Latest news with #AtlasIntel
Newsweek
a day ago
- Politics
- Newsweek
AOC Viewed Positively by More Americans Than Trump and Harris—Poll
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. More Americans have a positive image of progressive Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, a New York Democrat, than they do of President Donald Trump and former Vice President Kamala Harris, according to new polling data. Why It Matters Ocasio-Cortez has been seen as a polarizing figure in politics and within the Democratic Party. She has drawn backlash from moderate Democrats and Republicans alike since she surged onto the national stage after an upset primary victory against a powerful incumbent Democrat in 2018. The New York progressive has embraced the Democratic socialist label, despite pushback from within her own party. Recently, she has traveled around the country holding massive rallies with progressive Senator Bernie Sanders, a Vermont independent, with the duo turning out thousands—including in conservative districts and states. What to Know New polling released Friday by AtlasIntel—which has been described by election analyst Nate Silver as "top-rated," and was described as the most accurate pollster of the 2024 and 2020 elections—showed Ocasio-Cortez ranked third among politicians included in the survey, in terms of Americans who had a positive view of her. The congresswoman was also one of just three political leaders with an overall net positive image. The New York Democrat was viewed positively by 46 percent of respondents, compared to 44 percent that viewed her negatively—meaning her net positive rating was above water by 2 points. An additional 10 percent of respondents said they didn't know. Only former President Barack Obama and former first lady Michelle Obama ranked higher than the congresswoman. Barack Obama was viewed positively by 53 percent compared to 43 percent who viewed him negatively. Michelle Obama was 49 percent positive and 45 percent negative. Meanwhile, Ocasio-Cortez was ahead of Trump and Harris, as well as Vice President JD Vance and former President Joe Biden. Trump was viewed positively by 44 percent, Vance by 42 percent, Harris by 42 percent and Biden by 37 percent. Respectively the politicians were viewed negatively by 55 percent, 56 percent, 52 percent and 55 percent. The poll included 3,469 respondents and had a margin of error of plus or minus 2 percentage points at a 95 percent confidence level. It was carried out from May 21 through May 27. Speculation has swirled in recent months about Ocasio-Cortez's political future, especially as she has rallied with Sanders across the country. Many have urged her to consider challenging Senator Chuck Schumer, a New York Democrat, in the 2028 primary, while others see her as a strong Democratic presidential contender. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, a New York Democrat, waves as she enters to a full auditorium as part of the "Fighting Oligarchy" tour on April 14 in Nampa, Idaho. Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, a New York Democrat, waves as she enters to a full auditorium as part of the "Fighting Oligarchy" tour on April 14 in Nampa, People Are Saying Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez to Fox News in April when asked about her future plans: "This moment isn't about campaigns, or elections, or about politics. It's about making sure people are protected, and we've got people that are getting locked up for exercising their First Amendment rights. We're getting 2-year-olds that are getting deported into cells in Honduras. We're getting people that are about to get kicked off of Medicaid. That, to me, is most important." D. Stephen Voss, political science professor at the University of Kentucky, previously told Newsweek via email: "AOC serves as the face of the Democratic Party for many Trump supporters who dislike national Democrats. They like to pillory her as ignorant and irresponsible." Voss continued: "At the same time, many Democrats embrace AOC as a worthy young successor to Bernie, someone who can play the role of progressive challenger in a Democratic nomination battle." Monica Crowley, a former official in the Treasury Department during the first Trump administration, told Fox News last November: "Just a word of warning to the Republicans, to my party: Do not underestimate AOC. She's young, she's vibrant, she's attractive." What Happens Next? Ocasio-Cortez's future political moves remain to be seen. For the time being, she has said she aims to focus on fighting back against the Trump administration.
Time of India
2 days ago
- Politics
- Time of India
Surprise 2028 pick? Democrats back unexpected candidate — and it's not Kamala Harris
Live Events FAQs (You can now subscribe to our (You can now subscribe to our Economic Times WhatsApp channel A new poll came out on May 30 by Atlas Intel. The poll asked Democratic voters who they want to support in the 2028 presidential primary. Ex - Vice President and Democratic candidate in 2024 Kamala Harris wasn't the top pick. Pete Buttigieg was the most popular pick among Democrats, as per the former mayor of South Bend, Indiana and was also transportation secretary under Biden. 31.5% of Democrats in the poll said they would vote for him. Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez was the second choice. 19.4% of Democrats picked her, as per MassLive Harris came in third, with 16.6% support. This result is different from other polls done in May by Echelon Insights and McLaughlin & Associates, which had Harris in first place. That's why the Atlas Intel poll stands out., as per of the top 3, Buttigieg, Ocasio-Cortez, or Harris, have officially said they are running for president yet. According to the CBS News report, Harris is thinking about running for California governor or trying again for Booker, U.S. Senator from New Jersey, was fourth in the poll. He got 10.4% support. California Governor Gavin Newsom came next with 7.1%. Then came Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro with 4.8%, as stated in the MassLive that, Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer got 3.7%. 3.6% of Democrats said 'none of the above.' 1.4% chose Senator Raphael Warnock from Georgia. The poll was done from May 21 to May 27, and it included 3,469 U.S. adults. The margin of error is plus minus 2.2%, as mentioned in the MassLive go-to choice in the latest round of Atlas Intel poll seems to be Pete ButtigiegShe could make a run for the white House or for a governor's office.
