logo
US tariffs may hit South Africa property agents harder than expected

US tariffs may hit South Africa property agents harder than expected

Zawya4 days ago
As the United States considers a 30% tariff on South African goods, the local property industry is bracing for wider economic consequences, and estate agents could be among the first to feel the pressure.
Marcel Koole, property commentator and CEO of BestAgent.
While the proposed tariffs are aimed at exports like steel, aluminium and agricultural products, the economic ripple effects could filter through to the real estate sector, says Marcel Koole, property commentator and CEO of BestAgent, South Africa's open platform that connects sellers directly with top-performing estate agents.
'Estate agents are directly affected by consumer confidence, affordability and market sentiment,' Koole says. 'When the broader economy comes under pressure, transaction volumes dip, and agents feel the slowdown almost immediately.'
He explains that if export-linked sectors lose revenue or cut jobs in response to the tariff, it could stall property activity in affected regions. 'Fewer buyers means fewer mandates, tighter competition among agents, and a drop in commission earnings.'
Tariffs could delay market recovery
Many agents were hoping for a gradual uptick in market activity as interest rates stabilise, but a new shock, such as a large-scale tariff from a major trading partner, could delay that turnaround.
'Tariffs like this affect the rand, which affects inflation, which then keeps interest rates high,' says Koole. 'We've seen it before, higher rates make it harder for buyers to qualify for home loans, especially first-time buyers, which reduces deal flow.'
Regional disparities likely
According to Koole, the impact won't be felt evenly. 'Agents in areas like the Western Cape, Eastern Cape, Limpopo and Mpumalanga, where agricultural and export industries are major employers, may find themselves in a tougher environment if local economies take a knock.'
He warns that in smaller towns where one industry dominates, a loss of income or jobs in that sector often translates quickly into stalled sales and longer listing periods. 'Agents in those areas will need to diversify their networks and lean into rental markets or distressed property services if sales activity drops.'
Time to professionalise and differentiate
Koole believes that agents who consistently perform well in volatile conditions are those who have built strong personal brands, operate ethically, and use data to deliver value to clients.
'In tougher markets, sellers become more selective, they don't want a hundred agents listing their home, they want one agent who can prove they've got the skills to close the deal,' he says. 'This is where sole mandates and verified track records become more important.'
Advice to agents: stay visible, stay valuable
Koole advises estate agents to focus on proactive communication with clients, maintain strong digital profiles, and showcase real results.
'Economic headwinds are beyond any agent's control,' he says, 'but how you respond, by staying informed, educating your clients, and showing your value, can make all the difference.'
Conclusion
If the US goes ahead with its proposed 30% tariff, the effects could extend well beyond exporters and manufacturers. 'Estate agents are on the frontlines of economic sentiment,' says Koole. 'And while uncertainty can be unsettling, it also creates opportunities for the most adaptable and professional agents to stand out.'
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

State Minister Calls for Rigor and Responsibility in Economic Discourse at Ethiopian Economics Association (EEA) Conference
State Minister Calls for Rigor and Responsibility in Economic Discourse at Ethiopian Economics Association (EEA) Conference

Zawya

time16 hours ago

  • Zawya

State Minister Calls for Rigor and Responsibility in Economic Discourse at Ethiopian Economics Association (EEA) Conference

State Minister of Finance, Dr. Eyob Tekalign, opened the 22nd International Conference on the Ethiopian Economy, organized by the Ethiopian Economics Association (EEA). In his keynote address, Dr. Eyob praised the EEA for its consistent contribution to policy-relevant research over more than two decades, highlighting the Association's role as a vital platform for evidence-based economic dialogue. In his opening speech the state minister conveyed a strong message on the importance of professionalism, analytical rigor, and responsible communication in shaping the nation's economic future. The State Minister also outlined the progress Ethiopia has made under its ongoing macroeconomic reform program, noting significant gains in inflation control, export performance, debt sustainability, and tax revenue mobilization. Beyond the macroeconomic achievements, Dr. Eyob shed light on a growing challenge in the public policy space: the need for clarity, integrity, and responsibility in economic analysis and communication. 'In recent months, we have witnessed how unclear communication or imprecise use of statistics, particularly around sensitive issues such as debt sustainability, can sow confusion and erode public confidence,' Dr. Eyob remarked. 'In today's fast-moving information environment, rigor and clarity are not optional—they are essential.' He emphasized the EEA's unique responsibility as a trusted and independent economic institution to uphold the highest standards of analysis and avoid sensationalism or politicized interpretations. Dr. Eyob underscored the Ministry of Finance's readiness to deepen collaboration with the EEA and other institutions that share a commitment to informed, evidence-based policymaking. The annual international Conference on the Ethiopian Economy brings together leading economists, academics, policymakers, and practitioners to deliberate on key economic developments and policy directions. Distributed by APO Group on behalf of Ministry of Finance, Ethiopia.

