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Indianapolis Star
3 days ago
- Climate
- Indianapolis Star
Hurricane forecasters track Tropical Storm Ivo, Atlantic systems and more
The National Hurricane Center is tracking two weather systems in the Atlantic Ocean – neither of which pose immediate risk to the United States – while Henriette and Ivo wax and wane in the Pacific Ocean. A tropical wave, called Invest 96L, dispensing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central tropical Atlantic, could gradually develop during the early or middle part of next week as the system moves northwestward to northward across the central Atlantic, the National Hurricane Center said in an advisory on Saturday morning, Aug. 9. However, the NHC puts its likelihood of developing into a tropical depression at 20% over the next seven days. The hurricane center also said another tropical wave, off the west coast of Africa in the Eastern Tropical Atlantic is also producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms and could gradually develop into a tropical depression. The system is expected to deliver local heavy rainfall Sunday and Monday across parts of the Cabo Verde Islands. The NHC gives this system a higher chance of developing (40%) over the next seven days. Neither system is currently expected to develop soon or threaten land. That doesn't mean those who live along the U.S. coast should become complacent as an above-normal hurricane season is still expected. "The tropics remain quiet, and are likely to stay that way for another 10 days or more." said Ryan Truchelut, WeatherTiger meteorologist who provides regular hurricane season forecasts for the USA TODAY Network. "Still, we know well hurricane seasons can be nowhere to be found, then suddenly impossible to avoid. While there is hope the active peak months of hurricane season may not translate into another awful year in human terms, the reality is that U.S. hurricane impacts are likely and to be expected over the next few months." The NHC had expected both storms in the Pacific Ocean – Henriette and Ivo – to eventually develop into hurricanes. However, Henriette, located about 615 miles east of Hilo, Hawaii, has become a tropical depression with maximum sustained winds near 35 mph with higher gusts. It is expected to become a tropical storm again by Sunday, but its northwesterly path will keep it north of Hawaii, the center said. Tropical Strom Ivo, which is about 220 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, is producing maximum sustained winds near 60 mph. But it is expected to weaken and become post-tropical by late Sunday, the NHC said. However, swells created by the storm will likely continue to create life-threatening surf and rip currents for the southern Baja California peninsula for the next day or so. The term "tropical wave" describes atmospheric conditions, according to Tropical waves are elongated areas, or troughs, of relatively low pressure that move east to west across the tropics, moving westward from Africa into the Atlantic. A wave can lead to the formation of a tropical cyclone, which in turn may develop into a tropical storm or hurricane, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. Hurricanes are born in the tropics, above warm water. Clusters of thunderstorms can develop over the ocean when water temperatures exceed 80 degrees Fahrenheit. If conditions are right, the clusters swirl into a storm known as a tropical wave or tropical depression. A tropical depression becomes a named tropical storm once its sustained wind speeds reaches 39 miles per hour. When its winds reach 74 mph, the storm officially becomes a hurricane. Delaying potentially life-saving preparations could mean waiting until it's too late. "Get your disaster supplies while the shelves are still stocked, and get that insurance checkup early, as flood insurance requires a 30-day waiting period," NOAA recommends. Prepare now for hurricanes: Here's what you should do to stay safe before a storm arrives Contributing: John Gallas and Cheryl McCloud, USA TODAY Network Mike Snider is a national trending news reporter for USA TODAY. You can follow him on Threads, Bluesky, X and email him at mikegsnider & @ & @mikesnider & msnider@


USA Today
4 days ago
- Climate
- USA Today
Hurricane forecasters track Tropical Storm Ivo, Atlantic systems and more
The National Hurricane Center is tracking two weather systems in the Atlantic Ocean – neither of which pose immediate risk to the United States – while Henriette and Ivo wax and wane in the Pacific Ocean. A tropical wave, called Invest 96L, dispensing disorganized showers and thunderstorms over the central tropical Atlantic, could gradually develop during the early or middle part of next week as the system moves northwestward to northward across the central Atlantic, the National Hurricane Center said in an advisory on Saturday morning, Aug. 9. However, the NHC puts its likelihood of developing into a tropical depression at 20% over the next seven days. The hurricane center also said another tropical wave, off the west coast of Africa in the Eastern Tropical Atlantic is also producing disorganized showers