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Axios
5 days ago
- Business
- Axios
Exclusive: Red-state factories most at risk in climate fight, report finds
Inflation Reduction Act tax credits for making low-carbon energy equipment are spurring over $185 billion in planned or operating factory investments, a new analysis finds. Why it matters: The Atlas Public Policy report arrives amid Capitol Hill debates that could vastly scale back the incentives. The research and advisory firm found that 77% of planned spending on credit-eligible projects it's tracked is in GOP-held House districts. You can see the top 10 above. Catch up quick: The 2022 climate law created subsidies for manufacturing a suite of products — think solar cells and wafers, wind blades and towers, EV batteries, processing critical minerals and more. Yes, but: The House-passed budget plan would restrict the timeline and access in several ways that may render it "effectively impossible to claim," Atlas notes. It ends "transferability" that makes the credit market more fluid and available to more projects. It bars credits for projects with any links to China, including materials. The bill also ends the incentive for wind in late 2027. Zoom in:"To date, a total of $48.3 billion in announced investments and 62,700 jobs are associated with operational facilities that qualify for the tax credit," the Atlas report finds. It shows another $137.2 billion and 103,100 jobs in "tracked announcements at facilities that are planned or under construction." Battery and related component manufacturing is the biggest slice, such as Toyota's planned investments in North Carolina. Atlas also says their tallies are likely undercounts of the credits' impact. State of play: Credit backers say it drives projects that will make the U.S. competitive in growing global clean tech industries and boost energy security. But GOP critics call it part of an expensive "green new scam" aimed at forcing preferred technologies onto consumers. What we're watching: Senate Republicans' ongoing work to craft their version of the House-passed "One Big Beautiful Bill." A number of GOP senators call House repeals and limits on various IRA credits too aggressive, but what that means for the manufacturing incentives is unclear. Low-carbon energy industries are lobbying aggressively for changes to the House-passed bill. The bottom line: "Elimination of the tax credit or reforms that make it inaccessible could have severe consequences for American manufacturing, weakening investor confidence, and potentially allowing China and Europe to dominate the future of clean energy production," the report argues.
Yahoo
5 days ago
- Business
- Yahoo
The key dynamics shaping a busy month of primaries: From the Politics Desk
Welcome to the online version of From the Politics Desk, an evening newsletter that brings you the NBC News Politics team's latest reporting and analysis from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign trail. We may be entering the summer of an off-year, but June is still shaping up to be a big election month. Steve Kornacki breaks down what to watch in the New Jersey, Virginia and New York City primaries in the coming weeks. Plus, Scott Wong talks to House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries about his 'more is more' strategy for taking on President Donald Trump — and whether Democrats' message is breaking through. Sign up to receive this newsletter in your inbox every weekday here. — Adam Wollner Have a question for the NBC News Politics Desk about Trump's 'big, beautiful bill,' this month's elections or anything else happening on the world of politics? Send your questions to politicsnewsletter@ and we may answer them in a future edition of the newsletter. The next three weeks will bring primaries in the three most closely watched races of 2025. Here are the key dynamics to watch: New Jersey: Both parties will nominate gubernatorial candidates in the Garden State on June 10. Barring a complete shock, this will serve as a coronation for Republican Jack Ciattarelli, who was already leading by wide margins in the polls when President Donald Trump endorsed him several weeks ago. The Democratic contest isn't as clear-cut, but there is a favorite: Rep. Mikie Sherrill has separated herself from the six-candidate field in the most recent polling and enjoys strong backing from the state's still-powerful (though probably not as much as before) county political machines. The combination of Trump's surprising strength in New Jersey last year and Gov. Phil Murphy's unexpectedly close re-election in 2021 has Democratic leaders apprehensive about their November prospects. Many concluded that Sherrill, a Navy veteran who flipped a GOP-held district to win her House seat in 2018, would be their most electable option. Worth keeping an eye on, though, is a pair of mayors. Jersey City's Steve Fulop is portraying his candidacy as a war against political bossism and has aligned with local anti-establishment candidates. And Newark's Ras Baraka will try to couple support from Black voters (over 20% of the primary electorate) with appeal to the party's broader progressive base, especially after his high-profile