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New York Post
a day ago
- Sport
- New York Post
Fever vs. Mercury predictions: WNBA best bets, picks, odds Thursday
New York Post may be compensated and/or receive an affiliate commission if you click or buy through our links. Featured pricing is subject to change. Revenge angles can be tricky in sports handicapping. Though it often makes for a good narrative, sometimes the players do not care nearly as much as bettors think they do. The Phoenix Mercury host the Indiana Fever as 5.5-point favorites Thursday, with a total of 170.5 points. They last faced each other July 30, when the Fever outgunned Phoenix, 107-101, even without the injured Caitlin Clark. The Mercury were furious with their defensive effort, and Indiana's ability to shoot over 50 percent from the field and 46 percent from 3-point territory. I expect a much more spirited and focused defensive effort Thursday. Indiana backup point guard Aari McDonald should not be able to light up Phoenix for 27 points. However, Indiana will still find ways to score because it pushes the pace and wants a back-and-forth game. Phoenix has no issue with that style of play. Plus, the Fever are ending a four-game road trip in which they ran out of steam in their last game against the high-paced Los Angeles Sparks. Kelsey Mitchell #0 of the Indiana Fever looks on during the game against the Dallas Wings on August 1, 2025 at the American Airlines Center in Dallas, TX. NBAE via Getty Images I think Phoenix will take a similar approach and take advantage of Indiana's suspect defense. Indiana's offense can thrive without Clark, even on this lengthy road trip. Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps Kelsey Mitchell and Aliyah Boston are All-Stars, and the supporting cast can generate points even with Phoenix trying to avenge their previous meeting. That is why I am reluctant to lay the points, though I do think the Mercury manage to cover. But I would rather not fade a quality team coming off a loss. However, I do think the Mercury will be able to score fairly easily. I have a 59-48-1 ATS record in this Post sports section. My next play is the Mercury Over their team total of 87.5 points (-110, FanDuel Sportsbook). Why Trust New York Post Betting Doug Kezirian is a New York Post contributor who has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. He's also the rare personality who has documented success – 14th place in 2023 Circa Million and Las Vegas SuperContest ($37K), two top-10 finishes in 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58K) and also grabbed headlines with a $297K win on the 2021 NFL Draft.
New York Post
6 days ago
- Sport
- New York Post
Liberty vs. Sun prediction: WNBA odds, picks, best bets for Sunday
New York Post may be compensated and/or receive an affiliate commission if you click or buy through our links. Featured pricing is subject to change. The defending champion Liberty are mired in a midseason slump without any reason to believe they will turn things around, let alone cover a double-digit point spread. The Liberty are 12.5-point road favorites against the Connecticut Sun on Sunday with a total of 169.5 points. The Liberty just lost outright with the exact same matchup on Friday, as the Sun won for just the fifth time in 26 games this season. The Liberty are still without injured star Breanna Stewart and her absence has overlapped with four straight losses. Simply, this team just lacks the necessary firepower to be laying double digits. Plus, their defense ranks fourth worst in the league over their past four games. Meanwhile, Connecticut has the league's worst record and is by no means a good team. Nevertheless, its 5-21 mark is a bit misleading. Marina Mabrey, arguably their best player, missed nine games (1-8 record) so I will ignore that stretch. Plus, Connecticut's young players have evolved throughout the season and are playing much better than they did to begin the year. Specifically, rookies Aneesah Morrow and Saniya Rivers both started on Friday and played key roles. Breanna Stewart, the Liberty's injured star, won't play against the Sun on Aug. 3, 2025. NBAE via Getty Images The Sun have a quality coach, that is one main reason they are 13-13 ATS despite such a bad overall record. The Liberty will be motivated to bounce back from an embarrassing loss but this still feels like too high of a spread. I have a 58-48-1 ATS record in this Post sports section and my next play is the Sun +12.5 points. Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps Why Trust New York Post Betting Doug Kezirian is a New York Post contributor who has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. He's also the rare personality who has documented success – 14th place in 2023 Circa Million and Las Vegas SuperContest ($37K), two top-10 finishes in 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58K) and also grabbed headlines with a $297K win on the 2021 NFL Draft.
New York Post
01-08-2025
- Sport
- New York Post
Fever vs. Wings prediction: WNBA odds, picks, best bets for Friday
New York Post may be compensated and/or receive an affiliate commission if you click or buy through our links. Featured pricing is subject to change. It looks as though fans will be deprived yet again of seeing Caitlin Clark and Paige Bueckers face each other in the WNBA. Clark is expected to miss her 15th game this season due to injury when the Indiana Fever visit the Dallas Wings on Friday. She also missed the July meeting. Clark and Bueckers last met in the 2024 Final Four with Clark's Iowa Hawkeyes outlasting UConn in a game that came down to the final seconds. WNBA fans are eager to see the first pro chapter of what is expected to be a long-standing rivalry. The All-Star guards have been chosen with the top draft pick in consecutive years. The Fever are three-point road favorites with a total of 169 points. As a handicapper, the key is to analyze the Fever in games that Clark has missed, as only those apply to this matchup. Indy has won three straight games and is 7-7 without its star guard, compared to 8-5 with her. The Fever are a better and more explosive team with Clark. However, they still maintain their high pace with Aari McDonald running the point in Clark's place. For example, they just scored 107 points in their last game. Indiana Fever guard Aari McDonald (2) brings the ball up court against the Chicago Sky during the first half at United Center. Kamil Krzaczynski-Imagn Images Dallas has shown improvement recently, but ultimately, this team is lottery-bound because of its bad defense. The Wings allow 86.4 points per game, which ranks fourth-worst. Injuries have also played a role, but Bueckers and Arike Ogunbowale are now healthy, and Dallas is making some noise. The Wings just beat the reigning champion Liberty by scoring 92 points and lost in the final seconds to the Atlanta Dream. Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps I expect another competitive, back-and-forth game. Additionally, I anticipate a high-scoring showdown because both teams identify with their high-octane offense. That is furthered by Dallas recently incorporating a smaller starting lineup with the 6-foot-1 Haley Jones replacing 6-7 Li Yueru. I have a 58-47-1 ATS record in this Post sports section, and my next play is Over 169 points. Why Trust New York Post Betting Doug Kezirian is a New York Post contributor who has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. He's also the rare personality who has documented success – 14th place in 2023 Circa Million and Las Vegas SuperContest ($37K), two top-10 finishes in 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58K) and also grabbed headlines with a $297K win on the 2021 NFL Draft.
