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ESPN's 2025 Big Ten FPI rankings revealed: shocking picks and bold predictions
ESPN's 2025 Big Ten FPI rankings revealed: shocking picks and bold predictions

USA Today

time7 hours ago

  • Entertainment
  • USA Today

ESPN's 2025 Big Ten FPI rankings revealed: shocking picks and bold predictions

ESPN's 2025 Big Ten FPI rankings revealed: shocking picks and bold predictions Almost always controversial, ESPN has released its updated Football Power Index for the 2025 preseason. While it tends to get some of the top teams pretty close with its advanced analytics expectations, it usually has some pretty big misses year over year, as well. In fact, when Michigan football won the Big Ten in 2021, the players cited FPI giving the Wolverines a 1% chance to win the conference as motivation. Regardless, the update is out. With its release, we're looking specifically at all 18 Big Ten teams, where they rank against each other, and our thoughts on each as it pertains to their ranking. You can see how all 18 teams rank below. 18. Purdue Boilermakers FPI: -6.9 -6.9 Overall rank: 92 92 Projected W-L: 3.2-8.8 3.2-8.8 Win out %: 0.0 0.0 Win conference %: 0.0 0.0 Make CFP: 0.0 Barry Odom has his work cut out for him but given what he did with UNLV, he should get there. However, this year probably isn't the year. 17. Northwestern Wildcats FPI: -3.6 -3.6 Overall rank: 74 74 Projected W-L: 4.1-7.9 4.1-7.9 Win out %: 0.0 0.0 Win conference %: 0.0 0.0 Make CFP: 0.0 David Braun had a really good interim year, but this team is a mess offensively and shows little-to-no hope of improving on that front this year. 16. Maryland Terrapins FPI: 1.9 1.9 Overall rank: 61 61 Projected W-L: 5.9-6.1 5.9-6.1 Win out %: 0.0 0.0 Win conference %: 0.2 0.2 Make CFP: 1.3 Maryland has some coaching consistency but just lost many of the players that helped it improve steadily over the years. This team is a big question mark and may keep sliding a little until the top recruits Mike Locksley is bringing in start to rise through the ranks. 15. Michigan State Spartans FPI: 2.3 2.3 Overall rank: 59 59 Projected W-L: 5.2-6.8 5.2-6.8 Win out %: 0.0 0.0 Win conference %: 0.1 0.1 Make CFP: 1.0 Some think that MSU is underrated going into Jonathan Smith's second year at the helm, and with Aidan Chiles being more experienced, it's not a stretch to think that the Spartans can outperform expectations. However, the roster isn't terribly cohesive on paper, and recruiting has been a mess. So, basically, we'll believe it when we see it. Learn more about Michigan State at Spartans Wire! 14. Rutgers Scarlet Knights FPI: 3.5 3.5 Overall rank: 55 55 Projected W-L: 5.8-6.2 5.8-6.2 Win out %: 0.0 0.0 Win conference %: 0.1 0.1 Make CFP: 1.7 Rutgers has been getting better and better, but the Scarlet Knights get no latitude schedule-wise with the perceived top three teams in the conference on the docket. Greg Schiano keeps guiding the team in the right direction but the wins and losses this year might not show it. Learn more about the Scarlet Knights at Rutgers Wire! 13. UCLA Bruins FPI: 4.6 4.6 Overall rank: 47 47 Projected W-L: 5.4-6.6 5.4-6.6 Win out %: 0.0 0.0 Win conference %: 0.1 0.1 Make CFP: 1.9 DeShaun Foster got his team better by year's end last year, but it was still struggling. However, with Nico Iamaleava transferring in at quarterback, don't be surprised if this team makes a bit of a run. There are some tough matchups here -- Utah, Ohio State, Penn State, and USC -- but competent QB play can turn things around in a hurry. Learn more about the Bruins at UCLA Wire! FPI: 5.0 5.0 Overall rank: 44 44 Projected W-L: 6.8-5.2 6.8-5.2 Win out %: 0.0 0.0 Win conference %: 0.6 0.6 Make CFP: 3.8 This ranking is laughable. Illinois returns the fifth-most production in all of college football, most importantly, quarterback Luke Altmyer. Bret Bielema got the Illini to 10 wins last year, and aside from Ohio State, Illinois doesn't have any other marquee teams on the schedule. An 11-win regular season is certainly on the table. This is proof that computers and algorithms are only dependent on whatever the input is. Given the schedule, we can't even find five losses, let alone three. 11. Minnesota Golden Gophers FPI: 5.2 5.2 Overall rank: 43 43 Projected W-L: 6.9-5.2 6.9-5.2 Win out %: 0.0 0.0 Win conference %: 0.3 0.3 Make CFP: 4.3 Minnesota doesn't have the easiest schedule, but when does it ever? The Gophers had a decent year last year and P.J. Fleck seems like he's pushing all the right buttons in Minneapolis. We think they'll get over this win total. 