arrest at an ICE detention facility. But both have lagged in polling and their overlapping appeal to progressives only complicates each other's path. Once the matchup is set, the general election will feature a clash of two long-term trends. On the one hand, New Jersey has only elected a governor from the party that controls the White House once in the last nine races — an ominous harbinger for the GOP. But it also hasn't handed the same party power in Trenton for three straight elections since 1961 — a feat Democrats are trying to pull off this year. Something will have to give. Virginia: On June 17, Virginia Democrats and Republicans will officially set their slates for the fall. Both gubernatorial nominations are already settled: Lt. Gov. Winsome Earl-Sears for the Republicans and Rep. Abigail Spanberger for the Democrats. And the general election picture already looks clearer in Virginia than in New Jersey. Polling has consistently shown Spanberger — who, like Sherrill, flipped a Republican seat en route to Congress in 2018 — ahead of Earl-Sears. And in 11 of the last 12 gubernatorial races, Virginians have sided against whichever party controlled the White House at the time. New York City: And then there's the mayoral primary in the Big Apple on June 24, the city's first with a ranked-choice voting system. Former Gov. Andrew Cuomo is the front-runner on the Democratic side, but the two most recent polls show Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani emerging from the crowded field as his main competition. Mamdani, a democratic socialist, has tapped into support from voters who tend to be younger, college-educated and progressive. He also runs significantly better with white voters than nonwhite voters. While certainly large, Mamdani's coalition is not broad enough demographically to win the primary — at least not yet. But his rapid rise presents some interesting potential scenarios. If Mamdani ends up toppling Cuomo, the former governor could still run in the general election anyway, on the ballot line of a party he just created. It's a move that his father, Mario Cuomo, tried back in 1977, after he fell short in the Democratic mayoral primary. There's also the leftist Working Families Party, which also has its own general election ballot line. Its leaders have indicated they have no plans to let Cuomo have that line even if he wins the Democratic primary. More recently, the party formally recommended that voters rank Mamdani as their top choice in the Democratic primary. If Mamdani misses narrowly in the Democratic primary, could he still run this fall as the WFP's candidate? Would someone else? On top of all of this, New York City Mayor Eric Adams is still officially running. He's bypassing the Democratic primary but has ballot lines of his own for the general election. Few think Adams can actually win in November, but his potential to grab a sizable chunk of votes could make a third-party bid more enticing for another candidate. In the chaotic opening weeks of President Donald Trump's second administration, Democrats debated whether to push back on every norm-shattering executive action, or pick and choose their spots and hope Trump would prove to be his own worst enemy. That debate has been settled, with Democrats aggressively taking on Trump in the courts, in the streets and on social media. At the center of that messaging strategy is House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., who privately has been urging his members to be more visible in their districts and on digital media, and has stepped up his own activity in recent weeks. Rather than his regular, once-a-week news conference in the Capitol, Jeffries now holds as many as three press briefings with reporters each week in Washington. He is also making weekly appearances on popular podcasts outside the traditional political media circuit, including those hosted by Stephen A. Smith, Tony Kornheiser, Jon Stewart, Katie Couric and Scott Galloway. 'We are in a 'more is more' environment. These aren't ordinary times, and they require an extraordinary response,' Jeffries said in a phone interview with NBC News on Tuesday, one of roughly two dozen digital media interviews he has participated in since February. After suffering a bruising defeat in the last presidential election and still years out from the next one, Democrats are without a clear national leader. And the party's base has displayed a hunger for a new and younger generation of voices to take charge. That has opened the door for Jeffries, 54, to assume an even bigger role in the party, even as he is still coming into national prominence and — less than three years removed from succeeding Nancy Pelosi as House Democrats' leader — not yet a household name. The flood-the-zone strategy is a marked change for a politician with a reputation for being cautious and calculated. But if that game plan pays off and Democrats manage to win control of the House in next year's midterm elections, Jeffries would be the favorite to become speaker — and the party's most powerful member in Washington. 'He's meeting the moment,' Rep. Ro Khanna, D-Calif., an influential progressive in the party, told NBC News in an interview. 