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TCS falls 2% on Q1 results miss. Should you buy as IT stocks struggle?

TCS falls 2% on Q1 results miss. Should you buy as IT stocks struggle?

India Today11-07-2025
Shares of Tata Consultancy Services (TCS) dropped nearly 2% in early trade on Friday, reacting to its weaker-than-expected Q1 earnings for the financial year 2025–26. The stock was down 1.83% at Rs 3,320.20 around 9:55 am on the BSE.TCS has lost 2.74% over the past five days and declined 4.37% in the past month. Over a six-month period, the stock is down 22.63%.India's largest IT services company reported a 6% year-on-year growth in consolidated net profit at Rs 12,760 crore for the June quarter, compared to Rs 12,040 crore in the same period last year. The profit was above analysts' expectations of Rs 12,205 crore.Revenue from operations came in at Rs 63,437 crore, a 1.3% increase from Rs 62,613 crore a year ago. However, in constant currency terms, the company reported a 3.1% year-on-year decline in revenue. This raised concerns about demand outlook for the rest of the year.TCS also announced an interim dividend of Rs 11 per share for FY26. The record date is set for July 16, and the dividend will be paid on August 4.TCS CEO K Krithivasan pointed to broader challenges. He said, 'The continued global macro-economic and geo-political uncertainties caused a demand contraction, though on the positive side, all the new services grew well.' He added that the company saw strong deal closures and is helping customers manage business challenges through cost optimisation, vendor consolidation, and AI-led transformation.Despite the earnings miss, analysts highlighted the company's strong deal wins. TCS secured orders worth USD 9.4 billion in the quarter, translating to a book-to-bill ratio of 1.3x. However, the benefits of these deals are yet to reflect in revenue growth.Abhishek Kumar of JM Financial said TCS' Q1 revenue fell 3.3% quarter-on-quarter in constant currency terms, much worse than their estimate of a 0.6% drop. 'The BSNL ramp-down accounted for 85% of the revenue decline,' he noted. He added that while international business was largely steady, the bigger concern is around revenue conversion.According to Kumar, the decline in USD 50 million-plus clients by nine over the past four quarters, about 6% of the client base, is the highest ever and indicates deeper challenges. 'Client-specific issues like the Deutsche Bank decline may also be impacting performance,' he said.Still, Kumar remains optimistic. 'It is improbable that TCS is winning new deals but is unable to retain existing ones. Once macro uncertainty lifts, growth should improve,' he said. He continues to recommend a buy on the stock with a revised target price of Rs 3,950.The poor show from TCS also dragged the broader IT index. Nifty IT fell 1.15% to close at 37,935.80, with most major tech stocks in the red. Infosys fell 1.77%, Wipro lost 1.57%, and HCL Technologies was down 0.69%. Tech Mahindra and Coforge also saw minor losses.One analyst said the weak numbers from TCS reflect the broader struggle in the IT sector, especially for large-cap companies. 'Midcap IT is still expected to perform better,' the analyst added.The focus now shifts to earnings from other IT majors such as Infosys and HCL Technologies in the coming days. Investors will watch closely to see if the pressure on the sector continues or if there are signs of recovery ahead.advertisement(Disclaimer: The views, opinions, recommendations, and suggestions expressed by experts/brokerages in this article are their own and do not reflect the views of the India Today Group. It is advisable to consult a qualified broker or financial advisor before making any actual investment or trading choices.)- Ends
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