Latest news with #EasternPacific
Newsweek
a day ago
- Climate
- Newsweek
Will Tropical Storm Alvin Hit California? Path, Forecast
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Tropical Storm Alvin is nearing Western Mexico, and although the storm won't hit California, it will impact the Golden State and other parts of the U.S. Southwest later this weekend and next week. Why It Matters The Eastern Pacific hurricane season began on May 15, two weeks earlier than the Central Pacific and Atlantic hurricane seasons, which start on June 1. Each hurricane season runs through November 30. Tropical Storm Alvin formed on Thursday, becoming the first named storm of 2025. As of Friday morning, the storm has maximum sustained windspeeds of 50 mph. A tropical storm officially becomes a Category 1 hurricane when wind speeds reach 74 mph. What to Know The storm is expected to weaken as the weekend progresses, the most recent forecast from the National Hurricane Center (NHC) said. It is not expected to become a hurricane at time of writing. The most recent forecast path for Tropical Storm Alvin from the National Hurricane Center. The most recent forecast path for Tropical Storm Alvin from the National Hurricane Center. National Hurricane Center The biggest impacts will be heavy rain, life-threatening beach conditions such as rip currents, and wind in Mexico and Baja California, an AccuWeather report said. AccuWeather senior meteorologist Bob Larson told Newsweek that the storm will lose most of its wind intensity by the time impacts are expected in the U.S, but meteorologists do anticipate moisture from the storm to move into the Southwest. Larson said the rain could resemble the monsoon season, which typically hits mid- to late summer, making the incoming moisture an earlier occurrence than is usual. Thunderstorms could affect Arizona late Sunday and into Monday, and some gusty winds could contribute to blowing dust. A map from AccuWeather shows that widespread rain and thunderstorms are expected in Wyoming, Idaho, Utah, Colorado, New Mexico, Arizona, Nevada, and far Southeast California. What People Are Saying AccuWeather meteorologist Brandon Buckingham said in a report: "Showers and thunderstorms will likely become more prolific over the interior western United States next week and could escalate to the point of triggering rapid and dangerous flooding problems when combined with high country snowmelt in parts of the Rockies." An NHC public advisory about Tropical Storm Alvin: "Gradual weakening is forecast during the next couple of days, and Alvin is expected to degenerate to a remnant low on Saturday." The advisory added: "Swells generated by Alvin will affect portions of the coasts of west-central and southwestern Mexico and the southern Baja California Peninsula during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions. Please consult products from your local weather office." What Happens Next The next NHC update about the storm will be issued later Friday afternoon. People in Baja California and Western Mexico are urged to follow local weather guidance as the storm draws nearer.
The Herald Scotland
2 days ago
- Climate
- The Herald Scotland
Tropical Storm Alvin forms in the Pacific, an unusual first for 2025
Alvin's formation marks the end of an unusual drought of tropical activity in the Northern Hemisphere. In mid-May, forecasters noted that multiple storms, often in the western North Pacific, usually had formed by this point in the year. The oddity didn't stop the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration from predicting an above-average hurricane season in the Atlantic Ocean. More: See projected path, spaghetti models of Alvin (While all is quiet at the moment in the Atlantic, forecasters are keeping an eye on several weather systems ahead of the official start of the Atlantic hurricane season on June 1.) It is possible Alvin may strengthen further into a hurricane, AccuWeather said. The storm is expected to begin to lose wind intensity as it moves northward toward Mexico into the weekend and moves over cooler waters and an area of increased wind shear, which acts to tear storms apart. Alvin marks an early start to the eastern Pacific season. The average date for the first tropical storm of that season is June 10, according to the National Hurricane Center. Some rain, clouds may reach US southwest Alvin "may still wander far enough to the north along the west coast of Mexico to allow some moisture in the form of clouds and downpours to reach parts of Texas or New Mexico as early as this weekend," AccuWeather meteorologist Alex Sosnowski said. Eastern Pacific tropical storms and hurricanes seldom have any major impact on the U.S. "While many eastern Pacific tropical storms and hurricanes move west-northwest and eventually fizzle in the open ocean, some do strike land, as we saw in 2023 with the remnant of Hurricane Hilary in the Desert Southwest and with Category 5 Hurricane Otis in Acapulco, Mexico," noted meteorologist Sara Tonks in an online forecast. Map shows Alvin's projected storm path This forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time. Below-average season expected in eastern Pacific The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, in a seasonal hurricane forecast released May 22, said that a below-average eastern Pacific hurricane season is most likely. An average season sees 15 named storms. The Eastern Pacific hurricane season officially began on May 15, two weeks earlier than the Atlantic hurricane season.
