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HCL Tech shares slide 4% as analysts trim estimates post Q1 miss
The IT giant's stock fell as much as 4.31 per cent during the day to ₹1,550 per share, the biggest intraday fall since April 7 this year. The stock pared gains to trade 3 per cent lower at ₹1,569.7 apiece, compared to a 0.55 per cent advance in Nifty 50 as of 11:45 AM.
HCL Tech Q1FY26 results
The IT services firm reported a net profit of ₹3,843 crore for the first quarter of the financial year 2026 (Q1-FY26), down 9.72 per cent year-on-year (Y-o-Y). On a sequential basis, profit was down 10.7 per cent.
The company reported 3.7 per cent constant-currency (CC) revenue growth for the April-June quarter. Revenue from financial services was up 6.8 per cent, technology 13.7 per cent, and telecommunications 13 per cent. The manufacturing and life sciences verticals were down 1 per cent and 4 per cent, respectively.
HCL Tech FY26 guidance
HCL expects revenue to grow 3-5 per cent on a CC basis for the full year, up from 2-5 per cent it had projected in April. However, the firm cut its Ebit (earnings before interest and tax) margin guidance to 17-18 per cent from 18-19 per cent earlier. The company said the margins would be impacted due to restructuring.
HCL Tech management commentary
'The macro environment remained stable from an overall perspective, with some variations across verticals, but the overall situation did not deteriorate as feared at the start of the quarter,' said C Vijayakumar, chief executive officer (CEO) and managing director, at a news conference.
'We won a large consolidation deal in financial services this quarter, which is not accounted for in the total contract value (TCV) for the first quarter,' Vijayakumar added. The value of the new deal bookings stood at $1.81 billion.
Analysts on HCL results
Nuvama Institutional Equities said that weak margins in Q1-FY26 and a guidance cut have left HCLTech with almost no earnings per share (EPS) growth expected for FY26. "While we continue to favour its strong revenue growth, making it the fastest-growing among the top five IT firms, earnings have been impacted by lower margin expectations."
Nuvama downgraded the stock to 'hold' and said that it now trades at a slight premium to TCS and Infosys, limiting further upside.
Emkay Global noted that HCLTech's Q1FY26 operating performance was weaker than expected, primarily due to a margin miss, although revenue was in line. The brokerage lowered its FY26-28 earnings per share (EPS) estimates by 3-7 per cent, factoring in the Q1 results and the margin guidance cut. It retained 'Reduce' rating and revised the target price by around 5 per cent to ₹1,660.
Nomura cut its FY26-27 EPS estimates by around 2-5 per cent and slashed the target price to ₹1,810 (from ₹1,840 earlier). "We expect the street to look past the near-term margin miss, as margins are likely to recover in FY27, and instead focus on HCLTech's continued revenue outperformance."

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Economic Times
10 hours ago
- Economic Times
How Volatility Index (VIX) empowers traders with forward-looking view of risk
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It provided investors with a real-time estimate of expected market volatility derived from option the utility of this indicator, the National Stock Exchange (NSE) of India launched its own version called the India VIX in 2008, using the methodology licensed from the CBOE. The India VIX is based on the Nifty 50 Index options and represents the market's expectation of volatility over the next 30 calendar launch was driven by the increasing complexity in Indian capital markets, the rise in derivatives trading, and the need for a standardized metric to measure implied volatility, thereby empowering investors with a forward-looking view of VIX is a measure of implied volatility derived from option prices, which captures the market's collective expectation of near-term volatility. Unlike traditional equity indices that measure price levels, the VIX reflects sentiment and anticipated market fluctuations. Specifically, India VIX uses order book data from near and next-month Nifty 50 index options traded on the NSE.A VIX reading of 15, for instance, implies an annualized expected volatility of 15% over the next 30 days. The importance of VIX lies in its ability to serve as an indicator of expected market volatility. Higher VIX values correspond with greater uncertainty, while lower readings may imply market stability. Market participants, including institutional investors and asset managers, often monitor the VIX as one of several indicators to perform risk management, hedging strategies, and tactical asset allocation decisions. India VIX is one of many tools that can provide context on changing market calculation of India VIX is rooted in a methodology adopted from the CBOE, tailored to suit the Indian derivatives market. It involves using bid-ask quotes of out-of-the-money (OTM) call and put options from the near and next-month expiry contracts of the Nifty 50 index. 