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NRL Round 20: SuperCoach Buy/Hold/Sell analysis and live Q&A ahead of Tuesday teams
NRL Round 20: SuperCoach Buy/Hold/Sell analysis and live Q&A ahead of Tuesday teams

News.com.au

time15-07-2025

  • Sport
  • News.com.au

NRL Round 20: SuperCoach Buy/Hold/Sell analysis and live Q&A ahead of Tuesday teams

We're nearing the pointy end of the season, Origin is done with and that means a host of Origin stars now come very much into 'buy' consideration. If you have been holding on to some boosts then this is the week to smoke 'em if you've got 'em. That's enough filler, let's just get straight into trade talk - as always join me via the comments section below with any trade or moral philosophy questions you may have and I'll do my gosh darned best to answer them. Nathan Cleary - Many a SuperCoach held off on bringing Nathan Cleary into their side last week as 1) he was clearly hampered in Origin III by his groin injury and 2) he was selected on the bench. Firstly the good. Cleary got through 50 minutes. In that time he moved well, made 10 runs, busted three tackles, scored a try and looked unrestricted when kicking - both long, in attack and even taking the forced drop outs. All this suggests that provided there were no post-game worries he should play the full 80 minutes this week against South Sydney. Now the bad: Cleary did not kick goals. Goalkicking has added 11.7PPG to Cleary's output in 2025 and while I still think he has value without the job (especially with the soft draw ahead) obviously he's even better with it. VERDICT: A strong ' BUY ' for mine, Cleary's upside and medium term draw featuring the Rabbitohs (16th), Tigers (14th), Titans (17th) and Knights (13th). Hudson Young - The Raiders left edge forward has been immense in 2025 scoring a truck load of tries and banging out almost 50PPG in base. He leads his position in PPG average by the best part of 5PPG and is currently in just 11.3% of teams. He's ticking a lot of boxes. If I had a knock it is this. Young is dealing with osteitis pubis. This is unlikely to keep him out of games, but the Raiders may limit his minutes as he manages the injury, especially if they can secure a few more wins and lock in a top-two finish. The Raiders also have one more bye to come (round 24). I still think the positives probably outweigh the negatives here but if I were very low on trades and had a solid team already for overall honours then I might avoid Young for now. If I had plenty of trades and was looking for an upside POD who could win me a head-to-head match then I would buy. VERDICT: Slightly risky BUY Zac Lomax or Valentine Holmes - If you're looking to offload Dylan Lucas then I suspect you are strongly looking at one of Lomax or Holmes. As I mentioned last week when reviewing the pair there is very little between them from a SuperCoach perspective. Both get through plenty of work (Lomax a bit more), both are big contributors to their team's attack (Holmes a bit more), both kick goals (slotting at a similar rate but Holmes gets more chances thanks to a more potent St George attack). Both are good buys. I have Lomax fractionally ahead due to his team's slightly kinder draw - but the mess that is Parramatta's halves situation could tip that back the other way. VERDICT: BUY Cameron Munster or Jayden Campbell - Another either/or scenario here and again there are solid case to be made for both five-eighths. Munster gets through more work in attack and defence and hence leads the pair when it comes to pure base output by the best part of 10 points. This deficit is off set by Campbell's goalkicking duties which has netted the Titans playmaker 10.5PPG. Which you prefer might come down to your appetite for risk. Munster 'feels' the safer pick. His team is fighting it out for a top-two spot. Campbell's is fighting not to collect the wooden spoon. But the draw significantly favours Campbell (with matchups against the Tigers, Souths, Dolphins and Tigers again) while Munster and the Storm face a far tougher caliber of opposition. Or maybe you prioritise pedigree (advantage Munster) over POD status (advantage Campbell and his 12.5% ownership compared to Munster's 37.8%. Like Young above I suppose the call will depend on your objectives. If you wish to make ground on the top 5% or win a H2H match with an upside POD then Campbell is your guy. If you want to cover moves made by the top 5% in order to defend an existing ladder position then Munster is your man. Either way both are BUYS. Dylan Edwards - The Penrith fullback is a popular pick-up this week with SuperCoaches looking to move on from Ryan Papenhuyzen and his troublesome calf eyeing off Penrith's soft four-week draw and the fact that Edwards may take the goalkicking duties from Cleary in the shirt to medium term. Edwards (averaging 72PPG) sits well off the pace of the elite fullbacks (Tedesco 88PPG, Papenhuyzen 83PPG and Drinkwater 81PPG) but his workrate is elite and even without the goalkicking I can see him averaging top-three at position over the next four weeks. If he does take the tee he might well top that average. VERDICT: BUY Tino Fa'asuamaleaui - Those who showed patience with Tino over the Origin period were rewarded last week when the big Titan scored 70 points - his best return in five club outings. The minutes (48) were still low compared to Tino's season average of 61MPG which is a worry. And that is why despite the low price and proven potential I still have Tino as a NO BUY. That could/will change if we see an uptick in minutes suggesting Fa'asuamaleaui had put his sternum injury behind him. Blayke Brailey - the Cronulla hooker has flicked his running switch in the last month or so recording four linebreaks over the past four games compared to zero previously and 13 tackle busts over that span when he had just nine from first 13 games of the season. With a significantly lower ownership than Connor Watson and somewhat lower ownership than Harry Grant, Brailey is a POD play for those in need of a hooker. The round 25 bye is a bummer though. VERDICT: SLIGHTLY RISKY BUY Tanah Boyd - the Warriors halfback is a popular buy this week with players reacting to his 70 point haul on club debut against the Tigers last weekend. Job security is good and a goalkicking DPP halfback|5/8 for just $329,600 is nothing to sneeze at. The draw is pretty good too with the Knights, Titans (twice), Dolphins, Dragons and Eels still to come. If I were to find a quibble it's this. The 70 points from Boyd was the seventh best score in his 70 NRL game career. Even with a soft game it's questionable whether he fits into your best 17 at this late stage of the season. If you have plenty of trades then he's a great safety valve that you could slot in in an emergency. But it feels like a luxury trade - even at the low price. VERDICT: PASS