Newsweek
2 days ago
- Climate
- Newsweek
Tropical Storm Alvin Spaghetti Models Show Path, Forecast
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Tropical Storm Alvin, the first tropical storm of the 2025 Eastern Pacific hurricane season, officially formed on Thursday morning, and weather experts are forecasting a turn toward Mexico. Why It Matters The Eastern Pacific hurricane season began on May 15, two weeks earlier than the Central Pacific and Atlantic hurricane seasons, which start on June 1. Each hurricane season runs through November 30. National Hurricane Center (NHC) experts have been monitoring the disturbance in the Eastern Pacific since last week. The disturbance became a tropical depression on Wednesday afternoon and strengthened further into a tropical storm on Thursday morning. An NHC forecast shows the anticipated Tropical Storm Alvin path towards Mexico. An NHC forecast shows the anticipated Tropical Storm Alvin path towards Mexico. National Hurricane Center What to Know As of the most recent update issued by the NHC, Tropical Storm Alvin has maximum sustained wind speeds of 60 mph. A tropical storm officially becomes a Category 1 hurricane when wind speeds reach 74 mph. According to NHC's forecast, Tropical Storm Alvin is not expected to become a hurricane. "Some additional strengthening is expected through early tomorrow, but weakening is expected to begin by late Friday," a public advisory for the storm said. Alvin is forecast to remain a tropical storm through Saturday as it takes a slight turn toward Mexico before weakening into a tropical depression by Sunday. There is a chance the storm could briefly become a hurricane before it weakens, AccuWeather reported. Alvin's spaghetti models, or computer models illustrating potential tropical cyclone paths, show the storm taking aim at Mexico's northwestern coast. In some predictions, the storm veers into Baja California. The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is forecasting a below-normal hurricane season for the Eastern Pacific with 12 to 18 named storms. Of those, five to 10 will likely become hurricanes, and two to five could develop into major hurricanes. An average season produces 15 tropical storms and four hurricanes, AccuWeather reported. What People Are Saying AccuWeather senior meteorologist Bob Larson told Newsweek: "We are anticipating at least some strengthening as we go through the night tonight and into tomorrow morning." NHC in a public advisory: "Swells generated by Alvin will affect portions of the coast of west-central Mexico and the coast of the southern Baja California Peninsula during the next couple of days. These swells are likely to cause life-threatening surf and rip current conditions." NOAA said in its Eastern Pacific hurricane outlook: "Hurricane-related disasters can occur during any season, even for years with low overall activity. It only takes one hurricane (or tropical storm) to cause a disaster. It is crucial that residents, businesses, and government agencies of coastal and near-coastal regions prepare for every hurricane season regardless of this, or any other, seasonal outlook." What Happens Next The next advisory about Tropical Storm Alvin will be issued Thursday night. People in the affected areas are urged to follow local weather guidance when it comes to hazards posed by the storm, such as life-threatening rip currents.
USA Today
2 days ago
- Climate
- USA Today
Tropical Storm Alvin forms in the Pacific, marking an unusual first for 2025
Tropical Storm Alvin forms in the Pacific, marking an unusual first for 2025 Alvin's formation marks the end of an unusual drought of tropical activity in the Northern Hemisphere. Show Caption Hide Caption NOAA predicts at least three hurricanes this season NOAA predicts the three major hurricanes in the 2025 hurricane season. Tropical Storm Alvin formed in the the eastern Pacific Ocean on Thursday, May 29, becoming the first named storm anywhere in the Northern Hemisphere this year. Forecasters with the National Hurricane Center say the storm poses no direct threat to the United States, but it could bring locally heavy rain and gusty winds near the west-central Mexico coastline late week into the weekend. Alvin's formation marks the end of an unusual drought of tropical activity in the Northern Hemisphere. In mid-May, forecasters noted that multiple storms, often in the western North Pacific, usually had formed by this point in the year. The oddity didn't stop the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration from predicting an above-average hurricane season in the Atlantic Ocean. More: See projected path, spaghetti models of Alvin (While all is quiet at the moment in the Atlantic, forecasters are keeping an eye on several weather systems ahead of the official start of the Atlantic hurricane season on June 1.) It is possible Alvin may strengthen further into a hurricane, AccuWeather said. The storm is expected to begin to lose wind intensity as it moves northward toward Mexico into the weekend and moves over cooler waters and an area of increased wind shear, which acts to tear storms apart. As of 11 a.m. EDT, Thursday May 29, the center of Alvin was