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Pirates at Giants prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for July 30
Pirates at Giants prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for July 30

Yahoo

time2 hours ago

  • Sport
  • Yahoo

Pirates at Giants prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for July 30

Its Wednesday, July 30 and the Pirates (46-62) are in San Francisco looking to sweep their three-game series against the Giants (54-54). Mike Burrows is slated to take the mound for Pittsburgh against Logan Webb for San Francisco. Pittsburgh won last night, 3-1. It was the Bucs' fourth straight win and seventh in their last eight games. Tyler Rogers allowed two runs in the eighth and took the loss for the Giants who have now lost five in a row. Lets dive into today's matchup and find a sweat or two. We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch the first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts. Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long. Game details & how to watch Pirates at Giants Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025 Time: 3:45PM EST Site: Oracle Park City: San Francisco, CA Network/Streaming: SNP, NBCSBA Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out. Odds for the Pirates at the Giants The latest odds as of Wednesday: Moneyline: Pirates (+177), Giants (-214) Spread: Giants -1.5 Total: 7.0 runs Probable starting pitchers for Pirates at Giants Pitching matchup for July 30, 2025: Mike Burrows vs. Logan Webb Pirates: Mike Burrows (1-3, 4.15 ERA)Last outing: July 25 vs. Arizona - 0.00 ERA, 0 Earned Runs Allowed, 3 Hits Allowed, 1 Walks, and 5 Strikeouts Giants: Logan Webb (9-8, 3.38 ERA)Last outing: July 25 vs. Mets - 13.50 ERA, 6 Earned Runs Allowed, 8 Hits Allowed, 1 Walks, and 4 Strikeouts Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type! Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Pirates at Giants The Pirates have won their last three road games, while the Giants have lost eight of their last nine at home The Over has cashed in the Giants' last three games with Logan Webb on the bump The Pirates have covered the Run Line in seven of their last nine road games against the Giants Rafael Devers is 0-11 over his last three games If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports! Expert picks & predictions for today's game between the Pirates and the Giants Rotoworld Best Bet Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700. Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts. Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager. Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Wednesday's game between the Pirates and the Giants: Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline. Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Pittsburgh Pirates at +1.5. Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 7.0. Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff: Jay Croucher (@croucherJD) Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper) Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)

Pirates at Giants prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for July 30
Pirates at Giants prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for July 30

NBC Sports

time3 hours ago

  • Sport
  • NBC Sports

Pirates at Giants prediction: Odds, expert picks, starting pitchers, betting trends, and stats for July 30

Its Wednesday, July 30 and the Pirates (46-62) are in San Francisco looking to sweep their three-game series against the Giants (54-54). Mike Burrows is slated to take the mound for Pittsburgh against Logan Webb for San Francisco. Pittsburgh won last night, 3-1. It was the Bucs' fourth straight win and seventh in their last eight games. Tyler Rogers allowed two runs in the eighth and took the loss for the Giants who have now lost five in a row. Lets dive into today's matchup and find a sweat or two. We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch the first pitch, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts. Follow Rotoworld Player News for the latest fantasy and betting player news and analysis all season long. Game details & how to watch Pirates at Giants Date: Wednesday, July 30, 2025 Time: 3:45PM EST Site: Oracle Park City: San Francisco, CA Network/Streaming: SNP, NBCSBA Never miss a second of the action and stay up-to-date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day MLB schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game with every out. Odds for the Pirates at the Giants The latest odds as of Wednesday: Moneyline: Pirates (+177), Giants (-214) Spread: Giants -1.5 Total: 7.0 runs Probable starting pitchers for Pirates at Giants Pitching matchup for July 30, 2025: Mike Burrows vs. Logan Webb Pirates: Mike Burrows (1-3, 4.15 ERA) Last outing: July 25 vs. Arizona - 0.00 ERA, 0 Earned Runs Allowed, 3 Hits Allowed, 1 Walks, and 5 StrikeoutsGiants: Logan Webb (9-8, 3.38 ERA) Last outing: July 25 vs. Mets - 13.50 ERA, 6 Earned Runs Allowed, 8 Hits Allowed, 1 Walks, and 4 Strikeouts Pirates: Mike Burrows (1-3, 4.15 ERA) Last outing: July 25 vs. Arizona - 0.00 ERA, 0 Earned Runs Allowed, 3 Hits Allowed, 1 Walks, and 5 Strikeouts Giants: Logan Webb (9-8, 3.38 ERA) Last outing: July 25 vs. Mets - 13.50 ERA, 6 Earned Runs Allowed, 8 Hits Allowed, 1 Walks, and 4 Strikeouts Rotoworld still has you covered with all the latest MLB player news for all 30 teams. Check out the feed page right here on NBC Sports for headlines, injuries and transactions where you can filter by league, team, positions and news type! Top betting trends & insights to know ahead of Pirates at Giants The Pirates have won their last three road games, while the Giants have lost eight of their last nine at home The Over has cashed in the Giants' last three games with Logan Webb on the bump The Pirates have covered the Run Line in seven of their last nine road games against the Giants Rafael Devers is 0-11 over his last three games If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our MLB Top Trends tool on NBC Sports! Expert picks & predictions for today's game between the Pirates and the Giants Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700. Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the MLB calendar based on data points like past performance, player matchups, ballpark information and weather forecasts. Once the model is finished running, we put its projection next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager. Here are the best bets our model is projecting for Wednesday's game between the Pirates and the Giants: Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is staying away from a play on the Moneyline. Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Pittsburgh Pirates at +1.5. Total: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the over on the Game Total of 7.0. Want even more MLB best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert MLB Predictions page from NBC Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff: Jay Croucher (@croucherJD) Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper) Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports) Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)

