10 hours ago
Shayne O'Cass's tips, inside mail for Goulburn, Muswellbrook on Tuesday, July 8, 2025
Form analyst Shayne O'Cass provides his best bets and race-by-race analysis for Goulburn and Muswellbrook on Tuesday.
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GOULBURN TIPS
BEST BET
Race 5 No.3 WEXFORD MISS: Races well at home, excels at the trip and handles it wet.
NEXT BEST
Race 7 No.6 GREYGENTA: Lightly-raced filly who possesses a big finish. Go well.
VALUE
Race 6 No.11 NAMBI GHIMA: Best runs so far have been on Heavy tracks. Good longshot.
QUADDIE
Race 4: 2,6,9,10
Race 5: 3
Race 6: 3,6,8,11
Race 7: 4,6
JOCKEY TO FOLLOW
Keagan Latham is less than a month away from winning another Provincial title.
GOULBURN INSIDE MAIL
SHADY ROAD (10) has also accepted for Muswellbrook today. Long story short; he was a $650,000 Easter Yearling purchase who has trialled really well without having been shown up or shown off. CRIMSON WINGS (9) is ready to go to the races after two trials, one good, the other one – very good. Hails forms a great NZ family. SHREDDED (6) was well-backed on debut at Kembla. Beaten but could be a big improver.
BET: SHADY ROAD (10) each-way or if scratched CRIMSON WINGS (9) to win.
WEXFORD MISS (3) is a Kembla winner for the O'Shea/Charlton. Still with Champion Thoroughbreds, she has twice finished runner-up inside her five runs for Danielle Seib who has found the perfect fit for the mare today. CRAZY ATOM (4) will very much appreciate the 1400m second-up, off his 1200m return last month. Has sound numbers on Heavy tracks. Forbes resident EAST HARLEM (7) is crying out for 1400m now.
BET: WEXFORD MISS (3) (best bet), Daily Double 1st Leg 3, 2nd Leg 6.
NAMBI GHIMA (11) is unplaced in six starts but her best run so far was on a Heavy track at Nowra. The Jason Coyle bred, owned and trained filly also trialled rather well on occasions on Heavy tracks at Warwick Farm. THE BIG BLUE (6) was warming to the task big time when third at Wyong first-up. This big track will suit him better, so will the mile. Ditto that for OMAHA SAND (3) who has miler written all over him.
GREYGENTA (6) is a ghostly grey like her sire, D'Argento, the Rosehill Guineas winner. This Gary Portelli trained $35,000 weanling purchase has done some good things in her five starts so far. Her win at Queanbeyan was bordering on the unbelievable; they don't often win from last of 10 like she did that day. Market watch advised. Her biggest danger – and obstacle – is the stablemate SCULPTOR (4) whose lone win was on a heavy 8 at Goulburn. Drawn wide but not a terribly big field.
BET: GREYGENTA (6) to win or if scratched SCULPTOR (4) to win.
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MUSWELLBROOK TIPS
NEXT BEST
Race 1 No.3 HE'STHECHIEF: Local who has his foot firmly on the till.
VALUE
Race 3 No.7 BELLERATA: First starter from a good barn who has trialled well.
SWEXAN (5) is a son of Sweynesse out of a mare by Melbourne Cup placegetter Jakallberry. There is no doubt with that sort of pedigree that Swexan will run at very least a mile and probably more. If that is true, then he has to be marked 'up' on that distant third on debut at Wyong over 1100m. REBEL RHAPSODY (1) has placed at three of his six starts, all at the provincials, one by a nose at Kembla. Has trialled well. EMPRESS TSARINA (4) demands respect.
BET: SWEXAN (5) to win.
TANGLEWOOD JIMMY (7) is a handy horse who has finished 'out of the frame' once in 10 starts and that was on a Heavy 10 at Rosehill at the end of a pretty long and successful campaign. He was very hard to miss late in the race first-up here. Progressive type. GALANO (1) has 65kg which doesn't automatically rule him out but is he a 10kg better horse than 'Jimmy'? Doubt it but we'll see. LUSKAIRE (3) and POCKET EIGHTS (4) have claims.
BET: TANGLEWOOD JIMMY (7) to win (best bet), Daily Double 1st Leg 7, 2nd Leg 5.
SUPERHERO (1) has accepted for two races at Canterbury on Wednesday. Should he be absent today, it could open the door for the 2022 Rockhampton Capricornia Yearling Sale Classic 2YO Plate winner, Sammiballerina to waltz back into the winner's stall. Sure, she doesn't win often but her other victory was here at home over this same trip. EIGHTY EIGHT STARS (5) is a track/distance winner. GOLDEN HONOUR (6) has won three times on Heavy.
PRINCESS MARY (5) has two wins and three seconds from 15 starts. More impressive however are her first-up stats if one win and two seconds from five fresh runs. She handles Good to Heavy. On face value, the 1000m is short of her best but her best is good enough to win this and she is first-up remember off a smashing trial win. TOOMUCHINFORMATION (3) and WITHSTAND (4) are likewise first-up. As for Bullock's mount, Toomuchinformation, he trialled well in the Princess Mary heat.