located about 670 miles south-southeast of the southern tip of Mexico's Baja Peninsula. Alvin was moving to the northwest at 10 mph. Its maximum sustained winds were 40 mph. Alvin marks an early start to the eastern Pacific season. The average date for the first tropical storm of that season is June 10, according to the National Hurricane Center. Some rain, clouds may reach US southwest Alvin "may still wander far enough to the north along the west coast of Mexico to allow some moisture in the form of clouds and downpours to reach parts of Texas or New Mexico as early as this weekend," AccuWeather meteorologist Alex Sosnowski said. Eastern Pacific tropical storms and hurricanes seldom have any major impact on the U.S. "While many eastern Pacific tropical storms and hurricanes move west-northwest and eventually fizzle in the open ocean, some do strike land, as we saw in 2023 with the remnant of Hurricane Hilary in the Desert Southwest and with Category 5 Hurricane Otis in Acapulco, Mexico," noted meteorologist Sara Tonks in an online forecast. Map shows Alvin's projected storm path This forecast track shows the most likely path of the center of the storm. It does not illustrate the full width of the storm or its impacts, and the center of the storm is likely to travel outside the cone up to 33% of the time. Below-average season expected in eastern Pacific The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration, in a seasonal hurricane forecast released May 22, said that a below-average eastern Pacific hurricane season is most likely. An average season sees 15 named storms. The Eastern Pacific hurricane season officially began on May 15, two weeks earlier than the Atlantic hurricane season.
Yahoo
2 days ago
- Climate
- Yahoo
Florida isn't in the path, but could the Pacific's first system signal a busy hurricane season?
The first tropical system of the Eastern Pacific hurricane season has formed — and while it won't impact Florida, forecasters say it's a sign of what's to come. Tropical Depression One-E, which developed shortly after the Eastern Pacific season began on May 15, is expected to strengthen into Tropical Storm Alvin and make landfall in Mexico early next week, according to FOX 35 Storm Team Meteorologist Brooks Garner. Why you should care According to Garner, this indicates that the general region, including the Caribbean, is finally warm enough to support a tropical system. Some models suggest (as they often do this time of year) that the Central American Gyre (a semi-permanent low pressure that can form over Central America) may spin off some energy that could become a tropical system in the western Caribbean in mid-June. What we know The Climate Prediction Center has forecast the highlighted region below as one to watch in mid-June for tropical development. It's too soon to say not only whether it will happen, but also what it could become or where it might lead – as models are all over the place, typical for early-season potential. The Central American Gyre is a semi-permanent low pressure system that sits over Central America this time of year and can "spin off" little bits of energy that can grow into tropical systems. That's what the scenario here would be. These are notoriously difficult to forecast because, 8 times out of 10, the models forecasting cyclogenesis are just – wrong. But, the table is set with warm water, low wind shear and favorable atmospheric conditions. MORE | Tracking The Tropics: FOX 35 2025 Hurricane Season Preview The season runs from June 1 to November 30, 2025. However, it is possible for a rare system to develop outside those timeframes. The "peak" of the Atlantic hurricane season is typically Sept. 10, though tropica activity increases between mid-August through mid-October. According to the National Hurricane Center, the first named tropical storm of a season typically happens in mid-to-late June. The first hurricane typically happens in early-to-mid August, while the first major hurricane (Cat. 3 or stronger) happens in late August or early September. RELATED | NOAA 2025 Atlantic hurricane season forecast The National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration (NOAA) is predicting that the 2025 season will be more active than average. However, it is predicted to be less busy than in 2024. NOAA's hurricane forecast: 13-19 named storms 6-10 hurricanes 3-5 major hurricanes (Cat. 3 or higher) 14 named storms 9 hurricanes 4 major hurricanes Here are the tropical cyclone names for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season. Click here to view the pronunciation guide. Andrea Barry Chantal Dexter Erin Fernand Gabrielle Humberto Imelda Jerry Karen Lorenzo Melissa Nestor Olga Pablo Rebekah Sebastien Tanya Van Wendy STAY CONNECTED WITH FOX 35 ORLANDO: Download the FOX Local app for breaking news alerts, the latest news headlines Download the FOX 35 Storm Team Weather app for weather alerts & radar Sign up for FOX 35's daily newsletter for the latest morning headlines FOX Local:Stream FOX 35 newscasts, FOX 35 News+, Central Florida Eats on your smart TV The Source This story was written based on information shared by the FOX 35 Storm Team on May 29, 2025.
