Oil steadies as mixed US economic and tariff news offset new Russia sanctions
Brent crude futures fell 24 cents, or 0.3 per cent, to settle at US$69.28 a barrel, while US West Texas Intermediate (WTI) crude futures fell 20 cents, or 0.3 per cent, to end at US$67.34.
That put both crude benchmarks down about 2 per cent for the week.
In the United States, single-family homebuilding dropped to an 11-month low in June as high mortgage rates and economic uncertainty hampered home purchases, suggesting residential investment contracted again in the second quarter.
In another report, however, US consumer sentiment improved in July, while inflation expectations continued to decline.
Lower inflation should make it easier for the US Federal Reserve to reduce interest rates, which could cut consumers' borrowing costs and boost economic growth and oil demand.
BT in your inbox
Start and end each day with the latest news stories and analyses delivered straight to your inbox.
Sign Up
Sign Up
Separately, US President Donald Trump is pushing for a minimum tariff of 15 per cent to 20 per cent in any deal with the European Union, the Financial Times reported on Friday, adding that the administration is now looking at a reciprocal tariff rate that exceeds 10 per cent, even if a deal is reached.
'Currently envisioned reciprocal tariffs, coupled with announced sectoral levies, could push the U.S. effective tariff rate above 25 per cent, surpassing 1930s peaks ... In coming months, the tariffs should increasingly be manifest in inflation,' analysts at US bank Citigroup's Citi Research said in a note.
Rising inflation can raise prices for consumers and weaken economic growth and oil demand.
EU sanctions
In Europe, the EU reached an agreement on an 18th sanctions package against Russia over its war in Ukraine, which includes measures aimed at dealing further blows to Russia's oil and energy industries.
'New sanctions on Russian oil from the US and Europe this week were met by a muted market reaction,' analysts at Capital Economics said in a note. 'This is a reflection of investors doubting President Trump will follow through with his threats, and a belief that new European sanctions will be no more effective than previous attempts.'
The EU will also no longer import any petroleum products made from Russian crude, though the ban will not apply to imports from Norway, Britain, the US, Canada and Switzerland, EU diplomats said.
EU foreign policy chief Kaja Kallas also said on X that the EU has designated the largest Rosneft oil refinery in India as part of the measures.
India is the biggest importer of Russian crude while Turkey is the third-biggest, Kpler data shows.
'This shows the market fears the loss of diesel supply into Europe, as India had been a source of barrels,' said Rystad Energy's vice-president of oil markets, Janiv Shah.
In other news, US oil major Chevron closed its US$55 billion acquisition of US energy firm Hess on Friday after winning a landmark legal battle against larger US oil major rival Exxon Mobil to gain access to the largest oil discovery in decades off Guyana. REUTERS
Hashtags

Try Our AI Features
Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:
Comments
No comments yet...
Related Articles

Straits Times
3 hours ago
- Straits Times
Iran could hold nuclear talks with European powers next week, Tasnim reports
DUBAI - Iran, Britain, France and Germany could hold talks next week on Tehran's nuclear programme, Iran's semi-official Tasnim news agency reported on Sunday, following warnings by the three European countries that failure to resume negotiations would lead to international sanctions being reimposed on Iran. "The principle of talks has been agreed upon, but consultations are continuing on the time and place of the talks. The country in which the talks could be held next week has not been finalised," Tasnim reported, quoting a source informed on the matter. The report on possible talks comes a few days after the foreign ministers of the so-called E3 nations, as well as the European Union's foreign policy chief, held their first call with Iranian Foreign Minister Abbas Araqchi since Israel and the U.S. attacked Iranian nuclear facilities a month ago. The three European countries, along with China and Russia, are the remaining parties to a 2015 nuclear deal reached with Iran - from which the United States withdrew in 2018 - that lifted sanctions on the Middle Eastern country in return for restrictions on its nuclear programme. The E3 have said they would restore U.N. sanctions on Tehran via the so-called "snapback mechanism" by the end of August if nuclear talks that were ongoing between Iran and the U.S. before the