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A bad wrap: Trump blasts 'TACO Theory'
A bad wrap: Trump blasts 'TACO Theory'

RTÉ News​

time2 days ago

  • Business
  • RTÉ News​

A bad wrap: Trump blasts 'TACO Theory'

US President Donald Trump made no pretence at hiding his irritation this week when he was asked by a reporter about "TACO" - an acronym that has been gaining traction among Wall Street traders who believe that "Trump Always Chickens Out." The so-called "TACO Theory" was coined by Robert Armstrong, a Financial Times writer seeking to underline the president's tendency to backtrack on policies when they start to roil the markets. Investors have come to realise that the US administration "does not have a very high tolerance for market and economic pressure and will be quick to back off when tariffs cause pain," Mr Armstrong concluded. "This is the TACO Theory: Trump Always Chickens Out." Mr Armstrong was writing earlier this month, after stocks had just rebounded sharply on Mr Trump's announcement of a pause in massive tariffs imposed on the rest of the world by the Republican leader. Worsening the whiplash, Mr Trump announced last week that tariffs of 50% on imports from the European Union would come into force on 1 June - but two days later declared a pause until 9 July. 'It's called negotiation' At the heart of Mr Trump's flip-flops is an acute sensitivity for the ups and downs of market trading that he honed as a property developer and business magnate in the 1980s. During his first term in office, a sharp reaction on Wall Street could sometimes be the only way to change the billionaire's mind. Beyond the columns of the Financial Times, the "TACO Theory" is having a viral moment, and has entered the lexicon of investors who see it as more than just a snarky in-joke, according to analysts. "TACO trading strategy gets attention again," blared the headline on a podcast released on Monday by John Hardy, head of macroeconomic strategy at Danish investment bank Saxo. The phrase eventually found its way back to the 78-year-old president, who furiously denied on Wednesday that he was backing down in the face of stock market turmoil. "I chicken out? I've never heard that... don't ever say what you said, that's a nasty question," he said, rounding in the journalist who had asked for his take on the expression. Far from caving, Mr Trump said he was merely engaging in the high-stakes cut and thrust of international deal making, he said - adding, "it's called negotiation." For Steve Sosnick of Interactive Brokers, the 'TACO Theory' is a "nonpolitical way of the markets calling the administration's bluff." Reaction Sam Burns, an analyst at Mill Street Research, said he has noticed a new equanimity in Wall Street's reaction to each new tariff announcement, with traders' responses initially "much larger and more direct." Where they once convulsed markets, Trump's tariff talk now tends to be viewed as "easily reversible or not reliable," said Burns, and investors are accordingly more willing to ignore the instinct to act rashly. This new calm was evident among traders at the New York Stock Exchange who held steady in the face of Mr Trump's EU tariff threats, and again when they did not overreact to successive court rulings blocking and then temporarily reinstating most of the tariffs. But Mr Hardy warns that the vagaries of Mr Trump's day-to-day announcements should not distract from the protectionist bent of his broader political outlook. "Trump might 'chicken out' at times," Mr Hardy wrote in a recent commentary on Saxo's website. "But the underlying policy moves are for real, and a deadly serious shift in US economic statecraft and industrial policy that is a response to massive instabilities that have been growing for years."

A bad wrap: An angry Trump blasts the 'TACO Theory'
A bad wrap: An angry Trump blasts the 'TACO Theory'

France 24

time3 days ago

  • Business
  • France 24

A bad wrap: An angry Trump blasts the 'TACO Theory'

The so-called "TACO Theory" was coined by Robert Armstrong, a Financial Times writer seeking to underline the US president's tendency to backtrack on policies when they start to roil the markets. Investors have come to realize that the US administration "does not have a very high tolerance for market and economic pressure and will be quick to back off when tariffs cause pain," the journalist concluded. "This is the TACO Theory: Trump Always Chickens Out." Armstrong was writing earlier this month, after stocks had just rebounded sharply on Trump's announcement of a pause in massive tariffs imposed on the rest of the world by the Republican leader. Worsening the whiplash, Trump announced last week that tariffs of 50 percent on imports from the European Union would come into force on June 1 -- but two days later declared a pause until July 9. 'It's called negotiation' At the heart of Trump's flip-flops is an acute sensitivity for the ups and downs of market trading that he honed as a brash New York property developer and business magnate in the 1980s. During his first term in office, a sharp reaction on Wall Street could sometimes be the only way to change the billionaire's mind. Beyond the columns of the Financial Times, the "TACO Theory" is having a viral moment, and has entered the lexicon of investors who see it as more than just a snarky in-joke, according to analysts. "TACO trading strategy gets attention again," blared the headline on a podcast released Monday by John Hardy, head of macroeconomic strategy at Danish investment bank Saxo. The phrase eventually found its way back to the 78-year-old president, who furiously denied on Wednesday that he was backing down in the face of stock market turmoil. "I chicken out? I've never heard that... don't ever say what you said, that's a nasty question," the mercurial tycoon thundered, rounding in the journalist who had asked for his take on the expression. Far from caving, Trump said he was merely engaging in the high-stakes cut and thrust of international dealmaking, he snarled -- adding, with a sardonic edge: "It's called negotiation." For Steve Sosnick of Interactive Brokers, the TACO Theory is a "nonpolitical way of the markets calling the administration's bluff." Reaction Sam Burns, an analyst at Mill Street Research, told AFP he has noticed a new equanimity in Wall Street's reaction to each new tariff announcement, with traders' responses initially "much larger and more direct." Where they once convulsed markets, Trump's tariff talk now tends to be viewed as "easily reversible or not reliable," said Burns, and investors are accordingly more willing to ignore the instinct to act rashly. This new calm was evident among traders at the New York Stock Exchange who held steady in the face of Trump's EU tariff threats, and again when they did not overreact to successive court rulings blocking and then temporarily reinstating most of the tariffs. But Hardy, the Saxo analyst, warns that the vagaries of Trump's day-to-day announcements should not distract from the protectionist bent of his broader political outlook. "Trump might 'chicken out' at times," Hardy wrote in a recent commentary on Saxo's website.

