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Martha Wardrop: 'Landmark ruling strengthens climate justice efforts'
Martha Wardrop: 'Landmark ruling strengthens climate justice efforts'

Glasgow Times

time4 days ago

  • Politics
  • Glasgow Times

Martha Wardrop: 'Landmark ruling strengthens climate justice efforts'

This makes clear that countries most responsible for the climate crisis have a legal obligation to protect current and future generations by cutting emissions and providing reparations for those affected. This ruling arises from the demands of a group of 27 Pacific Island law students and island nations supported by a coalition of civil society, Indigenous Peoples, and 130 states across the world. The Vanuatu government has been a significant force behind this first-ever legal opinion on climate change. The International Court of Justice has taken action to put high emitters on notice. This advisory opinion will shape international standards and is now a turning point that can strengthen a struggling multilateral system for climate action. Governments are legally obligated to protect their citizens from climate change. If there is a failure to take decisive action to protect the climate, through continued fossil fuel production and consumption, and granting fossil fuel exploration licences, this can be considered as a government acting 'wrongfully'. This affirms climate treaties, such as the 2015 Paris Agreement, which impose binding obligations, and the court has elevated environmental protection to a core state responsibility. The UK government has a legal duty to speed up the transition towards a cleaner, greener economy and block any new licences for the extraction of fossil fuels. It is also clear that human rights must be at the heart of climate action by governments because climate breakdown affects our rights to health, homes, and livelihoods. This court has recognised that wealthy countries like the UK are responsible for ongoing and historic pollution. Therefore, there is a special responsibility for the UK government to act and to offer compensation to countries and communities already suffering from floods, droughts, and rising sea levels. We have to acknowledge that the young Pacific Islanders have stepped up with courage and made sure that communities on the frontlines of the climate crisis have been listened to by the world's highest court. The International Court of Justice has upheld the call for greater accountability at this crucial time of climate upheaval, marked by extreme weather events and record-breaking heating. The high-emitting states now must address their climate responsibilities head-on. Governments are obliged under law to act, and act now. This requires agreement at COP30 in Brazil to draw the line against fossil fuels overheating the planet. We are watching how countries respond to this advisory opinion by the court. We can urge our governments to immediately revise their national climate plans, so we can put the world safely on the path to limiting global warming to 1.5℃. The advisory opinion must compel rapid fossil fuel phase-outs and the necessity for climate finance, including reparations for loss and damage. As climate change intensifies alongside rising living costs and ongoing conflicts worldwide, communities will continue to work together to demand climate action and a just future for all.

Pacific Activists Celebrate Landmark Decision On Climate Accountability From International Court Of Justice
Pacific Activists Celebrate Landmark Decision On Climate Accountability From International Court Of Justice

Scoop

time6 days ago

  • Politics
  • Scoop

Pacific Activists Celebrate Landmark Decision On Climate Accountability From International Court Of Justice

Pacific - The International Court of Justice has provided its Advisory Opinion on climate change, making clear that states most responsible for the crisis have a legal obligation to protect current and future generations by cutting emissions and providing reparations for those affected. Driven by a demand from Pacific youth and island nations supported by a coalition of civil society, Indigenous Peoples and States, the World's Court has taken action to put high emitters on notice. This advisory opinion will shape international norms and now exists as a tool our leaders can use to negotiate stronger climate policy in a struggling multilateral system. This landmark opinion is yet another example of the world's most impacted nations, like Vanuatu, continuing to lead the charge on climate action. Jacynta Fa'amau, Pacific Campaigner says: ' International law is on the side of the people. This advisory opinion recognises that we absolutely need to stay below the 1.5 target to stay alive. There is no other option. Today is a big day for the people of the Pacific, who continue to live on the brink of climate catastrophe and still persevere to bring the world the solutions to this crisis.' Fenton Lutunatabua, Deputy Head of Regions says: 'The oceans are rising, but so are we. Once again, young Pacific Islanders have stepped up with courage and made sure that our reality, as a community on the frontlines of the climate crisis, is witnessed by the world's highest court. Today's outcome adds strength to our fight for our future, placing our basic human rights at the heart of states' climate obligations, and setting a new legal and moral benchmark for climate action. The ICJ has upheld the call for greater accountability, at this crucial time for our survival. A line has been drawn, and high-emitting states now have the obligation to address their climate responsibilities head on.'