MLB Starting Pitcher News: Troy Melton, Carson Whisenhunt, and other MLB debuts
MLB Starting Pitcher News: Troy Melton, Carson Whisenhunt, and other MLB debuts

NBC Sports

time4 hours ago

  • Sport
  • NBC Sports

MLB Starting Pitcher News: Troy Melton, Carson Whisenhunt, and other MLB debuts

It's Wednesday, which means it's time for us to visit the bump on Hump Day and discuss starting pitcher news. Each week in this article, I'll be taking a deeper look at a few trending/surging starting pitchers to see what, if anything, is changing and whether or not we should be investing in this hot stretch. JUST AN FYI THAT THIS WILL BE AN ABBREVIATED ARTICLE WITH THE TRADE DEADLINE HEATING UP. HOWEVER, I WANTED TO GIVE YOU SOME PITCH MIX ANALYSIS ON SOME OF THE ROOKIES THAT WE SAW DEBUT RECENTLY. The article will be similar to the series I ran for a few years called Mixing It Up (previously Pitchers With New Pitches and Should We Care?), where I broke down new pitches to see if there were truly meaningful additions that changed a pitcher's outlook. Only now, I won't just look at new pitches, I can also cover velocity bumps, new usage patterns, or new roles. However, the premise will remain the same: trying to determine if the recent results are connected to any meaningful changes that make them worth investing in or if they're just mirages. Each week, I'll try to cover change for at least four starters and give my clear take on whether I would add them, trade for them, or invest fully in their success. Hopefully you'll find it useful, so let's get started. Matthew Pouliot, Melton had a rough MLB debut against the Pirates, and many people wrote him off; however, his pitches graded out well in that first start, and the Tigers wanted to give him another chance. He responded with a strong outing on Monday against a depleted Diamondbacks lineup, throwing seven shutout innings while allowing five hits and striking out five. So what do we make of Melton's pitch mix? The 24-year-old has a deep six-pitch mix with at least four pitches that he uses to hitters of each handedness. Pitcher List His four-seam fastball is his primary offering, using it to both righties and lefties to get ahead. He has 6.9 feet of extension on the pitch at 97 mph with 12.8 inches of iVB from a low 5.4 foot release height, which gives him a solid 1.3 Height Adjusted Vertical Approach Angle. That means his fastball is particularly flat and appears to 'rise' against gravity as it approaches home plate. With nearly seven feet of extension, that 97 mph pitch also looks closer to 99 mph to a hitter. Melton also does a really good job of keeping the pitch up in the zone and has so far shown a strong ability to locate the pitch in the strike zone, so I kind of love this as a foundational offering for him. His primary secondary offering to both righties and lefties is his slider; however, he uses it far more often (33%) to righties than lefties (22%). He uses it over 35% of the time in two-strike counts to all hitters, but the pitch understandably performs much better against righties with a 36% Swinging Strike Rate (SwStr%) and 40% PutAway Rate, which measures how often a two-strike pitch leads to a strikeout. The pitch is 85.5 mph with nearly seven inches of glove-side movement and three inches of vertical break, which is 38.7 inches when accounting for gravity, but it is a strong swing-and-miss pitch and has carved up righties all year at multiple levels. Against lefties, he pairs that slider with a cutter, which you can see in the pitch plot above: slider in purple and cutter in brown. The cutter is a pitch he throws only to lefties. It's 91 mph with 2.6 inches of horizontal break but 27 inches of drop when accounting for gravity. He does a tremendous job of locating it in the zone, which helps to keep lefties from jumping on his slider. He also keeps the cutter low and away from lefties as a backdoor offering to try and draw called strikes, which is part of the reason is has a 96th percentile called strike rate through his first two starts. By locating