'And that's why I say he's, right now, the leader of the Democratic Party.' Read more from Scott → 👀 With friends like these: Days after his White House send-off, Elon Musk slammed the GOP's massive bill for Trump's agenda as a 'disgusting abomination.' Read more → ✂️ Rescissions: The White House sent congressional leaders a request to claw back $9.4 billion in approved spending, codifying DOGE cuts to USAID, NPR and PBS, among other areas. Read more → ⏱️ Clock's ticking: Trump's ambitious plan to broker dozens of trade deals with some of the United States' closest trading partners has begun to show cracks, with his 90-day pause for most country-specific tariffs winding down in just over a month. Read more → 🔵 Succession: Rep. Jasmine Crockett of Texas officially jumped into the race to be the top Democrat on the House Oversight Committee, setting up a generational battle to succeed the late Rep. Gerry Connolly, D-Va. Virginia Gov. Glenn Youngkin also set the special election to fill the seat previously held by Connolly for Sept. 9. ⚖️ In the courts: Newark Mayor Ras Baraka is suing interim U.S. Attorney for New Jersey Alina Habba, alleging she violated his constitutional rights and defamed him when he was arrested at a federal immigration detention center last month. Read more → ➡️ Phase two: Democratic attorneys general from California, Massachusetts and New Jersey laid out their plans for the next phase of the legal battle against Trump in an interview with NBC News. Read more → 🌀 Just kidding: Acting Federal Emergency Management Agency Administrator David Richardson was joking when he said he was not aware of the upcoming hurricane season, the Department of Homeland Security said in a statement. Read more → Follow live politics updates → That's all From the Politics Desk for now. Today's newsletter was compiled by Adam Wollner. If you have feedback — likes or dislikes — email us at politicsnewsletter@ And if you're a fan, please share with everyone and anyone. They can sign up here. This article was originally published on
NBC News
5 days ago
- Business
- NBC News
The key dynamics shaping a busy month of primaries: From the Politics Desk
Welcome to the online version of From the Politics Desk, an evening newsletter that brings you the NBC News Politics team's latest reporting and analysis from the White House, Capitol Hill and the campaign trail. We may be entering the summer of an off-year, but June is still shaping up to be a big election month. Steve Kornacki breaks down what to watch in the New Jersey, Virginia and New York City primaries in the coming weeks. Plus, Scott Wong talks to House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries about his 'more is more' strategy for taking on President Donald Trump — and whether Democrats' message is breaking through. — Adam Wollner 🗣️ We want to hear from you! Have a question for the NBC News Politics Desk about Trump's 'big, beautiful bill,' this month's elections or anything else happening on the world of politics? Send your questions to politicsnewsletter@ and we may answer them in a future edition of the newsletter. The key dynamics shaping a busy month of primaries By Steve Kornacki The next three weeks will bring primaries in the three most closely watched races of 2025. Here are the key dynamics to watch: New Jersey: Both parties will nominate gubernatorial candidates in the Garden State on June 10. Barring a complete shock, this will serve as a coronation for Republican Jack Ciattarelli, who was already leading by wide margins in the polls when President Donald Trump endorsed him several weeks ago. The Democratic contest isn't as clear-cut, but there is a favorite: Rep. Mikie Sherrill has separated herself from the six-candidate field in the most recent polling and enjoys strong backing from the state's still-powerful (though probably not as much as before) county political machines. The combination of Trump's surprising strength in New Jersey last year and Gov. Phil Murphy's unexpectedly close re-election in 2021 has Democratic leaders apprehensive about their November prospects. Many concluded that Sherrill, a Navy veteran who flipped a GOP-held district to win her House seat in 2018, would be their most electable option. Worth keeping an eye on, though, is a pair of mayors. Jersey City's Steve Fulop is portraying his candidacy as a war against political bossism and has aligned with local anti-establishment candidates. And Newark's Ras Baraka will try to couple support from Black voters (over 20% of the primary electorate) with appeal to the party's broader progressive base, especially after his high-profile arrest at an ICE detention facility. But both have lagged in polling and their overlapping appeal to progressives only complicates each other's path. Once the matchup is set, the general election will feature a clash of two long-term trends. On the one hand, New Jersey has only elected a governor from the party that controls the White House once in the last nine races — an ominous harbinger for the GOP. But it also hasn't handed the same party power in Trenton for three straight elections since 1961 — a feat Democrats are trying to pull off this year. Something will have to