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US solar energy growth to slow as Washington priorities shift
US solar energy growth to slow as Washington priorities shift

Time of India

time4 hours ago

  • Business
  • Time of India

US solar energy growth to slow as Washington priorities shift

New U.S. solar energy installations are expected to fall over the next five years as the industry grapples with a shift in federal policy that favors fossil fuels, tariffs and other challenges, according to a report published on Monday by a top solar trade group. New solar capacity will be more than 10 per cent lower in 2030 than in 2025, according to a forecast by the Solar Energy Industries Association and energy research firm Wood Mackenzie. The outlook includes the expected effects of new federal tariffs on a range of imported materials that are important to solar projects, including steel and aluminum. But it does not include potential cuts to clean energy tax credits being considered in a Republican budget bill in Congress - another major threat to the industry if passed into law. Tax credits for clean energy projects and factories contained in former U.S. President Joe Biden's 2022 Inflation Reduction Act have buttressed industry growth in the last three years. But the bill that passed the House last month could upend what has been a boom in the sector, SEIA warned. Solar accounted for 69 per cent of new electricity generation during the latest quarter. The industry installed 10.8 gigawatts of capacity in the first quarter of this year, a decline of 7 per cent from a year ago but still near historical highs, the report said. At the same time, eight new or expanded solar factories opened during the quarter in states including Texas and Ohio. "Those are all positive signs, generally," SEIA President Abigail Ross Hopper said in an interview. "Look at all of this that could be. And the Congress is threatening all of this development." Trump campaigned on a promise to repeal the IRA tax credits, calling them expensive, unnecessary and harmful to business. His administration has sought to bolster domestic production of fossil fuels as part of its energy dominance agenda, which excludes renewables like solar and wind. The U.S. solar industry is on track to install 48.6 GW this year, but that will decline to 43.5 GW in 2030, the report said. Demand from corporate buyers for utility-scale projects is fueling industry momentum, the report said, though concerns about federal policy will constrain development. Residential installations fell 13 per cent during the first quarter to 1.1 GW. The sector has struggled lately with high interest rates, tariffs and less favorable state policies. But that segment of the market is expected to grow between 2025 and 2030 due to rising electricity rates that make it a more compelling offering to consumers. The utility sector accounted for 9 GW of installations in the first quarter. Texas, Florida, Ohio, Indiana, and California accounted for 65 per cent of new capacity.

US solar energy growth to slow as Washington priorities shift
US solar energy growth to slow as Washington priorities shift

New Straits Times

time9 hours ago

  • Business
  • New Straits Times

US solar energy growth to slow as Washington priorities shift

KUALA LUMPUR: New US solar energy installations are expected to fall over the next five years as the industry grapples with a shift in federal policy that favors fossil fuels, tariffs and other challenges, according to a report published on Monday by a top solar trade group. New solar capacity will be more than 10 per cent lower in 2030 than in 2025, according to a forecast by the Solar Energy Industries Association and energy research firm Wood Mackenzie. The outlook includes the expected effects of new federal tariffs on a range of imported materials that are important to solar projects, including steel and aluminum. But it does not include potential cuts to clean energy tax credits being considered in a Republican budget bill in Congress - another major threat to the industry if passed into law. Tax credits for clean energy projects and factories contained in former U.S. President Joe Biden's 2022 Inflation Reduction Act have buttressed industry growth in the last three years. But the bill that passed the House last month could upend what has been a boom in the sector, SEIA warned. Solar accounted for 69 per cent of new electricity generation during the latest quarter. The industry installed 10.8 gigawatts of capacity in the first quarter of this year, a decline of 7 per cent from a year ago but still near historical highs, the report said. At the same time, eight new or expanded solar factories opened during the quarter in states including Texas and Ohio. "Those are all positive signs, generally," SEIA President Abigail Ross Hopper said in an interview. "Look at all of this that could be. And the Congress is threatening all of this development." Trump campaigned on a promise to repeal the IRA tax credits, calling them expensive, unnecessary and harmful to business. His administration has sought to bolster domestic production of fossil fuels as part of its energy dominance agenda, which excludes renewables like solar and wind. The US solar industry is on track to install 48.6 GW this year, but that will decline to 43.5 GW in 2030, the report said. Demand from corporate buyers for utility-scale projects is fueling industry momentum, the report said, though concerns about federal policy will constrain development. Residential installations fell 13 per cent during the first quarter to 1.1 GW. The sector has struggled lately with high interest rates, tariffs and less favorable state policies. But that segment of the market is expected to grow between 2025 and 2030 due to rising electricity rates that make it a more compelling offering to consumers. The utility sector accounted for 9 GW of installations in the first quarter. Texas, Florida, Ohio, Indiana, and California accounted for 65 per cent of new capacity.

