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Bank Negara revises Malaysia's 2025 GDP growth forecast to 4.0%-4.8%
Bank Negara revises Malaysia's 2025 GDP growth forecast to 4.0%-4.8%

The Sun

time20 hours ago

  • Business
  • The Sun

Bank Negara revises Malaysia's 2025 GDP growth forecast to 4.0%-4.8%

KUALA LUMPUR: Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) has revised Malaysia's 2025 gross domestic product (GDP) growth projection to between 4.0% and 4.8% from 4.5%-5.5% previously. The projection takes into account various tariff scenarios, ranging from continued elevation of tariffs to more favourable trade negotiation outcomes. In a statement today, the central bank said the forecast remains subject to uncertainties surrounding the global economy, both on the downside and the upside. 'Favourable trade negotiation outcomes, pro-growth policies in major economies, continued demand for electrical and electronic goods, and robust tourism activity could raise Malaysia's export and growth prospects,' it said. Meanwhile, BNM governor Datuk Seri Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said the Malaysian economy remains resilient despite global uncertainties, supported by the outcome of structural reforms undertaken over the years. 'The sustained strength in economic activity and moderate inflation provides a supportive environment to pursue structural reforms for a more resilient and competitive Malaysia in the future,' he said. According to the central bank, headline inflation is projected to remain moderate, averaging between 1.5% and 2.3% in 2025, reflecting the more moderate cost and demand outlook since March 2025. 'Inflationary pressure from global commodity prices is expected to remain limited, contributing to moderate domestic cost conditions. In this environment, the impact of domestic policy measures is expected to remain contained,' it said. BNM noted that the global economic landscape has undergone considerable changes since the announcement of Malaysia's 2025 GDP growth forecast in Bank Negara Malaysia's Economic and Monetary Review in March 2025. It said the global growth outlook is affected by shifting trade policies and uncertainties surrounding tariff developments, as well as geopolitical tensions. 'As a small open economy, Malaysia's growth prospects will be shaped by these developments. It is to Malaysia's advantage that our economy is facing these external headwinds from a position of strength. 'The latest indicators, including advanced estimates for the second quarter growth, continue to point towards sustained strength in economic activity. Domestic demand has been resilient and will continue to support growth going forward,' it said. Favourable labour market conditions – particularly in domestic-oriented sectors – and policy measures will continue to underpin private consumption. Meanwhile, BNM said expansion in investment activity will be sustained by progress in multiyear infrastructure projects, continued high realisation of approved investments and catalytic initiatives under the national development plans. – Bernama

Multitude of positive factors entrench Malaysia's economy on growth trajectory
Multitude of positive factors entrench Malaysia's economy on growth trajectory

The Sun

time21 hours ago

  • Business
  • The Sun

Multitude of positive factors entrench Malaysia's economy on growth trajectory

KUALA LUMPUR: Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) Governor Datuk Seri Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour has expressed optimism that Malaysia's economy remains on a strong growth trajectory due to multiple factors, such as resilient domestic demand and encouraging exports of electrical and electronic (E&E) products, despite headwinds from impending tariffs. The central bank governor said today that among the combination of positive factors supporting the economy are the frontloading of exports in the first six months, robust tourism activity that could raise Malaysia's export prospects, low unemployment and rising wages. Moreover, he highlighted that about 85 per cent of Malaysia's exports go to markets other than the United States (US). While uncertainties remain, particularly surrounding the final shape and scale of the US tariffs, BNM's revised growth forecast of 4.0 per cent to 4.8 per cent has taken into account multiple scenarios, including potential trade disruptions. 'We have accounted for a range of tariff scenarios, including both favourable and less unfavourable trade negotiations outcomes as well as pro-growth policies in major economies. 'A diversified export structure will help contain the direct effect from the US, as around 85 per cent of exports are to non-US markets, and no single market accounts for more than 15 per cent of Malaysia's exports,' he told Bernama in an exclusive interview. Abdul Rasheed noted that Malaysia's exports are spread across a wide range of products, consisting of E&E (40 per cent), non-E&E manufacturing goods (46 per cent) and commodities (14 per cent). He said almost half of the demand for Malaysian exports comes from Advanced Asia (19.4 per cent) and ASEAN countries (29 per cent). Domestically, Abdul Rasheed highlighted that domestic demand drives more than 90 per cent of Malaysia's economic growth. 'Consumption is still resilient despite the tariff announcement, it's still resilient because income is still growing. Wages are still on an increasing trend, he said. In terms of unemployment, Abdul Rashee said that the rate is at three per cent and is lower than before the Covid-19 pandemic. 'People have jobs. These are things that will support the consumption,' he said, adding that the government's ongoing policy support measures remain in place and support the growth. On July 23, Prime Minister Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim announced a cost-of-living relief package, which includes a one-off RM100 SARA cash aid, a reduction in the RON95 fuel price, toll hike postponements, and an expanded Rahmah Madani Sales allocation. 'This will also provide some kind of spending from the rakyat and drive our domestic consumption,' he added. Turning to investments, Abdul Rasheed said Malaysia recorded RM378 billion in approved investments last year, with over half coming from domestic sources. He said these are tied to long-term national development plans and are expected to sustain momentum through this year and into 2026. In terms of exports, which are likely to be moderate in the second half of 2025 (2H 2025) as tariffs take effect and global growth slows, BNM expects E&E exports to continue supporting growth. Abdul Rasheed said this is underpinned by resilient demand for E&E and emerging opportunities in the artificial intelligence-related segment. 'So this is where I think the question comes on tariffs. Exports will definitely be affected; everything in the world will be affected. However, if you look at global trade numbers, they are still growing. 'Despite the challenging global environment, exports remained supportive of growth in 1H 2025, helped by robust growth in E&E exports.' 'Frontloading activities ahead of anticipated tariff increase contributed to stronger export performance in the second quarter of 2025, although this has tapered down particularly in June,' he said. Abdul Rasheed highlighted that inbound tourism was also expected to provide support for exports in 2H 2025, driven by higher flight connectivity, visa exemptions and promotional activities leading to Visit Malaysia 2026. He said international visitor arrivals into Malaysia were 16.9 million from January to May 2025, which is 20 per cent higher than the same period in 2024.