Israel-Iran air war do not resume or fail to produce concrete results. "If EU/E3 want to have a role, they should act responsibly, and put aside the worn-out policies of threat and pressure, including the 'snap-back' for which they lack absolutely [any] moral and legal ground," Araqchi said earlier this week. The snapback mechanism can be used to restore U.N. sanctions before the U.N. Security Council resolution enshrining the deal expires on October 18. Top stories Swipe. Select. Stay informed. Singapore 1 in 3 vapes here laced with etomidate; MOH working with MHA to list it as illegal drug: Ong Ye Kung Singapore HSA extends hotline hours, launches new platform to report vaping offences Singapore Ride-hailing robot on trial for airport police is 2-in-1 patrol robot and PMD Asia Tearful relatives await news of victims in Vietnam boat capsize Singapore ComfortDelDro to discipline driver who flung relative's wheelchair out of taxi Multimedia How to make the most out of small homes in Singapore Asia Over 380,000 people affected by autogate glitch at JB checkpoint over 2 days Singapore Minor Issues: Why I didn't send my daughters to my brand-name primary school Prior to the Israel-Iran war, Tehran and Washington held five rounds of nuclear talks mediated by Oman but faced major stumbling blocks such as uranium enrichment in Iran, which Western powers want to bring down to zero to minimise any risk of weaponisation. Tehran maintains its nuclear programme is solely meant for civilian purposes. REUTERS
Business Times
3 hours ago
- Business Times
Caution, greenwashing concerns slow South-east Asia's sustainable finance in Q1 2025
[SINGAPORE] Proceeds from environmental, social and governance (ESG)-labelled debt instruments in South-east Asia fell sharply in the first quarter of 2025, as companies and investors grew more cautious amid geopolitical tensions, economic uncertainty and rising scrutiny over greenwashing risks. According to financial data provided by LSEG, ESG bond proceeds fell 15 per cent year on year to US$4.6 billion in the three months from January to March, while ESG loans dropped by a steeper 23.4 per cent to US$10.2 billion. Sustainable finance analysts said corporates and investors might have been more cautious amid current geopolitical and economic uncertainties, with the global pullback on climate action spurred by the US. However, they noted that US President Donald Trump's climate policies may not be the decline's only key driver. 'Increased global scrutiny and debate over ESG in certain markets may be contributing to a more cautious approach among both issuers and investors, although the direct impact on Asean is challenging to directly correlate and quantify,' said Melissa Cheok, associate director at Sustainable Fitch. A maturation within Asean's sustainable finance markets, as well as corporates becoming more aware of greenwashing risks, are other factors as well. A NEWSLETTER FOR YOU Friday, 12.30 pm ESG Insights An exclusive weekly report on the latest environmental, social and governance issues. Sign Up Sign Up ESG bonds The decline in ESG bond proceeds in South-east Asia outpaced the global market, which saw ESG bond proceeds come in at US$234.6 billion in Q1 2025, a 5.9 per cent dip from US$249.3 billion in the same period a year earlier. The Asia-Pacific region bucked the trend, with ESG bond issuances rising to US$47.2 billion, a 12.1 per cent increase from US$42.2 billion over the same period. Within South-east Asia, funding from social and sustainability bonds overtook green bonds, which usually have the highest number of issuances among ESG-labelled bonds. After accessing debt capital markets in the last few years, large corporates in the region are now focusing on deploying and managing proceeds in a way that is aligned with sustainability or climate-related themes and projects, said Cheok. In the meantime, small and medium-sized enterprises are in the early stages of adapting to newly implemented regulatory frameworks; they are also allocating internal resources to build the necessary capacity for compliance and reporting. 