Latest news with #VictoriaTreliving
Otago Daily Times
6 days ago
- Business
- Otago Daily Times
New Zealand population likely to reach 6m people by 2040
Image: RNZ New Zealand's population is likely to reach six million before 2040, from the current 5.3 million, according to the latest projections. Stats NZ estimates two thirds of that growth will come from from international migration. The projections released on Wednesday showed the population growing to about seven million by 2060, and potentially nearly eight million by the late 2070s. Under a scenario with no migrant arrivals or departures, the population would peak in the early 2040s and then start to fall as deaths outnumber births. "New Zealand's net migration has fluctuated widely from year to year," Stats NZ's Victoria Treliving said. "But international migration has been the main contributor to New Zealand's population growth this century, and this is projected to continue." The scenario of no migration in or out of New Zealand was unlikely, but helped show the impact of migration on population growth, Treliving said. "Natural increase is no longer the main driver of New Zealand's population growth." A much older population is also predicted, with the number aged 65 and over likely to reach one million by 2029. "The number of people aged 65 years and over is currently increasing by more than 500 people a week," Treliving said. One in six New Zealanders is in that age group at present, and by the mid-2030s this would be one in five. The median projection assumes on average: - a net migration gain of 42,000 people a year over the next 50 years - fertility rates easing from 1.59 births per woman in 2025 to 1.55 in 2051 - life expectancy at birth increasing from 80.8 years and 84.0 years respectively for males and females in 2025, to 88.1 years and 90.5 years respectively in 2078
Otago Daily Times
6 days ago
- Business
- Otago Daily Times
NZ population likely to reach six million by 2040
Image: RNZ New Zealand's population is likely to reach six million before 2040, from the current 5.3 million, according to latest projections. Stats NZ estimates two thirds of that growth will come from from international migration. The projections released on Wednesday showed the population growing to about seven million by 2060, and potentially nearly eight million by the late 2070s. Under a scenario with no migrant arrivals or departures, the population would peak in the early 2040s and then start to fall as deaths outnumber births. "New Zealand's net migration has fluctuated widely from year to year," Stats NZ's Victoria Treliving said. "But international migration has been the main contributor to New Zealand's population growth this century, and this is projected to continue." The scenario of no migration in or out of New Zealand was unlikely, but helped show the impact of migration on population growth, Treliving said. "Natural increase is no longer the main driver of New Zealand's population growth." A much older population is also predicted, with the number aged 65 and over likely to reach one million by 2029. "The number of people aged 65 years and over is currently increasing by more than 500 people a week," Treliving said. One in six New Zealanders is in that age group at present, and by the mid-2030s this would be one in five. The median projection assumes on average: - a net migration gain of 42,000 people a year over the next 50 years - fertility rates easing from 1.59 births per woman in 2025 to 1.55 in 2051 - life expectancy at birth increasing from 80.8 years and 84.0 years respectively for males and females in 2025, to 88.1 years and 90.5 years respectively in 2078
RNZ News
6 days ago
- Business
- RNZ News
NZ population likely to reach 6 million by 2040
Photo: RNZ New Zealand's population is likely to reach six million before 2040, from the current 5.3 million, according to latest projections. Stats NZ estimates two thirds of that growth will come from from international migration. The projections released on Wednesday showed the population growing to about 7 million by 2060, and potentially nearly 8 million by the late 2070s. Under a scenario with no migrant arrivals or departures, the population would peak in the early 2040s and then start to fall as deaths outnumber births. "New Zealand's net migration has fluctuated widely from year to year," Stats NZ's Victoria Treliving said. "But international migration has been the main contributor to New Zealand's population growth this century, and this is projected to continue." The scenario of no migration in or out of New Zealand was unlikely, but helped show the impact of migration on population growth, Treliving said. "Natural increase is no longer the main driver of New Zealand's population growth." A much older population is also predicted, with the number aged 65 and over likely to reach one-million by 2029. "The number of people aged 65 years and over is currently increasing by more than 500 people a week," Treliving said. One in six New Zealanders is in that age group at present, and by the mid-2030s this would be one in five. The median projection assumes on average:
1News
6 days ago
- Business
- 1News
NZ population likely to hit 6 million before 2040
New Zealand's population could eclipse six million before 2040, according to the latest projections released by Stats NZ. Stats NZ population estimates, projections, and coverage spokesperson Victoria Treliving said net international migration has been the main contributor to New Zealand's population growth this century, and this is projected to continue. Two-thirds of the population growth to hit a population of six million is likely to come from net international migration, Stats NZ said, with the remainder to come from natural increase (births less deaths). The projections also indicated the population will likely increase to around 7 million by 2060, and potentially nearly 8 million by the late 2070s. NZ's population is currently 5.3 million. ADVERTISEMENT Older population expected Stats NZ said the Kiwi population will be much older by the 2060s, with the median age in the late 40s, compared to 38 years currently. Currently, there are about 900,000 people aged 65 and older in New Zealand. According to the projections, this number will cross 1 million by 2029, and 2 million by around 2070. 'The number of people aged 65 years and over is currently increasing by more than 500 people a week,' said Treliving. 'One in six New Zealanders is now aged 65 and over. By the mid-2030s this will be 1 in 5, and by 2060 about 1 in 4 will be in this age group. 'In the mid-1960s, 1 in 12 New Zealanders were aged 65 years and over.' Stats NZ said the projections for New Zealand's population assumes, on average, the following: ADVERTISEMENT