and thunderstorms and could gradually develop into a tropical depression. The system is expected to deliver local heavy rainfall Sunday and Monday across parts of the Cabo Verde Islands. The NHC gives this system a higher chance of developing (40%) over the next seven days. Neither system is currently expected to develop soon or threaten land. That doesn't mean those who live along the U.S. coast should become complacent as an above-normal hurricane season is still expected. "The tropics remain quiet, and are likely to stay that way for another 10 days or more." said Ryan Truchelut, WeatherTiger meteorologist who provides regular hurricane season forecasts for the USA TODAY Network. "Still, we know well hurricane seasons can be nowhere to be found, then suddenly impossible to avoid. While there is hope the active peak months of hurricane season may not translate into another awful year in human terms, the reality is that U.S. hurricane impacts are likely and to be expected over the next few months." Henriette and Ivo in the Pacific The NHC had expected both storms in the Pacific Ocean – Henriette and Ivo – to eventually develop into hurricanes. However, Henriette, located about 615 miles east of Hilo, Hawaii, has become a tropical depression with maximum sustained winds near 35 mph with higher gusts. It is expected to become a tropical storm again by Sunday, but its northwesterly path will keep it north of Hawaii, the center said. Tropical Strom Ivo, which is about 220 miles southwest of the southern tip of Baja California, is producing maximum sustained winds near 60 mph. But it is expected to weaken and become post-tropical by late Sunday, the NHC said. However, swells created by the storm will likely continue to create life-threatening surf and rip currents for the southern Baja California peninsula for the next day or so. What is a tropical wave? The term "tropical wave" describes atmospheric conditions, according to Tropical waves are elongated areas, or troughs, of relatively low pressure that move east to west across the tropics, moving westward from Africa into the Atlantic. A wave can lead to the formation of a tropical cyclone, which in turn may develop into a tropical storm or hurricane, according to the National Oceanic and Atmospheric Administration. How do hurricanes form? Hurricanes are born in the tropics, above warm water. Clusters of thunderstorms can develop over the ocean when water temperatures exceed 80 degrees Fahrenheit. If conditions are right, the clusters swirl into a storm known as a tropical wave or tropical depression. A tropical depression becomes a named tropical storm once its sustained wind speeds reaches 39 miles per hour. When its winds reach 74 mph, the storm officially becomes a hurricane. Prepare now for hurricanes Delaying potentially life-saving preparations could mean waiting until it's too late. "Get your disaster supplies while the shelves are still stocked, and get that insurance checkup early, as flood insurance requires a 30-day waiting period," NOAA recommends. Prepare now for hurricanes: Here's what you should do to stay safe before a storm arrives Contributing: John Gallas and Cheryl McCloud, USA TODAY Network Mike Snider is a national trending news reporter for USA TODAY. You can follow him on Threads, Bluesky, X and email him at mikegsnider & @ & @mikesnider & msnider@ What's everyone talking about? Sign up for our trending newsletter to get the latest news of the day
Yahoo
01-08-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
National Hurricane Center tracking 4 tropical waves. August brings increased risk for hurricanes
The tropics remain quiet in the Atlantic basin, but forecasters are warning activity is expected to pick up this month. "August arrives with a whiff of impending calamity," said Dr. Ryan Truchelut, chief meteorologist with WeatherTiger, who also described August as "the worst month of the year." Truchelut is a Florida meteorologist who works with the USA TODAY Network. Water temperatures from the coast of Africa to the Gulf and southwestern Atlantic are at or above 80 degrees, which supports tropical development, according to AccuWeather. ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location While the National Hurricane Center anticipates no tropical activity over the next seven days, AccuWeather forecasters are keeping an eye on an area showing potential for development off the U.S. east coast in early August. "Historically, there have been about 30 August U.S. major hurricane landfalls in the last 175 years, with a clear preference for these most powerful storms to strike the western Gulf," Truchelut said. Most storms develop between mid-August and mid-October, and forecasters said several signs are out there indicating activity will be picking up. The next named storm of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season will be Dexter. The fourth named storm in the Atlantic basin typically arrives Aug. 15, with the average first hurricane forming Aug. 11. Forecasters warn now is the time to prepare for a hurricane, and you can save on hurricane supplies starting today. A permanent ban on sales taxes for certain hurricane