Miami Herald
2 days ago
- Business
- Miami Herald
Trump's Approval Rating Hits Second-Term Low With Most Accurate Pollster
President Donald Trump's approval rating has fallen to a new low, according to the nation's most accurate pollster. The latest AtlasIntel survey, conducted between May 21-27 among 3,469 adults, shows that Trump's approval rating has fallen to 45 percent, while 54 percent disapprove. That is the lowest rating of his second term so far. In previous AtlasIntel polls, his approval ranged between 46 and 50 percent, while his disapproval ranged between 49 and 52 percent. The poll had a margin of error of +/- 2 percentage points. AtlasIntel was ranked the most accurate polling company of the 2024 election by survey veteran Nate Silver and was previously named the most accurate pollster of the 2020 election by 538. Recent surveys had shown Trump's approval rating creeping back up after a period of decline following the introduction of his "Liberation Day" tariffs in April, which saw the stock market fall. But polls published in recent days show a more complicated picture of Trump's support. Trump's declining approval rating comes as the number of Americans who rate his overall performance as "Excellent" or "Good" has dropped from 46 percent in February to just 39 percent in May, according to AtlasIntel. Over the same period, those who rate his performance as "Poor" or "Very Poor" has climbed from 47 percent to 54 percent, indicating a clear erosion of support as the year has progressed. The decline in overall approval is mirrored in public assessments of Trump's handling of major national issues. On immigration—long one of Trump's hallmark concerns—53 percent of respondents now say his performance is poor, compared to just 47 percent who view it positively. Similarly, in the realm of the U.S. economy, once a strength for Trump, only 42 percent now give him positive marks, while 54 percent rate his performance as poor or terrible. This marks a notable decline from April, when economic approval briefly ticked up. Trump fares even worse on issues like health care and the national debt. Only 38 percent of Americans believe he is handling health care well, while 53 percent disapprove. On the national debt, a significant gap remains, with just 42 percent approving and 54 percent disapproving. His approach to safeguarding democracy has also drawn criticism, with a 6-point deficit between positive (47 percent) and negative (53 percent) ratings, though this reflects a slight improvement from April. Even in areas like China–U.S. competition, where Trump previously maintained relatively balanced support, sentiment has tilted more negatively. As of May, 53 percent disapprove of his handling of the issue, compared to 45 percent who approve. But The AtlasIntel survey breaks from other recent polls, which have shown Trump's approval ratings ticking up in recent weeks after a period of decline following the introduction of his "Liberation Day" tariffs in April. The policy move rattled markets, prompting a sharp sell-off before an eventual recovery and a pause on the tariffs by the administration. Since then, economic anxiety has died down. Consumer confidence saw a surprising increase in May. The Conference Board reported a rise to 98, much higher than both the expected 87.1 and April's 86 reading. It was the biggest one-month jump in more than a year. At the same time, Trump's general approval ratings are on the rebound. Newsweek's tracker currently shows that 47 percent approve of Trump's job performance, while 50 percent disapprove. Earlier this month, his approval rating stood at 44 percent, while his disapproval rate was firmly in the 50s. Others have shown the same trend. The latest Insider Advantage poll, conducted May 17-19 among 1,000 likely voters, gave Trump a net approval rating of +11 points, with 55 percent approving and 44 percent disapproving. That was up from a net approval rating of +2 points in early May, when 46 percent approved and 44 percent disapproved. And in the latest McLaughlin and Associates poll, conducted between May 21-26 among 1,000 voters, Trump's approval rating stood at 51 percent, up from 48 percent in an April poll, while hid disapproval stood at 44 percent, down from 52 percent previously. However, the overarching trend in the polls is one of stability, with some showing that his ratings have not substantially changed beyond a 1- or 2-point dip—within the margin of error—or have not changed at all. That includes the most recent Quantus Insights poll, conducted May 18-20, which showed Trump's approval rating at 48 percent, while 48 percent disapproved. That is unchanged from a poll conducted earlier in May, and an April poll also showed his approval rating stood at 48 percent, while his disapproval rating at 50 percent. Meanwhile, an American Research Group poll, conducted March 17-20 among 1,100 adults, put Trump's approval rating at 41 percent, down just 2 points from April. His disapproval grew from 53 percent to 55 percent. And the latest Civiqs poll, conducted May 17-20 among 1,018 registered voters, put Trump's approval up by 1 point, and his disapproval down by 1 point. The same trend occurred in the latest YouGov/Economist poll, conducted May 23-26 among 1,660 adults, which put his approval at 44 percent and disapproval at 