10. Iowa Hawkeyes FPI: 6.3 6.3 Overall rank: 39 39 Projected W-L: 6.2-5.8 6.2-5.8 Win out %: 0.0 0.0 Win conference %: 0.6 0.6 Make CFP: 3.7 This feels too low. Iowa does face Penn State and Oregon, but the Hawkeyes are a somewhat dependable eight-to-nine-win team every year, if not higher than that. As usual, the defense should be very good, and the offense took a step in the right direction last year. Learn more about Iowa at Hawkeyes Wire! 9. Wisconsin Badgers FPI: 6.3 6.3 Overall rank: 38 38 Projected W-L: 5.6-6.5 5.6-6.5 Win out %: 0.0 0.0 Win conference %: 0.4 0.4 Make CFP: 2.6 On one hand, Wisconsin being ranked No. 38 overall at this juncture feels too low. Yet, this was a team that didn't make a bowl game last year, and it has perhaps the most brutal schedule in the conference. The Badgers play Alabama, Michigan, Ohio State, Oregon, Iowa, Washington, and Indiana. Thus, the projected W-L feels pretty spot on, barring some big changes with Billy Edwards Jr. leading the charge at quarterback. Learn more about Wisconsin at Badgers Wire! 8. Indiana Hoosiers FPI: 8.3 8.3 Overall rank: 31 31 Projected W-L: 7.5-4.5 7.5-4.5 Win out %: 0.1 0.1 Win conference %: 0.9 0.9 Make CFP: 8.9 People might think Curt Cignetti was a one-year wonder, but as he said at Big Ten media days last year -- Google him, he wins wherever he goes. With Fernando Mendoza, the former Cal standout, coming to Bloomington as quarterback, it wouldn't be surprising to see IU stay relevant. This spot feels a bit like the Hoosiers are underrated. 7. Washington Huskies FPI: 8.8 8.8 Overall rank: 27 27 Projected W-L: 7.1-4.9 7.1-4.9 Win out %: 0.1 0.1 Win conference %: 0.8 0.8 Make CFP: 8.1 Jedd Fisch is a masterful coach, but this is a difficult schedule. With games against Ohio State, Michigan, Illinois, and Oregon, and a new-look roster, it's hard to see this being the year for the Huskies. Learn more about Washington at UW Huskies Wire! 6. Nebraska Cornhuskers FPI: 9.3 9.3 Overall rank: 25 25 Projected W-L: 7.5-4.5 7.5-4.5 Win out %: 0.2 0.2 Win conference %: 1.5 1.5 Make CFP: 10.3 On one hand, we believe in the Nebraska resurgence. On the other, we have not actually seen Nebraska be relevant in over a decade. Dylan Raiola helming the offense in year two, with Dana Holgorsen calling plays, is tantalizing. The schedule is somewhat amenable, though the Huskers face Penn State, Michigan, USC, and Iowa. But they avoid Ohio State and Oregon, so that's a win. Learn more about Nebraska at Cornhuskers Wire! 5. USC Trojans FPI: 13.0 13.0 Overall rank: 19 19 Projected W-L: 8.3-3.9 8.3-3.9 Win out %: 0.3 0.3 Win conference %: 4.2 4.2 Make CFP: 21.0 The Lincoln Riley experiment at USC has been something of a mixed bag. On the one hand, the Trojans made the Pac-12 Championship Game two years ago with Caleb Williams at the helm. However, they haven't really had any signature wins and it's not clear that with a new-look team that they'll be able to compete in the Big Ten. The schedule is brutal, with games against Illinois, Michigan, Notre Dame, Nebraska, Iowa, and Oregon. It's difficult to see USC get to the eight-win threshold expected here, but it is possible. Learn more about USC at Trojans Wire! 4. Michigan Wolverines FPI: 14.6 14.6 Overall rank: 17 17 Projected W-L: 8.4-3.7 8.4-3.7 Win out %: 0.6 0.6 Win conference %: 6.0 6.0 Make CFP: 25.3 In terms of overall rank, Michigan football is probably right where it should be. The projected wins-losses, however, would assume that the Wolverines would lose to every team with similar (but not even equal) talent. The schedule features only one team ahead of the maize and blue within the conference (Ohio State), and two overall (Oklahoma is ranked one spot ahead of Michigan). The Wolverines are one of the more experienced teams in college football, but until we see the offense do its job, the ranking is fair. 3. Oregon Ducks FPI: 20.5 20.5 Overall rank: 6 6 Projected W-L: 10.0-2.4 10.0-2.4 Win out %: 4.4 4.4 Win conference %: 19.1 19.1 Make CFP: 57.5 There probably should be questions about how the Ducks will fare with Dante Moore leading the charge, his first time starting since he was at UCLA. But Oregon has been mostly rolling since Dan Lanning took over. The Ducks feature some challenges on the schedule, from a nonconference game against Oklahoma State to a road trip at Penn State. But otherwise, they avoid Ohio State and Michigan, but does have a late-season contest against USC. Learn more about Oregon at Ducks Wire! 2. Penn State Nittany Lions FPI: 21.5 21.5 Overall rank: 5 5 Projected W-L: 10.2-2.2 10.2-2.2 Win out %: 7.0 7.0 Win conference %: 25.1 25.1 Make CFP: 63.8 Penn State is attempting to do the same thing that Michigan football and Ohio State did the previous two years by having the marquee players return for one final run. The schedule is somewhat brutal (outside of the easy nonconference) with games against Oregon, at Iowa, at Ohio State, Indiana, and Nebraska. Though the Hawkeyes aren't considered one of the top teams, PSU has had a mixed record, especially while playing at Kinnick. Learn more about Penn State at Nittany Lions Wire! 1. Ohio State Buckeyes FPI: 23.8 23.8 Overall rank: 4 4 Projected W-L: 10.4-2.2 10.4-2.2 Win out %: 8.6 8.6 Win conference %: 40.3 40.3 Make CFP: 70.6 Ohio State is ranked No. 1 and is highly ranked across most preseason ratings. But there are a lot of questions that simply aren't being asked. Talent in Columbus isn't a problem, but this will be one of the most inexperienced teams in college football, with a new starting quarterback, two new coordinators, new running backs, and an almost entirely new defense, personnel-wise. Learn more about Ohio State at Buckeyes Wire! Overrated: Ohio State, USC, Wisconsin Underrated: Illinois, Minnesota, Iowa, Indiana

