4 days ago
Jaguars hold one of the NFL's best home field advantages, despite NFL decline
Home field advantage has been a wide held belief in sports for decades and often did have quite a bit of merit to it. How advantageous it is varies from sport to sport, but, in general, it was far more desirable than going on the road or even across the country or world.
In the NFL, Vegas usually provides a three point value for home field advantage, though that value placed on home field advantage might now be overstated.
For a long while, home teams had won between 56-58% of games. In that NFL, that extra 6-8% means everything. Since 2020, however, that number now sits at just 53%. It's seen a steady decline since the 1990s.
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Last season, NFELO ranked the Jaguars to have the sixth highest home field advantage in the NFL. Historically, the Jaguars have been much better at home than on the road, including their incredible 28-4 home record between 1996-1999.
In the postseason, these figures go out the window as home teams win far more of their home games than on the road, though postseason seeding plays a major role that has to be factored in. Generally speaking the better team will have a higher seeding and therefore a better chance to win.
Over the last five seasons, home teams are 41-19 (0.683) in the playoffs, infinitely better than the regular season mark. Earning a higher seed still matters… a lot. In the regular season, however, home field advantage doesn't mean what it used to. Just don't tell the Jaguars that.
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