logo
CNA938 Rewind - Can China sustain its 5% GDP growth target as US tariff risks mount?

CNA938 Rewind - Can China sustain its 5% GDP growth target as US tariff risks mount?

CNA4 days ago
China's GDP grew 5.2 per cent in the April to June quarter from a year earlier, slowing from 5.4 per cent in the first quarter, but just ahead of analysts' expectations in a Reuters poll for a rise of 5.1 per cent. Andrea Heng and Hairianto Diman speak with Sarah Tan, Assistant Director Economist at Moody's Analytics, to examine the factors that have contributed to this unexpected growth and whether China would be able to maintain its 5% GDP growth target in the face of a trade war.
Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

Japan heads to polls in key test for PM Shigeru Ishiba
Japan heads to polls in key test for PM Shigeru Ishiba

CNA

time3 hours ago

  • CNA

Japan heads to polls in key test for PM Shigeru Ishiba

TOKYO: Japanese voters could unleash political turmoil as they head to the polls on Sunday (Jul 20) in a tightly contested upper house election, with rising prices and immigration concerns threatening to weaken Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba's grip on power. Opinion polls suggest Ishiba's Liberal Democratic Party and coalition partner Komeito may fall short of the 50 seats needed to retain control of the 248-seat upper house of parliament in an election where half the seats are up for grabs. The polls show smaller opposition parties pushing for tax cuts and increased public spending are set to gain, among them the right-wing Sanseito, which vows to curb immigration, oppose foreign capital inflows and reverse gender equality moves. A poor showing by the coalition could shake investor confidence in the world's fourth-largest economy and disrupt critical trade talks with the United States, analysts said. Ishiba may have to choose between making way for a new LDP leader or scrambling to secure the backing of some opposition parties with policy compromises, said Rintaro Nishimura, an associate at the Asia Group in Japan. "Each scenario requires the LDP and Komeito to make certain concessions, and will be challenging, as any potential partner has leverage in the negotiations." After the election, Japan faces a deadline of Aug 1 to strike a trade deal with the United States or face punishing tariffs in its largest export market. Such import levies could squeeze the economy and further pressure the government to give financial relief to households already reeling from inflation, such as a doubling of rice prices since last year. With an eye on a jittery government bond market, the LDP has called for fiscal restraint, rejecting opposition calls for major tax cuts and welfare spending to soften the blow. Ishiba's administration lost its majority in the more powerful lower house in October. That was the LDP's worst showing in 15 years, roiling financial markets and leaving the prime minister vulnerable to no-confidence motions that could topple his administration and trigger a fresh general election. Ruled by the LDP for most of the post-war period, Japan has so far largely avoided the social division and fracturing of politics seen in other industrialised democracies.

‘We were gutsy, a little foolish': Co-founder Lyn Lee on how Awfully Chocolate became a cult cake brand early in the game
‘We were gutsy, a little foolish': Co-founder Lyn Lee on how Awfully Chocolate became a cult cake brand early in the game

CNA

time7 hours ago

  • CNA

‘We were gutsy, a little foolish': Co-founder Lyn Lee on how Awfully Chocolate became a cult cake brand early in the game

