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2025 Miami Dolphins Fantasy Preview: Make or break for Tua Tagovailoa
2025 Miami Dolphins Fantasy Preview: Make or break for Tua Tagovailoa

NBC Sports

time15-07-2025

  • Sport
  • NBC Sports

2025 Miami Dolphins Fantasy Preview: Make or break for Tua Tagovailoa

The Dolphins gave us more of the same in 2024. They were dynamite when Tua Tagovailoa was healthy and a disaster when their quarterback was out of the lineup. Business as usual. Despite the spreadsheets going brrr, the design of the offense was vastly different, creating jaw-dropping risks for fantasy managers in 2025. 2024 Miami Dolphins Stats (Rank) Points per game: 20.3 (22nd) Total yards per game: 325.4 (18th) Plays per game: 63.6 (9th) Dropbacks per game: 42 (9th) Dropback EPA per play: 0.09 (15th) Rush attempts per game: 26.4 (19th) Rush EPA per play: -0.25 (31st) Tua on the hot seat The Dolphins played two games with Tua to start the year before he suffered a concussion that landed him on injured reserve. That sent Miami scrambling and left them with Tyler Huntley at quarterback. The move, in turn, forced them into a check-down scheme for the ages. Their team aDOT of 6.7 was the third-lowest of the last decade. Head coach and offensive mastermind Mike McDaniel schemed up easy throws for his backups and kept that philosophy in place even when Tua was active in the second half of the season. This resulted in career receiving numbers for Jonnu Smith and De'Von Achane, but the wide receivers were left hanging. Injuries were also an issue on the other side of the ball, but Miami's defense held on and finished the regular season ranked eighth in EPA per play. We're probably discussing at least a playoff loss for the Phins if McDaniel knew how to get more out of his backup quarterbacks. Instead, McDaniel is on the hot seat and Tua's career is on the ropes. Passing Game It's hard to stress this enough, but Tua was one of the most efficient quarterbacks in the league last year. Tagovailoa ranked: EPA per play - 7th Completion percent over expected - 8th Adjusted completion rate - 2nd Huntley, on the other hand, couldn't match that production. He ranked: EPA per play - 37th Completion percent over expected - 12th Adjusted completion rate - 12th Huntley showed some ability to execute what was asked of him, but, at the end of the day, his efficiency was putrid. That's to say nothing of a single dreadful start made by Skylar Thompson and a few comically futile snaps from Tom Boyle. As expected, all of the Miami players experienced drastic splits with and without Tua. Will Tagovailoa play a full season this year? Who knows. He's undoubtedly more prone to concussions and likely to spend longer on the bench when that does happen than the average passer. In redraft—where you can cut players at will—his availability is not an issue. The 2024 passing yardage leader is free money as the QB22. The risk becomes much more tangible in Best Ball drafts where you are stuck with him for the entire season. Moving to his receivers, Miami simply gave up on their explosive passing game last year, leaving both Tyreek Hill and Jaylen Waddle out to dry. Hill's falloff from 3.72 yards per route to 1.75 is one of the most dramatic falloffs of the past decade. If Hill's woes were exclusively related to his wrist injury or the design of the Miami offense, he could easily bounce back as a WR1 in 2025. He started to pick up the slack at the end of the season with two 100-yard games over the final five weeks. On the other hand, if he simply lost a step as the league's premier speed receiver, his days as an elite fantasy asset are over. Waddle experienced a similar dropoff in efficiency—cratering from 2.5 YPRR to 1.5—but he's five years younger than Hill. You wouldn't expect him to be past his prime already, though that's not entirely impossible. Waddle is going at a discount compared to his 2024 ADP, but drafters are far more confident in him rebounding compared to Hill. He has fallen 24 spots versus last year while Hill is down 20 spots. Given the value of early-round picks, that's a massive discount for Hill and only a modest markdown for Waddle. Hill offers a better ceiling outcome and comes at a better price relative to his 2024 cost. If you want to gamble on this offense, he's