7% over concerns of a disruption to supply chains in China, the source of key iPhone components. Nvidia (NVDA) and other chip stocks also declined amid similar concerns.
Meanwhile, oil futures tanked more than 7% after members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) agreed to hike supply more than expected in May, deepening price declines sparked by President Trump's reciprocal tariff announcement.
The prospect of a trade war sparking a slowdown — or worse, a recession sent commodities lower across the board.
Yahoo Finance's Brian Sozzi writes:
Read more here.
Oil futures tanked more than 6% on Thursday morning after members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries and its allies (OPEC+) agreed to hike supply more than expected in May, deepening price declines sparked by President Trump's reciprocal tariff announcement.
West Texas Intermediate (CL=F) fell to hover below $67 per barrel, while Brent (BZ=F), the international benchmark price, declined to $70.
The oil cartel's decision to add 411,000 barrels a day to the market next month steepened losses in futures contracts after the Trump administration announced sweeping tariffs on its trading partners.
While energy was exempt from the levies announced on Wednesday, the move escalated the trade war, raising concerns about global demand. The tariffs sparked fears of economic slowdown, affecting oil markets.
Tariffs on goods imported from China now total 54%. The Asian country is the world's largest importer of crude oil.
"54% tariff on China is a significant negative surprise. The tariffs on growing emerging economies that contribute most to crude demand growth (not absolute demand) are getting hit the hardest," CIBC Private Wealth senior energy trader Rebecca Babin told Yahoo Finance.
Data from the Department of Labor released Thursday morning showed 219,000 initial jobless claims were filed in the week ending March 29, down from 225,000 the week prior and below the 225,000 economists had expected.
Meanwhile, 1.9 million continuing claims were filed, up by 56,000 from the week prior. This marked the highest level of continuing claims for unemployment benefits since November 2021.
In a separate release from data from job placement firm Challenger, Gray & Christmas showed job cuts soared in February to 275,240 in March, up from 172,017 in February. More than 216,000 of those cuts were related to Elon Musk's Department of Government of Efficiency (Defforts.
'Job cut announcements were dominated last month by Department of Government Efficiency [DOGE] plans to eliminate positions in the federal government. It would have otherwise been a fairly quiet month for layoffs,' Andrew Challenger, senior vice president and workplace expert for Challenger, Gray & Christmas said in a release.
Auto stocks fell in premarket trading Thursday as President Trump's 25% auto tariffs took effect. However, the losses weren't as severe as in other sectors like tech and retail.
Tesla stock (TSLA) led the declines, dropping 5.8%, as smaller sales of its EVs in Germany and yesterday's deliveries number also weighed on the stock. Shares of Tesla rose on Wednesday on reports that CEO Elon Musk would step back from his government role in the coming weeks.
As for the Big Three automakers, General Motors stock (GM) fell 2.7%, Ford (F) declined 2%, and Stellantis (STLA) was down 1.3%.
European automakers BMW (BMW.DE), Mercedes-Benz (MBG.DE), and Volkswagen (VOW3.DE) all fell 2%, while Ferrari (RACE) and Porsche (P911.DE) were down over 1%.
Hyundai (HYMTF) and Honda (HMC) were down more than 1.5%, while Toyota (TM) fell 3.6%.
Bloomberg reports:
Read more here.
Copper (HG=F) futures fell 2.6% on Thursday morning amid worries that a slowdown would dampen demand for the industrial metal.
Prices lost ground even after the White House indicated that energy, steel, copper, and gold would be exempt from the tariffs announced on Wednesday, in what President Trump called "Liberation Day."
But oil futures tanked after the US imposed reciprocal tariffs on goods imported from other countries, which fueled concerns of an economic slowdown that would hit demand.
West Texas Intermediate crude (CL=F) dropped 6% to trade below $68 per barrel, while Brent futures (BZ=F) also declined almost 6% to under $71 a barrel.
Elsewhere in the commodity complex, gold futures (GC=F) retreated 1.7% as precious metals joined the global sell-off in assets. Prices initially surged after Trump's announcement, but have since reversed gains in a retreat from the records recently hit as investors sought safe haven.
Yahoo Finance's Brian Sozzi reports:
Read more here.
Before the bell, futures tied to the Nasdaq led the way down — almost 4%. Dow futures dropped over 1,200 points, and S&P 500 futures tanked by 3.4%.

