logo
Rupee holds firm against Trump tariffs on RBI intervention expectations

Rupee holds firm against Trump tariffs on RBI intervention expectations

Reuters15 hours ago
MUMBAI, August 07 (Reuters) - The Indian rupee shrugged off U.S. President Donald Trump's additional tariffs on Indian goods on Thursday, as traders and analysts bet on central bank support to steady the currency.
The rupee closed largely flat at 87.7025 against the U.S. dollar, up 0.03% from 87.7325 on Wednesday.
U.S. President Donald Trump followed through on his threat and imposed an additional 25% tariff on Indian goods over continued purchases of Russian oil.
"…Considering the recent moves, it appears that the central bank is committed to preventing the rupee from depreciating further," said Abhishek Goenka, founder and chief executive of IFA Global.
Meanwhile, the Indian central bank resumed its intervention in the non-deliverable forwards (NDF) market last week, marking a return to a tool it had mostly avoided so far under governor Sanjay Malhotra.
The RBI stepped in on Tuesday to prevent the rupee from breaching its record low of 87.95, traders said.
Forex reserves dropped over $9 billion last week, likely due to spot and NDF market intervention.
The rupee slid 1.2% in the week to Aug. 1, its steepest fall in nearly three years. Other Asian currencies also shrugged off Trump's tariff threats.
The South Korean won advanced 0.3%, while the Indonesian rupiah climbed 0.4%.
Dollar index was flat at 98.184 as of 1017 GMT, despite weak U.S. jobs data raising expectations for a rate cut in September in the world's largest economy.
India's equity benchmarks, the BSE Sensex (.BSESN), opens new tab and Nifty 50 (.NSEI), opens new tab both closed 0.1% higher despite Trump's announcements.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

BOJ debated chance of resuming rate hike, July summary shows
BOJ debated chance of resuming rate hike, July summary shows

Reuters

time24 minutes ago

  • Reuters

BOJ debated chance of resuming rate hike, July summary shows

TOKYO, Aug 8 (Reuters) - Some Bank of Japan policymakers warned of mounting inflationary pressures and one signaled the chance of resuming interest rate increases by year-end, a summary of opinions at the July meeting showed, keeping alive the possibility of a near-term rate hike. While several board members warned of lingering uncertainty over the fallout from U.S. tariffs, one welcomed Japan's trade deal with the U.S. as "great progress" that heightened the likelihood of achieving the BOJ's forecast, the summary showed on Friday. One member said the BOJ needed "at least two to three more months" to assess the impact of U.S. tariffs, adding the impact on Japan's economy could remain "minimal" if the U.S. economy withstands the hit better than initially thought, it showed. "In that case, it may be possible for the Bank to exit from its current wait-and-see stance, perhaps as early as the end of this year," the member, whose identity was not disclosed, was quoted as saying. A few others in the nine-member board also signaled the possibility of resuming interest rate hikes. The BOJ must continue to raise rates when possible because its policy rate, at 0.5%, is below levels considered neutral to the economy, another opinion showed, adding that the bank should not become overly cautious and "miss the opportunity" to hike. "It's important to raise rates in a timely manner" to avoid being forced to hike rapidly later and inflict huge damage to the economy, a third opinion showed. Some warned of growing inflationary risk with one opinion saying the BOJ is "now at a phase where it needs to place more emphasis on the upside risks to prices", the summary showed. At the July 30-31 meeting, the BOJ kept rates steady at 0.5% but revised up its inflation forecasts and offered a less gloomy outlook on the economy than three months ago. In a quarterly outlook report released after the meeting, the BOJ also spelled out explicitly for the first time the risks of persistent food price rises fanning broad-based inflation - laying the groundwork for resuming interest rate hikes. The hawkish tilt reflected receding pessimism over U.S. tariffs, after Japan struck a trade deal with President Donald Trump last month that lowered levies for imports of goods, including its mainstay automobiles. A Reuters poll last month showed a majority of economists expect another rate hike by year-end. Swap rates indicate a 54% chance the BOJ will raise rates to 0.75% in October and a 71% chance in December.