your man. Miami only had one other relevant pass-catcher last year—Jonnu Smith—and they just sent him packing to Pittsburgh. Smith emerged as a premier checkdown option in Miami's stunted offense. He averaged a 6.9/67/.9 receiving line over the final eight weeks of the season. Even including his slow start, only four tight ends averaged more yards per route than Jonnu (1.95) on the season. The Dolphins lured Darren Waller out of retirement to replace Smith. Waller averaged 1.55 YPRR, 9.4 PPR points per game, and had a 73.1 PFF receiving grade in his final season with the Giants in 2023. All three marks were top-15 among tight ends. He could be a viable seam-stretcher for Miami if he still has some juice in 2025, but it's hard to bet on a player who last played an (almost) full season in 2020 and has spent more time in the past year pursuing a rap career than professional football. Malik Washington's 2024 stats tell you all you need to know about Miami's WR3. He averaged .86 YPRR, good for 105th in the NFL. That put him just a handful of spots ahead of dead last among wide receivers. He wasn't bad with the ball in his hands. The rookie posted 4.7 yards after the catch per reception, placing him 38th among qualified wideouts. He simply couldn't earn a target to save his life in a crowded pass-catching room. Whether he or free agent addition Nick Westbrook-Ikhine wins the WR3 job is immaterial to fantasy managers. Running Game Miami's underwhelming passing output was surprising, but their dead-on-arrival ground game was shocking. Their -.21 EPA per play average on rush attempts ranked 315th out of 320 team-seasons over the past decade. Raheem Mostert ran for 18 touchdowns at 4.8 YPC in 2023. He found the end zone twice at 3.3 YPC last year. Achane, the team's lightning-in-a-bottle on the ground, went from 7.8 YPC—the highest market for a running back with at least 100 attempts in NFL history—to 4.5. Achane also set the record in NFL Next Gen's rush yards over expected metric at 2.87 per carry two years ago. The previous high-water mark was 1.86. He fell to -.42 RYOE per attempt in 2024, one of the worst marks in the league. While some of this can be chalked up to Achane running hotter than the sun as a rookie, a large part of his decline has to be blamed on the environment. Miami's stuff rate (carries stopped at or behind the line of scrimmage) was 29.3 percent last year, the fourth-highest mark of the past decade. Achane is a back who thrives on clear runways but doesn't have the power to turn small losses into modest gains. With the team's offensive line collapsing and the threat of a deep shot vanishing from the passing attack, Achane never had a chance to show off his home run speed last year. The good news is that he became a de facto third receiver for the Phins by leading all running backs in slot routes (120) and wide routes (58). Achane caught 78 balls for 592 yards and six scores. He led all running backs in all three categories, allowing him to finish as the PPR RB5 despite the poor rushing metrics. With Jonnu gone, his receiving role gives him an unprecedented floor. The upside for elite efficiency also gives him an immense ceiling. Jaylen Wright appears to be in line for the RB2 role with Mostert being cut early in the offseason. Like Achane, Wright's rushing metrics were underwhelming to say the least. He averaged a paltry 3.7 YPC on 68 attempts as a rookie. Miami only spent a sixth-round pick on Ollie Gordon and $1.4 million on Alexander Mattison as potential replacements for the backup job. GM Chris Grier traded a future third-round pick to move up for Wright in the fourth round last year. He isn't guaranteed the backup gig or any standalone work, but an RB51 pricetag is a minimal cost for a likely handcuff in an offense built on efficiency. 2025 Miami Dolphins Win Total DraftKings Over/Under: 7.5 Pick: Under (-105) The Dolphins are an all-or-nothing team. Either Tua stays healthy and the team excels or he misses time, McDaniel is fired, and the team looks to reset in 2026. I'd take the under on them this year, given the fragility of Tagovailoa's health and the potential for Hill to be over the Hill (pun intended). If you want to bet overs, taking a long shot like +750 to win the AFC East makes more sense than a simple win total play.