Multitude of positive factors entrench Malaysia's economy on growth trajectory
Multitude of positive factors entrench Malaysia's economy on growth trajectory

The Star

timea day ago

  • Business
  • The Star

Multitude of positive factors entrench Malaysia's economy on growth trajectory

KUALA LUMPUR: Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) Governor Datuk Seri Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour has expressed optimism that Malaysia's economy remains on a strong growth trajectory due to multiple factors, such as resilient domestic demand and encouraging exports of electrical and electronic (E&E) products, despite headwinds from impending tariffs. The central bank governor said today that among the combination of positive factors supporting the economy are the frontloading of exports in the first six months, robust tourism activity that could raise Malaysia's export prospects, low unemployment and rising wages. Moreover, he highlighted that about 85 per cent of Malaysia's exports go to markets other than the United States (US). While uncertainties remain, particularly surrounding the final shape and scale of the US tariffs, BNM's revised growth forecast of 4.0 per cent to 4.8 per cent has taken into account multiple scenarios, including potential trade disruptions. "We have accounted for a range of tariff scenarios, including both favourable and less unfavourable trade negotiations outcomes as well as pro-growth policies in major economies. "A diversified export structure will help contain the direct effect from the US, as around 85 per cent of exports are to non-US markets, and no single market accounts for more than 15 per cent of Malaysia's exports,' he told Bernama in an exclusive interview. Abdul Rasheed noted that Malaysia's exports are spread across a wide range of products, consisting of E&E (40 per cent), non-E&E manufacturing goods (46 per cent) and commodities (14 per cent). He said almost half of the demand for Malaysian exports comes from Advanced Asia (19.4 per cent) and ASEAN countries (29 per cent). Domestically, Abdul Rasheed highlighted that domestic demand drives more than 90 per cent of Malaysia's economic growth. "Consumption is still resilient despite the tariff announcement, it's still resilient because income is still growing. Wages are still on an increasing trend, he said. In terms of unemployment, Abdul Rashee said that the rate is at three per cent and is lower than before the Covid-19 pandemic. "People have jobs. These are things that will support the consumption,' he said, adding that the government's ongoing policy support measures remain in place and support the growth. On July 23, Prime Minister Datuk Seri Anwar Ibrahim announced a cost-of-living relief package, which includes a one-off RM100 SARA cash aid, a reduction in the RON95 fuel price, toll hike postponements, and an expanded Rahmah Madani Sales allocation. "This will also provide some kind of spending from the rakyat and drive our domestic consumption,' he added. Turning to investments, Abdul Rasheed said Malaysia recorded RM378 billion in approved investments last year, with over half coming from domestic sources. He said these are tied to long-term national development plans and are expected to sustain momentum through this year and into 2026. In terms of exports, which are likely to be moderate in the second half of 2025 (2H 2025) as tariffs take effect and global growth slows, BNM expects E&E exports to continue supporting growth. Abdul Rasheed said this is underpinned by resilient demand for E&E and emerging opportunities in the artificial intelligence-related segment. "So this is where I think the question comes on tariffs. Exports will definitely be affected; everything in the world will be affected. However, if you look at global trade numbers, they are still growing. "Despite the challenging global environment, exports remained supportive of growth in 1H 2025, helped by robust growth in E&E exports.' "Frontloading activities ahead of anticipated tariff increase contributed to stronger export performance in the second quarter of 2025, although this has tapered down particularly in June,' he said. Abdul Rasheed highlighted that inbound tourism was also expected to provide support for exports in 2H 2025, driven by higher flight connectivity, visa exemptions and promotional activities leading to Visit Malaysia 2026. He said international visitor arrivals into Malaysia were 16.9 million from January to May 2025, which is 20 per cent higher than the same period in 2024. - Bernama