supplies began Friday, Aug. 1. ➤ Track active storms In the Pacific, forecasters are watching five tropical systems, including Tropical Storms Gil and Iona. Gil is expected to strengthen into a hurricane later today. ➤ Pacific hurricane season up to 9 named storms. What about Atlantic? Here's the latest advisory from the National Hurricane Center as of 8 a.m. Aug. 1: What is the National Hurricane Center tracking in the tropics? The National Hurricane Center is tracking three tropical waves in the Atlantic basin, including two in the Caribbean. Tropical wave 1: A tropical wave is in the central Atlantic with axis near 55W, and moving west around 17 mph. Tropical wave 2: A tropical wave is in the eastern Caribbean with axis near 66W south of 20N, moving west at 11 to 17 mph. Tropical wave 3: A tropical wave is in the western Caribbean with axis near 81W south of 20N, moving west at 6 to 11 mph. Is there a hurricane coming toward Florida? No tropical development is expected in the Atlantic basin over the next seven days, according to the National Hurricane Center. "In the coming days, we will be watching the zone from northeast of Florida to just off the Carolina coast for tropical development," AccuWeather Lead Hurricane Expert Alex DaSilva said. ➤ Enjoy quietest start to hurricane season since 2009; but back half could be brutal "Initially, this area, as well as farther west over the interior of the Carolinas, Georgia, northern Florida and southern Alabama, will be quite active in terms of drenching showers and gusty thunderstorms from this weekend to early next week. "Fronts that stall near the warm waters of the southwestern Atlantic sometimes can slowly brew a tropical storm or a storm that forms along the front and becomes tropical over time. The latter tends to have much greater wind potential than a non-tropical storm and can go on to become a powerful hurricane. "Roughly from Saturday, Aug. 2, to Tuesday, Aug. 5, is the time frame for a tropical storm to develop just off the U.S. southern Atlantic coast," DaSilva said, adding steering breezes would likely guide any storm away from the U.S. later next week. "By the middle of next week, it's worth keeping an eye on the area between Florida, the Carolinas, and Bermuda, where one such wave may interact with a stalled-out cold front. But overall, I don't see significant tropical threats to the U.S. in the first third of August," Truchelut said. "Historically, there have been about 30 August U.S. major hurricane landfalls in the last 175 years, with a clear preference for these most powerful storms to strike the western Gulf." Could Florida feel any impacts from potential system off US coast? Regardless of development, tropical moisture that interacts with the stalled front and low pressure associated with a brewing storm is likely to unleash torrential downpours along the southern Atlantic Coast to the northeastern Gulf Coast from this weekend to early next week, according to AccuWeather. In areas that receive these downpours repeatedly day after day, the threat for flash flooding will grow and increase, AccuWeather Senior Meteorologist Dan Pydynowski said. The worst rain is predicted to miss Florida, but areas across the Panhandle and North Florida could see between 2 to almost 4 inches of rain, according to NOAA. The worst rain is expected to fall across southeast Georgia to coastal South Carolina, which could see 4 to 8 inches of rain over several days, AccuWeather warned. "Those with beach plans should be mindful of locally rough surf, thunderstorm downpours and the risk of brief tornadoes and waterspouts. Tropical Storm Gil expected to strengthen into hurricane in Pacific The National Hurricane Center is tracking four systems in the Pacific, including the seventh named storm in the eastern Pacific: Tropical Storm Gil. Maximum sustained winds have increased to near 65 mph, with higher gusts. Further strengthening is forecast, and Gil is expected to become a hurricane today, Aug. 1. Iona is weakening, with maximum sustained winds now at 45 mph. Little change in strength is forecast during the next day or two. Gradual weakening is forecast to begin Aug. 3. : Disorganized showers and thunderstorms are associated with a trough of low pressure located well south-southeast of Hilo, Hawaii. Environmental conditions are becoming increasingly unfavorable, anddevelopment is no longer anticipated. An area of low pressure is expected to form well southwest of southwestern Mexico within the next day or two. Environmental conditions appear conducive for some gradual development of this system, and a tropical depression is likely to form late this weekend or early next week. An area of low pressure is forecast to form offshore of the coast of Central America and southern Mexico by the middle part of next week. Thereafter, environmental conditions appear conducive for some development. Most of Florida under heat advisory On July 31, almost all of Florida — the lone exception was Monroe County — was under a heat advisory. On Friday, Aug. 1, heat advisories have been issued for Florida except for the western tip of the Panhandle and most of the west coast. Pensacola, western