From 36 to 91: Tua Tagovailoa's Top 100 NFL ranking sparks debate
From 36 to 91: Tua Tagovailoa's Top 100 NFL ranking sparks debate

Miami Herald

time09-07-2025

  • Sport
  • Miami Herald

From 36 to 91: Tua Tagovailoa's Top 100 NFL ranking sparks debate

The Miami Dolphins' starting quarterback has taken a tumble down the NFL's annual Top 100 players list. Some are saying it isn't far enough. In 2024, Tua Tagovailoa earned the No. 36 spot on the NFL's Top 100 list, setting high expectations for a breakout season. But after missing 6.5 games due to concussions and a hip injury, he slid to No. 91 on this year's list, voted on annually by NFL players, as announced by the league over the weekend. Of the 15 spots on the list that have been revealed so far, Tagovailoa is the only quarterback to appear. 'Unless there are going to be 15 or 16 quarterbacks in the top 90, then this is too high,' TV personality for Fox Sports' First Things First Nick Wright said on Tagovailoa's ranking. Despite an injury-plagued year, Tagovailoa posted strong numbers for the Dolphins when active. In the 11 games he started, Tagovailoa completed 291 of 399 passes (72.9%) for 2,867 yards, with 19 touchdowns and just seven interceptions. His regular-season passer rating was an impressive 101.4, and he averaged approximately 260.6 yards per game. In games Tagovailoa missed, the Dolphins averaged just 13.3 points and went 2–4, compared to the stronger 6–5 mark and 24.1 points per game when he was under center. But critics argue that despite the numbers, Tagovailoa's production hasn't translated when it matters most. 'Tua has a losing record against teams that have a winning record. They come up short in the postseason because, guess what, all you play are teams that have good records,' Super Bowl champion and 11-year NFL pro Chris Canty said on ESPN's Unsportsmanlike show Wednesday morning. 'So I guess the question then becomes, well if he's not healthy, and he can't beat good teams, what is the long-term value of staying with this quarterback?' However, those who know him best say the obstacles have only made him stronger. Perhaps the fall to No. 91 will give the former University of Alabama star quarterback something to prove. 'For Tua, I think there were a lot of lessons learned, last year in particular, on and off the field — when he was playing, when he wasn't— [on] how to do his job,' head coach Mike McDaniel said earlier this summer at Dolphins OTA practices. Or perhaps the No. 91 spot is really just another offseason talking point — a conversation-starter with little merit or translation to on-field performance. Many around the league have even called the list a 'joke' or 'content filler,' questioning its overall value. After all, players already have enough to focus on studying their own film and that of their opponents. Making a holistic evaluation of every player across all 32 rosters isn't exactly in the job description. Tagovailoa's path back up the rankings will likely depend on two things: health and signature wins. He has yet to complete a full season without missing time and remains winless in the postseason with the Dolphins. If he can stay on the field and lead Miami to victories over top-tier opponents in the playoffs, he won't just silence critics—he'll force his way back into the league's top tier.

'I'll stand on that':  Ex-Dolphin backs Tua Tagovailoa as the next Drew Brees
'I'll stand on that':  Ex-Dolphin backs Tua Tagovailoa as the next Drew Brees