Childbirth is still too dangerous. This ancient profession can help.
Childbirth is still too dangerous. This ancient profession can help.

National Geographic

time6 days ago

  • Health
  • National Geographic

Childbirth is still too dangerous. This ancient profession can help.

Midwives are making a big comeback, and solving a crisis in maternal health care. A midwife holds a newborn in Tzajalchén, Mexico, 2021. Photograph by Janet Jarman, Nat Geo Image Collection It's 5 a.m. at ​​Mother Health International (MHI), a birth center in Northern Uganda​ affiliated with Yale University​, when the call comes in from a local midwife about 12 miles away. A woman in her village has gone into labor. The alert sets a series of gears into motion: a motorcycle driver is immediately dispatched to zip down the mostly unpaved roads to her location, while the nurse midwives at MHI prepare a room for labor and delivery. Within an hour, the laboring mother and her local midwife arrive at MHI where she's greeted by nurse midwives who work together to ensure a safe delivery. An ambulance stands ready in case the birth becomes difficult, but it isn't needed. Soon, the room celebrates: a new baby is welcomed into the world and placed onto her mother's chest. Midwife ​Rachel Zaslow,​​ the executive director of MHI​, has been in this situation many times.​​ During her nearly 20 years at the center, Zaslow has seen the near-miraculous transformation in care for Uganda's pregnant women. When she arrived in 2006, up to 30 women might deliver babies daily in a worn-torn hospital with a single midwife.​​ Now, MHI's highly effective model, called the Framework for Quality Maternal and Newborn Care, facilitates collaboration between traditional midwives in local communities and certified nurse midwives. The results are impressive. Healthy and safe births are commonplace at MHI, which has assisted with over 20,000 births since 2007. Zaslow says they have never lost a mother. That, she adds, is 'extremely rare' in East Africa, and the rest of the world. Since implementing their model, the maternal mortality rate has dropped significantly, representing over 60 maternal lives saved. A traveling midwife in Afghanistan listens for a fetal heartbeat. Photograph by Lynsey Addario, Nat Geo Image Collection Could the United States, which has a maternal mortality rate much higher than other wealthy nations, benefit from MHI's midwife-centric approach to maternal care? Research suggests that it could. In the U.S. the overall maternal mortality rate is 18.6 per 100,000 live births; for Black women, the figure is even higher at 50.3 deaths per 100,000 live births, worse than MHI's numbers, a statistic Zaslow describes as 'alarming.' Plus, in the U.S., the maternal mortality rate has been climbing—it's already the highest among high-income countries—and experts anticipate that rate to rise for a variety of reasons, including patchwork maternal care that fails many, as well as medical discrimination that disproportionally impacts Black, Native American, Hawaii and Pacific Islanders. According to a recent article in the American Journal of Obstetrics & Gynecology, ​​midwife care ​​(which includes ​​prenatal, labor and delivery, and postpartum care in settings such as hospitals and birth centers) ​​​​​​can lower mortality rates as well as lead to fewer preterm births and low birthweight infants as well as reduced interventions, like C-sections, in labor. The ​​​authors​​ note that ​​although ​​midwifery is growing, midwives attended just 10 percent of ​births in the U.S. in 2020. ​​​​And in low- and middle-income countries, 82 percent of maternal deaths could be prevented by scaling up midwifery care, ​​according​ to an estimation tool developed by the Institute for International Programs at Johns Hopkins Bloomberg School of Public Health. ​More ​​recently, a 2025 ​​systematic review​​ in ​​BMC​​ ​found that midwifery significantly improves maternal and newborn health in low- and middle-income countries while also lowering newborn mortality and morbidity. ​​​In late 2024, the World Health Organization ​published a position paper that echoed the benefits of a midwifery model of care, noting that it leads to more equitable outcomes and ​​​​declining numbers of maternal mortality. Given the evidence, it's no surprise that more women are turning to midwifery, looking for solutions to the country's fractured maternal healthcare system. 'I think patients have read a lot about the gaps in the U.S. maternal health model and they're looking for better experiences and more modern versions,' says Anu Sharma, founder of maternal health start-up, Millie. As a result, one of the oldest forms of person-to-person medical care is experiencing a renaissance—and the ​​field is ​​​expected to grow​ significantly over the next decade. 