New York Post
27-07-2025
- Sport
- New York Post
Sun vs. Valkyries prediction: WNBA picks, odds, best bets
New York Post may be compensated and/or receive an affiliate commission if you click or buy through our links. Featured pricing is subject to change. Winning at sports betting often requires contrarian opinions and ugly picks. The Connecticut Sun fit that profile with a WNBA-worst 3-20 record. But a deeper dive shows a more attractive option than at first glance. Despite their grotesque record, they are a respectable 11-12 against the spread (ATS). Plus, sharpshooter and arguably best player Marina Mabrey just returned from injury in their previous game. Connecticut went just 1-8 in Mabrey's absence, so I expect stronger play moving forward. Plus, she came off the bench in Thursday's loss against the Sparks and shot poorly (2-for-12 from the field), but rust was expected. I anticipate a more conventional performance from the starting lineup. The Sun host the Golden State Valkyries on Sunday as 6.5-point home underdogs with a total of 156.5 points. Connecticut Sun guard Marina Mabrey (3) warms up before the start of the game against the Los Angeles Sparks at Mohegan Sun Arena. David Butler II-Imagn Images The Valkyries are one of the league's best stories, as an expansion team already surpassing their win total and currently competing for a playoff spot. However, they just lost leading scorer Kayla Thornton for the season with a knee injury and though they won and covered their first game without her, I expect regression soon. Also, Golden State is an elite 14-9 ATS, but they are much better at home and as an underdog. The role of road favorite without their top player is a much different ask. Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps Finally, the Valkyries are coming off an emotional home comeback win on Friday while playing without Thornton for the first time. Now, this West Coast team plays early on Sunday just 36 hours later. I have a 57-47-1 ATS record in this Post sports section and my next play is the Sun +6.5 points against Golden State (-110, FanDuel Sportsbook). Why Trust New York Post Betting Doug Kezirian is a New York Post contributor who has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. He's also the rare personality who has documented success – 14th place in 2023 Circa Million and Las Vegas SuperContest ($37K), two top-10 finishes in 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58K) and also grabbed headlines with a $297K win on the 2021 NFL Draft.
New York Post
24-07-2025
- Sport
- New York Post
Sun vs. Sparks prediction: WNBA picks, odds, best bets
New York Post may be compensated and/or receive an affiliate commission if you click or buy through our links. Featured pricing is subject to change. The Connecticut Sun own the WNBA's worst record at 3-19 and are widely recognized as the least-talented team. However, they are expected to welcome back top scoring guard Marina Mabrey on Thursday when they host the Los Angeles Sparks as six-point underdogs with a total of 166.5 points. A knee injury has kept Mabrey out for more than a month and Connecticut has managed just a 1-8 mark over that span. She is a necessary piece in their offense and her mere presence creates better opportunities for her teammates. Plus, during this extended absence, role players were asked to handle more of the scoring burden and that served as baptism by fire. Players such as Bria Hartley and Aneesah Morrow have seen their games evolve. Connecticut Sun players Aneesah Morrow (24), Saniya Rivers (22), Bria Hartley (14), Tina Charles (31) and Leila Lacan (47) stands on the court during the second half of a WNBA basketball game against the Indiana Fever, Tuesday, July 15, 2025, in Boston. AP Plus, rookie Saniya Rivers is adjusting to the pro game, scoring in double figures in four of her past five games. Veteran Tina Charles has been a solid constant while leading the team with 15.6 points per game. Connecticut faced the Sparks less than two weeks ago and the teams combined for 180 points. The Sun offense has eventually learned to score without Mabrey, so I expect her return to only help that output. Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps These two defenses rank worst and second worst in field goal percentage and points allowed. This shapes up to be another high-scoring affair. I have a 56-47-1 ATS record in this Post sports section. My next play is Sun-Sparks Over 166.5 points (-110, FanDuel Sportsbook). Why Trust New York Post Betting Doug Kezirian is a New York Post contributor who has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. He's also the rare personality who has documented success – 14th place in 2023 Circa Million and Las Vegas SuperContest ($37K), two top-10 finishes in 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58K) and also grabbed headlines with a $297K win on the 2021 NFL Draft.