Solar industry highlights red state megabill job losses
Solar industry highlights red state megabill job losses

E&E News

time6 days ago

  • Business
  • E&E News

Solar industry highlights red state megabill job losses

The solar industry released an analysis Tuesday showing steep potential job losses as a result of the Republican tax cut, energy and security spending bill. The study is part of an effort from the Solar Energy Industries Association and other lobby groups to convince the GOP to rethink tax credit rollbacks affecting wind and solar in particular. SEIA's research, released as senators weigh changes to the House-passed megabill, says the majority of 330,000 potential job losses would be in states won by President Donald Trump in 2024. Advertisement 'From Texas and California to Florida and Illinois, lawmakers will put Americans nationwide out of work if this legislation becomes law, plain and simple,' said SEIA CEO Abigail Ross Hopper. 'We hope that U.S. senators won't let their constituents lose their livelihoods on their watch.'

Trump's tax bill jeopardises clean power factory plans
Trump's tax bill jeopardises clean power factory plans

Reuters

time27-05-2025

  • Business
  • Reuters

Trump's tax bill jeopardises clean power factory plans

May 27 - A rapid expansion in U.S. clean energy manufacturing capacity is being curtailed by cuts to tax credits in President Trump's House budget bill currently being thrashed out by Congress. Tax credits in Biden's 2022 Inflation Reduction Act accelerated solar, wind and battery storage deployment and spurred a flurry of new clean energy manufacturing projects to meet rising demand. The act provides tax credits to clean power developers, incentives to buy domestic content and offers 45X advanced manufacturing production tax credits to suppliers that build factories in the United States. However, Trump's House budget bill proposes to speed up the expiry of the tax credits for developers and block the 45X manufacturing tax credits from going to foreign entities of concern (FEOC). The bill was narrowly approved by the House of Representatives on May 22 but many Republican states have benefited from the tax credits and the bill may undergo significant changes in the Senate. 'If Congress does not change course, this legislation will upend an economic boom in this country that has delivered an historic American manufacturing renaissance, lower electric bills, hundreds of thousands of good-paying jobs, and tens of billions of dollars of investments primarily to states that voted for President Trump,' Abigail Ross Hopper, president and CEO of the Solar Energy Industries Association (SEIA), said in a statement. CHART: US planned power generation installs in 2025 Manufacturers have spent more than $321 billion in clean technology manufacturing since the inflation act was introduced in 2022, according to a Q1 2025 report by the Rhodium Group-MIT/CEEPR Clean Investment Monitor. A total of 2,369 new clean energy manufacturing, utility-scale clean electricity and industrial decarbonisation facilities have opened since 2022, creating nearly 13,000 jobs in Texas and 12,500 in Georgia, for example. Many manufacturers are pausing expansion plans until the final bill is approved by Congress. The proposed block on manufacturing credits for foreign entities of concern seems to apply to Chinese-owned companies and also companies 'that have a licensing agreement with or receive any material assistance from a Chinese-owned company' and this would impact a significant amount of existing and planned U.S. solar manufacturing capacity, Elissa Pierce, Research Analyst, Solar Module Technology and Markets at Wood Mackenzie, told Reuters Events. Join hundreds of senior executives across energy, industry and finance at Reuters Events Global Energy Transition 2025. For solar manufacturer Heliene, major amendments to the 45X production tax credits are the first concern, but the accelerated expiry of other tax credits would "also directly affect demand,' Heliene CEO Martin Pochtaruk told Reuters Events. Heliene and Indian partner Premier Energies plan to develop the first module manufacturing chain to use U.S.-made polysilicon, wafers and cells but the final decision is still pending, Pochtaruk said. Until the tax credit changes are finalised, 'we only have the uncertainty of the possible changes putting things on hold,' he said. Tariff pain Manufacturers have already held back investments following Trump's appointment as President, due to looming tax credit cuts and a raft of import tariff announcements. Almost $8 billion in investment and 16 new large-scale clean energy factories and other projects were cancelled, closed, or downsized in Q1 2025 'amid escalating market uncertainty and as Congress begins debate on repealing the tax credits and other incentives,' think tank E2 Clean Economy Works said in its latest market update. MAP: US clean power manufacturing facilities operational or planned President Trump has raised import tariffs to boost American manufacturing and gain leverage in international trade but volatile trade policies have