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2025 MLB Home Run Derby participants ranked by most likely to win

2025 MLB Home Run Derby participants ranked by most likely to win

USA Today7 days ago
Jazz leaves the yard again! 🎷🎷 pic.twitter.com/VPIneYZJzW
The 2025 Home Run Derby is set to take place Monday at 8 p.m. ET at Truist Park in Atlanta, and with no past champions in the field of eight, we're guaranteed to have a new winner for the fourth year in a row.
In fact, only one of the participants has even been in a past derby, and that's Matt Olson of the home-town Braves, was last participated in 2021. So, there's perhaps even more unpredictability than usual with this field, which should make for an exciting finish.
Here's a ranking of the field along with odds on a winner from BetMGM.
8. Jazz Chisholm Jr. (+1400)
If Chisholm gets in a groove, he can be dangerous. It's just hard to project a strong finish in a field of superior power hitters.
7. Junior Caminero (+1000)
If nothing else, Caminero will be a ton of fun to watch in this competition. I'm just not sure the 22-year-old's swing is ready to go the distance.
6. Matt Olson (+550)
There have been other years I would have picked Olson to win the derby. This just doesn't feel like one of those years as Olson steps in as a replacement for injured teammate Ronald Acuña Jr.
5. Byron Buxton (+900)
With the second-longest home run hit in 2025, I'm confident saying Buxton will hit a ball to the stars in this competition. But will he get a hold of enough balls to keep up?
BYRON BUXTON HOMERS TO COMPLETE THE CYCLEON HIS BOBBLEHEAD DAY 🤯 pic.twitter.com/fCbjgzRUzd
4. Brent Rooker (+900)
Rooker consistently hits the ball hard. It wouldn't be a surprise to see him walk away a winner as he trends towards a third-straight 30-homer season.
3. James Wood (+475)
With his opposite-field power, Wood easily has the lowest pull percentage of any player in this field. I have questions about how well that will bode in this kind of competition.
2. Oneil Cruz (+310)
Cruz has the best barrel and hard hit percentages of any player in the field, and leads the majors in average exit velocity. In a contest where he only has to worry about pitches up the middle, he's the betting favorite to win.
115.6 MPH458 FEETYou think Oneil Cruz is excited for the #HRDerby?! pic.twitter.com/9AWDyL3iBH
1. Cal Raleigh (+360)
Raleigh has five hits this month, and they've all been home runs. In other words, if he makes contact, there's a good chance the ball is leaving the park, which bodes well for MLB's home-run leader (38) in a derby.
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