Multitude Of Positive Factors Entrench Malaysia's Economy On Growth Trajectory
Multitude Of Positive Factors Entrench Malaysia's Economy On Growth Trajectory

Barnama

timea day ago

  • Business
  • Barnama

Multitude Of Positive Factors Entrench Malaysia's Economy On Growth Trajectory

BUSINESS By Karina Imran KUALA LUMPUR, July 28 (Bernama) -- Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) Governor Datuk Seri Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour has expressed optimism that Malaysia's economy remains on a strong growth trajectory due to multiple factors, such as resilient domestic demand and encouraging exports of electrical and electronic (E&E) products, despite headwinds from impending tariffs. The central bank governor said today that among the combination of positive factors supporting the economy are the frontloading of exports in the first six months, robust tourism activity that could raise Malaysia's export prospects, low unemployment and rising wages. Moreover, he highlighted that about 85 per cent of Malaysia's exports go to markets other than the United States (US). While uncertainties remain, particularly surrounding the final shape and scale of the US tariffs, BNM's revised growth forecast of 4.0 per cent to 4.8 per cent has taken into account multiple scenarios, including potential trade disruptions. 'We have accounted for a range of tariff scenarios, including both favourable and less unfavourable trade negotiations outcomes as well as pro-growth policies in major economies. 'A diversified export structure will help contain the direct effect from the US, as around 85 per cent of exports are to non-US markets, and no single market accounts for more than 15 per cent of Malaysia's exports,' he told Bernama in an exclusive interview. Abdul Rasheed noted that Malaysia's exports are spread across a wide range of products, consisting of E&E (40 per cent), non-E&E manufacturing goods (46 per cent) and commodities (14 per cent). He said almost half of the demand for Malaysian exports comes from Advanced Asia (19.4 per cent) and ASEAN countries (29 per cent).

BNM revises Malaysia's 2025 GDP growth projection to 4.0-4.8 pct
BNM revises Malaysia's 2025 GDP growth projection to 4.0-4.8 pct

Borneo Post

timea day ago

  • Business
  • Borneo Post

BNM revises Malaysia's 2025 GDP growth projection to 4.0-4.8 pct

BNM)has revised Malaysia's 2025 GDP growth projection to between 4.0 per cent and 4.8 per cent from 4.5 per cent – 5.5 per cent previously.– Photo from KUALA LUMPUR (July 28): Bank Negara Malaysia (BNM) has revised Malaysia's 2025 gross domestic product (GDP) growth projection to between 4.0 per cent and 4.8 per cent from 4.5 per cent – 5.5 per cent previously. The projection takes into account various tariff scenarios, ranging from continued elevation of tariffs to more favourable trade negotiation outcomes. In a statement today, the central bank said the forecast remains subject to uncertainties surrounding the global economy, both on the downside and the upside. 'Favourable trade negotiation outcomes, pro-growth policies in major economies, continued demand for electrical and electronic goods, and robust tourism activity could raise Malaysia's export and growth prospects,' it said. Meanwhile, BNM Governor Datuk Seri Abdul Rasheed Ghaffour said the Malaysian economy remains resilient despite global uncertainties, supported by the outcome of structural reforms undertaken over the years. 'The sustained strength in economic activity and moderate inflation provides a supportive environment to pursue structural reforms for a more resilient and competitive Malaysia in the future,' he said. According to the central bank, headline inflation is projected to remain moderate, averaging between 1.5 and 2.3 per cent in 2025, reflecting the more moderate cost and demand outlook since March 2025. 'Inflationary pressure from global commodity prices is expected to remain limited, contributing to moderate domestic cost conditions. In this environment, the impact of domestic policy measures is expected to remain contained,' it said. BNM noted that the global economic landscape has undergone considerable changes since the announcement of Malaysia's 2025 GDP growth forecast in Bank Negara Malaysia's Economic and Monetary Review in March 2025. It said the global growth outlook is affected by shifting trade policies and uncertainties surrounding tariff developments, as well as geopolitical tensions. 'As a small open economy, Malaysia's growth prospects will be shaped by these developments. It is to Malaysia's advantage that our economy is facing these external headwinds from a position of strength. 'The latest indicators, including advanced estimates for the second quarter growth, continue to point towards sustained strength in economic activity. Domestic demand has been resilient and will continue to support growth going forward,' it said. Favourable labour market conditions — particularly in domestic-oriented sectors — and policy measures will continue to underpin private consumption. Meanwhile, BNM said expansion in investment activity will be sustained by progress in multi-year infrastructure projects, continued high realisation of approved investments and catalytic initiatives under the national development plans. — BERNAMA TAGS: BNM, GDP, revised, tariff, global economy ZER ZER NII Monday , 28 July 2025 2025 Bank Negara Malaysia GDP projection

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