'We're bringing ancient wisdom back into the modern era,' Sharma says. This is a revolution of what was once the norm: person-to-person care that treats childbirth as routine while leveraging medical advancements and technology as needed. Midwifery is an ancient profession and texts written by midwives date to the Renaissance. This relief showing a woman delivering a baby is on the tomb of Scribonia Attica, a Second Century Roman midwife. Photograph by James L. Stanfield, Nat Geo Image Collection Midwives train in Darfur, Sudan, 2010. Studies have shown that midwifery significantly improves maternal and newborn health while also lowering newborn mortality and morbidity. Photograph by Raul Touzon, Nat Geo Image Collection The long history of midwives Midwifery is by no means new; the system of women caring for women is mentioned in ancient texts and books authored by midwives' date to the Renaissance. In early America, Black midwives who survived the Middle Passage brought their skills with them, practicing midwifery while enslaved. Known as granny midwives, these women delivered the infants of fellow enslaved women as well as the wives of their white owners. But midwifery practically disappeared in the United States at the close of the 19th Century as hospital births became the norm. ​​​​​Though the transition from home to the hospital was made in the name of safety, it dramatically increased maternal mortality rates. That was 'due to poor practitioner training, excessive interventions, and the failure to implement aseptic techniques​​, says ​​​Carol Sakala​​, who leads maternal health and maternity care programming at the National Partnership for Women & Families, a ​non-profit, non-partisan advocacy organization. Maternal mortality rates, however, declined after 1920, due in part to public health advances and the development and use of antibiotics and aseptic clinical standards from the late 1930s as well as access to maternity care and safe and legal abortion. 'In the 20th Century, hospitals and doctors rose to the fore, gained a lot of power and control and systematically denigrated and displaced long standing birthing traditions, including midwifery care,' says Sakala, adding that there were campaigns to eliminate Black granny midwives and immigrant midwives along with their knowledge and cultural practices. ​According to ​Keisha L. Goode, PhD, Assistant Professor, Sociology at SUNY Old Westbury, anti-Black racism is 'deeply intertwined with the story of midwifery.' 'The field of medicine essentially destroyed midwifery and took it out of the hands of women [and] significantly medicalized it,' says Dana R. Gossett, an OB-GYN and chair of the obstetrics and gynecology department at NYU Langone Health. ​​​​​As a result, traditional methods of labor and delivery were replaced with medicalized intervention, both for the better and worse. While they are now considered emergency procedures, in the 60s and 70s it used to be common for doctors to perform episiotomies (i.e. surgical cuts between the vagina and anus) under anesthesia, and to pull infants out forcibly with forceps. Each resulted in enduring complications. Forceps can cause severe perineal tearing or injury to the newborn while episiotomies leave new mothers with severe pain and longer recovery times. Women eventually resisted these practices. Gossett points to the mainstreaming of Lamaze in the 60s as one of the earlier notable pushbacks against hyper-medicalized births. 'Lamaze is a specific form of childbirth preparation that uses breathwork and focus to manage the pain of contractions,' Gossett says. Women, she says, were 'attempting to take back control of the birthing process from male physicians.' By midcentury, midwives started to resurge. '[When] I was born […], my mother took Lamaze classes and had a natural childbirth,' Gossett says. Ina May Gaskin, often referred to as the 'mother of midwifery' founded The Farm, a Tennessee community focused on providing midwife care and training future generations, after a traumatic birth where a physician used forceps, in 1971. Shortly after, she published Spiritual Midwifery, a landmark book that advocated for home births and breastfeeding. In the next few decades, Gossett says that ​​​​out-of-hospital births and the percentage of women using midwives ​​​​began to increase. A midwife assess the size and weight of a newborn in New Mexico. Midwife care can lower mortality rates as well as lead to fewer preterm births and low birthweight infants as well as reduced interventions, like C-sections, in labor Photograph by Lynsey Addario, Nat Geo Image Collection (Top) (Left) and Photograph by Lynsey Addario, Nat Geo Image Collection (Bottom) (Right) Solutions for a 'broken model of care' In December 2019, Jillian Perez was lying in a medical gown on the table in her OB-GYN's office for her first prenatal visit. ​​She ​felt ​'like a number,' she remembers, as though her pregnancy was a problem to solve, rather than a natural process. 'It just didn't jive with how I wanted my pregnancy to be treated and to go,' Perez says. 