52 percent. The latest YouGov/Yahoo poll, conducted May 22-27 among 1,560 adults, put Trump's approval down 1 point to 41 percent and his disapproval up 1 point to 54 percent. In Morning Consult's latest survey, conducted May 23-25 among 2,237 registered voters, Trump's approval rating was unchanged at 48 percent while his disapproval was up 1 point to 51 percent. And in the latest RMG Research/Napolitan News survey, conducted May 20-19 among 3,000 registered voters, Trump's approval was up 1 point to 49 percent, while his disapproval was unchanged at 50 percent. The RealClearPolitics tracker shows that on May 31, 2017, Trump's approval rating was 40 percent, while his disapproval rating was 54 percent. This gave him a net approval rating of -14 points, making Trump more popular now than at the same point in his first stint in the Oval Office. Trump's 47 percent approval rating is lower than that of former President Joe Biden at the same point in his presidency. On May 31, 2021, Biden stood at 54 percent, with a disapproval rating of 42 percent, according to RealClearPolitics. While Trump began his second term with his highest approval rating, according to Gallup's first poll of Trump's second term, conducted between January 21 and 27, he was still less popular than any president since 1953 at the start of a term and the only one to begin with a sub-50 percent approval rating. Gallup said Biden started his first term with a 57 percent approval rating. According to data compiled from Gallup by The American Presidency Project, Trump ranks far below other modern-day presidents after 100 days, dating to Dwight Eisenhower, who had an approval rating of 73 percent. Others with higher approval ratings at the 100-day mark include John F. Kennedy, 83 percent; Richard Nixon, 62 percent; Jimmy Carter, 63 percent; Ronald Reagan, 68 percent; George H.W. Bush, 56 percent; Bill Clinton, 55 percent; George W. Bush, 62 percent; and Barack Obama, 65 percent. Trump's approval rating could fluctuate in the coming weeks, depending on the outcome of key events, including critical negotiations in the Russia-Ukraine war, the evolving tariff situation and concerns about a recession. Related Articles Kamala Harris' 2028 Chances Drop in New PollDonald Trump's Approval Rating Surges Among MillennialsDemocrats' Chances of Winning Arizona Governor RaceHow Charlie Kirk Reshaped Arizona's Gubernatorial Race: Pollster 2025 NEWSWEEK DIGITAL LLC.
Newsweek
2 days ago
- Business
- Newsweek
Trump's Approval Rating Hits Second-Term Low With Most Accurate Pollster
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. President Donald Trump's approval rating has fallen to a new low, according to the nation's most accurate pollster. The latest AtlasIntel survey, conducted between May 21-27 among 3,469 adults, shows that Trump's approval rating has fallen to 45 percent, while 54 percent disapprove. That is the lowest rating of his second term so far. In previous AtlasIntel polls, his approval ranged between 46 and 50 percent, while his disapproval ranged between 49 and 52 percent. The poll had a margin of error of +/- 2 percentage points. Why It Matters AtlasIntel was ranked the most accurate polling company of the 2024 election by survey veteran Nate Silver and was previously named the most accurate pollster of the 2020 election by 538. Recent surveys had shown Trump's approval rating creeping back up after a period of decline following the introduction of his "Liberation Day" tariffs in April, which saw the stock market fall. But polls published in recent days show a more complicated picture of Trump's support. President Donald Trump in the Oval Office at the White House on May 30, 2025, in Washington D.C. President Donald Trump in the Oval Office at the White House on May 30, 2025, in Washington To Know Trump's declining approval rating comes as the number of Americans who rate his overall performance as "Excellent" or "Good" has dropped from 46 percent in February to just 39 percent in May, according to AtlasIntel. Over the same period, those who rate his performance as "Poor" or "Very Poor" has climbed from 47 percent to 54 percent, indicating a clear erosion of support as the year has progressed. The decline in overall approval is mirrored in public assessments of Trump's handling of major national issues. On immigration—long one of Trump's hallmark concerns—53 percent of respondents now say his performance is poor, compared to just 47 percent who view it positively. Similarly, in the realm of the U.S. economy, once a strength for Trump, only 42 percent now give him positive marks, while 54 percent rate his performance as poor or terrible. This marks a notable decline from April, when economic approval briefly ticked up. Trump fares even worse on issues like health care and the national debt. Only 38 percent of Americans believe he is handling health care well, while 53 percent disapprove. On the national debt, a significant gap remains, with just 42 percent approving and 54 percent disapproving. His approach to safeguarding democracy has also drawn criticism, with a 6-point deficit between positive (47 percent) and negative (53 percent) ratings, though this reflects a slight improvement from April. Even in areas like China–U.S. competition, where Trump previously maintained relatively balanced