'Thus, an ongoing phase of capacity building remains a salient feature of the market landscape,' said Cheok. With expectations that the US central bank might cut interest rates only towards the end of the year, borrowing costs will remain high and may deter some issuers from tapping the market, particularly those with weaker credit profiles or narrower operating margins. Nevertheless, Cheok said that investor demand for ESG debt instruments remain resilient, underpinned by dedicated ESG mandates, evolving regulatory requirements, the focus on transition and the strategic importance of sustainability for both issuers and investors. The top bookrunners for ESG bond deals in South-east Asia over H1 2025 were UBS (US$642.5 million), Morgan Stanley (US$432.7 million) and Deutsche Bank (US$351.4 billion). ESG loans The fall in ESG loan proceeds in South-east Asia was tamer than in the rest of the world. Across the global market, the amount of capital raised from ESG loans fell 47.8 per cent to US$113.1 billion in Q1 2025, from US$216.6 billion in Q1 2024. As for Asia-Pacific, funds from ESG loans came to US$20.4 billion, down 35.1 per cent from US$31.5 billion a year earlier. Aaron Chow, SMBC's head of loan capital markets department in Asia-Pacific, said ESG financing's share of the total loans market has fallen substantially, given that loan issuance volumes in South and South-east Asia were up in Q1 2025 compared to the previous year. He added that companies are adopting a more measured approach towards ESG financing particularly when it comes to setting credible targets in sustainability-linked loans (SLLs), reflecting the growing scrutiny and awareness of greenwashing risks. In addition, price compression observed through 2024 and into Q1 2025 has made SLLs less attractive for lenders, as margins may be further reduced if these targets are met. SLLs are loan instruments that offer borrowers interest rate discounts if they have met pre-determined sustainability- or climate-related targets. Chow added that corporates across Asia-Pacific and South-east Asia remain committed to their long-term ESG goals, although the levels of ambition would vary by market and sector. They are driven by domestic regulatory pressures, stakeholder expectations, and the pursuit of energy security and sustainable development. He expects ESG loan activity in the region to remain robust over the rest of the year, particularly in the areas of energy efficiency, water and social finance. SMBC was the top arranger for ESG loans in South-east Asia across the first three months of 2025, with US$866.7 million raised. Bank of China and ICBC tied for second place, at US$723.4 million each.
Business Times
3 hours ago
- Business Times
Trump tariffs to decimate China profits: analysis
Most of China's industries cannot survive US President Donald Trump's tariffs at current levels, according to a new analysis by Bloomberg Economics (BE). Tariffs now set at roughly 40 per cent compare with average industrial profit margins of about 14.8 per cent in 2024. That gap could prompt more intense price cuts, weakening profits, and – in the worst case – layoffs and potentially a wave of bankruptcies and closures, analysts Chang Shu, David Qu and Maeva Cousin found. Among industries most at risk are textiles, IT and communication equipment and furniture manufacturing. Of 33 industrial sectors that analysts considered, only five have margins that are wider than tariff rates. They include pharmaceuticals, tobacco and oil and gas extraction. 'Some companies with a heavy dependence on the US market may not survive,' economists led by Chang Shu wrote in a research note on Thursday (Jul 17). 'Others will scramble to adapt – accepting lower margins, laying off workers, cutting wages, and potentially flooding the domestic and other foreign markets with cut-price goods.' The findings underscore the economic risks that tariffs pose to the world's second-largest economy at a time when domestic consumption remains sluggish. Trade officials continue to negotiate with US counterparts on a bilateral deal to avoid another escalation in levies; earlier this year, tariffs on China soared to 145 per cent. Data last week underscored the Asian giant's reliance on industrial production and exports to fuel growth. While gross domestic product advanced 5.2 per cent in the second quarter, outpacing analysts' estimates, it was helped by shipment frontloading and manufacturers cutting prices, both of which are tough to sustain. Nearly half of China's industrial sectors rely on overseas markets to absorb 10 per cent or more of their output, the BE analysis found, and the US remains the country's largest single-country trading partner. Elevated tariffs could, in the long run, prompt companies in the US to source goods from other countries, the analysts wrote. To be sure, there are factors that could cushion the blow to China's industry, including exports to other countries in which goods do not face the same trade barriers. Some products may also be absorbed by domestic demand. Some sectors have also cornered the global market, making it difficult or impossible for US firms to find needed items elsewhere. China's government could also step in with additional fiscal support. BLOOMBERG