deterred investors and U.S. clean energy manufacturers will likely face increased costs if the tariffs are implemented as proposed, Pierce said. There are large gaps in U.S. clean energy supply chains and developers and manufacturers want certainty over trade policy before making large investments in facilities. China dominates the global supply of solar components and imports into the United States from China and Southeast Asian countries, where many Chinese companies have relocated production, are subject to tariffs and antidumping and countervailing duties. President Trump has imposed an additional 30% tariff on imports from China as well as a 25% tariff on all steel and aluminium imports, impacting suppliers reliant on Chinese components. For exclusive insights on the energy transition, sign up to our newsletter. The inflation act led to a rapid increase in U.S. module production capacity, reaching 55 GW in May 2025, compared with just 8 GW in 2022. In comparison, the U.S. is forecast to install around 40 GW of solar capacity per year in the coming years. Upstream solar production capacity has lagged far behind module production however, making many suppliers heavily dependent on components from Asia. U.S. solar cell production capacity was just 8 GW/year in Q1 2025, according to the Rhodium Group-MIT/CEEPR Clean Investment Monitor. Financing for cell factories is usually contingent on the 45X credits, so their uncertain future 'is holding back development of these factories," said Pierce. U.S. polysilicon capacity is currently around 26 GW/year but there is minimal wafer production capacity. 'The upstream supply chain remains underdeveloped and is highly sensitive to future policy and market signals," Hannah Hess, Associate Director, Rhodium Group, told Reuters Events. The trade measures could be designed more effectively by imposing tariffs on solar panels from China while allowing the continued low-cost imports of key components such as wafers, Hess said. Other potential improvements include a phased implementation to 'give domestic manufacturers time to ramp up and investors time to respond—rather than a sudden cost spike," she said. Offshore wind hit President Trump waylaid the burgeoning U.S. offshore wind sector by pausing the review of leases and permits and ordering the review of approved projects, prompting major uncertainty for developers and manufacturers. Earlier this month, the Trump administration offered the sector some hope when the Department of Interior rescinded a stop work order on Equinor's $5 billion Empire Wind project off New York. The reversal prompted rises in the share prices of some offshore wind developers, including Orsted, the world's largest offshore wind developer, which is constructing two wind farms off the East Coast. Equinor had warned in early May that the stop-work order could mean cancelling the 810 MW project that was 30% complete. New York Governor Kathy Hochul said the state was suing the federal government over its offshore wind policies. The resumption of Empire Wind should help secure the future of a tower factory developed by Equinor, Marmen and Welcon at the Port of Albany. Empire Wind will consist of 54 large offshore wind turbines of capacity 15 MW and the manufacturing facility will create up to 550 direct jobs, Welcon said. "This is the largest thing the port has ever done," Port of Albany CEO Rich Hendrick said in 2022. "We put all of our effort into offshore several years ago and this project will be as monumental as building the original port."

Solar trade association warns of 'devastating energy shortages' if incentives are cut
Solar trade association warns of 'devastating energy shortages' if incentives are cut

Engadget

time20-05-2025

  • Business
  • Engadget

Solar trade association warns of 'devastating energy shortages' if incentives are cut

The Solar Energy Industries Association released an assessment of how the budget reconciliation bill currently under review in Congress would have a negative impact on the economy. The legislation cuts incentives around solar power investment and adoption, such as the Section 25D residential tax credit. The group's analysis found that the bill, as it stands, would lead to the loss of nearly 300,000 current and future jobs in the US. It also said removal of incentives could mean a loss of ​​$220 billion in investment in the sector by 2030. It also pointed to a future energy shortage, claiming that solar was on course to be responsible for about 73 percent of the 206.5 GW of new energy capacity needed in the country by 2030. 'Passing this bill would create a catastrophic energy shortfall, cede AI and tech leadership to China, and damage some of the most vital sectors of the U.S. economy,' SEIA President and CEO Abigail Ross Hopper said. It's the type of reaction we expect to see when an industry is under threat from federal action. It's also the type of researched data that doesn't seem to have much influence on the current administration, particularly when it comes to the environment and sustainability.

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