that pitch away, he creates some deception with the slider and four-seamer because hitters need to determine out of his hand if it's a fastball that will be off the plate away, a cutter that will hit the outside corner, or a slider that's going to dart down and out of the zone. It's a tough call to make in a split second. Those are his three main offerings, but lefties will also see a below-average splitter that he commands well but lacks elite movement on, and also the occasional curve that he can steal early strikes with. Right-handed hitters will also see a sinker that he tries to bury inside to keep them off his four-seamer, and the occasional curve as well. There is still some growth to be had here. The splitter is reportedly a new pitch he added this year instead of his old changeup, so his feel for the pitch is likely still developing. Same goes for the sinker, but he has three fastball variations with a plus slider and a curve that looks like it could at least be an average offering. The injury to Reese Olson has given Melton a shot to stick in the Tigers' rotation, and I'm happy to take some gambles on him in deeper formats and use him as a streamer in shallow leagues. With Landen Roupp managing an elbow injury and Hayden Birdsong sent to the minors, the Giants had two spots in the rotation open. The 24-year-old Whisenhunt got the first crack at one of those jobs with his MLB debut against the Pirates on Monday night. However, much like Troy Melton struggled in his debut against the Pirates, Whisenhunt did as well, allowing four earned runs on five hits in five innings. So was his debut as impressive under the hood as Melton's? The short answer is no. We want to give rookies grace in their MLB debut because it's understandable that there are plenty of nerves at play, but a 47% zone rate and a 57.6% strike rate overall are not great from Whisenhunt. Considering he also didn't get many chases out of the zone, that led to just five whiffs and 16 called strikes. What we know from Whisenhunt's prospect profile is that the changeup is his bread-and-butter pitch. Since he's a left-handed pitcher, we do love a great changeup. The pitch has almost 16 inches of horizontal break and 34 inches of vertical drop when you account for gravity. That means that the pitch will be more successful due to have much it runs away from right-handed hitters rather than dropping suddenly off the plate. However, it didn't really miss many bats in his debut, with just four whiffs overall and an 18.8% chase rate. Considering he also posted a slightly above-average 60% strike rate on it and allowed a home run on a poorly located changeup, it was a bit of a down performance for the changeup. I love that he has that in his bag, but the pitch didn't give me warm and fuzzy feelings of an elite offering on Monday. Whisenhunt pairs his changeup with a sinker and a slider to round out a relatively shallow three-pitch mix. The sinker has 17.2" of Induced Vertical Break (iVB) with 6.7 feet of extension, so we kind of like those specs. It makes his 92.4 mph velocity feel a bit closer to 93-94 mph, and he located it up in the zone well, which led to 14 called strikes. The pitch, which has over 10 inches of horizontal movement, pairs well with his changeup that has more run than drop; however, I don't love that he's using his sinker as a primary fastball to righties. He has no problem trying to jam them inside with it, but the sinker will run back over the plate, which is partially why he had just one whiff on it all game. He rounds out his arsenal with an 81.1 mph slider that has just 0.6 inches of horizontal movement and 2.4 inches of drop, 45.1 inches when you account for gravity. However, his command of the pitch was all over the place on Monday, leaving some up and away from righties and bouncing others in the dirt. That leaves me with the impression that he might be more comfortable throwing that pitch to lefties and will be more of a sinker/changeup guy to right-handed hitters. Even if that change-up is good, I just don't see enough here