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New York Post
2 days ago
- Sport
- New York Post
Dream vs. Sun prediction: WNBA picks, odds, best bets Friday
New York Post may be compensated and/or receive an affiliate commission if you click or buy through our links. Featured pricing is subject to change. Winning at sports betting often means casual fans will think you are nuts — and that has nothing to do with the actual willingness to place a wager. It may revolve around the fact that you are willing to back a bad team. The Connecticut Sun lost by 48 points in their last game and are among the WNBA's worst teams, if not the worst. However, that is often an opportunity to find value backing them. The Sun are 9.5-point home underdogs Friday to the Atlanta Dream, who have been a pleasant surprise this season at 5-2. I am tempted to back the Sun in the first quarter because I think they will play hard coming off that embarrassing loss, and there is a good chance that Atlanta will look past this weak opponent, especially since the Dream already defeated Connecticut by 24 points while playing without one of their best players. Marina Mabrey #3 of the Connecticut Sun drives to the basket during the game against the Dallas Wings on May 27, 2025 at the Mohegan Sun Arena in Uncasville, Connecticut. NBAE via Getty Images Thus, I think the gap in effort and focus will be most pronounced in the first quarter. But I have a better angle, and it involves a proposition bet. I want to back Marina Mabrey to play a good game. She only finished with eight points on 2-for-11 shooting in that blowout loss. Get the lowdown on the Best USA Sports Betting Sites and Apps Plus, in the previous meeting with Atlanta, she finished with just 12 points on 4-for-14 shooting. That also included a few missed layups. Mabrey is an extreme competitor, and I fully anticipate a bounce-back performance in the rematch. Her points prop is 15.5 points, and I think she surpasses that. The Dream had their way with the Sun last month. NBAE via Getty Images However, I'd rather play Over 18.5 combined points and assists. She keeps defenses off balance with her impressive shooting range and, thus, can find open teammates once teams adjust. I am 45-40-1 ATS in this Post sports section. My next play is Mabrey Over 18.5 points and assists (-110, FanDuel Sportsbook). Why Trust New York Post Betting Doug Kezirian is a New York Post contributor who has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. Doug has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. He's also the rare personality who has documented success – 14th place in 2023 Circa Million and Las Vegas SuperContest ($37K), two top-10 finishes in 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58K) and also grabbed headlines with a $297K win on the 2021 NFL Draft.


New York Post
5 days ago
- Business
- New York Post
Wings vs. Storm predictions, odds: WNBA best bets Tuesday
New York Post may be compensated and/or receive an affiliate commission if you click or buy through our links. Featured pricing is subject to change. Successfully handicapping requires the ability to attack games from all angles. A bettor needs all the options of a tool belt because good opportunities do present themselves, and one must be able to recognize and seize them. The WNBA has a relatively long regular season with 44 games and the ebb and flow can provide an attractive angle, which is what I believe we have Tuesday. The Seattle Storm are 9.5-point home favorites to the Dallas Wings, who will play without standout rookie Paige Bueckers. The former UConn star will miss her second straight game due to a concussion. Bueckers ranks fourth in the WNBA with 6.7 assists per game, and her absence will certainly impact a 1-6 Dallas squad that already has plenty of limitations. That also means Arike Ogunbowale likely will look to shoot even more, as she hoisted 16 attempts in the most recent game (also without Bueckers). Kaila Charles #3 of the Dallas Wings. NBAE via Getty Images Her reckless approach often hurts the team, but there is always potential she catches fire. The scheduling spot does provide a good opportunity to back Seattle, which is riding a three-game losing streak. The Storm are a playoff-caliber team that figures to bounce back against such a weak squad, but the point spread is the great equalizer, and Ogunbowale's variance gives me pause. The Wings own the league's third-worst defensive rating, and wagering on Seattle's team total makes a lot more sense. This ensures Ogunbowale's shotmaking does not enter the equation. However, with the potential of a blowout, I worry the scoring will die down in the second half. In fact, that's exactly what happened in the first meeting, when Seattle led 56-41 at halftime and held on for a 79-71 victory. Betting on the NBA? I have a 45-39-1 ATS record in this Post sports section, and my next play is the Storm Over 43.5 points in the first half. I expect a strong start against a poor Wings defense, and I do not have to worry about a slow-paced second half. PICK: Storm Over 43.5 points in the first half (-110, Fanatics Sportsbook) Why Trust New York Post Betting Doug Kezirian is a New York Post contributor who has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. Doug has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. He's also the rare personality who has documented success – 14th place in 2023 Circa Million and Las Vegas SuperContest ($37K), two top-10 finishes in 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58K) and also grabbed headlines with a $297K win on the 2021 NFL Draft.