Bucket Game on Black Friday creates doubleheader for Purdue basketball, football fans
Bucket Game on Black Friday creates doubleheader for Purdue basketball, football fans

Indianapolis Star

time5 days ago

  • Sport
  • Indianapolis Star

Bucket Game on Black Friday creates doubleheader for Purdue basketball, football fans

The first Friday edition of the Old Oaken Bucket game in 30 years will create a doubleheader for Purdue sports fans. Purdue men's basketball will serve as the lead-in to the Old Oaken Bucket game on so-called Black Friday, Nov. 28. The Boilermakers have not finalized what is expected to be an early afternoon tipoff time for their nonconference game against Eastern Illinois at Mackey Arena. Purdue and IU will play for the Bucket at 7:30 p.m. at Ross-Ade Stadium. Purdue confirmed the Friday football kickoff will not necessitate moving the basketball game. The university holds Thanksgiving break from Nov. 26-29, so no classes will be in session. Per a Purdue athletics spokesperson, the Big Ten and NBC proposed moving the Bucket Game to the Friday primetime spot and away from the crowded Saturday slate of rivalry games. Athletic director Mike Bobinski presented the proposal to coach Barry Odom, who signed off. The spokesperson said scheduling of the Bucket Game will be addressed annually, as opposed to making this a permanent move. Big Ten rivals Iowa and Nebraska, for instance, always play their rivalry weekend game on Black Friday. IndyStar understands Indiana did not object to playing the Bucket Game on that Friday. This is not the first occurrence of a basketball-football doubleheader — or even the first to coincide with the Bucket Game. On Nov. 22, 2008, the Boilermakers beat Indiana 62-10 with a noon kickoff in Joe Tiller's final game. The basketball team defeated Coppin State 66-46 that night. Purdue men's basketball played a home exhibition game against Indiana State on Oct. 28, 2017. That night, the Boilermakers lost to Nebraska 25-24 with a 7:30 p.m. kickoff at Ross-Ade. IndyStar IU insider Zach Osterman contributed to this story.

3 night games for Purdue football schedule, including Friday rivalry: Kickoff times, TV
3 night games for Purdue football schedule, including Friday rivalry: Kickoff times, TV

Indianapolis Star

time5 days ago

  • Sport
  • Indianapolis Star

3 night games for Purdue football schedule, including Friday rivalry: Kickoff times, TV