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Values between 17 and 25 suggest increasing nervousness among investors, and a VIX above 25 indicates elevated volatility and potential market turbulence. These levels act as critical signals for asset managers and retail investors researchers have also explored how VIX can be used for timing strategies between large-cap and mid-cap segments. A rising VIX typically favors a shift towards large-cap exposure, while a falling VIX can encourage allocation to mid-caps and lowest India VIX level was recorded in July 2023 at around 10.14, during a period of market consolidation. In the following 12 months, the Nifty delivered a strong return of approximately 26.4%, reflecting investor confidence during low volatility. In contrast, the highest VIX levels were seen during major global shocks – above 85 in November 2008 during the Global Financial Crisis, and over 80 in March 2020 during the COVID-19 these periods of elevated volatility, markets rebounded sharply. After the 2008 spike, the Nifty returned about 80.8% over the next year. Similarly, after the COVID-induced VIX surge, the Nifty posted a strong recovery of nearly 83.6%. These patterns show that extreme volatility often precedes strong market rallies.: NSE, MO AMC. Data as on 17th June India VIX has exhibited a strong negative correlation with the Nifty 50 Index. When the Nifty experiences a sharp decline, the VIX typically spikes, reflecting heightened uncertainty fear and increased demand for protective derivatives. Conversely, during market rallies, VIX tends to fall, indicating reduced average correlation between Nifty and India VIX is -0.41 based on the data analysed since 2008. 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For index fund investors, ETF product managers, and mutual fund professionals, integrating VIX into investment frameworks can offer a strategic advantage. Whether it is used for hedging, asset allocation, or sentiment monitoring, the importance of VIX cannot be India's financial markets evolve, the inclusion of volatility-linked products like a VIX ETF could deepen the passive investment landscape and provide new tools for portfolio resilience. While challenges remain, the foundation is already in place. With thoughtful design and education, volatility could indeed become a tradable and manageable asset class.

Mint
11 hours ago
- Mint
TCS vs HCL Tech vs Wipro: Which IT stock offers a better opportunity now?
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Despite muted YoY revenue growth (1.3%), TCS's margin resilience and high RoCE make it a safe, large-cap investment ideal for conservative investors seeking steady compounding and dividend payouts. Talking about HCL Tech said that while showing healthy revenue growth (8.2% YoY), saw a sharp EBIT margin contraction to 16.3% (from 19.4% in Q4 FY25), primarily due to wage hikes and AI investments. However, its free cash flow at 121% of net income and strong deal wins ($1.812B) suggest the margin dip may be transitory. HCL Tech also benefits from robust traction in telecom/media and Americas. Investors with a medium-risk appetite may find it appealing due to its strong fundamentals and growth initiatives in engineering/R&D and GenAI. Seema explained that Wipro, though improving in bookings ($2.666B, up 131% YoY), remains a laggard in revenue growth (0.8% YoY) and showed QoQ revenue/margin decline. Yet, its focus on GenAI and operational efficiency led to a 10% YoY profit growth. 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The next gap lies in the ₹ 1,526– ₹ 1,482 range — a zone where buyers could step in. If bullish price action develops around this area, it may offer a short-term bounce back to ₹ 1,650. Traders should watch closely for reversal signals before entering, according to Anshul Jain. Wipro, meanwhile, has been consolidating in a tight range between ₹ 275 and ₹ 235 for the last 78 days. This setup makes it the most straightforward trade among the three. A decisive breakout above ₹ 275 would signal fresh momentum and offer a clean buying opportunity, belives Jain. Wipro share price looks most promising on a breakout above ₹ 275. HCL Tech shares is worth watching for a bounce near its gap support. TCS share price remains weak and should be avoided unless ₹ 3,177 holds firmly. 'Short-term, Wipro offers the best potential, but only above the breakout level,' said Jain. Disclaimer: The views and recommendations made above are those of individual analysts or broking companies, and not of Mint. We advise investors to check with certified experts before making any investment decisions.
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Business Standard
11 hours ago
- Business Standard
Q1 results today: HDFC, ICICI Bank, Reliance Power, 18 others on July 19
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