SuperCoach AFL stats dossier: Top 10 movers in CBAs, kick-ins, time on ground in Round 18
SuperCoach AFL stats dossier: Top 10 movers in CBAs, kick-ins, time on ground in Round 18

Herald Sun

time14-07-2025

  • Sport
  • Herald Sun

SuperCoach AFL stats dossier: Top 10 movers in CBAs, kick-ins, time on ground in Round 18

Don't miss out on the headlines from SuperCoach. Followed categories will be added to My News. Centre Bounce Attendances played a pivotal role in shaping the scores for several players this round. Suns midfielder Touk Miller saw a significant score drop after being subbed out in the second quarter with a hamstring concern, attending 75 per cent fewer CBAs. In contrast, James Rowbottom experienced a surge in CBAs, jumping from six to 22, seeing his score skyrocket from 60 in Round 17 to 122. Josh Daicos delivered a monster 198-point game, aided by nine CBAs, despite a reduction in kick-ins (five to one). Meanwhile, Lachie Whitfield delighted SuperCoach owners by bouncing back to a triple-digit score in his 250th game. His 105 was bolstered by an increase in kick-ins after spending several weeks on the sidelines. For a detailed wrap-up of scores conceded by position from each club and the top 10 movers in key stats categories such as Centre Bounce Attendances, Kick-Ins, and Time on Ground, check out the full analysis below. Originally published as SuperCoach AFL stats dossier: CBAs, kick-ins, time on ground for Round 18

NRL Round 18: Teams Talk and Live SuperCoach Q&A
NRL Round 18: Teams Talk and Live SuperCoach Q&A