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The latest CPI report showed some softening in inflation. What investors are saying

Wall Street got a favorable inflation report on Wednesday, giving equities a boost. The consumer price index rose 0.1% in May , slightly less than the 0.2% increase economists polled by Dow Jones anticipated. So-called core CPI, which strips out volatile food and energy prices, increased by 0.1% — also less than expected. Stocks reacted positively, with S & P 500 futures erasing an earlier decline to trade about 0.2% higher. Some investors noted continued uncertainty around the Federal Reserve's interest rate outlook, despite the latest price report. Here's how some investors, economists and strategists reacted to the news: Chris Rupkey, chief economist at FWDBonds: "Net, net, the inflation shock wave from more costly imported goods has yet to arrive on American shores. Today's consumer inflation report is a real head-scratcher for economists as they ponder why the trade war hasn't set off another inflation outbreak yet with core goods prices sitting on store shelves seeing no change in May." Alexandra Wilson-Elizondo, global co-CIO of multi-asset Solutions at Goldman Sachs Asset Management: "Inflation in May was lower than anticipated, suggesting the tariffs aren't having a large immediate impact because companies have been using existing inventories or slowly adjusting prices due to uncertain demand. While we might see some price increases on goods later, service prices are expected to remain stable, suggesting any rise in inflation is likely to be temporary." Ian Lyngen, head of U.S. rates at BMO Capital Markets: "CPI surprised on the downside across the board. … The yield curve is bull steepening as the slower trajectory of inflation has firmed rate cut expectations for later this year. On the margin, it is also supportive of next week's [Federal Reserve Summary of Economic Projections] signaling 50 bp of cuts in 2025." Ryan Weldon, investor director and portfolio manager at IFM Investments: "The softer services inflation lends itself to a slowing economy in the face of continued tariff anxiety and will support the Fed to come out of their wait-and-hold approach sooner. However, the Fed will still want to see several months of consistent inflation and jobs data and have more clarity on the Trump administration's tariff policy before resuming cuts." Chris Zaccarelli, chief investment officer at Northlight Asset Management: "With lower-than-expected numbers across the board (with the exception of headline YoY, which stayed constant), and a trade deal with China that was agreed to in London, the narrative around tariff-induced inflation should subside. However, CPI remains above 2% and even though the tariff rates are going to be less than originally feared, after they are implemented they will further increase the cost of goods." Skyler Weinand, chief investment officer at Regan Capital: "Wednesday's weaker-than-expected CPI opens the door to a Fed rate cut in September, since it's clear that the inflation data continues to move in the right direction even as we deal with tariff uncertainty. While employment is strong and the economic effects from tariffs are yet to be determined, the Fed would like to start easing again in the not too distant future to get in front of a possible recession in 2026" Peter Boockvar, chief investment officer at Bleakley Financial Group: "Bottom line, a sigh of relief on the lower than expected inflation stats just as we search for where tariffs will work its way through the supply chain and end customer."

US and China ‘back to square one' after two days of trade talks
US and China ‘back to square one' after two days of trade talks