Upstream Momentum Builds in Ghana as Eni Declares Eban-Akoma Commercial and Tullow, Kosmos Extend Licenses
Upstream Momentum Builds in Ghana as Eni Declares Eban-Akoma Commercial and Tullow, Kosmos Extend Licenses

Zawya

time18 hours ago

  • Zawya

Upstream Momentum Builds in Ghana as Eni Declares Eban-Akoma Commercial and Tullow, Kosmos Extend Licenses

Ghana's oil and gas sector is showing clear signs of resurgence, underscored by Eni's recent declaration of commerciality for the Eban-Akoma complex in the Cape Three Points Block 4. Estimated to hold between 500 and 700 million barrels of oil equivalent, the find marks the country's largest offshore discovery in years and lies adjacent to Eni's existing Sankofa production hub, allowing for rapid and cost-efficient development. The African Energy Chamber (AEC), as the voice of Africa's energy sector, welcomes and strongly supports this development as a significant step forward in Ghana's upstream revival. Together with other recent industry milestones – including 15-year license extensions granted to Tullow Oil and Kosmos Energy – it signals growing confidence in Ghana's potential and stands as a testament to the bold measures taken by President John Mahama's administration to restore momentum and investor trust in the sector. Ghana Secures Long-Term Energy Commitments Last month, Tullow Oil and Kosmos Energy – alongside partners PetroSA, Ghana National Petroleum Company (GNPC) and Explorco – signed a Memorandum of Understanding to secure the extension of petroleum licenses in the Jubilee and TEN fields through 2040. While the Eban-Akoma discovery points to Ghana's geological upside, the agreement with Tullow and Kosmos underscores the country's institutional capacity to drive and sustain long-term energy growth. At the center of both developments is a renewed focus on production-led investment. Eni is preparing a development plan to bring its new find online, while Tullow and Kosmos have committed up to $2 billion to drill 20 new wells in Jubilee. These aren't speculative ventures – they're anchored in existing infrastructure, supported by regulatory clarity and structured to deliver returns for both investors and the Ghanaian state. The resulting uplift in oil and gas production will expand the country's revenue base through GNPC equity, royalties and taxes – laying the groundwork for greater investment in national development priorities such as healthcare, education and infrastructure. Crucially, Ghana's ability to secure long-term upstream commitments also sends a strong signal to global markets that the country is stable, serious and investment-ready. Expanded Output to Power Industry and Jobs Energy security is also central to both projects. Eni already supplies a large portion of Ghana's domestic gas needs, and Eban-Akoma will enhance that capacity. ​​Under the extended production license agreement, Tullow and Kosmos have committed to delivering 130 million standard cubic feet of gas per day from the Jubilee and TEN fields, supported by a restructured pricing and payment model that enhances access for power producers and industrial users. These volumes are vital for stabilizing the power sector, strengthening energy-intensive industries and supporting job creation. With sustained drilling and field optimization, Ghana's proven and probable reserves will continue to grow, further strengthening its resource base and outlook. Ghana's institutional capacity also stands to benefit. Partnerships between Eni, Tullow and Kosmos and national bodies like GNPC and the Petroleum Commission include frameworks for knowledge transfer, technical support and regulatory alignment – all of which strengthen the country's ability to manage its energy resources. Eni's ongoing expansion, along with Tullow and Kosmos' drilling programs, is expected to directly and indirectly support thousands of jobs across engineering, logistics, fabrication and services, while creating new opportunities for Ghanaian companies to play a greater role in the oil and gas value chain. 'Ghana is proving that a clear regulatory environment, strong national institutions and consistent political will can unlock real energy growth,' said NJ Ayuk, Executive Chairman of the AEC. 'The Eban-Akoma discovery and the government's smart approach to extending production at Jubilee and TEN are exactly the kinds of moves that send a message to global investors: Ghana is open for business and serious about long-term energy security.' As Ghana works to revitalize its upstream sector and accelerate economic growth, these commitments represent crucial milestones that strengthen the country's reputation as a dependable oil and gas producer while driving energy security, building institutional capacity, creating jobs and fueling sustainable development. Distributed by APO Group on behalf of African Energy Chamber.