Panhandle: Mostly sunny, with a high near 91. Heat index values as high as 106. Tallahassee, central Panhandle: A heat advisory is in effect through this evening. Scattered showers and thunderstorms will be possible this afternoon with gusty winds, frequent lightning and heavy rainfall. Jacksonville, North, Northeast Florida: The heatwave is expected to continue into Saturday. Don't be fooled by slightly lower air temps this weekend; the humidity will make it feel dangerously hot, with heat index values hitting 105-112. A heat advisory begins at 10 a.m. Daytona Beach to Stuart, central and eastern Florida: Stretch of hazardous heat continues. A heat advisory is in effect for all of East Central Florida today for heat index values up to 110 degrees. Showers and storms begin along the sea breeze by midday, moving inland in the afternoon/evening. South Florida: A heat advisory is in effect from 11 a.m. to 7 p.m. today. Offshore scattered showers continue on both coasts this morning. Southwest, western Florida: temperatures trending back closer to normal as rain chances increase. Temps in the mid 90s, with heat index between 100 and 107. 2025 hurricane season so far An average Atlantic hurricane season has 14 named storms, seven hurricanes, and three major hurricanes. Here's when this year's named storms have developed, compared to historical averages: Tropical Storm Andrea: formed June 24. Average start date: June 20 Tropical Storm Barry: formed June 29. Average start date: July 17 Tropical Storm Chantal: formed July 5. Average start date: Aug. 3. Next up, Dexter: Average start date: Aug. 15, with the average first hurricane forming Aug. 11. ➤ How to set up emergency cellphone notifications for flash flood warnings and safety tips ➤ Excessive rainfall forecast Hurricane names for 2025 season Here are the names for the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season, along with how to pronounce them: Andrea (June 24) Barry (June 29) Chantal (July 5) Dexter: DEHK-ster Erin: AIR-rin Fernand: fair-NAHN Gabrielle: ga-bree-ELL Humberto: oom-BAIR-toh Imelda: ee-MEHL-dah Jerry: JEHR-ee Karen: KAIR-ren Lorenzo: loh-REN-zoh Melissa: meh-LIH-suh Nestor: NES-tor Olga: OAL-guh Pablo: PAHB-lo Rebekah: reh-BEH-kuh Sebastien: se-BAS-tee-en Tanya: TAHN-yuh Van: van Wendy: WEN-dee When is the Atlantic hurricane season? The Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Ninety-seven percent of tropical cyclone activity occurs during this time period, NOAA said. The Atlantic basin includes the northern Atlantic Ocean, Caribbean Sea and Gulf of America, as the Gulf of Mexico is now known in the U.S. per an order from President Trump. NOAA and the National Hurricane Center are now using Gulf of America on its maps and in its advisories. When is the peak of hurricane season? National Hurricane Center map: See what forecasters watching now Systems currently being monitored by the National Hurricane Center include: Why does NHC say 'tropical cyclone' on its maps instead of hurricane or tropical storm? Tropical cyclone is the generic term used by the National Weather Service, NOAA and the National Hurricane Center for any tropical system, even if it's in the tropical Atlantic basin. To be more precise, a tropical cyclone is a "rotating, organized system of clouds and thunderstorms that originates over tropical or subtropical waters and has closed, low-level circulation," NOAA said. Once maximum sustained winds reach 74 mph, what it is called is determined by where it originated: : for storms in the North Atlantic, central North Pacific, and eastern North Pacific. : for storms in the Northwest Pacific. : for storms in the South Pacific and Indian Ocean. Interactive map: Hurricanes, tropical storms that have passed near your city Stay informed. Get weather alerts via text What's next? We will update our tropical weather coverage daily. Download your local site's app to ensure you're always connected to the news. And look for our special subscription offers here. This article originally appeared on The Daytona Beach News-Journal: Hurricane Center hurricane forecast, Florida impacts for August


Miami Herald
28-06-2025
- Climate
- Miami Herald
Tropical Storm Andrea, first of the season, forms far off in the Atlantic
The first tropical storm of the season, Andrea, formed in the Atlantic on Tuesday morning, but forecasters say it will be short-lived. The National Hurricane Center predicts that the storm will begin to power down by Tuesday night, becoming a post-tropical remnant low as it enters chillier water and then dissipating on Wednesday. 'The system has met the criteria of being classified as a tropical storm, albeit a marginal one,' forecasters wrote in an earlier discussion. Andrea marks the farthest northeast storm formation point on record for June since 1900, noted Ryan Truchelut of Weather Tiger in his newsletter. READ MORE: U.S. hurricane forecast: 'Everything is in place' for another above-average season NOAA has called for another above-average season this year, with 13 to 19 named storms, six to 10 of which could strengthen into hurricanes and three to five of which could become major storms — Category 3 or higher.