'I want to be talking to somebody who I know and trust.' Perez isn't alone, and science tells us that this kind of bond with a midwife has documented health benefits for mothers and children. ​​'When people feel safe and cared for, the hormones of labor work well, says Michelle Telfer, MHI midwife and Associate Professor of Midwifery & Women's Health at Yale School of Nursing. ​Research​ ​Telfer co-authored ​supports that women have better outcomes, including lower preterm birth rates, when they know their midwife and they have continuity of care with that midwife​.​​ ​ Plus, the personal, one-on-one care midwives traditionally offer can help with overcoming ​​implicit bias, or attitudes that unconsciously affect behavior, that contribute to higher mortality rates among minority groups. ​​​​​Indeed, ​​research​ published in JAMA states that implicit bias of physicians has been associated with false beliefs that Black patients have greater pain tolerance than white patients. ​ ​Telfer, however, stresses that building relationships is key to overcoming this bias. After her second appointment with an OB-GYN, Perez went to a local midwifery practice on the recommendation of a friend. 'Immediately it felt so different,' Perez, now a mother of three, says. 'I just felt like I was listened to, and my pregnancy was being treated as a normal thing that happens, and your body knows what to do.' Sharma also experienced firsthand how different a medicalized hospital birth is compared to one that's overseen by a midwife. In August 2019, during her third trimester, she developed gestational hypertension and had an early induction, which set off a two-and-a-half-day long labor and, ultimately, an unplanned C-section. Like nearly all new mothers, she was sent home with instructions to come back in six weeks. She ended up returning to the hospital 36 hours later with self-diagnosed postpartum preeclampsia, a condition that develops when blood pressure spikes dangerously high. 'I showed up literally on the verge of a stroke, and I saved my own life,' she says. 'What I had already begun to sense as a patient […] became a full-blown realization that our care model is completely broken.' ​​In response to what Sharma describes as the 'one size fits all' approach to pregnancy, she started building Millie in 2020. The​​ maternal health startup combines obstetric and midwifery services that women can access ​in clinics and ​virtually​. ​An app ​​​​​​that ​provides stage-relevant content, care team messaging, and other resources, as well as remote monitoring tools. ​'It was just very much a pissed off mom who was trying to build a better experience,' she says.​​ But Millie isn't the only startup capitalizing on the midwife renaissance: ​​Oula​​​ and ​​​Pomelo Care​ are both invested in rethinking women's health. A student midwife in Somaliland attends to a woman who came with complaints of weakness and dizziness six-months after giving birth. Photograph by Lynsey Addario, Nat Geo Image Collection A growing number of midwives The percentage of births attended by midwives was 10.9 percent in 2022, up from 7.9 percent in 2012, ​according to​ the American College of Nurse-Midwives. But it could be poised to grow exponentially, in part due to sheer need: According to 2021 ​projections from the ​U.S. Department of Health and Human Services, demand for ​OB-GYNs ​could exceed supply by 2030. That's particularly true in rural areas where pregnant women must increasingly travel to get care, says Holly Kennedy, a nurse midwife and the Helen Varney Professor of Midwifery Emerita at Yale School of Nursing.​ Since 2010, ​​​over 500 rural hospitals​ have closed their labor and delivery wards and more are poised to close in the near future. Kennedy only discovered midwifery herself 'by the luck of the draw' during an internship in the early 1980s. She was so impressed by the midwives, she decided to go back to school to become one herself. Today, she's passing on her knowledge to the next generation of midwives at Yale as a professor of midwifery and researcher. ​​​​​Now, there are many routes to becoming a midwife. Nurse midwives, certified by the American Midwifery Certification Board, are registered nurses with a master's or Ph.D. in midwifery. They have full prescriptive privileges and offer reproductive care from prenatal to birth to menopause. There are also midwives certified through the American ​Midwifery​​ Certification Board ​without nursing degrees but who can operate in a similar manner, as well as professional midwives who are certified through the North American Registry of Midwives for non-hospital births. And then there are traditional midwives and doulas, who aren't formally licensed but can play a vital role in the birth process. ​​ ​​​​According to the ​Commonwealth Fund​, integrating midwives into health care systems could potentially avert 41 percent of maternal deaths, 26 percent of ​stillbirths​, and 39 percent of ​neonatal​ deaths. The benefits of a midwife model of care ​​Using a midwife doesn't have to mean forgoing a doctor.​ At medical centers like NYU Langone's ​Joan H. Tisch Center for Women's Health, they're innovating on integrating the two.