A Bad Wrap: An Angry Trump Blasts The 'TACO Theory'
A Bad Wrap: An Angry Trump Blasts The 'TACO Theory'

Int'l Business Times

time3 days ago

  • Business
  • Int'l Business Times

A Bad Wrap: An Angry Trump Blasts The 'TACO Theory'

President Donald Trump made no pretense at hiding his irritation this week when he was asked by a reporter about "TACO" -- an acronym that has been gaining traction among Wall Street traders who believe that "Trump Always Chickens Out." The so-called "TACO Theory" was coined by Robert Armstrong, a Financial Times writer seeking to underline the US president's tendency to backtrack on policies when they start to roil the markets. Investors have come to realize that the US administration "does not have a very high tolerance for market and economic pressure and will be quick to back off when tariffs cause pain," the journalist concluded. "This is the TACO Theory: Trump Always Chickens Out." Armstrong was writing earlier this month, after stocks had just rebounded sharply on Trump's announcement of a pause in massive tariffs imposed on the rest of the world by the Republican leader. Worsening the whiplash, Trump announced last week that tariffs of 50 percent on imports from the European Union would come into force on June 1 -- but two days later declared a pause until July 9. At the heart of Trump's flip-flops is an acute sensitivity for the ups and downs of market trading that he honed as a brash New York property developer and business magnate in the 1980s. During his first term in office, a sharp reaction on Wall Street could sometimes be the only way to change the billionaire's mind. Beyond the columns of the Financial Times, the "TACO Theory" is having a viral moment, and has entered the lexicon of investors who see it as more than just a snarky in-joke, according to analysts. "TACO trading strategy gets attention again," blared the headline on a podcast released Monday by John Hardy, head of macroeconomic strategy at Danish investment bank Saxo. The phrase eventually found its way back to the 78-year-old president, who furiously denied on Wednesday that he was backing down in the face of stock market turmoil. "I chicken out? I've never heard that... don't ever say what you said, that's a nasty question," the mercurial tycoon thundered, rounding in the journalist who had asked for his take on the expression. Far from caving, Trump said he was merely engaging in the high-stakes cut and thrust of international dealmaking, he snarled -- adding, with a sardonic edge: "It's called negotiation." For Steve Sosnick of Interactive Brokers, the TACO Theory is a "nonpolitical way of the markets calling the administration's bluff." Sam Burns, an analyst at Mill Street Research, told AFP he has noticed a new equanimity in Wall Street's reaction to each new tariff announcement, with traders' responses initially "much larger and more direct." Where they once convulsed markets, Trump's tariff talk now tends to be viewed as "easily reversible or not reliable," said Burns, and investors are accordingly more willing to ignore the instinct to act rashly. This new calm was evident among traders at the New York Stock Exchange who held steady in the face of Trump's EU tariff threats, and again when they did not overreact to successive court rulings blocking and then temporarily reinstating most of the tariffs. But Hardy, the Saxo analyst, warns that the vagaries of Trump's day-to-day announcements should not distract from the protectionist bent of his broader political outlook. "Trump might 'chicken out' at times," Hardy wrote in a recent commentary on Saxo's website. "But the underlying policy moves are for real, and a deadly serious shift in US economic statecraft and industrial policy that is a response to massive instabilities that have been growing for years."