Yahoo
11-06-2025
- Climate
- Yahoo
Ultimate Southwest Florida hurricane preparation guide 2025
If you live in Southwest Florida, you know that the Atlantic hurricane season runs from June 1 through Nov. 30. Preparation is key. We've amassed and curated everything you need to know about preparing for a hurricane or tropical storm, from what supplies to get, to how to stay safe and what to do after a storm. Scroll down through the page to browse, or jump quickly to the section you want: About hurricane forecasting Latest Florida forecasts Preparing your home and yard All about insurance ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location Will a Category 5 hurricane make landfall in Florida in 2025? History says that's unlikely In a rush? 15 things you should know before 2025 hurricane season arrives Infographic: How do hurricanes form? An inside look What's the difference between subtropical storm and tropical storm? Breaking down the hurricane category scale Hurricanes, typhoons and cyclones: What are the differences among these storms? What is NOAA? Federal weather, climate agency hit with job cuts has a big mission Meet WeatherTiger: Hurricane expert Ryan Truchelut provides Florida storm forecasts, analyses National Hurricane Center is updating its cone graphic for the 2025 hurricane season 2025 hurricane season will start with Andrea. See list of names and how you can prepare now Florida storm tracker: A hurricane watcher's guide to the latest track and model forecasts during the 2025 Atlantic Hurricane Season. Hurricane Season 2025: Good news and bad from the Florida forecast from WeatherTiger It's not too early to prepare yourself and your home for a hurricane. The best time to get ready is before a storm is approaching. With hurricane season starting soon, Florida residents need to prepare. What to know New to Florida and hurricanes? Here's what you should know as hurricane season approaches Here are 10 things you can do to get ahead of the 2025 Atlantic hurricane season Taping windows before a storm? Don't fall for these hurricane myths ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location What supplies do you need for a storm? Food and water are only the beginning to building your emergency supplies. Here are other things you should assemble. Hurricane season help: Tips for starting a storm supply list Hurricane preparation: What supplies do you need for a storm? Here's a list Creating hurricane supplies kit important, but what if money is tight? Tips, resources to help What you should do to protect your home during a hurricane Make sure you have safely installed shutters, tips on maintenance What you should know about hurricane shutters and window coverings before a storm Do you need a generator? Here's how to decide How to prepare your house for a hurricane: The ultimate preparedness checklist from USA TODAY Storm prep and other things to do in your Jacksonville yard (and beyond!) this June How to protect your patio from storm damage during hurricane season Follow these guidelines to get your trees, yard ready for hurricane or tropical storm Here is how you can prepare your pool for a hurricane or tropical storm What to do with your boat in Florida if a storm approaches Follow this checklist to protect, secure your boat for hurricanes and tropical storms ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location Florida weather alerts (use dropdown menu to see your county) Across Florida: Who should I call for help in an emergency during a hurricane? How do you know if you live in an evacuation zone? Enter your address on this Florida Division of Emergency Management website What's your flood risk? Enter your ZIP code on this FEMA website for information Should you go to a hurricane shelter? What to know before you make your decision Florida Special Needs Registry: If someone in your household has special needs, register with your local emergency management agency here to receive assistance during a disaster Florida Gridlock Guide: Latest traffic reports and live views from the state's highways OFF THE GRID: Florida Power Outage Tracker — use dropdown menu to see your county Can you fill a washing machine with ice for a hurricane? Here's why you shouldn't Power outage safety: Here's what to be aware of before, during and after your power goes out Hurricane hacks for your dog, if you want coffee, in case you lose power or ride the storm Best tips on how to keep your pets safe during a storm How do you prepare your pets for hurricane season and how do you evacuate with animals? Safety tips for navigating around your neighborhood after storm What's still safe to eat and what should be thrown out? After storms, scammers come out. How to avoid getting ripped off in Florida Returning home from evacuating? Safety tips, how to file an insurance claim when you return ➤ Weather alerts via text: Sign up to get updates about current storms and weather events by location Don't understand insurance? What to know to keep a roof over your head Homeowners' insurance in Florida: What to know ahead of 2025 Hurricane Season Hurricane Season preparedness: What to document for insurance before Hurricane Season 2025 No flood insurance? You could end up on the hook for storm damage Hurricane season tips for homeowners: Five insurance facts to know, when to buy These 3 things aren't covered by Florida homeowners' insurance Dropped from your home or flood insurance policy? Here's what to do Living in Florida? These flood insurance facts could save you thousands Need a new roof for insurance? Here are the main choices in Florida and how they stack up Study: 10-year-old asphalt shingles don't protect against hurricane winds Hurricane hunters save lives, but plane breakdowns put them at risk Not your ordinary aircraft: NOAA Hurricane Hunter jet is designed to collect weather data Can cows predict a hurricane is coming? Debunking one of Florida's strangest superstitions Easy decision: 2024 weather monsters Helene, Milton retired from hurricane names list Support local journalism by subscribing to a Florida news organization. This article originally appeared on Fort Myers News-Press: Florida hurricane guide 2025: How to prepare your SW FL home, yard