Japanese household spending rises in June; pace slowed by food prices
Japanese household spending rises in June; pace slowed by food prices

Reuters

time24 minutes ago

  • Reuters

Japanese household spending rises in June; pace slowed by food prices

TOKYO, Aug 8 (Reuters) - Japanese household spending rose in June at a slower rate than market participants had expected, showed government data on Friday, as higher prices particularly for food items discouraged purchases and added pressure to broader consumption trends. While core inflation has exceeded the Bank of Japan's 2% target for well over three years, potentially giving the bank leeway to raise interest rates as it unwinds years of loose monetary policy, lacklustre consumption adds to geopolitics and tariffs as a lingering economic risk. Consumer spending rose 1.3% in June from the same month a year earlier, showed data from the Ministry of Internal Affairs and Communications. That was short of the median market estimate of 2.6% and May's 4.7%. On a seasonally adjusted, month-on-month basis, spending fell 5.2%, the steepest since January 2021. That compared with the 3% decline expected by economists in a Reuters poll. In June, spending on food declined versus the year earlier for the first time in three months, by 2.1%. Spending on rice, a key item propelling inflation in food prices, dropped at the fastest rate since May 2022, by 12.1%. "With regard to rice, price hikes led to a reduction in purchase volume and a shift toward purchasing lower-priced products," a ministry official told reporters at a briefing. Consumption and wage trends are among key factors the BOJ monitors to determine the timing of interest rate action. Hefty pay hikes have been widely seen as essential to counter inflation-induced increases in the cost of living. Japanese companies agreed to raise wages by 5.25% this year, the most in 34 years. Still, real wages fell in June for a sixth consecutive month as inflation outpaced pay growth, showed data released on Wednesday, stoking concern about consumption-led recovery in the world's fourth-largest economy. The government on Thursday cut its economic growth forecast for this fiscal year as U.S. tariffs slow capital expenditure and persistent inflation weighs on private consumption. "If corporate earnings are significantly squeezed (due to U.S. tariffs), this could have a negative impact on winter bonuses and spring labour negotiations in 2026, which could lead to a slowdown in wage increases," said senior economist Masato Koike at Sompo Institute Plus.

Oil set for steepest weekly losses since June as tariffs cloud demand outlook
Oil set for steepest weekly losses since June as tariffs cloud demand outlook

Reuters

time24 minutes ago

  • Reuters

Oil set for steepest weekly losses since June as tariffs cloud demand outlook

Aug 8 (Reuters) - Oil prices were little changed in early Asian hours on Friday, but were headed for their steepest weekly losses since late-June, as investors expressed concern over the impact to the global economy from tariffs that kicked into effect on Thursday. Brent crude futures were down three cents to $66.40 a barrel at 0050 GMT, on track to decline more than 4% week-over-week. U.S. West Texas Intermediate crude futures were down six cents, or 0.1%, to $63.82 a barrel, set to fall more than 5% on a weekly basis. Higher U.S. tariffs against a host of trade partners went into effect on Thursday. The tariffs raised concerns of weaker economic activity, which would hit demand for crude oil, ANZ Bank analysts said in a note. Oil prices were already reeling from the OPEC+ group's decision last weekend to fully unwind its largest tranche of output cuts in September, months ahead of target. At Thursday's close, WTI futures had dropped for six consecutive sessions, matching a declining streak last recorded in December 2023. If prices settle lower on Friday, it will be the longest streak since August 2021. Adding more pressure on the oil market, the Kremlin on Thursday confirmed Russian President Vladimir Putin would meet U.S. President Donald Trump in the coming days, raising expectations of a diplomatic end to the war in Ukraine. Additional U.S. tariffs against India for buying Russian crude oil helped limit the decline in oil prices to some extent. The move, however, is unlikely to reduce the flow of Russian oil to outside markets in a material way, StoneX analysts wrote to clients on Thursday. Trump on Wednesday also said China, the largest buyer of Russian crude oil, could be hit with tariffs similar to those being levied against Indian imports.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store