A bad wrap: An angry Trump blasts the 'TACO Theory'
A bad wrap: An angry Trump blasts the 'TACO Theory'

Yahoo

time3 days ago

  • Business
  • Yahoo

A bad wrap: An angry Trump blasts the 'TACO Theory'

President Donald Trump made no pretense at hiding his irritation this week when he was asked by a reporter about "TACO" -- an acronym that has been gaining traction among Wall Street traders who believe that "Trump Always Chickens Out." The so-called "TACO Theory" was coined by Robert Armstrong, a Financial Times writer seeking to underline the US president's tendency to backtrack on policies when they start to roil the markets. Investors have come to realize that the US administration "does not have a very high tolerance for market and economic pressure and will be quick to back off when tariffs cause pain," the journalist concluded. "This is the TACO Theory: Trump Always Chickens Out." Armstrong was writing earlier this month, after stocks had just rebounded sharply on Trump's announcement of a pause in massive tariffs imposed on the rest of the world by the Republican leader. Worsening the whiplash, Trump announced last week that tariffs of 50 percent on imports from the European Union would come into force on June 1 -- but two days later declared a pause until July 9. - 'It's called negotiation' - At the heart of Trump's flip-flops is an acute sensitivity for the ups and downs of market trading that he honed as a brash New York property developer and business magnate in the 1980s. During his first term in office, a sharp reaction on Wall Street could sometimes be the only way to change the billionaire's mind. Beyond the columns of the Financial Times, the "TACO Theory" is having a viral moment, and has entered the lexicon of investors who see it as more than just a snarky in-joke, according to analysts. "TACO trading strategy gets attention again," blared the headline on a podcast released Monday by John Hardy, head of macroeconomic strategy at Danish investment bank Saxo. The phrase eventually found its way back to the 78-year-old president, who furiously denied on Wednesday that he was backing down in the face of stock market turmoil. "I chicken out? I've never heard that... don't ever say what you said, that's a nasty question," the mercurial tycoon thundered, rounding in the journalist who had asked for his take on the expression. Far from caving, Trump said he was merely engaging in the high-stakes cut and thrust of international dealmaking, he snarled -- adding, with a sardonic edge: "It's called negotiation." For Steve Sosnick of Interactive Brokers, the TACO Theory is a "nonpolitical way of the markets calling the administration's bluff." - Reaction - Sam Burns, an analyst at Mill Street Research, told AFP he has noticed a new equanimity in Wall Street's reaction to each new tariff announcement, with traders' responses initially "much larger and more direct." Where they once convulsed markets, Trump's tariff talk now tends to be viewed as "easily reversible or not reliable," said Burns, and investors are accordingly more willing to ignore the instinct to act rashly. This new calm was evident among traders at the New York Stock Exchange who held steady in the face of Trump's EU tariff threats, and again when they did not overreact to successive court rulings blocking and then temporarily reinstating most of the tariffs. But Hardy, the Saxo analyst, warns that the vagaries of Trump's day-to-day announcements should not distract from the protectionist bent of his broader political outlook. "Trump might 'chicken out' at times," Hardy wrote in a recent commentary on Saxo's website. "But the underlying policy moves are for real, and a deadly serious shift in US economic statecraft and industrial policy that is a response to massive instabilities that have been growing for years." rle-tmc/ft/sla Sign in to access your portfolio

Asian currencies: Malaysian ringgit, Thai baht down
Asian currencies: Malaysian ringgit, Thai baht down

Business Recorder

time3 days ago

  • Business
  • Business Recorder

Asian currencies: Malaysian ringgit, Thai baht down

BENGALURU: Asian currencies traded lower on Thursday as the dollar strengthened after a US trade court halted the implementation of President Donald Trump's 'Liberation Day' tariffs. The MSCI index of emerging market currencies was down 0.2%. The Singapore dollar dropped as much as 0.7% to its lowest point in more than a week, while the Malaysian ringgit and the Thai baht fell 0.4% each. The Court of International Trade ruled that Trump overstepped his authority by imposing across-the-board duties on imports from nations that sell more to the United States than they buy. While the judges ordered the Trump administration to issue new orders reflecting the permanent injunction within 10 days, the White House quickly appealed the decision and questioned the authority of the court. 'The ruling removes an immediate overhang, even if it is not the final word on tariffs,' said Charu Chanana, chief investment strategist at Saxo. 'While the court ruling is a marginal positive for sentiment and helps to clear out the most bearish growth outlook bets, it does not remove uncertainty. We could see the market unwinding some of the tariff-related moves, such as the weaker USD and gold, EUR, JPY and EM FX could pull back,' she added. While emerging Asian currencies had gained earlier this month on the back of broad dollar weakness — fuelled by concerns over Trump's unpredictable trade policies and US fiscal stability — sentiment toward US assets has improved this week. This shift comes after Trump delayed a plan to impose 50% tariffs on European Union imports and consumer confidence surprised on the upside. The dollar index, which measures the currency against six rivals, climbed for a third consecutive session on Thursday and was back above 100 for the first time in a week. Even with the declines against a stronger dollar in the past few sessions, the Taiwan dollar is up over 6.5% in May, on track to log its best month on record. The ringgit and the baht are both set for nearly 2% monthly gain. Regional stock markets advanced with MSCI's gauge of Asian emerging market equities rising 0.3%. Equities in Bangkok and Taipei gained 1.1% and 0.6%, respectively. In South Korea, shares rose as much as 1.8% to their highest levels in nine months after the central bank cut interest rates by 25 basis points to bolster economic recovery. The won weakened 0.4%. Markets in Indonesia were closed for a holiday.

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