Local F&B entrepreneurs would unanimously agree that two decades is a lifetime to remain in business. Soaring labour and ingredient costs aside, surely the eye-watering rents would be enough to drive an honest proprietor to rack and ruin — not to mention the occasional black swan event such as financial crises and a full-blown pandemic. Despite rolling with those punches to establish Awfully Chocolate as an enduring, 27-year-old local brand, its co-founder Lyn Lee is adamant about not downplaying the towering odds stacked against her and her counterparts. She has even declined interviews on the hot-button issue of rising rents. 'I don't want to be used to say, 'See, Awfully Chocolate can survive because they did this and that. You didn't pivot.' I will not be drawn into that,' she said. A tendency to couch her words in careful disclaimers hints at Lee's former career in law. But on one point, she's unequivocal: 'In any one of those cases of a business shutting down reported in the news, it was 100 per cent because of the rent,' she added emphatically. View this post on Instagram A post shared by Awfully Chocolate Singapore (@awfullychocolatesg) Yet, amid growing calls for government intervention to rein in rent hikes and safeguard local businesses, Lee stops short of echoing those demands and leans instead toward forging stronger support networks among fellow tenants. 'If we all started looking at how we could band together and support one another, that should be an improvement. Otherwise, the market may correct itself.' While the laws of capitalism may stand in the way of rent control, she does however, argue that a vibrant F&B sector doesn't develop by happenstance. 'Everyone says, Singapore is so boring and everything is the same. But if you don't have different markers for how to have different types of businesses, it will be very dull.' CHASING THE PERFECT CHOCOLATE CAKE Fitting into a ubiquitous mould was far from Lee and her co-founders' minds when they launched Awfully Chocolate in 1998, in the upheaval of the Asian Financial Crisis. There, in a quiet nook of pre-gentrified Katong, the friends opened a flagship store offering just one item: A simple chocolate cake they'd spent months refining. Focusing single-mindedly on just one product — with no fallback plan and zero market research to hitch their wagon to — was nothing short of audacious. Family and friends dismissed the venture as a non-starter and gave it two months to survive. 'To them, we were making very weird decisions,' she recalled. ''How can you open in Katong, where it's all about laksa and Peranakan food? Who's going to go there to buy a whole cake?'' But Lee and her co-founders, then in their 20s, weren't swayed. In her words, they were 'contrarian' — more inclined to go against the grain than follow it. 'My partners were 'Katong-ites'. They said we had to be where the best food is, and that if you could make it in Katong, you could make it anywhere else,' recounted Lee. While none of them possessed F&B experience, the huddle of dreamers had long flirted with the idea of embarking on 'some cool adventure.' Lee, a former lawyer who worked at leading law firm Allen & Gledhill, had left the profession to work in a media company. She convinced her young and restless crew to join her in her pursuit for the 'perfect chocolate cake.' It took months of folding batter into submission, and plying loved ones with chocolate cake, before they sank funds into leasing their Katong store. Its stark, pared down aesthetic had less to do with design intent than with the reality of a skint budget. They could scarcely afford a refrigerator, let alone a display counter. 'Our friend who helped to design the logo asked, 'Why do you need a display counter when you're only selling one cake? It would look so silly to display 12 dark brown circles',' she recalled. Defying convention, she said, helped them to stand out in a space saturated with Ultraman cakes dripping in chromatic excess. 'I believe the early articles called us the cake shop that doesn't look like a cake shop. It was quite cutting-edge.' Their first big break came from a feature in lifestyle magazine 8 Days, after being discovered by playwright Michael Chiang, who was formerly the editorial director of Mediacorp Publishing. 'When he chose to feature this funky little cake shop, it drew attention, because back then they wrote about music and entertainment, not food,' shared Lee. The publicity pole-vaulted the business into the public consciousness, and the phone didn't stop ringing after that. 'We could only bake around 50 cakes a day, so we would sell out and go home,' she recalled. Awfully Chocolate became a cult chocolate cake brand early in the game — thanks, in no small part, to a quality some would have written off as foolhardiness. 'We were gutsy, a little foolish, but we believed there might be enough room for us to do trial and error,' said Lee. She now tries to pass on some of that scrappy, self-starting spirit to her team, whom she encourages to produce their publicity videos in-house. 'I'm always pushing the younger generation to not worry that they may not have a formal qualification in something that the job scope requires,' shared the 52-year-old. A RECIPE FOR RESILIENCE Growing a hole-in-the-wall setup into an international brand — with franchises once spanning Taiwan, China, and Hong Kong — has, however necessitated no small measure of agility. Rather than framing her entrepreneurial journey as a dichotomy of missteps and masterstrokes, Lee views it as a series of moves, 'one step at a time.' When Awfully Chocolate first ventured into urban malls, the co-founders realised that shoppers weren't inclined to lug an entire cake from store to store. In response, they began opening cafes that offered cake by the slice, along with a medley of bite-sized indulgences including chocolate truffles and ice cream. Over time, they uncovered new revenue streams — from corporate gifting to, more recently, a product line curated for hotels. That's not to say they haven't made big swings, either. At the end of 2024, they launched their own roastery in China, where they've been experimenting with innovations such as tea brewed from caffeine-free cacao husks. The latter is served at The Awfully Chocolate Experience Cafe that opened in Wisma Atria that same year. 'We've had exchanges with leading agricultural scientists from Wilmar International, and learnt how to use some of their healthy plant-based innovations,' shared Lee. Years of investing heavily in research and development for their B2B arm have paid off. 'We have this whole in-house setup where corporates can give us a vague idea of what they want and our R&D, design and marketing teams will just bring it to life,' she said. These capabilities, she noted, have to an extent girded them against the vagaries of an increasingly volatile rental market. Other external pressures brought to bear upon the business include the COVID-19 pandemic that hit like a sledgehammer to their China operations. 'From over 60 stores, we were whittled down to just a handful in two cities,' she revealed, adding that conditions in the mainland remain challenging amid a sluggish economy. While the pandemic took its toll on business in Singapore, Lee says they pulled through by biting the bullet and forgoing their salaries, for the most part, during those trying months. 'One of my business partners who did a lot of work restructuring companies during the Asian Financial Crisis shared that those that made it had teams that came together and believed that they would come out stronger if they made the sacrifices,' she related. 'When everyone starts thinking about themselves, that's when you see the whole thing fall apart.' Working with her friends for close to three decades, she insists, has been a blast, with no major conflict to grouse of. 'I'm very much a frontline person — I always think like a customer. Some of my partners, on the other hand, aren't that way,' she laughed. 'But that's the wonderful diversity and synergy between different personalities.' While the close-knit group may wax facetious about the 'cliche' of building a business on Lee's love of chocolate, it's proven to be a richly layered endeavour. For one, delving into the nuances of the Singaporean palate has deepened her appreciation for her country itself. Locals, she observes, tend to favour dark chocolate that's neither overly rich nor cloying, with a warm, toasty finish. 'I almost liken this to how amazing Singapore's food is. Like how there must be wok hei (smokiness),' enthused Lee. She volunteered that she eats chocolate cake for breakfast — a habit her kids 'find weird.' 'I love that we have our own Singaporean identity when it comes to chocolate preference, and I hope that we can share that more with the world.'

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into a world of global content with local flavor? Download Daily8 app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store