
Asian shares rise, dollar holds gains ahead of US earnings; Nasdaq futures up
Oil prices edged lower after U.S. President Donald Trump issued a 50-day deadline for Russia to end the war in Ukraine to avoid energy sanctions. Nasdaq futures got a bounce after Nvidia NVDA.O said it will resume sales of its H20 chips to China.
Trump signalled he was open to discussions on tariffs after his weekend threat to impose 30% duties on the European Union and Mexico from August 1. Japan is reportedly trying to schedule high-level talks with the U.S. this Friday.
Market reaction to the tariff uncertainty has been rather benign, making earnings in the United States this week all the more important for cues, said National Australia Bank strategist Rodrigo Catril.
"It'll be interesting to see what companies are saying, in particular in terms of the forward-looking outlook, in terms of where they see the next quarter, how they see their margins, are they going to get squeezed, or are they planning to pass it on," Catril said in a NAB podcast.
"I think that this idea of complacency is also because we're not quite sure how this whole thing is going to play out," he added.
MSCI's broadest index of Asia-Pacific shares outside Japan rose 0.4%, while Japan's Nikkei gauge added 0.2%.
The EU accused the U.S. of resisting efforts to strike a trade deal and warned of countermeasures if no agreement is reached. Trump said he was open to talks with the EU and other trading partners.
Japan's Prime Minister Shigeru Ishiba is arranging to meet U.S. Treasury Secretary Scott Bessent in Tokyo on Friday, the Yomiuri newspaper reported, ahead of an August 1 deadline before 25% tariffs are due to take effect.
Ishiba also has an election to contend with on Sunday, with polls showing his ruling coalition may lose their majority in the upper house to political opponents who are advocating for expansive spending. Japanese government bonds plunged, with the benchmark 10-year yield rising to 1.595%, highest since October 2008.
Data showed China's economy slowed less than expected in the second quarter in a show of resilience against U.S. tariffs. Nvidia CEO Jensen Huang is scheduled to visit the country on Wednesday with his company now planning to resume sales of its H20 artificial intelligence chips in the market.
Meanwhile, the U.S. earnings season is set to begin on Tuesday, with second-quarter reports from major banks. S&P 500 profits are expected to rise 5.8% year-over-year, according to LSEG data. The outlook has dimmed sharply since the early April forecast of 10.2% growth, before Trump launched his trade war.
Investors are also waiting for U.S. consumer price data for June, due on Tuesday, and will monitor for any upward pressure on prices from tariffs.
The dollar was little changed at 147.62 yen after touching a three-week high. The euro edged up 0.1% to $1.1680 after four days of losses.
U.S. crude dipped 0.5% to $66.63 a barrel. Trump announced new weapons shipments for Ukraine on Monday, and threatened sanctions on buyers of Russian exports unless Moscow agrees to a peace deal in 50 days.
Gold strengthened 0.6% at $3,363.40 per ounce, while spot silver gained 0.3% to $38.25 per ounce, after hitting its highest level since September 2011 in the previous session.
Pan-region Euro Stoxx 50 futures were up 0.3%, German DAX futures were up 0.2%, and FTSE futures were up 0.2%.
U.S. Nasdaq futures advanced 0.5%. - Reuters
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Herald Malaysia
6 minutes ago
- Herald Malaysia
COMECE delegation makes ‘solidarity visit' to Ukraine
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Free Malaysia Today
38 minutes ago
- Free Malaysia Today
Teoh family reciprocates DAP leaders' bow, thanks supporters
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The Star
42 minutes ago
- The Star
Runway widens for SIA as Jetstar Asia exits amid aviation turbulence
SINGAPORE: Escalating tensions between Israel and Iran and the tragic crash of Air India Flight AI171 have roiled the global aviation industry and clouded the operational outlook for many airlines, including major carriers like Singapore Airlines (SIA). Yet there could be a silver lining for the national airline amid the turbulence, following the closure of Singapore-based budget carrier Jetstar Asia. On June 12, an Air India plane bound for London crashed outside the perimeter of India's Ahmedabad airport, resulting in at least 271 casualties. The crash could have an impact on SIA, as it holds a 25.1 per cent stake in Air India, following the carrier's merger with Vistara, another Indian airline, in November 2024. Before the merger, Vistara was jointly owned by Tata Sons and SIA. A day later, on June 13, geopolitical tensions rose sharply when Israel launched air strikes on Iran, with Iran subsequently retaliating. The attacks, which continued over the weekend, sent oil prices surging as much as 7 per cent on June 13 before partially retreating. Volatile oil prices could have a direct impact on airlines, including SIA, as jet fuel, derived from oil, is its largest operating expense. US airline shares fell, hit by worries of a broad and protracted Middle East conflict. Shares of American Airlines, Delta Air Lines and United Airlines all finished lower on June 13 before recovering on June 16. SIA shares fell around 1.3 per cent on June 13 to $6.94. They closed lower at $6.88 on June 17. Despite the uncertain outlook, there are unique growth opportunities for SIA, following Jetstar Asia's June 11 announcement that it will close on July 31. SIA will reportedly ramp up flights to key Asian destinations after Jetstar Asia ceases operations. Scoot, SIA's low-cost subsidiary, plans to launch new flights to Okinawa, Japan, and Labuan Bajo, Indonesia. This bodes well for SIA, as Scoot is now well positioned to capture market share following Jetstar Asia's exit, said Morningstar director Lorraine Tan. Maybank analyst Eric Ong said: 'The exit of Jetstar Asia may bring some reprieve in the competitive low-cost carrier market in terms of load factor and yield.' With one less airline operating, there will be fewer available seats, which may lead to higher load factors for SIA and Scoot as more passengers fly on existing flights. In addition, the reduced competition could allow the airlines to stabilise or even increase ticket prices, leading to improved yields and profitability. Jetstar Asia operated around 180 weekly flights from Changi Airport and carried 2.3 million passengers in 2024. Its exit creates a significant gap in the market – one that competitors like Scoot are well placed to fill. For the year ended March 31, SIA and Scoot carried a record 39.4 million passengers. Morningstar's Tan noted that while the exit of Jetstar Asia will have a more material impact on SIA than the crash of the Air India flight and Israel-Iran conflict, oil prices may stay elevated while fighting continues. 'Increased market share and reduced competition could be offset by higher fuel costs and increased associate losses (in 2025),' she said. DBS Bank analyst Jason Sum noted that SIA remains 'relatively insulated' from the rise in Brent crude and jet fuel prices, having hedged around 40 per cent of its near-term fuel requirements. SIA uses a fuel-hedging policy to manage the volatility of oil prices. The higher fuel cost could also be partially mitigated by a weaker US dollar, added OCBC Bank's head of investment research Carmen Lee. In any case, analysts from energy research company Rystad Energy noted that oil prices might already be stabilising, rather than escalating further. For now, the conflict appears likely to be contained, the analysts said, projecting that oil prices will be capped at below US$80 a barrel. The price of Brent crude moderated to hover between US$73 and US$74 a barrel on June 16, after hitting US$78 on June 13. But airlines' growth can also be hit by souring consumer sentiment, if people cut back on their travel plans because of rising tensions in the Middle East, OCBC's Lee said. DBS' Sum also noted that the Air India incident could weigh on consumer perception and potentially slow the airline's transformation. 'This could result in a moderately larger share of losses for SIA, although we do not expect a material impact on SIA's bottom line at this stage,' he said. - The Straits Times/ANN