Yahoo

time8 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

US and China ‘back to square one' after two days of trade talks

Talks between the US and China are 'back to square one' after two days of trade negotiations in London failed to secure a major deal. Howard Lutnick, Donald Trump's commerce secretary, said the two sides had agreed on a 'framework' to put their trading relations back on track and repair the truce initially agreed in Geneva last month. There was little market reaction to the announcement at Lancaster House shortly after midnight, with the dollar strengthening a little and stock markets opening marginally higher. The two sides have until Aug 10 to negotiate a more comprehensive agreement to ease trade tensions, or US tariffs on China will snap back from about 30pc to 145pc, with China's levies on America increasing from 10pc to 125pc. Josh Lipsky, of the Atlantic Council's GeoEconomics Center in Washington, said: 'They are back to square one but that's much better than square zero.' Jim Reid, a Deutsche Bank analyst, added: 'While the mood music has stayed positive, investors may be wary of the pattern that emerged during the previous US-China trade talks in 2018-19, when apparently constructive in-person meetings seemed to take a step back as the negotiating teams returned to their capitals. 'So there's perhaps a little disappointment this morning that we haven't yet got a bigger announcement, even though there's time to hear the full conclusions of the meeting.' Senior officials from Washington and Beijing had gathered in London after accusations from both sides that they had violated the terms of the deal made in Switzerland. Mr Trump and Xi Jinping held a call last week that Mr Lutnick said 'gave the fundamental foundation on which we were able to reach agreement'. Mr Lutnick said: 'We have reached a framework to implement the Geneva consensus and the call between the two presidents. 'The idea is we're going to go back and speak to President Trump and make sure he approves it. 'They're going to go back and speak to President Xi and make sure he approves it, and if that is approved, we will then implement the framework.' In a separate briefing, Li Chenggang, China's vice commerce minister, said a trade framework had been reached in principle that would be taken back to US and Chinese leaders. Mr Lutnick said China's restrictions on exports of rare earth minerals and magnets to the US would be resolved as a 'fundamental' part of the framework agreement. He also said the agreement would remove some of the recent US export restrictions, but did not provide details. Kathleen Brooks, the research director at XTB, a trading platform, said: 'Overall, the US-China trade agreement is taking its time, and it could test the market's patience.' Meanwhile, the European Union reportedly believes it could extend its trade negotiations with the US beyond the initial deadline next month. The EU thinks there could be scope for further talks if it agrees a deal in principle by July 9, which is considered its best-case scenario, according to Bloomberg. The Trump administration is scheduled to enforce 50pc tariffs on EU goods beyond that date unless a deal is reached. Broaden your horizons with award-winning British journalism. Try The Telegraph free for 1 month with unlimited access to our award-winning website, exclusive app, money-saving offers and more.

Inflation holds steady as data shows how prices are faring after Trump's ‘Liberation Day' tariffs
Inflation holds steady as data shows how prices are faring after Trump's ‘Liberation Day' tariffs

Yahoo

time9 minutes ago

  • Yahoo

Inflation holds steady as data shows how prices are faring after Trump's ‘Liberation Day' tariffs

Inflation held steady last month, according to data that gives the first glimpse of how prices are faring since President Donald Trump's sweeping 'Liberation Day' tariffs. Consumer prices rose 0.1 percent on a monthly basis in May, while annual inflation stood at 2.4 percent, according to the Department of Labor's consumer price index. The report captures the period after Trump unveiled his global reciprocal tariffs in April and provides some insight as to whether businesses are bearing the brunt of the duties themselves or passing them on to customers. Analysts predicted to see a bigger increase, but some still warn the future is uncertain because tariffs keep changing. 'So far, inflation risks from higher tariffs are subdued,' Win Thin, global head of markets strategy at Brown Brothers Harriman, told Bloomberg. 'Nonetheless, US protectionist trade policy and uncertainty about the ultimate level of tariffs are downside risks to growth and upside risk to inflation. Bottom line: the fundamental USD downtrend is intact.' Since Trump announced his global reciprocal tariffs and the stock market was spooked, many of the duties were paused. However, 10 percent tariffs for most countries remain. Inflation has been slow to respond to the tariffs as most retailers are selling merchandise accumulated before the import duties took effect. Economists said that the reduction in the scale of some trade tariffs may have 'helped to restrain cost increases thus far,' Wells Fargo's Sarah House and Nicole Cervi said. 'That said, as the higher tariff regime persists, shielding consumers from the costs is likely to become more challenging,' the economists added. 'Only a few goods prices likely rose as a result of the new tariffs in May,' Pantheon Macroeconomics economists Samuel Tombs and Oliver Allen said in a note, Bloomberg reports. 'June will be a different story — while some providers of discretionary services probably cut prices or kept them low to sustain demand.' Walmart warned customers last month that they could see price rises because of the trade tariffs. The retailer's chief financial officer John David Rainey said that the tariffs are 'still too high.' 'It's more than any supplier can absorb. And so I'm concerned that consumer is going to start seeing higher prices,' he said. 'You'll begin to see that, likely towards the tail end of this month, and then certainly much more in June.' Reuters contributed reporting

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