Time of India

time24-06-2025

  • Sport
  • Time of India

'I'll stand on that': Ex-Dolphin backs Tua Tagovailoa as the next Drew Brees

Ex-teammate compares Tua to Drew Brees (Image via Getty) Tua Tagovailoa may be one of the NFL's most scrutinized quarterbacks, but support is coming from a place of experience and credibility. Former Pro Bowl offensive tackle Terron Armstead is standing firm in his belief that Tua isn't just good—he's special. As questions swirl around his durability and long-term ceiling, Armstead sees something that critics might be missing: greatness in the making. Ex-Pro bowler sees Brees-level potential in Tua's game On Good Morning Football, Armstead reignited his now-viral comparison between Tagovailoa and NFL icon Drew Brees. 'I've been very loud in my support of Tua... I may be the one that originated the Drew Brees comparison, and I'll stand on that. I will, I've seen it. I've seen it in close proximity.' The retired lineman, who played with both quarterbacks, believes Tua mirrors Brees in skillset, accuracy, and poise. 'He led the league in passing yards a couple of years ago, he leads the league in completion percentage every year, those are winning stats,' Armstead added. 'I think, even more this year, he takes another step in his leadership, he takes another step in the fourth quarter, two-minute drills... those late-game situations really separate the good from the great. by Taboola by Taboola Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like Alarme c/ Câmera Mais moderna do Mercado por até 40% Off Alarme Verisure Saiba Mais Undo I think it's time.' From injury setbacks to franchise investment Since being drafted by the Miami Dolphins in 2020, Tagovailoa's journey has been filled with highs and setbacks. He missed four games last season due to a third concussion in two years, as Miami finished with an 8–9 record. Yet, the Dolphins have chosen to commit to him long-term, handing him a massive four-year, $214.4 million extension in July 2024—securing his place in the franchise through 2028. Armstead, who played with Tua for two seasons and announced his retirement in April 2024, saw firsthand how the young quarterback evolved despite adversity. Their partnership resulted in back-to-back playoff appearances, and according to Armstead, that's just the beginning of what Tua can achieve. Also read: Tua Tagovailoa faces uncertain future in Miami as Dolphins' faith fades and rebuild rumors grow louder As Tua prepares for a defining 2024 season, his doubters remain—but so do his believers. With elite numbers, locker room command, and a contract that screams faith, Tagovailoa is ready to prove he's not just Miami's present—he's their future Super Bowl hope. For real-time updates, scores, and highlights, follow our live coverage of the India vs England Test match here . Game On Season 1 kicks off with Sakshi Malik's inspiring story. Watch Episode 1 here

Miami Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa awarded for taking top ‘ownership' of team
Miami Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa awarded for taking top ‘ownership' of team

Yahoo

time12-06-2025

  • Sport
  • Yahoo

Miami Dolphins' Tua Tagovailoa awarded for taking top ‘ownership' of team

MIAMI GARDENS — Miami Dolphins quarterback Tua Tagovailoa has led the NFL in passer rating and completion percentage and passing yards. What could bring Tagovailoa to another level is holding teammates accountable like never before. Advertisement Tagovailoa, 27, is about to begin his sixth NFL season. He is a husband and father of two. And Tagovailoa is in the same offense, under the same head coach for a fourth consecutive season. There are no excuses. And it appears Tua is embracing the challenge to take complete command. MORE STEPPING UP: Dolphins' Austin Jackson sheds 'bust' label, assumes role of offensive line leader In the second week of organized team activities, coach Mike McDaniel awarded Tua an orange practice jersey for his recent performance. '(Tua) had the most ownership of all the players on each and every down,' McDaniel said. Tua Tagovailoa takes ownership of Miami Dolphins McDaniel explained that Tua had responded well when teammates were not aligned properly. Advertisement 'He really had command and resolve,' McDaniel said. Tua cannot defer to anyone in 2025. Not Tyreek Hill or Jonnu Smith or Aaron Brewer or Austin Jackson. Terron Armstead has retired. Raheem Mostert is in Las Vegas. It must be the quarterback setting a tone and calling out those who are not on board with the plan. MIAMI GARDENS, FLORIDA - OCTOBER 21: Quarterback Tua Tagovailoa of the Miami Dolphins addresses the media at Baptist Health Training Complex on October 21, 2024 in Miami Gardens, Florida. (Photo by) Tua Tagovailoa more decisive than ever in Year 6 with Dolphins Quarterbacks growing into a leadership role is a storyline for every quarterback, every season. But it is certainly relevant for Tua, who came into the league with a propensity to defer to older players. 'Tua in Year 6, he's definitely a lot more confident and decisive on and off the field,' tackle Austin Jackson said. 'He knows what people are supposed to be doing in terms of training. He knows what we're doing on the field. He knows how to take care of his body. Advertisement 'He knows how to unite guys, bring us together for team camaraderie and stuff, just to get together. He's a full-blown leader, and I think he's showing that he wants to take control of this team and he is.' Joe Schad: Miami Dolphins' Jaylen Waddle must bounce back from subpar 2024 Jalen Ramsey: Miami Dolphins trading star? Everything you need to know Top 5 position battles: Miami Dolphins OTA and training camp Joe Schad is a journalist covering the Miami Dolphins and the NFL at The Palm Beach Post. You can reach him at jschad@ and follow him on Instagram and on X @schadjoe. Sign up for Joe's free weekly Dolphins Pulse Newsletter. Help support our work by subscribing today. This article originally appeared on Palm Beach Post: Miami Dolphins Tua Tagovailoa now in complete 'command' as a leader