​​​ On a Thursday evening in May a group of about 50 women mingle​d​ over wine and hors d'oeuvres alongside the center's OB-GYNS and midwives as well as local doulas and lactation consultants. ​​​​Just last year, the hospital embedded midwifery into its obstetrics and gynecology department, chaired by Gossett. She arrived at NYU via the ​​​​University of California, San Francisco, which has a robust midwifery program, and admits that she was 'startled' by the 'lack of midwifery' at NYU. 'For the vast majority of women, [pregnancy] is a safe and healthy process,' Gossett says. ​​​​​​​While physicians can play a critical role in reproductive care, they're trained to view pregnancy as a disease process, says Gossett. In contrast, midwives treat pregnancy as a natural phenomenon. 'And to the degree that we can let [births] happen naturally. That's what we should be doing,' she says. That's why Gossett believes it's important that the midwife or group of midwives is partnered with a physician group, including high-risk obstetrics. 'When things go wrong in labor, they go wrong very fast and they can go very, very badly wrong,' she says, which is why having an embedded midwife practice within a hospital setting is ideal. 'Midwives are frontline maternity care providers in nearly all other nations, but ob-gyns are the dominant maternity care providers in the U.S.,' Sakala says. 'Because having a baby is not inherently pathological, this is a deeply irrational situation.' A parallel, she says, would be using cardiologists for routine blood pressure checks who would have a 'more interventionist approach' to healthy people.​ 'There's such a benefit [to a midwife model of care], but at the same time, you want to have an easy transition of care when things get more complicated or [a] patient changes from being a low risk patient to one that's more high risk,' says ​Joanne Stone,​​​ Professor and System Chair of the Raquel and Jaime Gilinski Department of Obstetrics, Gynecology and Reproductive Science at the Icahn School of Medicine at Mount Sinai​​. ​​ ​​​And other major medical centers have embedded midwifery as well—take ​​​Northwell Health,​ New York State's largest healthcare provider, which has embedded midwifery at ​​​some ​locations​, and ​​the ​​Midwifery Program​ at the Ohio State Wexner Medical Center, which operates independently but still ​prioritizes​​ ​​collaboration​​ with ​​physician​​ ​​colleagues​​. ​​​ Parents and a midwife in New York share a moment of joy and relief after their newborn daughter was resuscitated. In the United States, which has the highest maternal mortality rate among high-income countries, midwifery could provide solutions for women and their children. Photograph by Jackie Molloy, Nat Geo Image Collection Midwifery, Kennedy says, is a potential answer to the perinatal care crisis. But even though a recent Listening to Mothers survey found that a majority of women said they would want or would consider a midwife, the interest currently 'exceeds current levels of availability and use of midwifery care,' Sakala says. Growing pains in the profession will be inevitable since there's a shortage of teachers in the field. Telfer points out that while doctors' residencies are funded through the government, that's not the case with midwifery. Meanwhile, like all hospital care, the cost of hospital births is rising as much as 20 percent, according to some estimates. The median cost of a healthy vaginal birth in the United States is almost $29,000 (the median cost of a C-section is almost $38,0000). In comparison, midwifery is far less expensive and a more efficient way to deliver care. According to a 2020 case study by the National Partnership for Women & Families, childbirth costs at midwifery-led birth centers were ​​​​21 percent lower. 'In my mind, this is a perfect moment for us to have grown our midwifery program because they do help us grow in a cost-effective way,' Gossett says. There are also larger reforms on the horizon: Sakala cites a new model from the Centers for Medicare & Medicaid Services called Transforming Maternal Health as 'an immediate catalyst for midwifery.' This 10-year care delivery and payment reform model in 15 states will provide resources and technical assistance that includes requirements such as increasing access to midwifery care and birth centers, Sakala says. She hopes it will 'foster a tipping point for midwifery.' Her personal goal, and one shared by Birth Center Equity, is that 50 percent of births will be attended by midwives by 2050. Getting there might require a radical rethinking of maternal health in the United States. Goode notes that there are social, structural, and political determinants of health at play, all of which need to be addressed. 'We need a big picture, systems re-imagination of the perinatal healthcare system,' she says. Midwifery can, as the evidence shows, be part of that shift, potentially leading to better outcomes for pregnant women and, like MIH in Uganda, significantly lowering the maternal mortality rate.

