2025 Miami Open presented by Itau: Mensik [54th] vs. Fritz [4th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

USA Today

28-03-2025

On Friday, Jakub Mensik (No. 54 in the world) meets Taylor Fritz (No. 4) in the semifinals at the Miami Open presented by Itau.
Fritz has -235 odds to claim a win in this match against Mensik (+185).
Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Friday at 2:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub. Jakub Mensik vs. Taylor Fritz matchup info Tournament: Miami Open presented by Itau
Miami Open presented by Itau Round: Semifinal
Semifinal Date: Friday, March 28
Friday, March 28 Court Surface: Hard Watch the Tennis Channel and more sports on Fubo! Mensik vs. Fritz Prediction
Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Mensik has a 70.1% to win. Mensik vs. Fritz Betting Odds Mensik's odds to win match: +185
+185 Fritz's odds to win match: -235
-235 Mensik's odds to win tournament: +800
+800 Fritz's odds to win tournament: +450 Mensik vs. Fritz matchup performance & stats Mensik has a record of 27-16 on hard courts over the last 12 months.
In terms of serve/return winning percentages on hard courts over the past year, Mensik has won 79.2% of his games on serve and 25.4% on return.
Mensik is fifth in break points won on hard courts over the past 12 months, converting 128 of 328 (39.0%).
In his last tournament (the Abierto Mexicano Telcel presentado por HSBC), Mensik was beaten by Tomas Machac 4-6, 6-2, 3-6 on February 24, in the Round of 32.
The 27-year-old Fritz, who is seeking his first tournament win on a hard court in 2025, is 24-12 over the past 12 months on that surface.
While playing on hard courts, Fritz has an 88.0% winning percentage in service games and a 22.7% winning percentage in return games.
Fritz's 98 break points won on 231 total break points on hard courts (42.4% win percentage) ranks 19th.
In the Dallas Open, Fritz's last tournament, he clashed with No. 54-ranked Denis Shapovalov in the Round of 16 on February 6 and was beaten 6-2, 3-6, 6-7.
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