News.com.au

time01-07-2025

  • Sport
  • News.com.au

NRL Round 18: Teams Talk and Live SuperCoach Q&A

With weeks to prepare for the final big bye round of the season the vast majority of SuperCoaches should be sitting pretty heading into round 18. That's even with the Jacob Kiraz and Gehamat Shibasaki Origin selection curveballs. All of which is leading up to a surprise confession - I'm not trading this week. Which is not to say that there are no good buys this week. Those of you who own Luke Metcalf can choose from one very good half, two somewhat risky five-eighths and one very risky five-eighth/fullback. Elsewhere, in the popular trades to dissect there's a CTW I very much like (but possibly prefer others later), a second-row I very much like (but definitely prefer others later) and a CTW cheapie who I think buyers may regret. Let's dive in! BUY/SELL ANALYSIS The very good CTW - and the guys I'd possibly prefer to wait for … Mark Nawaqanitawase: The Roosters 'rookie' keeps doing spectacular things in attack, has scored nine tries in his past seven games, and has match-ups against the battling Wests Tigers and Dragons in his next two matches. So, 'why do you prefer others', you might ask - and even if you didn't I will tell you. How many CTW do we need? Let's start with the fundamental question - do we need more CTW. By this stage of the season I am willing to bet (all are in over 80% of teams currently ranked in the top 10%) you own the following CTWs: Dylan Lucas, Reuben Garrick, Herbie Farnworth and Jacob Kiraz. You also almost certainly own late season Broncos money maker Josiah Karapani. That leaves two CTW slots to fill. And, perhaps more pertinently, you also almost certainly have three gun fullbacks, at least three gun halves and almost certainly eight, but at a minimum seven gun FRF/2RF combined. We only have four reserve slots. Assuming your fullback is largely locked into one, then that leaves three. I'll almost always want my half to take another. The gun forwards are doing their job providing a safe 70 (ish) PPG - let's assume you have Terrell May/Payne Haas locked into FRF and Eliesa Katoa/Keaon Koloamatangi/AN Other locked into 2RF. That's your five starters. Around those you'll have others - and I think there are two forwards we should definitely target post-Origin - but with the CTW cohort performing so well I think it is fair to suggest that you will be saving two reserve slots for them. So in answer to my own question: I think we definitely need five and strongly desire six quality CTWs. Is 'Marky Mark' one of the CTW we need? This hurts me to my Rooster Booster core - but I say no. Barring injuries I have Nawaqanitawase outside my top-four CTW. That means I am playing him as a reserve based on match-ups. And the match-ups are not great. After the aforementioned Tigers and Dragons the Roosters' draw toughens right up. From round 20 onwards the draw goes like this: * Rd 20 Sharks (Away) * Rd 21 Storm (Home) * Rd 22 Manly (Away) * Rd 23 Dolphins (Away) * Rd 24 Bulldogs (Home) * Rd 25 Eels (Away) * Rd 26 Storm (Away) * Rd 27 Souths (Home) The Sharks are not travelling great, but still have the sixth best record defending against CTW. He's a play there but with risk. The Storm are never a great team to play against. Rounds 21 and 26 are No Play. Manly at home is tough, and are equal 9th at defending CTW, I'd still say he's a play - but again with risk. The Dolphins can be a little hit and miss but I feel the injuries have finally become too much - play. The Bulldogs have the best defence in the league - no play. They will still win games but I expect teams to score okay there. Even away he's a play. The Eels are a play. Which leaves round 27 against Souths. This game is always a, pardon my french, shitshow. There's be high hits, sin bins and no matter their respective places on the radar either team could win. Play - but risky. That's two strong plays, three risky plays and three no plays. Not great. Chuck in rounds 18 and 19 and that's four plays, three risky plays and three no plays. That's better. But I prefer the two men below. Once Origin is over I will be chasing one or both of Zac Lomax and Val Holmes. I'm already waaaaay over Tom's laughable 300 word limit for this story so won't do a deep dive into their respective draws. But rest easy knowing that in my opinion they have roughly the same number of Play/Risky and No play games as Mark N. But the crucial difference is that both Lomax and Holmes are goalkickers. That job provides a 10-12PPG buffer for each men and so makes them more reliable even in 'risky' games. Holmes has scored 60+ in 85% of games. Lomax has scored 60+ in 80% of games. Nawaqanitawase has scored 60+ in just 67% of games. Conclusion: As tempted as I am by Nawaqanitawase, I really do think we're better off waiting till after Origin III and buying Lomax and/or Holmes to finish the position. The very good 2RF - and the guys I'd prefer to wait for … Jacob Preston is the second most popular buy of the week. And while I do not oppose it - it's hard to knock a forward who has scored five times from his past seven games and has the fifth best average at his position - I still think that the better option is to wait until after Origin III and target either Hudson Young or Angus Crichton. Young has a better base than Preston and at least as good a try scoring potential. The Canberra left edge has scored triple figures four times (Preston once) and 85+ three other occasions (as has Preston). Unavailable for selection this week due to Origin, then on a bye in round 19, Young then has an enviable draw (though the round 24 bye is not ideal) with five matches against bottom-eight teams, four which are at home, and three of which are against cellar dwellers the Knights, Tigers and Eels. Crichton is more of a gamble. Currently averaging fully 13PPG less than his 2024 output, the Roosters left-edge forward has scored just one try so far this year. That will change. Available for less than $600K, in under 5% of teams and with a pedigree of going big when he scores, I think the Mighty Angus is the 2RF POD who could win you a H2H battle late in 2025. A DISCLAIMER Now, I realise that maybe those buying Preston or Nawaqanitawase this week plan to ALSO get the likes of Lomax/Holmes/Young next week. In which case go for it. But if it is an either/or scenario then you know my position. The Luke Metcalf replacement options … Jahrome Hughes: The Storm halfback has been rather rocks or diamonds this year with three tonnes (and one 90+) to his name but also three under 50 in the past five games alone. Melbourne's medium-term draw is great (Cowboys (without Origin stars), Knights, Manly, Roosters and Eels. But their draw to finish the season - Broncos, Panthers, Bulldogs, Roosters and Broncos - is not. MEDIUM BUY Ethan Strange: The Canberra five-eighth has the second-best 3RA of any 5/8|HFB and as mentioned above the Raiders draw (other than still having two byes left) is good. I do feel that Strange has made the most of what has been a very soft recent draw. RISKY BUY Ezra Mam: The Broncos five-eighth has been good on his return from suspension. Good not great. I prefer Hughes or Strange. PASS Kaeo Weekes: Speaking of rocks or diamonds, the Canberra fullback posted his third triple-figure score of the season last weekend. However, in the weeks before that big score, Weekes went 25, 45, 24 and 29. PASS The CTW cheapie we don't need … Jed Stuart: 'Ricky's son' has scored a try in each of his NRL games so far which is a fair strike rate. He also upped his workrate last week making 16 runs and 11 tackles (with two misses) both numbers a big lift on his debut. What I don't love is that despite scoring tries in each match Stuart has scored just 45 then 44 points. Despite the negative BE and the aforementioned draw, I just don't think Stuart has the SC game we need from a late cheapie. PASS