Dubai real estate: Property market sales surge 46% as market value hits $41.3bn in Q2 2025
Dubai real estate: Property market sales surge 46% as market value hits $41.3bn in Q2 2025

Arabian Business

time18 hours ago

  • Arabian Business

Dubai real estate: Property market sales surge 46% as market value hits $41.3bn in Q2 2025

Dubai 's property market recorded total sales value of AED151.8 billion in the second quarter of 2025, representing a 46 per cent increase year-on-year, a new report finds. Transaction volumes rose 25 per cent to reach 50,485 units during the same period, Betterhomes Shaping Skylines | Q2 2025 Dubai Residential Real Estate Market The figures build on growth from the first quarter, with quarter-on-quarter increases of 33 per cent in value and 19 per cent in volume. The performance reinforces Dubai's position as a key property hub in the region. Dubai real estate transactions rise 25% year-on-year with 50,485 units sold 'Dubai's real estate market maintained its momentum in Q2, with transactions up 25 per cent year-on-year and total value rising 46 per cent. Apartments and off-plan led activity, while the luxury segment hit record highs. Even during June's regional unrest, the market remained resilient; reinforcing Dubai's position as a safe, stable destination for capital and lifestyle buyers alike,' Louis Harding, Chief Executive Officer at Betterhomes said. Apartments accounted for 80 per cent of total transactions, contributing over 40,000 units sold and generating AED81 billion in sales value. The segment showed growth of 21 per cent year-on-year across both secondary and off-plan transactions. Off-plan apartment sales increased 30 per cent quarter-on-quarter, with secondary apartments rising 23 per cent in value to reach AED21.17 billion. Off-plan transactions totalled AED60.15 billion, representing 37 per cent growth compared to Q2 2024. Jumeirah Village Circle emerged as the top performer for off-plan apartments, accounting for 12.2 per cent of total off-plan transactions. Business Bay followed with 6.4 per cent, while Dubai Residence Complex contributed 5.3 per cent. Two-bedroom apartments represented the highest contribution to off-plan transaction value at 33 per cent, with one-bedroom apartments at 30 per cent and studios at 10 per cent. The average price per square foot for off-plan transactions stood at AED2,023. In the secondary apartment market, JVC led with 11.2 per cent of transactions, followed by Business Bay at 7.5 per cent and Dubai Marina at 5.8 per cent. Two-bedroom apartments again dominated value contribution at 36 per cent, with the average price per square foot at AED1,600. Dubai villa sales jump 80% as secondary market outperforms off-plan developments Secondary villa and townhouse sales recorded 80 per cent year-on-year growth, reaching AED62.4 billion. Quarter-on-quarter growth reached 49 per cent compared to Q1 2025. Off-plan villa and townhouse sales declined 2 per cent year-on-year to AED8.06 billion and fell 32 per cent quarter-on-quarter from AED11.8 billion in Q1 2025. 'With approximately 20,000 new units delivered in the first half of 2025 and a further 70,000 expected by year-end, Q3 is shaping up to be an exciting phase for Dubai's property market. This upcoming supply is well-aligned with the city's growing population and strong investor appetite. Demand remains robust particularly for apartments and ready villas with healthy absorption of new launches. Both Q3 and the second half of 2025 are expected to reflect positive market sentiment, supported by a resilient economy, sustained end-user demand, and attractive rental yields,' Christopher Cina, Director of Sales at Betterhomes added. The Valley accounted for 29.7 per cent of off-plan villa and townhouse transactions, followed by EMAAR South with 15.5 per cent and Athlon by Aldar at 8 per cent. Townhouses drove 75 per cent of off-plan value in this segment. For secondary sales, Damac Islands led with 30 per cent of transactions, followed by Grand Polo Club and Resort at 9.4 per cent. Villas accounted for 77 per cent of secondary transaction value, while townhouses contributed 23 per cent. The citywide average price reached