to get me overly excited in fantasy leagues. With Chris Paddack traded to the Tigers and David Festa landing on the IL, the Twins had a spot open in the rotation and opted to give Ohl an audition on Tuesday night. You're going to look at his box score and see four earned runs on five hits in three innings and think he's not worth your time, but there were some things I liked here. We have to start with the changeup because that's Ohl's best pitch. Unlike my reaction to Carson Whisenhunt, when I saw Ohl's changeup, I sat up on the couch. He turns his wrist over on release, so the change tumbles out of the zone with nearly 14 inches of horizontal movement but also 37 inches of drop when you account for gravity. The metrics seem similar, but because of Ohl's release height difference, his changeup appears to drop more and also more suddenly, which is why he got seven whiffs and a 33.3% CSW on the pitch in his three innings of work. He will throw it to both righties and lefties, and does a really good job of keeping it low in the zone (as you can see with the green dots below). In his start on Tuesday, he used the changeup as a two-strike swing-and-miss pitch, but he also used it as a strike pitch in 2-0 counts. I love the versatility that he has with that pitch and think it's a legit weapon. However, remember that we saw Gunnar Hoglund debut this year with a dope changeup and not much else, and that wound up not working out. The pitch plot above highlights some of my concerns with Ohl's four-seamer. On one hand, 17.3 inches of iVB and a 0.8 Height Adjusted Vertical Approach Angle are pretty nice. However, he also gets nearly 10 inches of arm-side run on the pitch, so, at times, it looks like a sinker coming out of his hands. Perhaps there's a classification issue here, and Ohl threw more than three sinkers yesterday, but I didn't love the shape of his four-seamer, and the locations weren't great. A 65% zone rate is above average, but you see so many middle-middle fastballs when you look at the plot above, and then another few that missed way high. When you combine that with subpar 6.2 feet of extension and 92 mph velocity, I don't see this as a plus pitch. Still, if he can keep it out of the middle of the strike zone, I think the attack angle on the pitch can keep it as a fine foundational fastball to help him get ahead. I do need to see how this four-seam/sinker combination plays out in subsequent starts because the fastball shape confuses me a bit here. He rounds out the arsenal with a cutter and a curve. The cutter had some good moments on Tuesday, including striking out Alex Bregman. Ohl didn't throw a single one of his five cutters in the zone, which tells me that his primary goal for the pitch is to get chases. It did that a bit on Tuesday, and I think we should consider this pitch, with its 86 mph velocity, as more of a tight slider. I'd love to see him be able to dot some of these for strikes and then work off the plate for chases because I liked this pitch a little when I was watching the game. Lastly, the curve is a bit of a get-me-over strike pitch, but it did register one chase outside of the zone. He seems more comfortable using it to lefties, which is fine because he prefers his cutter to righties, so this gives him three pitches for hitters of each handedness. I didn't love the curve, with 11.5 inches of drop (not including gravity) and 1.3 inches of horizontal break, but if he can locate it down in the zone against lefties, it could be useful as a strike pitch. At the end of the day, Ohl intrigues me because his changeup is a legit pitch, and I see some potential in his cutter. This is a guy who posted a 2.17 ERA and 30% strikeout rate across Double-A and Triple-A this season. There is talent in his arm. I just think his best role might be as a multi-inning reliever where his limited pitch mix won't come back to bite him as much. With Pablo Lopez and David Festa both on the IL, Ohl could get another crack or two at the rotation, but I'd be cautious unless he was facing a left-handed heavy lineup.