ICJ climate ruling to reshape global environmental laws
ICJ climate ruling to reshape global environmental laws

The Sun

time7 days ago

  • Politics
  • The Sun

ICJ climate ruling to reshape global environmental laws

THE HAGUE: The International Court of Justice (ICJ) is set to issue a historic advisory opinion on climate change, defining nations' legal duties to curb emissions and address environmental harm. The ruling, expected to influence global climate policies, stems from a push by Pacific island nations frustrated with slow progress in UN climate talks. Vanuatu's Climate Change Minister Ralph Regenvanu called the decision a potential 'game-changer' for climate justice. 'We've been going through this for 30 years... It'll shift the narrative, which is what we need to have,' he told AFP. The ICJ was tasked by the UN to clarify two key questions: what legal obligations states have to protect the environment from emissions, and what consequences they face for harming vulnerable nations. While the opinion is non-binding, experts believe it could pressure governments to strengthen climate policies. Andrew Raine of the UN Environment Programme noted the ruling could 'clarify how international law applies to the climate crisis,' influencing courts and lawmakers worldwide. Over 100 countries and organizations submitted arguments, with small island states urging reparations from major polluters. Margaretha Wewerinke-Singh, representing Vanuatu, argued that 'responsible states are required to make full reparation for the injury they have caused.' Island nations like Tuvalu warned of existential threats, with Eselealofa Apinelu stating, 'Tuvalu will disappear completely beneath the waves.' The case highlights growing legal battles over climate inaction, with activists hoping the ICJ's moral authority will spur faster action. Vishal Prasad of the Pacific Islands Students Fighting Climate Change stressed the urgency: 'The seriousness of why we're here is not lost upon all Pacific Islanders.' - AFP

Trump's favorability fell among AAPI adults, poll finds
Trump's favorability fell among AAPI adults, poll finds