Tua Tagovailoa trade rumors: Miami Dolphins may consider trading the QB after 2025 season if playoff hopes fall short
Tua Tagovailoa trade rumors: Miami Dolphins may consider trading the QB after 2025 season if playoff hopes fall short

Time of India

time01-06-2025

  • Sport
  • Time of India

Tua Tagovailoa trade rumors: Miami Dolphins may consider trading the QB after 2025 season if playoff hopes fall short

Tua Tagovailoa's position as Miami's quarterback is in doubt (Getty Images) The Miami Dolphins are heading into the 2025 NFL season with immense pressure on their shoulders—and no one is feeling that more than quarterback Tua Tagovailoa. Despite signing a massive four-year, $212 million extension in the offseason, questions are swirling about whether he'll still be the team's franchise quarterback if the Dolphins fall short of a playoff appearance. NFL insiders suggest Tua Tagovailoa's time in Miami could be running out Veteran Dolphins reporter Omar Kelly recently dropped a bombshell when he said Tua's time in Miami might be 'ticking.' While a trade isn't imminent, the scenario could be very real if the team disappoints this year. The quarterback market is always active, especially when it involves a proven talent like Tagovailoa. 'If they don't want him we'll gladly take him off their hands,' one anonymous NFL coach reportedly said. It's not hard to see why other teams would line up for a shot at acquiring him. Tua has consistently ranked among the most efficient passers in the league, finishing top-five in passing yards per game over the past three seasons. In 2023, he led the Dolphins to an impressive 11-6 record during his only fully healthy season. But for all his statistical prowess, his durability remains a red flag. Injury history could drive down trade value despite on-field success Tua's career has been marred by concussions, missing nine games due to head injuries and 14 total since entering the league. by Taboola by Taboola Sponsored Links Sponsored Links Promoted Links Promoted Links You May Like Perdagangkan CFD Emas dengan Broker Tepercaya IC Markets Mendaftar Undo After a scary concussion cost him four games in 2024, the Dolphins are reportedly re-evaluating how much they can rely on him long-term. If he remains healthy through 2025, and Miami fails to meet postseason expectations, a trade next offseason could become a serious consideration. A reasonable asking price? According to Kelly, 'The Dolphins likely wouldn't get more for the five-year starting quarterback than the 2025 second-round pick (selection No. 52) the Seattle Seahawks got from the Pittsburgh Steelers for Pro Bowl receiver D.K. Metcalf.' That may seem like a steep drop for a recent MVP contender, but health matters in this league. With Zach Wilson now on a one-year, $6 million deal, the Dolphins have a backup plan. At just 25, Wilson is a former top-five pick who spent last season under Sean Payton's guidance in Denver. There's cautious optimism he could follow the Baker Mayfield path to redemption. Also Read: Donald Trump calls Mason Rudolph 'handsome' and says the Steelers quarterback is 'gonna be the guy' If Wilson impresses during preseason—or if Tua falters or gets hurt—Miami may pivot. And if the Dolphins end up with a top-10 draft pick, don't be surprised if they start building around a new quarterback in 2026.

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