Fremantle v St Kilda AFL Round 16: Live updates, SuperCoach scores, teams
Fremantle v St Kilda AFL Round 16: Live updates, SuperCoach scores, teams

Courier-Mail

time29-06-2025

  • Sport
  • Courier-Mail

Fremantle v St Kilda AFL Round 16: Live updates, SuperCoach scores, teams

The byes are almost over! Round 16 comes to a finish today, starting at the MCG and finishing out in Perth, on a day where the Saints and Tigers will play for monumental upsets. Richmond will have to bring down the high-glying Crows, while St Kilda run into a white-hot Freo side. Follow all the action as it happens live. PLAY CODE TRIVIA TODAY! 🎲❓ Think you're a sports fanatic? Take the test. Play daily trivia for FREE on CODE Sports. Sign up here > Match Day fre dockers fre 6.9 45 live Rd 16 - Sun 29/06 Q3 19:07 Match Centre 5.8 38 stk stk saints 6 Goals 5 213 Disposals 243 56 Marks 60 40 Tackles 40 SuperCoach Points SuperCoach Points J Clark 96 S Darcy 73 M Reid 70 L Ryan 69 A Brayshaw 63 N Erasmus 63 M Johnson 52 J Treacy 50 S Bolton 49 L Jackson 48 R. Marshall 96 M. Hall 78 M. Windhager 69 H. Clark 67 C. Wilkie 66 A. Caminiti 66 J. Macrae 64 J. Steele 62 N. Wanganeen-Milera 59 T. Travaglia 59 Originally published as Fremantle v St Kilda AFL Round 16: Live updates, SuperCoach scores, teams 44 38 Saints mids right on top Al Paton That clearance disparity is getting even more stark – St Kilda leading 33-15. And the Saints finally get some reward for their work with Dan Butler kicking their first goal of the half. Ross Lyon has his old side worked out, and Hugo Garcia is doing a great job on Caleb Serong. 35 32 HT: Saints on top of Freo midfield stars Al Paton For the second time this season St Kilda's midfield is doing a job on the Dockers. At halftime the Saints lead clearances 25-11 and centre clearances 8-3. They probably should be in front but have blown some chances in front of goal, kicking 4.8 to Freo's 5.5. Rowan Marshall is having one of his good weeks – he's been huge so far with 15 disposals and a ridiculous goal, while Angus Brayshaw lifted that quarter to join Jordan Clark as Fremantle's best. Jack Sinclair has had 10 disposals but has had almost no influence on the contest. He has 32 SuperCoach points at halftime. 28 30 Rowan Marshall what on earth Al Paton Rowan Marshall just kicked one of the most remarkable goals you'll see – volleying the ball out of mid-air from a throw-up 15m out from goal. He absolutely flushed it and it sailed straight over the goal umpire's hat. The big question – is that a clearance? A hitout to advantage?? ROWAN MARSHALL OUT OF MID AIR ðŸ'¥ðŸ'¥ ðŸ'° Watch #AFLFreoSaints LIVE on ch.504 or stream on Kayo: ✍️ BLOG ðŸ'¢ MATCH CENTRE â€' Fox Footy (@FOXFOOTY) June 29, 2025 Sigh of relief for Dawson captainers Jordan Dawson has scraped by for SuperCoaches who captained him, finishing on 110 after a big last quarter. Izak Rankine finished on 98, just below the ton. Dan Curtin scored a mammoth 151 points, with Sam Banks topping the scorers for the Tigers ahead of Dion Prestia and Toby Nankervis (both 97). 22 17 JC off to flyer for Freo Al Paton Jordan Clark scored 151 SuperCoach points against St Kilda last year and he's on track to match that today. His first goal – thanks to a free kick and 50m penalty against Dan Butler – is his 11th disposal of the game, to go with five marks – and 61 SuperCoach points early in the first quarter. The Saints answer through an unlikely source – Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera. He needed that after being mown down by Josh Treacy while taking a run down the wing a few minutes ago. 14 11 QT: Dockers have edge in arm wrestle Al Paton Rowan Marshall is the leading ball-winner at quarter-time with nine disposals, eight of them kicks. Jordan Clark has eight while Jack Sinclair and Jack Macrae have seven each for the Saints. Quieter start for Andrew Brayshaw and Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera, who have just three each. Brayshaw hit the target with all three of his and added two tackles to sit on 20 SuperCoach points, while Wanganeen-Milera has a direct clanger, no tackles and 4 SuperCoach points. SuperCoach leaders 44 – Rowan Marshall 42 – Hunter Clark 40 – Jordan Clark 37 – Max Hall 35 – Josh Treacy 'The Alger-ithm is right': Tiger cubs make their mark Luke Trainor and Jasper Alger have both recorded their first goals at AFL level. Trainor, the grandson of superboot Doug Wade, nailed a set shot from 40 metres out, while Alger had a tricky goal from the square slide off his boot. Jasper Alger with one of the freakier first goals you'll see 😮#AFLTigersCrows â€' AFL (@AFL) June 29, 2025 Alger then slotted another one from 45 metres out on an angle. 14 10 Where's Nas? Al Paton Nasiah Wanganeen-Milera came into this game in red-hot form, averaging 120 SuperCoach points in his past four games. But he has been barely sighted so far, with his one kick going straight to Docker Andrew Braywhaw. He has just 6 SuperCoach points closing on quarter-time. 8 9 Saints' surprise tagger call Al Paton Ace tagger Marcus Windhager appears to be assigned to … no one. He seems to be playing as a forward while Hugo Garcia goes head-to-head with Caleb Serong in the centre square. Serong has taken full advantage, racing out to 21 SuperCoach points midway through the first term. Luke Jackson is playing as a midfielder – opposed to Jack Steele – with Sean Darcy in the ruck. 32 79 Tiger Tom finally gets a win Al Paton Tom Lynch will break into positive SuperCoach points after his first goal of the afternoon. It's been a rough day at the office, getting terrible delivery and harrassed and outnumbered by Crows defenders – which led to a third-quarter report – but that was some reward for the Tigers' best ball movement of the day. Load more posts