support, sentiment has tilted more negatively. As of May, 53 percent disapprove of his handling of the issue, compared to 45 percent who approve. But The AtlasIntel survey breaks from other recent polls, which have shown Trump's approval ratings ticking up in recent weeks after a period of decline following the introduction of his "Liberation Day" tariffs in April. The policy move rattled markets, prompting a sharp sell-off before an eventual recovery and a pause on the tariffs by the administration. Since then, economic anxiety has died down. Consumer confidence saw a surprising increase in May. The Conference Board reported a rise to 98, much higher than both the expected 87.1 and April's 86 reading. It was the biggest one-month jump in more than a year. At the same time, Trump's general approval ratings are on the rebound. Newsweek's tracker currently shows that 47 percent approve of Trump's job performance, while 50 percent disapprove. Earlier this month, his approval rating stood at 44 percent, while his disapproval rate was firmly in the 50s. Others have shown the same trend. The latest Insider Advantage poll, conducted May 17-19 among 1,000 likely voters, gave Trump a net approval rating of +11 points, with 55 percent approving and 44 percent disapproving. That was up from a net approval rating of +2 points in early May, when 46 percent approved and 44 percent disapproved. And in the latest McLaughlin and Associates poll, conducted between May 21-26 among 1,000 voters, Trump's approval rating stood at 51 percent, up from 48 percent in an April poll, while hid disapproval stood at 44 percent, down from 52 percent previously. However, the overarching trend in the polls is one of stability, with some showing that his ratings have not substantially changed beyond a 1- or 2-point dip—within the margin of error—or have not changed at all. That includes the most recent Quantus Insights poll, conducted May 18-20, which showed Trump's approval rating at 48 percent, while 48 percent disapproved. That is unchanged from a poll conducted earlier in May, and an April poll also showed his approval rating stood at 48 percent, while his disapproval rating at 50 percent. Poll Date Approve Disapprove Rasmussen 30-May 53 46 YouGov/Economist May 23-26 44 52 Morning Consult May 23-25 48 50 YouGov/Yahoo May 22-27 41 54 McLaughlin May 21-26 51 44 AtlasIntel May 21-21 45 54 RMG Research May 20-29 49 50 American Research Group May 17-20 41 55 Insider Advantage May 17-19 55 44 Reuters/Ipsos May 16-18 42 52 Meanwhile, an American Research Group poll, conducted March 17-20 among 1,100 adults, put Trump's approval rating at 41 percent, down just 2 points from April. His disapproval grew from 53 percent to 55 percent. And the latest Civiqs poll, conducted May 17-20 among 1,018 registered voters, put Trump's approval up by 1 point, and his disapproval down by 1 point. The same trend occurred in the latest YouGov/Economist poll, conducted May 23-26 among 1,660 adults, which put his approval at 44 percent and disapproval at 52 percent. The latest YouGov/Yahoo poll, conducted May 22-27 among 1,560 adults, put Trump's approval down 1 point to 41 percent and his disapproval up 1 point to 54 percent. In Morning Consult's latest survey, conducted May 23-25 among 2,237 registered voters, Trump's approval rating was unchanged at 48 percent while his disapproval was up 1 point to 51 percent. And in the latest RMG Research/Napolitan News survey, conducted May 20-19 among 3,000 registered voters, Trump's approval was up 1 point to 49 percent, while his disapproval was unchanged at 50 percent. How Trump's Approval Rating Compares to First Term The RealClearPolitics tracker shows that on May 31, 2017, Trump's approval rating was 40 percent, while his disapproval rating was 54 percent. This gave him a net approval rating of -14 points, making Trump more popular now than at the same point in his first stint in the Oval Office. How Trump's Approval Rating Compares to Biden's Trump's 47 percent approval rating is lower than that of former President Joe Biden at the same point in his presidency. On May 31, 2021, Biden stood at 54 percent, with a disapproval rating of 42 percent, according to RealClearPolitics. While Trump began his second term with his highest approval rating, according to Gallup's first poll of Trump's second term, conducted between January 21 and 27, he was still less popular than any president since 1953 at the start of a term and the only one to begin with a sub-50 percent approval rating. Gallup said Biden started his first term with a 57 percent approval rating. According to data compiled from Gallup by The American Presidency Project, Trump ranks far below other modern-day presidents after 100 days, dating to Dwight Eisenhower, who had an approval rating of 73 percent. Others with higher approval ratings at the 100-day mark include John F. Kennedy, 83 percent; Richard Nixon, 62 percent; Jimmy Carter, 63 percent; Ronald Reagan, 68 percent; George H.W. Bush, 56 percent; Bill Clinton, 55 percent; George W. Bush, 62 percent; and Barack Obama, 65 percent. What Happens Next Trump's approval rating could fluctuate in the coming weeks, depending on the outcome of key events, including critical negotiations in the Russia-Ukraine war, the evolving tariff situation and concerns about a recession.