New York Post
28-05-2025
- Sport
- New York Post
Timberwolves vs. Thunder Game 5 player props: NBA Western Conference finals best bets
New York Post may be compensated and/or receive an affiliate commission if you click or buy through our links. Featured pricing is subject to change. The Oklahoma City Thunder dominated the NBA regular season with the highest point differential in league history and are the prohibitive favorites to win the franchise's first title since 1979, when it was the Seattle SuperSonics. A large reason for this superiority is their impressive depth. While it helps limit minutes for their stars during the regular season and a taxing postseason schedule that involves playing every other night, the depth also allows head coach Mark Daigneault extreme lineup flexibility. We saw that crystallized at the end of Game 4 against the Minnesota Timberwolves. With just seconds left and trailing by two points, Minnesota was poised to miss a free throw purposefully with its only chance for an offensive rebound and putback. Daigneault declined using 7-foot-1 starting forward Chet Holmgren, instead preferring to use shorter frontline players who weigh more and are less likely to allow an opponent to move them out of position. Chet Holmgren of the Thunder prepares to shoot a free throw during the game against the Minnesota Timberwolves during Game 4 of the Western Conference finals. NBAE via Getty Images The 23-year-old Holmgren is listed at just 208 pounds and has seen his rebounding numbers decline this series. He is averaging just 5.8 boards through the first four games and has not grabbed more than seven in a single game. He has cashed Under 8.5 rebounds in all four games in the Western Conference finals, and oddsmakers are only adjusting the juice of his proposition bet. I believe there still is value with the Under. Betting on the NBA? A playoff series often comes down to matchups. Holmgren is stretching Minnesota's well-respected defense by lurking around the 3-point line and then cutting for dunks. He's rarely in position for offensive rebounds, which is why he tallied only four offensive boards through the first three games. In Game 4, he did grab four offensive rebounds, but that feels more like an outlier. Minnesota has solid frontcourt size and Holmgren largely has been kept in check. I have a 44-37-1 ATS record in this Post sports section entering Tuesday, and my next play is Holmgren Under 8.5 rebounds in Game 5 (-110, BetMGM Sportsbook). Why Trust New York Post Betting Doug Kezirian is a New York Post contributor who has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. Doug has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. He's also the rare personality who has documented success – 14th place in 2023 Circa Million and Las Vegas SuperContest ($37K), two top-10 finishes in 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58K) and also grabbed headlines with a $297K win on the 2021 NFL Draft.