NRL round 17: Manly Sea Eagles v Wests Tigers live scores, updates, SuperCoach analysis
NRL round 17: Manly Sea Eagles v Wests Tigers live scores, updates, SuperCoach analysis

News.com.au

time27-06-2025

  • Sport
  • News.com.au

NRL round 17: Manly Sea Eagles v Wests Tigers live scores, updates, SuperCoach analysis

It's a huge night for SuperCoaches, with the biggest storylines coming from those wearing maroons and white. With Manly's season falling off a cliff in recent weeks after consecutive upset defeats to the Knights and Titans, coach Anthony Seibold has rotated his backline to present a new-look Sea Eagles side to take on the Tigers. Tom Trbojevic headlines these changes, with the injury-plagued former Dally M winner switching to the centres after an underwhelming run of form in the No.1. Trbojevic can be bought for $485,900, a price that is nearly half of what he started with this season. His 8.1% of owners will be hoping Turbo can conjure his Origin centres form which was destructive in the past, which could see him be a POD for this round. Replacing Trbojevic in the fullback jersey is Lehi Hopoate, who is the ninth most transferred-in player this week. Hopoate has been impressive in his fullback stints this season, averaging 64 from his five starts, but if you take away his two-pointer against the Knights he's averaging 79 from the other four fixtures. The other Manly player impacted by the backline shake-up is CTW favourite Reuben Garrick, who shifts back out to the Manly wing in a move that has SuperCoaches licking their lips. Garrick hasn't started a game on the wing for Manly since early 2023, but the new position could see his tryscoring numbers soar. He's by far the most popular VC this week, with 33% of those teams in top 10% and 38% of the top 1% giving him the vice's armband. Garrick's ownership is now up to 45%, with over 3,000 players bringing him in this week. Outside of Manly players, the likes of Terrell May, Corey Horsburgh and Dylan Lucas are in action tonight on a big SuperCoach night.

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