WEST LAFAYETTE — Purdue football's regular season will conclude under the lights on a Friday night. The Boilermakers host the Old Oaken Bucket game against rival Indiana at 7:30 p.m. Nov. 28 on NBC. The start time was one of six Purdue released on Thursday. Purdue's 3:30 p.m. kickoff at Notre Dame, also televised on NBC, for Sept. 20 was previously announced. The games on NBC account for two of the three College Football Playoff teams from last season on Purdue's upcoming schedule, including defending national champion Ohio State. After going 1-11 in 2024, leading the Boilermakers to making a coaching change, Barry Odom's tenure in West Lafayette will begin Aug. 30 when Purdue and Ball State play at noon on the Big Ten Network before a night game Sept. 6 at Ross-Ade Stadium against Southern Illinois at 7:30 p.m., also on BTN. CBS announced its 2025 broadcast schedule, which includes USC at Purdue at 3:30 p.m. Sept. 13. Purdue also announced its game at Minnesota on Oct. 1 will kick off at either 7 or 7:30 p.m. and its homecoming game against Rutgers will be noon Oct. 25. Aug. 30 − Ball State, noon (BTN) Sept. 6 − Southern Illinois, 7:30 p.m. (BTN) Sept. 13 − USC, 3:30 p.m. (CBS) Sept. 20 − at Notre Dame, 3:30 p.m. (NBC) Oct. 4 − Illinois, TBA Oct. 11 − at Minnesota, 7 or 7:30 p.m. (TBA) Oct. 18 − at Northwestern, TBA Oct. 25 − Rutgers, noon (TBA) Nov. 1 − at Michigan, TBA Nov. 8 − Ohio State, TBA Nov. 15 − at Washington, TBA

Former Georgia WR Nitro Tuggle commits to Purdue
Former Georgia WR Nitro Tuggle commits to Purdue

Yahoo

time19-05-2025

  • Sport
  • Yahoo

Former Georgia WR Nitro Tuggle commits to Purdue

© Dale Zanine-Imagn Images Editor's Note: This article first appeared on the leader in college football and basketball recruiting coverage. Be the first to know and follow your teams by signing up here. Advertisement Former Georgia wide receiver Nitro Tuggle is returning to his home state of Indiana, as he has committed to Purdue. Tuggle spent the 2024 season with the Bulldogs. He played in eight games and recorded three receptions for 34 yards (11.3 yards per catch). Georgia head coach Kirby Smart announced in March that Tuggle, along with offensive lineman Marques Easley, were suspended indefinitely due to separate reckless driving incidents. According to police reports, Tuggle was driving more than 100 miles per hour. Tuggle will have three years of eligibility remaining to play for head coach Barry Odom and the Boilermakers. He will still have the option to redshirt if needed as well. According to Pro Football Focus, Tuggle played 45 offensive snaps and recorded an overall grade of 56.8. He also played 17 snaps on special teams. Advertisement Tuggle flirted with the idea of entering the transfer portal during the winter window this past December as well, but ultimately decided to stay with Georgia at the time. As a prospect out of Northwood High School in Nappanee, Indiana, Tuggle was considered a four-star wide receiver and ranked as the No. 92 overall recruit in the 2024 class. He also ranked as the No. 3 player in the state of Indiana and the No. 21 wide receiver in the cycle. Stay locked in on the Rivals Transfer Tracker to keep up with the latest transfer news, portal entries, commitments, and rankings. For a deep-dive into the transfer portal, make sure you visit the Rivals Transfer Search page. The Rivals Transfer Portal X account is a must-follow for any college football fan. The spring college football transfer portal window is scheduled to open on April 16th, 2025 for 10 days. It is the second transfer window of the 2025 recruiting cycle. The winter college football transfer portal window opened on December 9th, 2024 for 20 days. There was also a five-day window for players to transfer after their team finished postseason play. Additionally, players get a 30-day window to transfer when their head coach leaves.

Time, TV revealed for Purdue football's game at Notre Dame, a marquee test in Barry Odom's rebuild
Time, TV revealed for Purdue football's game at Notre Dame, a marquee test in Barry Odom's rebuild

Indianapolis Star

time12-05-2025

  • Sport
  • Indianapolis Star

Time, TV revealed for Purdue football's game at Notre Dame, a marquee test in Barry Odom's rebuild

Purdue football's trip to Notre Dame to battle for the Shillelagh Trophy received an afternoon kickoff. The Fighting Irish announced Monday the Sept. 20 game against the Boilermakers in South Bend will kick off at 3:30 p.m. NBC will broadcast the game. The longtime in-state rivals are in the third year of a series which is scheduled to continue through at least 2028. That agreement started with a game in South Bend in 2021 and resumed with last season's game at Ross-Ade Stadium. This will be only Purdue's second game at Notre Dame since 2012. The teams played annually from 1946 through 2014 before pausing the series. This will be Barry Odom's first game against Notre Dame as Purdue coach. The Fighting Irish won 66-7 in Ross-Ade last season — a historically embarrassing result which triggered the beginning of the end for former coach Ryan Walters. Notre Dame, which lost to Ohio State in last year's national championship game, has won nine straight games in the series. Purdue's last victory came in 2007. It last won in South Bend in 2004. Purdue plays nonconference games against Ball State and Southern Illinois to open the season. It plays Big Ten opponent USC at home before traveling to Notre Dame. An idle week follows that game before conference play resumes. The Boilermakers' next game is also for a traveling trophy — The Cannon against Illinois. It closes the season with the Old Oaken Bucket game against Indiana.

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