New York Post
27-05-2025
- Sport
- New York Post
Knicks vs. Pacers Game 4 prediction, odds: NBA Eastern Conference finals picks, best bets
New York Post may be compensated and/or receive an affiliate commission if you click or buy through our links. Featured pricing is subject to change. These NBA playoffs have been as wild as any that I can recall, thanks to several comebacks of at least 20 points. The Knicks have been spearheading this trend, starting with the rallies against the Celtics, and then saving their season in Game 3 against the Pacers. Karl-Anthony Towns gets the credit, thanks to 20 of his 24 points coming in the fourth quarter. All things considered, Towns' production has been consistent. In the past nine games, Towns has scored less than 19 points just once. He's a reliable scorer and coach Tom Thibodeau needs that scoring, especially with Jalen Brunson potentially slowing down or being limited by Indiana's targeted defense. Even more consistent has been Towns' passing — or lack thereof. In 12 of his past 14 playoff games, Towns has registered one or zero assists. However, his proposition bet continues to be lined at 1.5 assists. Tyrese Haliburton and the Pacers blew a big lead in Game 3. NBAE via Getty Images After averaging 3.1 during the regular season, Towns began the playoffs with five assists against the Pistons, but it's been between zero and two since then. As we all know, the postseason takes on a different identity. Follow The Post's coverage of the Knicks in the 2025 NBA Playoffs Sports+ subscribers: Sign up for Inside the Knicks to get daily newsletter coverage and join Expert Take for insider texts about the series. Starting lineups can change, and opponents also adjust to their evolving scouting reports. With Brunson dominating offensive possessions with dribbling, Towns is asked to be the scorer much more than a facilitator. Betting on the NBA? The Knicks need his scoring and he will stretch the defense with his shooting and rarely look to pass. I have a 44-37-1 ATS record in this Post sports section and my next play is Towns under 1.5 assists (-125, Caesars Sportsbook) in Game 4. Why Trust New York Post Betting Doug Kezirian is a New York Post contributor who has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. Doug has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. He's also the rare personality who has documented success – 14th place in 2023 Circa Million and Las Vegas SuperContest ($37K), two top-10 finishes in 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58K) and also grabbed headlines with a $297K win on the 2021 NFL Draft.


New York Post
23-05-2025
- Sport
- New York Post
Aces vs. Mystics prediction: WNBA picks, odds, best bets
New York Post may be compensated and/or receive an affiliate commission if you click or buy through our links. Featured pricing is subject to change. The betting market for any sport is always softest at the beginning of the season, especially if the league involves a great deal of player movement. That's because oddsmakers are more willing to adjust their power ratings since that year's unknowns are starting to take shape. The WNBA is a prime example of this fluidity, and the Washington Mystics have been one of the biggest surprises with a 2-1 record. For context, their win total was just 15.5 in a 44-game schedule. Washington deserves credit for this early success and could easily be 3-0, but I also think the Mystics have benefited from weak opponents. WNBA oddsmakers seem to agree. Washington is a 13-point underdog Friday in the home opener for the 1-1 Las Vegas Aces. Las Vegas bounced back from its opening loss to the defending champion New York Liberty with a convincing 87-62 win over the lowly Connecticut Sun on Tuesday. I expect a similar performance against the Mystics, who I believe remain a fringe playoff team at best. Washington Mystics guard Brittney Sykes (20) celebrates after a basket against the Golden State Valkyries in the fourth quarter at Chase Center. David Gonzales-Imagn Images The Aces still have reigning MVP A'Ja Wilson and she is surrounded by All-Star caliber players in Jackie Young, Chelsea Gray and Jewell Loyd. If they remotely show up, this should be a blowout. In my eyes, the best angle is playing the Aces in the first half. That's because I believe we will get a truer outcome of this mismatch because when the Aces have a large lead, coach Becky Hammon typically rests her starters in the fourth quarter, leaving the backdoor cover open with a double-digit point spread. Betting on the NBA? That's particularly applicable here because Las Vegas lacks depth and has a quick turnaround with a road game on Sunday in Seattle. I am 44-36-1 ATS in this Post sports section, pending Thursday night's play. My next play is the Aces -7.5 in the first half (-110, BetMGM Sportsbook) Why Trust New York Post Betting Doug Kezirian is a New York Post contributor who has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. Doug has over two decades of experience in the betting space, including spending 11 years at ESPN as a host, columnist and betting analyst. He's also the rare personality who has documented success – 14th place in 2023 Circa Million and Las Vegas SuperContest ($37K), two top-10 finishes in 2022 William Hill College Football Challenge ($58K) and also grabbed headlines with a $297K win on the 2021 NFL Draft.