Newsweek
2 days ago
- Politics
- Newsweek
Most Accurate Pollster Finds New Lead 2028 Democratic Candidate
Based on factual reporting, incorporates the expertise of the journalist and may offer interpretations and conclusions. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. American pollster AtlasIntel found in its most recent survey that former Secretary of Transportation Pete Buttigieg is leading the pack for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. Newsweek reached out to Buttigieg's talent agency via email outside normal business hours and to former vice president Kamala Harris via online form. Why It Matters The veteran pollster and election analyst Nate Silver touted AtlasIntel as "top-rated" and the most accurate pollster of the 2024 presidential election. This month's survey from AtlasIntel comes as the Democratic Party has drawn criticism for lacking a clear message following Harris's loss to President Donald Trump in November. The party's lack of direction has led to a number of high-profile clashes between its more progressive members and establishment leaders heading into the 2026 midterm elections. What To Know The AtlasIntel poll surveyed a total of 3,469 U.S. adults and was conducted from May 21 to May 27 and had a margin or error of plus or minus 2 percentage points. Among those who identified as Democrats, 31.5 percent ranked Buttigieg as their top choice for the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination. New York Representative Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez, one of the most progressive members of the party, came in second place with 19.4 percent and Harris ranked third with 16.6 percent of the vote. Other top candidates included Senator Cory Booker of New Jersey (10.4 percent), California Governor Gavin Newsom (7.1 percent), Pennsylvania Governor Josh Shapiro (4.8 percent) and Michigan Governor Gretchen Whitmer (3.7 percent). Among Republican voters, 37.3 percent said they would want Vice President JD Vance to be the party's 2028 presidential nominee, followed by State Secretary Marco Rubio at 18.7 percent. Donald Trump Jr. secured 8.8 percent of the vote and Florida Governor snagged 7 percent. But 15.6 percent of Republican voters said they would choose "none of the above," according to the poll. U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris is joined by Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm, Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg as she delivers opening remarks during a plenary meeting with Association of Southeast Asian Nations leaders in the Loy... U.S. Vice President Kamala Harris is joined by Energy Secretary Jennifer Granholm, Transportation Secretary Pete Buttigieg as she delivers opening remarks during a plenary meeting with Association of Southeast Asian Nations leaders in the Loy Henderson Room at the State Department on May 13, 2022 in Washington, DC. MoreWhen respondents were asked which party they would most likely vote for if the midterm elections were held today, 50.9 percent said they would pick a Democratic candidate and 41.7 percent said they would choose a Republican. Around 7.1 percent of respondents said they didn't know how they would vote, and 0.4 percent said they would not vote at all. What People Are Saying During a Substack Live Interview published on May 13, Pete Buttigieg said of a potential presidential bid: "There are times I follow that process and decided to run, and there are times I followed that process and decided not to run — and the process can lead you to surprising places," adding that "any kind of decision process there is a long way off." Harris, speaking about her plans earlier this year while visiting sites impacted by the Los Angeles wildfires, said: "My plans are to be in touch with my community, to be in touch with the leaders and figure out what I can do to support them...I am here and would be here regardless of the office I hold, because it is the right thing to do, which is to show up in your community and thank the folks who are on the ground." What Happens Next Candidates are likely to wait until after the 2026 midterm elections to declare their intention to run, but speculation about the field of candidates will remain—and most likely ramp up—in the months ahead.