AED1,582 per square foot, representing a 6 per cent increase compared to the second half of 2024 and an 18 per cent rise from Q1 2024. Prices now stand 90 per cent above pandemic-era lows of AED833. Off-plan apartment prices reached AED2,023 per square foot, marking a 12.5 per cent increase since early 2023. Secondary apartment prices climbed 23 per cent over the same period to AED1,599 per square foot. Secondary villa and townhouse prices reached AED1,557 per square foot, reflecting 9 per cent quarterly growth and 6 per cent annual growth. Off-plan prices in this segment reached AED1,368 per square foot, with 4 per cent quarterly and 19 per cent annual growth. Approximately 20,000 units were delivered in the first half of 2025, with 70,000 additional units expected in the second half. The delivery pipeline extending to 2027 includes over 200,000 units. Jumeirah Village Circle led community handovers in H1 2025, accounting for 20 per cent of completions with over 4,130 units. Sobha Hartland followed with 2,200 units (11 per cent), while Mohammed Bin Rashid City ranked third with 1,600 units (8 per cent). Over 1,300 villas and approximately 3,000 townhouses were delivered in H1 2025. An additional 3,800 villas and 9,000 townhouses are expected in the second half of 2025. 'At the top end, the prime market remains extremely active. AED 15m+ transactions more than doubled compared to last year, as global buyers continue to view Dubai as a long-term investment and not a short-term play, for a variety of domestic and international reasons,' Harding added. The launch of PRIME by Betterhomes addresses the ultra-premium segment, focusing on luxury residences that offer exclusive properties. Total rental contracts reached 107,830 in Q2 2025, reflecting a 2 per cent year-on-year increase. New rental contracts declined 2 per cent annually and 13 per cent quarterly, while renewed contracts increased 4 per cent year-on-year. 'Leasing activity at Betterhomes grew by 33 per cent quarter-on-quarter, highlighting the sustained demand across Dubai's rental market. Villa and townhouse demand rose significantly by 30 per cent and 98 per cent respectively reflecting a growing preference for spacious, family-oriented living. As we move into Q3 2025, we expect this momentum to continue, particularly in established and emerging suburban communities. With tenant enquiries holding strong and rental prices remaining stable, the leasing market is well-positioned to see healthy absorption of new stock, supported by a maturing tenant base and lifestyle-driven relocations,' Rupert Simmonds, Director of Leasing at Betterhomes explained. Betterhomes recorded 111 per cent year-on-year growth in total leasing transactions, with apartments up 104 per cent, villas up 97 per cent, and townhouses rising 237 per cent. The UAE's GDP growth reached 3.8 per cent in 2024, with forecasts projecting increases to 4.2 per cent in 2025 and 5 per cent in 2026. UK buyers top Dubai property investments as international demand grows 56% Dubai's population has grown from 3.8 million to 4.1 million residents, now housing one-third of the UAE's population. Dubai's tourism sector demonstrated growth of 7 per cent year-on-year until April 2025, with hotel occupancy levels reaching 84 per cent in the first four months. Western Europe remains the largest source market, contributing 23 per cent of total arrivals. At Betterhomes, investors accounted for 58 per cent of all transactions in Q2, up from 50 per cent in Q1. Cash transactions rose to 52 per cent in Q2 2025, up from 42 per cent in Q1. The United Kingdom claimed the top position among buyer nationalities at Betterhomes, with UK buyer activity growing 56 per cent quarter-on-quarter. India and Pakistan maintained second and third positions respectively. 'As we move into Q3, the fundamentals remain strong. Population growth is steady, infrastructure continues to expand, and while more supply is coming online, demand is still outpacing it in most areas. We expect to see more negotiation, more realistic pricing, and a little more competition, which, frankly, is no bad thing,' Harding concluded.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store