give. Virginia: On June 17, Virginia Democrats and Republicans will officially set their slates for the fall. Both gubernatorial nominations are already settled: Lt. Gov. Winsome Earl-Sears for the Republicans and Rep. Abigail Spanberger for the Democrats. And the general election picture already looks clearer in Virginia than in New Jersey. Polling has consistently shown Spanberger — who, like Sherrill, flipped a Republican seat en route to Congress in 2018 — ahead of Earl-Sears. And in 11 of the last 12 gubernatorial races, Virginians have sided against whichever party controlled the White House at the time. New York City: And then there's the mayoral primary in the Big Apple on June 24, the city's first with a ranked-choice voting system. Former Gov. Andrew Cuomo is the front-runner on the Democratic side, but the two most recent polls show Assemblyman Zohran Mamdani emerging from the crowded field as his main competition. Mamdani, a democratic socialist, has tapped into support from voters who tend to be younger, college-educated and progressive. He also runs significantly better with white voters than nonwhite voters. While certainly large, Mamdani's coalition is not broad enough demographically to win the primary — at least not yet. But his rapid rise presents some interesting potential scenarios. If Mamdani ends up toppling Cuomo, the former governor could still run in the general election anyway, on the ballot line of a party he just created. It's a move that his father, Mario Cuomo, tried back in 1977, after he fell short in the Democratic mayoral primary. There's also the leftist Working Families Party, which also has its own general election ballot line. Its leaders have indicated they have no plans to let Cuomo have that line even if he wins the Democratic primary. More recently, the party formally recommended that voters rank Mamdani as their top choice in the Democratic primary. If Mamdani misses narrowly in the Democratic primary, could he still run this fall as the WFP's candidate? Would someone else? On top of all of this, New York City Mayor Eric Adams is still officially running. He's bypassing the Democratic primary but has ballot lines of his own for the general election. Few think Adams can actually win in November, but his potential to grab a sizable chunk of votes could make a third-party bid more enticing for another candidate. By Scott Wong In the chaotic opening weeks of President Donald Trump's second administration, Democrats debated whether to push back on every norm-shattering executive action, or pick and choose their spots and hope Trump would prove to be his own worst enemy. That debate has been settled, with Democrats aggressively taking on Trump in the courts, in the streets and on social media. At the center of that messaging strategy is House Minority Leader Hakeem Jeffries, D-N.Y., who privately has been urging his members to be more visible in their districts and on digital media, and has stepped up his own activity in recent weeks. Rather than his regular, once-a-week news conference in the Capitol, Jeffries now holds as many as three press briefings with reporters each week in Washington. He is also making weekly appearances on popular podcasts outside the traditional political media circuit, including those hosted by Stephen A. Smith, Tony Kornheiser, Jon Stewart, Katie Couric and Scott Galloway. 'We are in a 'more is more' environment. These aren't ordinary times, and they require an extraordinary response,' Jeffries said in a phone interview with NBC News on Tuesday, one of roughly two dozen digital media interviews he has participated in since February. After suffering a bruising defeat in the last presidential election and still years out from the next one, Democrats are without a clear national leader. And the party's base has displayed a hunger for a new and younger generation of voices to take charge. That has opened the door for Jeffries, 54, to assume an even bigger role in the party, even as he is still coming into national prominence and — less than three years removed from succeeding Nancy Pelosi as House Democrats' leader — not yet a household name. The flood-the-zone strategy is a marked change for a politician with a reputation for being cautious and calculated. But if that game plan pays off and Democrats manage to win control of the House in next year's midterm elections, Jeffries would be the favorite to become speaker — and the party's most powerful member in Washington. 'He's meeting the moment,' Rep. Ro Khanna, D-Calif., an influential progressive in the party, told NBC News in an interview. 'And that's why I say he's, right now, the leader of the Democratic Party.'
Yahoo
29-05-2025
- Business
- Yahoo
Dem ad blitz targets GOP votes on ‘largest cut to Medicaid in American history'
CJ Warnke, communications director for House Majority PAC, joins Way Too Early to discuss new Democratic ads targeting 26 GOP-held districts. The ads hit Republicans over the budget bill passed last week, which Warnke says included 'the largest cut to Medicaid in American history.' Warnke adds the combined support for tariffs, SNAP cuts, and Medicaid reductions is a 'deadly combo' politically heading into 2026.
