Latest news with #Exceedance
News.com.au
2 days ago
- Business
- News.com.au
Ray Thomas' tips, inside mail for Randwick on Saturday: High hopes for John Sargent-trained Change My Address
Trainer John Sargent has revealed the comical explanation behind the naming of bargain basement buy, Change My Address. 'It means if she can win enough prizemoney I will be changing my address,'' Sargent said. 'If she wins The Everest or something, I will be moving to Vaucluse!' Change My Address, who got her race career off to a winning start at the midweeks, puts her perfect race record on the line in the Precise Air Handicap (1100m) at Royal Randwick on Saturday. She banked nearly $60,000 for her Warwick Farm debut win and has given part-owner Sargent a deposit if he is really serious about moving home. All this from a filly Sargent purchased for just $10,000 online. • PUNT LIKE A PRO: Become a Racenet iQ member and get expert tips – with fully transparent return on investment statistics – from Racenet's team of professional punters at our Pro Tips section. SUBSCRIBE NOW! 'I saw her about six weeks before the (Magic Millions) sale and I liked her then,'' Sargent said. 'At the sale, she was one of the later lots and I had already spent my money. 'They wanted $30,000 and she was passed in. Then the stud rang and told us they were putting her online and we got her for $10,000.'' Change My Address, a daughter of Group 1 winner Exceedance, handled the heavy conditions expertly on debut when she defeated her rivals comfortably. But Sargent's filly is rated a $10 chance in early TAB Fixed Odds betting behind topweight Hidden Motive, the $2.60 favourite. Don't get this one lost in the mail! ðŸ'¨ Change My Address wins on debut for @MollyBourke7 and @jsargentracing! @aus_turf_club — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) May 21, 2025 • 'This is a stronger field but she is well and can only do what she did at her first start,'' Sargent said. 'We know the heavy track won't bother her.'' Sargent also has promising three-year-old filly Bearings contesting the Consortium Clemenger Handicap (2000m). Bearings scored a good win in very heavy conditions at Newcastle last start but it was not enough for the filly to earn her place in the Group 1 Queensland Oaks and Sargent has lowered his sights to target the Randwick race. It's a win to Bearings in the @goulburnraces opener for @jsargentracing and @jeanvovermeire ðŸ'� — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) April 28, 2025 • 'I don't think she was right at home on that really heavy track at Newcastle, she couldn't really let down but still got the job done,'' Sargent said. 'This is a nice race for her Saturday, she gets in with a light weight, she has only had the three runs so we will keep her going. 'Now she missed a go in the Oaks there is no rush to go to anything so we will just give her the chance to work through her grades.'' • McEvoy chases slice of history in Queensland Oaks â– â– â– â– â– RANDWICK BIG BETS AND MARKET MOVERS Race 1: Matima $6-$4.40 Race 2: Engine Room $6-$5, Callistemon $15-$8 Race 3: Changing Colours $8-$5.50, Good Banter $11-$6.50 Race 4: Shropshire Lad $8-$5, Bengal $11-$6.50 including a bet of $1050 e/w at $10/$3.20, Carribean King $15-$8.50 Race 5: Hurstville Zagreb $6-$2.80 with a bet of $1000 e/w at $5/$2.10, Rotagilla $15-$6.50, Duvana $26-$11 Race 6: Federer $3.60-$3.50, Oh Diamond Lil $4.60-$3.90 Race 7: Cool Jakey $3.50-$2.80 with a bet of $2600 at $2.90, Mighty Ulysses $15-$10 Race 8: In Flight $3.50-$3.40, The Novelist $4.60-$4.40, Barber $8-$6.50, Contemporary $15-$10, Kazou $15-$10 Race 9: Whinchat $4.60-$3.80, Accredited $11-$6, Fleetwood $15-$7 Race 10: Gitalong $8-$7, Winning Proposal $15-$8.50 â– â– â– â– â– EARLY QUADDIE Race 3: 2,4,7,8 Race 4: 3,4,6,12 Race 5: 1,8,11,12 Race 6: 6,12,14 QUADDIE Race 7: 3,9,12,15 Race 8: 4,7,8 Race 9: 2,10,11,19 Race 10: 2,4,6,10 â– â– â– â– â– PRICE CHECK HURSTVILLE ZAGREB (Race 5 No.1) has firmed from $6 to $2.80 favouritism after consistent support all week including a bet of $1000 each way at $5/$2.10. But Hurstville Zagreb isn't the only well-backed runner in this race with ROTAGILLA (5) 's odds slashed from $15 to $6.50, while DUVANA (3) opened at $26 and is into $11. A winning debut for Hurstville Zagreb at Goulburn! @JohnOSheaRacing — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) February 11, 2025 â– â– â– â– â– SECTIONAL STARS ELIVINA (Race 5 No.14) ran on very well when fourth to runaway winner Let's Fly at Randwick in very heavy conditions. The lightly-raced filly was timed to run her final 600m in 37.24s, one of the best of the meeting, and she broke 13s for her closing 200m split. ✈ï¸� Let's Fly makes a mess of them all at Randwick! @NockBraith | @R1CHARDFREEDMAN | @willfreedman — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) May 24, 2025 TESTATOR SILENS (Race 9 No.19) is an emergency but if he gets a run, he's a good each way chance. He has been improved by two runs from a spell including his last start effort at Randwick when he made good ground late behind Storm The Ramparts to finish sixth over 1000m, recording a closing 600m sectional of 35.72s the second fastest of the meeting in very heavy conditions. His final 200m split of 12.47s was the fastest on the day. Storm The Ramparts leads from start to finish and wins at Randwick! ðŸ'Œ Hippo gets his double! ✌ï¸� @PrideRacing — SKY Racing (@SkyRacingAU) May 24, 2025 â– â– â– â– â– TRIAL POINTERS CENTRAL COAST (Race 1 No.7) is a superbly bred colt by sire sensation Wootton Bassett out of triple Group 1 winner Sunlight who cost $1.4 million at the Inglis Easter Yearling Sale last year. Trainer Chris Waller has given the equine blueblood plenty of time and the colt has had two barrier trials to prepare for his debut. Central Coast impressed in his recent trial when he settled behind the leaders, eased off heels to get out wider in the straight and closed off nicely to finish a half length second. All eyes on the runner-up: 2nd trial for 2nd foal of Sunlight - Central Coast (2c Wootton Bassett x Sunlight) $1.4mil buy foor @PMBRacing & Catherine Bruggeman from @CoolmoreAus at @inglis_sales Easter. 1st - Albany Road (2c Exceed And Excel x Miss Toorak Flyer) 650k buy for… — Breednet (@BreednetNews) May 29, 2025 FEDERER (Race 6 No.14) showed considerable promise in his debut preparation last spring, winning his first start by nearly four lengths at Ballarat then romping home by six lengths at Sandown. He failed at Caulfield and was spelled. The four-year-old by champion Arrowfield Stud sire Dundeel out of Caulfield Cup winner Jameka has had two barrier trials in recent weeks, improving noticeably in his Warwick Farm heat on May 26 when he finishing strongly for a close second. "I said if this horse gets beat at his first start, I'm going to give up training." It's fair to say Declan Maher has a good opinion of Federer ðŸ'' @cmaherracing — (@Racing) August 8, 2024 â– â– â– â– â– BEST BET HIDDEN MOTIVE (Race 1 No.1) came off minor placings in strong two-year-old form races with a dominant win at Hawkesbury last start. Hidden Motive settled on speed but was kept under a tight hold before he cruised to the front at the 300m and raced away to win by nearly four lengths. His winning margin could have been doubled if his rider put the colt under more pressure. Promising two-year-old who handled soft 7 conditions well last start, he is drawn to get all the favours and should be too good for his rivals. The Private Harry connection of trainer @NathanDoyle015, syndicator Sean Driver and jockey @AshMorgan6 will combine with another boom young sprinter Hidden Motive at Royal Randwick on Saturday. Story: @RayThomas_1 ðŸ'‡ — Racenet (@RacenetTweets) June 5, 2025 â– â– â– â– â– VALUE CONVERGENT (Race 2 No.10) is a rising five-year-old who only made his debut on Anzac Day where he settled a clear last in a small field, went wide on the turn, and reeled in his rivals to score an impressive win. He has had a barrier trial between runs but has been kept fresh for this 1500m race. Emerging stayer and although he is eligible for easier races, he's good each way value at $12.
