The three-year underlying earnings growth at Great Lakes Dredge & Dock (NASDAQ:GLDD) is promising, but the shareholders are still in the red over that time

Yahoo

07-04-2025

Many investors define successful investing as beating the market average over the long term. But in any portfolio, there are likely to be some stocks that fall short of that benchmark. We regret to report that long term Great Lakes Dredge & Dock Corporation (NASDAQ:GLDD) shareholders have had that experience, with the share price dropping 43% in three years, versus a market return of about 15%. The falls have accelerated recently, with the share price down 31% in the last three months. However, one could argue that the price has been influenced by the general market, which is down 16% in the same timeframe.
With the stock having lost 8.7% in the past week, it's worth taking a look at business performance and seeing if there's any red flags.
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While markets are a powerful pricing mechanism, share prices reflect investor sentiment, not just underlying business performance. One flawed but reasonable way to assess how sentiment around a company has changed is to compare the earnings per share (EPS) with the share price.
During the unfortunate three years of share price decline, Great Lakes Dredge & Dock actually saw its earnings per share (EPS) improve by 4.1% per year. This is quite a puzzle, and suggests there might be something temporarily buoying the share price. Or else the company was over-hyped in the past, and so its growth has disappointed.
After considering the numbers, we'd posit that the the market had higher expectations of EPS growth, three years back. Looking to other metrics might better explain the share price change.
With revenue flat over three years, it seems unlikely that the share price is reflecting the top line. We're not entirely sure why the share price is dropped, but it does seem likely investors have become less optimistic about the business.
You can see below how earnings and revenue have changed over time (discover the exact values by clicking on the image).
We know that Great Lakes Dredge & Dock has improved its bottom line lately, but what does the future have in store? So we recommend checking out this free report showing consensus forecasts
While the broader market lost about 2.0% in the twelve months, Great Lakes Dredge & Dock shareholders did even worse, losing 2.8%. However, it could simply be that the share price has been impacted by broader market jitters. It might be worth keeping an eye on the fundamentals, in case there's a good opportunity. Regrettably, last year's performance caps off a bad run, with the shareholders facing a total loss of 1.5% per year over five years. We realise that Baron Rothschild has said investors should "buy when there is blood on the streets", but we caution that investors should first be sure they are buying a high quality business. While it is well worth considering the different impacts that market conditions can have on the share price, there are other factors that are even more important. Consider for instance, the ever-present spectre of investment risk. We've identified 1 warning sign with Great Lakes Dredge & Dock , and understanding them should be part of your investment process.
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Please note, the market returns quoted in this article reflect the market weighted average returns of stocks that currently trade on American exchanges.
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