Pirates trio looks to continue uptick against former team in San Francisco
Pirates trio looks to continue uptick against former team in San Francisco

Reuters

time4 hours ago

  • Sport
  • Reuters

Pirates trio looks to continue uptick against former team in San Francisco

July 30 - Pittsburgh's Bryan Reynolds will attempt to complete a homecoming hat trick Wednesday afternoon when the visiting Pirates go for a sweep of the San Francisco Giants. The Pirates, who occupy last place in the National League Central, clinched a third consecutive series win with 6-5 and 3-1 wins over the Giants on the first two nights of the three-game set. Pittsburgh, which has won four straight games and seven of its past eight, will look to hang a sixth straight loss on the Giants. The Pirates' offensive hero in each game of this series has been a former member of the Giants. Andrew McCutchen, who played 130 games for the Giants during the 2018 season, produced the difference-making runs with a two-run homer on Monday before Joey Bart, San Francisco's top draft pick that year and a member of the Giants from 2020-23, broke a 1-1 tie with an eight-inning single in the rematch. McCutchen hit 15 homers in his only season in San Francisco. When he hit his 10th of this season on Monday, it gave him double digits for a 17th consecutive season as he became just the 11th player in Major League Baseball history to achieve that feat. Unlike his two teammates, Reynolds never played for the Giants, but he was their second-round pick in 2016 and, coincidentally, the key export in the 2018 acquisition of McCutchen from the Pirates. Reynolds, who was batting just .226 as of July 18, has heated up a bit just as trade winds have swirled at a season-high rate around the Pirates. The 30-year-old has hits in six of his past nine games, a stretch in which he's gone 11-for-39 (.282) with four doubles and five RBIs. The switch-hitting outfielder has gone on record as insisting he wants to remain in Pittsburgh, noting that he has an eight-year, $107 million contract that doesn't expire until 2031. "Obviously, I don't want to get traded," he told reporters. "I've got five more years. I wouldn't have signed here if I wanted to get traded two years later. Hopefully, it doesn't come down to that. It's why I have that (no-trade clause), right?" According to the Pittsburgh Post-Gazette, Reynolds has six teams on his no-trade list. The Giants are one of them. Reynolds and his mates will go for a series sweep Wednesday against Giants right-hander Logan Webb (9-8, 3.38 ERA), who will try to finish his worst month of the season on a positive note. He's pitched to a 7.36 ERA in his first four July starts, allowing six runs in both of his home outings against the Los Angeles Dodgers and New York Mets. The 28-year-old will make his fourth career start against the Pirates, having compiled a 1-1 record and 2.89 ERA in the first three outings. The Giants desperately need Webb to play stopper. They have been in a freefall since June 13, when they sat tied with the Los Angeles Dodgers atop the National League West at 41-29. A loss Wednesday would put the Giants under .500 for the first time all season. They enter the contest nine games behind Los Angeles for the division lead and five games behind the San Diego Padres for the National League's third and final wild-card berth. "We've had meetings," Giants manager Bob Melvin said. "We've had team meetings. We've had all kinds of meetings. It's going out there and fighting a little harder and winning a game and having a little more resolve, which we've shown this year. We just have not done it here recently." The Pirates are scheduled to counter on Wednesday with right-hander Mike Burrows (1-3, 4.15 ERA), who hasn't faced the Giants in 13 career games. The 25-year-old is winless in his past nine appearances despite having pitched shutout ball in two of his four July outings, limiting the Seattle Mariners and Arizona Diamondbacks to a total of six hits over 11 innings. --Field Level Media

Giants' Heliot Ramos suffers mind-boggling baserunning mistake in loss to Pirates: 'Mental error'
Giants' Heliot Ramos suffers mind-boggling baserunning mistake in loss to Pirates: 'Mental error'

Fox News

time4 hours ago

  • Sport
  • Fox News

Giants' Heliot Ramos suffers mind-boggling baserunning mistake in loss to Pirates: 'Mental error'

San Francisco Giants outfielder Heliot Ramos committed a bizarre baserunning blunder in the team's 3-1 loss to the Pittsburgh Pirates on Tuesday night. Matt Chapman was at the plate with Ramos on second base and Wlily Adames on first base in the bottom of the first inning. Pirates pitcher Bailey Falter got Chapman to pop up in front of the mound. The home plate umpire called an infield fly rule, which is used to prevent the defensive team from intentionally dropping a pop-up in hopes of turning a double play. Naturally, Ramos and Adames would have stayed on base, and the next batter would be up. Instead, Pirates third baseman Ke'Bryan Hayes let the ball drop in front of him, and it caught Ramos a bit off guard. Ramos was caught trailing too much off of second and Hayes threw the ball to second baseman Nick Gonzalez to achieve the quick-thinking double play. Ramos called it a "mental error" after the game, according to NBC Sports Bay Area. "Trying to do too much, overthinking. I messed up. That's the only thing I can say about it. It's been happening a lot. I'm just trying to get better, do better every day, every time. Trying to work on it, even on my defense. It hasn't been the best," Ramos said. "I don't want to mess it up. I don't know what to do. All I'm doing is working every day, trying to fix everything." It was that kind of game for the Giants as they were only able to get two hits the entire game. Falter allowed two hits and only one run. The Pirates' bullpen did its job to shut down the Giants' offense and win the game. Pirates shortstop Liover Peguero and catcher Joey Bart contributed the RBI in the win.

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