NZ Herald
12-05-2025
- Climate
- NZ Herald
Hawke's Bay's climate future revealed - droughts, floods and more hot days
Ex-tropical cyclones are likely to become more intense, packing stronger winds and heavier rainfall. Fire seasons will get longer and more dangerous, with increased risks of wildfires. Droughts will become more common, putting additional stress on primary industries and water resources. The region will see more hot days and fewer overnight frosts. This means warmer temperatures overall, which will affect everything from farming to local wildlife. Vulnerable populations, including those in areas of higher socioeconomic deprivation, face disproportionate risks from flooding and isolation. Community cohesion may be challenged as climate impacts affect liveability in certain areas. Access to essential services could be compromised during hazard events, with isolation risks particularly high in rural areas. The region is far too familiar with the effects of climate change, having suffered a severe drought in 2020 and 2021, followed by the " wettest year on record" in 2022, and then the devastating Cyclone Gabrielle in 2023. Committee chairperson Xan Harding said for the first time, this report presents a full range of climate risks for Hawke's Bay. 'One of the key findings from this work is the significant level of variability and gaps in our climate datasets across the region. We have a foundation to work from with this report, but there is more to do so we can all be confident we are making climate risk-informed decisions based on consistent data that is as complete as possible.' The Hawke's Bay region covered 14,200sq km, and 80% of that land was hill country or mountainous terrain. Often referred to as the 'fruit bowl of New Zealand', it was one of the top wine capitals of the world and grew 60% of the country's apples. The lives of the region's 185,400 residents were expected to be impacted by climate change, which the report predicted would substantially alter the environmental conditions of the region in the coming decades. Councils were working on a number of flood resilience projects, including a $176 million multi-year investment to allow communities severely affected by Cyclone Gabrielle to stay in place while new community-scale flood infrastructure was built. It was also looking at reshaping two major flood schemes in the Heretaunga Plains and Upper Tukituki catchments, and reviewing smaller flood schemes. The report provided more information on the hazard datasets used for the assessment, including event likelihoods (Annual Exceedance Probability, or AEP) and how the modelling took climate change into account. A 1% AEP was an event that had a 1% chance of occurring each year. The report broke the climate change risks down into the region's different districts. Napier City Napier City was 105sq km in size, with a population of 64,695. It had extensive coastal areas of housing, including beaches and Ahuriri Estuary, and was bounded by rivers to the north and south. Coastal flooding was a significant and increasing risk, with 71% of residential buildings exposed to a 1% AEP coastal flooding event with one metre of sea level rise. Three waters infrastructure was at risk by 2100 – with 26% of water supply pumps and 35 percent of pipes exposed in a river and surface flooding event. There was a high risk of businesses being isolated in river, rainfall and coastal flooding which could significantly disrupt the city's economy. A long-awaited strategy to tackle coastal erosion was released last year. It identified 'trigger points' in four areas where more than $34m needs to be spent to protect homes. The Hastings District covered 5229sq km and had a population of 85,965. Present day river and rainfall flooding risk (2% AEP) was the most severe hazard for the Hastings District, with 39% of commercial properties and 11% of residential properties exposed and 48% of the population at risk of isolation. A key issue was the vulnerability of its three waters infrastructure – with the major East Clive wastewater treatment plant, stormwater infrastructure and wastewater directly exposed. Coastal flooding was also increasing with climate change, forecast to impact 4% of residential properties by 2130. Landslides had the potential to isolate more than 9% of residents, and river and rainfall flooding posed the greatest risk to GDP. The district was projected to be more than 3C warmer by 2100, leading to 55 more hot days over 25C a year, and decreasing winter rainfall by 17%. Central Hawke's Bay District The Central Hawke's Bay District covered 3333sq km and had a population of 15,480. The biggest risk was from river flooding, and had been identified as the most severe hazard influenced by climate change. 43.7% of commercial properties and 12.6% of residential homes were currently exposed to a 1% AEP event. Multiple sectors faced disruption and damage, with isolation due to landslides putting 44.1% of the agriculture sector at risk. Water security was a high priority for the district, with the controversial Ruataniwha Dam being resurrected and rebranded under the Government's fast-track legislation. Wairoa District Wairoa had a land area of 4077sq km and a population of just 8826, half of whom lived in the township. Wairoa River posed a large threat, flooding many times in the past. The most recent was in June 2024, when about 400 properties were inundated. The report found river and rainfall flooding was a severe present-day hazard for the Wairoa District, and may affect 15% of residential properties and over 90% of the manufacturing sector. Over 81% of the district's GDP was earned from agriculture, which was at risk of isolation due to landslide potential. About 1400 residents were exposed to more than 10cm of river and rainfall flooding, and 82% were living in areas of high deprivation. Funding had been approved for a $70m flood protection scheme, set to begin this year, which would create spillways for the Wairoa River to be diverted into in future floods.