Newsweek
23-05-2025
- Politics
- Newsweek
Democrat Edges Out Republican Joni Ernst in Iowa Senate Poll
Based on facts, either observed and verified firsthand by the reporter, or reported and verified from knowledgeable sources. Newsweek AI is in beta. Translations may contain inaccuracies—please refer to the original content. Iowa Senator Joni Ernst, a Republican, trailed Democratic challenger Nathan Sage but held a lead against other potential Democratic candidates in a new poll of the 2026 Senate race. Newsweek reached out to the Ernst and Sage campaigns for comment via email. Why It Matters Democrats' chances of retaking the Senate in 2026 hinge on their ability to make competitive races in states President Donald Trump won by double digits in the 2024 presidential election. GOP-held seats in Maine, which Trump lost, and North Carolina, which he won by only three points, are Democrats' most likely targets. But beyond those two states, there are no obvious opportunities to flip a Senate seat in the midterms. This means Democrats will have to compete in states like Alaska, Florida, Iowa, Ohio or Texas to win control of the Senate. While other polling on Iowa is not public, this early poll gives a potential look at how competitive the race could become. What To Know The Data for Progress poll asked Iowa voters who they would support in hypothetical 2026 matchups. It surveyed 779 likely voters from May 7 to May 12, 2025, with a margin of error of plus or minus four percentage points. Ernst led each challenger by five to six points in initial matchups, with 10 percent of respondents saying they were undecided, the pollster found. But when pollsters read biographies of Democratic candidates, Sage established a slight lead over Ernst. The poll found Sage with a two-point lead over Ernst (47 percent to 45 percent) after his biography was read. Iowa Senator Joni Ernst speaks during a hearing in Washington, D.C., on January 14, 2025. Iowa Senator Joni Ernst speaks during a hearing in Washington, D.C., on January 14, fared better against other potential Democratic candidates. Jackie Norris, chair of the Des Moines Public Schools Board, trailed Ernst by six points (44 percent to 50 percent). State Representative J.D. Scholten trailed the incumbent senator by six points (43 percent to 49 percent), while state Senator Zach Wahls trailed by 10 points (42 percent to 52 percent). Only Sage has formally announced a Senate run so far. Rachel Paine Caufield, a professor and co-chair of Drake University's department of political science, told Newsweek that the poll does not say anything "definitive" about the race, and there is a history of polls overestimating Democrats in Iowa. Sage's lead could be an "artifact of sampling," she said. Still, she said the race could become competitive ahead of next November. While Ernst has factors working in her favor, such as incumbency and the support of the state GOP, the fact that it is a Trump midterm could bolster Democrats. Caufield said the race will likely be one of the most expensive Senate races in the country. "Democrats are energized. Iowa Democrats are frustrated and are really looking to mobilize to push back against Donald Trump and reclaim at least one house of Congress, so you might see renewed energy on Democratic side," she said. Sage may bring a "non-Washington sensibility" that could appeal to voters on the campaign trail, Caufield said. Ernst has indicated she plans to run again but has not formally launched her campaign. Caufield added that if Ernst changes her mind, that could also be a key factor in how competitive this race becomes. Iowa could be an uphill climb for Democrats. Although it voted for former President Barack Obama twice, President Donald Trump easily carried it in each of his three presidential bids as the state quickly shifted toward Republicans. Trump won the state by more than 13 points last November. The state has shifted rightward for several reasons, according to Caufield. In addition to national trends of white working-class voters moving toward the GOP, the party has not prioritized issues that "animate politics in places like Iowa." "There are a lot of people who feel as though the Democratic party isn't speaking for them, doesn't care about them and doesn't perhaps even like them very much," she said. "There's a national brand problem for Democrats. I also think there's a state problem for Democrats." Ernst won reelection by more than six points in 2020. She outperformed many polls that showed Democrat Theresa Greenfield with a lead in the final stretch before Election Day. Forecasters do not view Iowa's Senate race as particularly competitive. The Cook Political Report rates it as Solid Republican, and Sabato's Crystal Ball rates it as Safe Republican. What People Are Saying Nathan Sage told Cedar Rapids newspaper The Gazette: "I'm out here trying to bring a little bit more of a voice of working-class individuals to Washington and fight for them to have a better life, instead of trying to survive every day. Trying to actually make Iowans thrive." Nick Puglia, National Republican Senatorial Committee spokesperson, told The Hill: "It doesn't matter which radical Democrat gets nominated in their messy primary because Iowans are going to re-elect Senator Joni Ernst to keep fighting for them in 2026." What Happens Next Other candidates could announce runs in the coming year or so, when more polls will indicate how competitive the race could be. Iowa's primary is June 2, 2026, and the general election is November 3, 2026. Democrats are eyeing Maine and North Carolina as their top priority, in addition to defending seats in Georgia and Michigan, where Senator Gary Peters is retiring. Polls have suggested the Senate race in Texas could potentially become competitive, though the state has proven elusive to Democrats.