Economic Times

time7 days ago

  • Business
  • Economic Times

Trump's favorability fell among AAPI adults, poll finds

Live Events (You can now subscribe to our (You can now subscribe to our Economic Times WhatsApp channel A small but fast-growing group in the United States has soured somewhat on President Donald Trump this year, as they worry about high costs and fear that new tariff policies will further raise their expenses, a new poll percentage of Asian Americans, Native Hawaiians and Pacific Islanders with an unfavourable opinion of Trump rose to 71 per cent in July, from 60 per cent in December, according to a national survey by AAPI Data and The Associated Press-NORC Centre for Public Affairs AAPI adults who describe themselves as independent are especially likely to have cooled on the president. About 7 in 10 AAPI independents have a "very" or "somewhat" unfavourable opinion of Trump, up roughly 20 percentage points since poll is part of an ongoing project exploring the views of Asian Americans, Native Hawaiians and Pacific Islanders, whose views are usually not highlighted in other surveys because of small sample sizes and lack of linguistic independents' unfavourable view of Trump is higher than his unfavourable rating among independent adults overall, which was 52 per cent in a June AP-NORC poll, having nudged slightly higher from 44 per cent in concerns could be playing a central role. About 8 in 10 AAPI adults expect Trump's tariff policies will increase the cost of consumer goods, the poll found, while only about 4 in 10 think those policies will boost domestic manufacturing and just 2 in 10 anticipate more US jobs as a result."To me, it seems like a lot of not-really-well-thought-out things that are happening," said Michael Ida, a 56-year-old independent in Hawaii who teaches high school advanced-placement calculus. "In the process, there's a lot of collateral damage and fallout that's hurting a lot of people." Ida was referring specifically to government spending cuts, including for adults represent a small segment of the US population, making up about 7 per cent of the nation's residents in 2023, according to a Pew Research Centre analysis of government data. Likewise, they are hardly a pro-Trump voting bloc generally. In last year's election, English-speaking Asian US voters shifted slightly toward Trump, but with only about a third supporting him, up from 29 per cent in 2020, according to AP new poll also suggests that they are especially likely to be worried about the economy's trajectory, and remain anxious about high two-thirds of AAPI adults, 65 per cent, say they are "extremely" or "very" concerned about the possibility of the US economy going into a recession, higher than the 53 per cent of Americans generally who said the same in an April AP-NORC survey."On the economy, you saw AAPI voters shift - not in a big way, but shift nonetheless - toward Trump" in the 2024 election, said Karthick Ramakrishnan, executive director of AAPI Data and researcher at the University of California, Berkeley. "They are not seeing big economic benefits pan out. Quite the contrary, they are seeing big economic risks on the horizon based on Trump's action on tariffs."Shopan Hafiz, a 39-year-old independent engineer at Intel in Oregon, described his view of Trump as "very unfavourable," and bemoaned the Republican president's tariff policy, which he expected to hit American consumers harder in the coming months."With all the tariffs, I don't think it's going to help," Hafiz said. "All the tariffs will ultimately be paid by US nationals, and inflation is going to get worse."The poll comes in the midst of Trump's on-and-off threats to impose tariffs for what he says is his goal of levelling the nation's trade imbalance. Inflation rose in June to its highest level since February as Trump's tariffs pushed up the cost of household goods, from groceries to prices rose 2.7 per cent in June from a year earlier, the Labour Department said last week, up from an annual increase of 2.4 per cent in May. On a monthly basis, prices climbed 0.3per cent from May to June, after rising just 0.1 per cent the previous Hafiz, Ida, the teacher in Hawaii, did not vote for Trump last year. Instead, both voted for Libertarian Party nominee Chase Oliver. Hafiz's decision was in opposition to the two major US parties' support for Israel in its war in Gaza. Ida said the two major parties had become "too extreme."Ida is among the roughly two-thirds of AAPI adults who say they are at least "very concerned" about the cost of groceries. He's noticed fear of higher prices in his Pacific island state, and even more within the ethnic businesses, in light of Hawaii's reliance on shipped goods."Here in Hawaii, because we're so isolated, everything comes on a ship or a plane," he said. "We're especially vulnerable to prices rising and disruptions in the supply chain. There's definitely some anxiety there."

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