Latest news with #CentralPacific
Newsweek
23-05-2025
- Climate
- Newsweek
Map Shows First Tropical Storm Could Form in the Next 7 Days
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. There's a high chance that the first tropical storm of the Eastern Pacific hurricane season could form within the next week, according to a forecast map from the National Hurricane Center (NHC). Newsweek has reached out to the NHC by email for comment. Why It Matters When it comes to hurricanes, U.S. forecasts often focus on the Atlantic hurricane season, given storms in this region can frequently impact coastal states. However, Pacific hurricanes and tropical storms also can pose a risk. The Eastern Pacific hurricane season started on May 15, two weeks sooner than the Central Pacific and Atlantic hurricane seasons, which begin June 1. Each hurricane season runs through November 30. What To Know NHC experts are monitoring an area of disturbance that could strengthen into a tropical storm within the next seven days. Should it form, it will be the first tropical storm of the Eastern Pacific hurricane season. As of Friday afternoon, there were no tropical depressions, tropical storms or hurricanes anywhere in the Atlantic or Pacific oceans. However, a disturbance is stirring off the southern coast of Mexico, according to NHC's forecast page. "An area of low pressure is expected to form early next week several hundred miles south of the southern coast of Mexico," the forecast said. "Conditions appear favorable for development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form around the middle of next week while moving westward to west-northwestward at 10 to 15 mph." There's a near zero percent chance that a tropical depression will form in the next 48 hours. However, there's a high chance at 70 percent that one will form within the next seven days. A report from AccuWeather said although there is no tropical activity in the Eastern Pacific, showers and thunderstorms are "beginning to show signs of organization." AccuWeather meteorologists are anticipating 14 to 18 tropical storms and seven to 10 hurricanes for the Eastern Pacific this season. An average season produces 15 tropical storms and four hurricanes, AccuWeather reported. Meteorologists also are anticipating an active season for the Atlantic Ocean. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) released its 2025 Atlantic hurricane season forecast on Thursday, which showed that experts forecast an above-average season with 13 to 19 named storms, consisting of six to 10 hurricanes and three to five major hurricanes. A map from the National Hurricane Center shows the location of a disturbance that could strengthen into a tropical depression next week. A map from the National Hurricane Center shows the location of a disturbance that could strengthen into a tropical depression next week. National Hurricane Center What People Are Saying AccuWeather lead hurricane expert Alex DaSilva said in a report: "Signs continue to point toward some slow tropical development off the Pacific coast of Central America and south of the southwestern coast of Mexico prior to the end of the month. At this time, we believe a tropical feature may organize sometime from May 26 to May 30, especially the latter part of that period." Acting NOAA Administrator Laura Grimm, in a press release about the Atlantic hurricane season: "As we witnessed last year with significant inland flooding from hurricanes Helene and Debby, the impacts of hurricanes can reach far beyond coastal communities. NOAA is critical for the delivery of early and accurate forecasts and warnings, and provides the scientific expertise needed to save lives and property." What Happens Next? Regular updates will be posted on the NHC webpage and social media pages regarding the disturbance south of Mexico. On average, the first tropical system in the Eastern Pacific doesn't form until June 10, putting the developing disturbance ahead of schedule should it form next week.
Yahoo
17-05-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
An in-depth look at the 2025 Central Pacific Hurricane Season Outlook
HONOLULU (KHON2) — Forecasters with NOAA's Central Pacific Hurricane Center and Climate Prediction Center announced a 30% chance of below-normal tropical cyclone activity for the upcoming Central Pacific Hurricane Season. Officials added that the outlook indicates a 50% chance of a near-normal hurricane season and a 20% chance that it will be above-normal. What does Hawaii's 2025 hurricane season look like? In terms of storm numbers, the forecast calls for 1 to 4 tropical cyclones across the Central Pacific, which is located north of the equator between 140°W and the International Date Line. A near-normal season has four or five tropical cyclones, which include tropical depressions, tropical storms and hurricanes. The outlook is a guide to the overall seasonal tropical cyclone activity in the centralPacific basin and does not predict whether or how many of these systems will affectHawaii. The central Pacific hurricane season begins June 1 and runs through November 30. 'Even though this season is predicted to be less active, now is the time for residents and businesses to prepare for hurricane season,' said Chris Brenchley, NOAA Central Pacific Hurricane Center director. The Central Pacific Hurricane Center uses satellites, land and ocean-based sensors and aircraft reconnaissance missions, all operated by NOAA and its partners, to monitortropical cyclone activity. Download the free KHON2 app for iOS or Android to stay informed on the latest news These observations are then fed into a variety of NOAA computer models that run on state-of-the-art supercomputers. This information is then used by forecasters to develop storm track and intensity forecasts and provide impact-based decision support services to emergency managers at the county, state and federal levels. Forecast and communication improvements this season: NOAA's Central Pacific Hurricane Center and National Hurricane Center are extending forecasts a day longer on the sustained hurricane-force wind field (74 miles per hour) from 48 to 72 hours. New this year, the Central Pacific Hurricane Center and National Hurricane Center will be able to issue potential tropical cyclone advisory products up to 72 hours before the anticipated arrival of storm surge or tropical-storm-force winds on land, giving communities more time to prepare. Storm surge is the water pushed onto shore by the winds swirling around a hurricane. Beginning this year, the National Weather Service will provide storm surge flooding forecasts for the main Hawaiian Islands (Kauai County, Oahu, Maui County, and Hawaii County) so that county emergency managers can better warn coastal residents and businesses. NOAA's National Environmental Satellite, Data and Information Service will offer a new tool that uses satellite observations to help better predict tropical cyclone formation and rapid intensification. The tool is now available for both the Atlantic and Central Pacific basins. Hawaii is a NWS StormReady state, one of only eight states in the nation. Participation in the StormReady program helps to make communities ready, responsive and resilient to weather hazards when they strike. Each county, community and government in Hawaii — from the Big Island to Kauai — has worked to enhance their readiness for the multitude of hazardous weather that can strike the state. Check out more news from around Hawaii For more information, visit NOAA's Central Pacific Hurricane Center: National Hurricane Center. Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
E&E News
16-05-2025
- Climate
- E&E News
NOAA expects below-normal Pacific hurricane season
Between one and four tropical cyclones are forecast to form in the Pacific Basin this year, NOAA said, which would be a below-normal season. In an early season Pacific storm forecast, NOAA's Central Pacific Hurricane Center and Climate Prediction Center said the outlook 'is a guide to the overall seasonal tropical cyclone activity in the central Pacific Basin and does not predict whether or how many of these systems will affect Hawaii.' A near-normal season, which starts June 1, has four or five tropical storms. 'Even though this season is predicted to be less active, now is the time for residents and businesses to prepare for hurricane season,' Chris Brenchley, director of the Central Pacific Hurricane Center, said in a news release. Advertisement The central Pacific is defined as ocean area north of the equator and between 140 degrees west and the International Date Line.
