Latest news with #polling
Daily Mail
7 hours ago
- Business
- Daily Mail
CNN polling analyst taken back by GOP's economic approval ratings
CNN polling analyst Harry Enten (pictured) was left stunned by Republicans' still-high economic approval ratings despite President Donald Trump's unpopular global tariffs and an erratic stock market. Enten appeared on CNN News Central on Monday when anchor Kate Bouldan asked him which party was faring better when it comes to economic messaging. 'You'd expect that Democrats would have this massive lead on the economy - it ain't so! It ain't so!' the pollster cried out as he unveiled the network's polling showing the GOP still holding a lead on economic issues. The May survey showed that Americans preferred Republicans over Democrats by eight points when asked which party was 'closer to your economic views.' 'How is that possible Democrats?' Enten asked, incredulously. 'How is it possible after all the recession fears? After the stock market's been doing all of this, after all the tariffs that Americans are against and Republicans still hold an eight point lead on the economy? Are you kidding me!?' Other polls were even worse for Democrats, including one from Reuters/Ipsos poll, which found that Republicans were actually widening their margins on economic issues under Trump. 'Party with a better economic plan? Well in May of 2024, just before Donald Trump was re-elected president, Republicans had a nine-point advantage,' Enten noted. 'Look at where we are now in May 2025,' he continued. 'The advantage actually went up by three points. Now Republicans have a 12-point advantage when it comes to the party with a better economic plan. Again, this is after months of supposed economic uncertainty in which the stock market's been going bonkers, in which tariff wars that Americans are against have been going on. And yet, despite all of that, the Democrats are down by 12 points on the economy.' But he said, nothing 'speaks to Democratic problems on the economy better than' polls asking voters to choose which is the party of the middle class - which has traditionally given Democrats a 'huge advantage' over Republicans. In 1989, polling showed Democrats had a 23-point advantage, which dropped to a 17-point lead in 2016 and a four-point edge in 2022. 'In our latest CNN poll, among registered voters, "Which is the party of the middle class?" It is tied!' Enten declared. 'This, I think, speaks to Democratic ills more than anything else,' he concluded. 'They have traditionally been the party of the middle class. No more!' 'Donald Trump and the Republican Party have taken that mantle away, and now a key advantage for Democrats historically has gone "Adios Amigos!" and now there is no party that is the party of the middle class,' Enten argued. 'Republicans have completely closed the gap.' However, the polls came as economic analysts at JPMorgan Chase warned the United States may soon be entering a period of stagflation - when prices rise and economic growth slows at the same time. Economists consider stagflation, last seen in the US in the 1970s, to be worse than a recession. The ongoing uncertainty of the US's trade relations with its biggest partners will also keep stocks in check, the strategists wrote in a research note. The 'current tariffs picture is worse than most thought at the start of the year,' they explained. Greer (pictured left) also shared that he has been in nearly constant contact with India's top trade representative, claiming to have calls with them 'every day.' In addition, the trade rep revealed that he plans on forwarding negotiations with Malaysia and Vietnam at the upcoming Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) meeting next week. He also said he will be talking to E.U. representatives at the gathering.
Yahoo
12 hours ago
- General
- Yahoo
Dems' popularity continues to sink lower
(NewsNation) — A new poll from CNN shows only 16% of Americans think Democrats are strong leaders. The polling comes as the fallout from a new book detailing former president Joe Biden's decline Tara Palmeri says the people who did not speak up about Biden's decline earlier but did now makes them look complicit. Copyright 2025 Nexstar Media, Inc. All rights reserved. This material may not be published, broadcast, rewritten, or redistributed.
CNN
12 hours ago
- Business
- CNN
2 key findings on Democrats' brand problem from the new CNN poll
There's new evidence that the Democratic Party's reputation is in a bad place. That doesn't mean the party is doomed, electorally speaking. There's plenty of reason to doubt that, given lots of history and its performance in the 2025 elections thus far — but it is a complicating factor for the party's path forward. And a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS provides insights into the party's problems. It's worth a breakdown. The poll, which was released Sunday, asked a battery of questions about how people view both parties. Perhaps most striking was that people were more likely to view the Republicans than Democrats as the party with strong leaders (40% to 16%) and even the 'party of change' (32% to 25%). Neither party won close to a majority in either category. But the former is notable because there is such a gulf between the two parties. And the latter is notable because the party that's out of power is usually viewed as the party of change. Not this time. So what can we read into these findings? The 'strong leaders' question might be the most troublesome finding for Democrats. Only about 1 in 6 Americans said Democrats have stronger leaders than Republicans. As remarkably, only 39% of Democrats said that. We've seen hints of this in previous polls. A March CNN poll found about 3 in 10 Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters couldn't name a single leader who best reflected the party's core values. An AP-NORC poll last month showed just 35% of Democrats said they were at least 'somewhat' optimistic about the future of their party, compared with 55% of Republicans for their party. This might not seem too surprising. We just said goodbye to a Democratic president (Joe Biden) who was a diminished figure even when he was still in office. And the Democratic nominee who replaced him (Kamala Harris) wasn't exactly viewed as the future of the party when she took over the ticket in the 2024 race — and then lost. But there was a time when Democrats were at a somewhat similar crossroads, and the numbers weren't as dismal. A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll asked the same question in 2006 — after John Kerry's unsuccessful emergence as Democrats' 2004 presidential candidate — and found a smaller 14-point advantage for Republicans. Back then, 63% of Democrats said their party had stronger leaders than Republicans — 24 points higher than today. One reason for the difference is that the 2025 and 2006 polls asked the question in a slightly different way, partly because one was conducted entirely by phone and the other mostly online. Today's poll gave people an explicit 'neither' option, which the 2006 poll didn't (though some people volunteered that option back then). Nearly half of Democrats in the new poll (48%) chose that option. That's still a remarkable finding. Combined with the 13% of Democrats who said Republicans have the stronger leaders, that's 6 in 10 Democrats this year who don't think their side has stronger leaders than a party led by a president whom a huge majority of them revile. The other notable finding is on which party is the 'party of change.' Americans chose Republicans, 32% to 25%. That's not a big gap, but it is counterintuitive given Republicans swept the House, Senate and White House last fall. Historically speaking, it's almost always the party that's out of power that's viewed as the party of change. Before the 2006 election, the same CNN-ORC poll mentioned above showed Democrats had a huge, 56% to 29% lead on this measure. Then, as now, Democrats didn't hold the presidency or either chamber of Congress. But the numbers are very different today. Not only do Democrats trail on this measure, but only a slight majority of Democrats themselves — 51% — say their party is the party of change. And only 18% of independents say that. It's likely this is, in part, about Democrats' failure to position themselves as change agents, but also about what President Donald Trump is doing — and about people not necessarily seeing 'change' as a good thing. However you feel about the changes Trump is making, there is no question he is pushing lots of them. You see that in his and the Department of Government Efficiency's rapid overhaul of the federal government and in Trump's historic efforts to expand executive power — in ways that are often being halted by the courts because they go too far, too fast. It's possible that people just see Trump changing lots of things, whether for good or ill in their opinions, so the 'party of change' mantle doesn't mean what it usually does. We already saw during the 2024 campaign that people's definitions of 'change' were somewhat jumbled by unusual circumstances — i.e., Harris replacing Biden, and a former president running as the challenger. But it's also pretty clear that Democrats have failed to make themselves into a viable and attractive alternative to the party in power. The new CNN poll also asked which party people viewed as the 'party that can get things done.' Republicans led on this by a nearly 2-to-1 margin, 36% to 19%. Only 49% of Democrats and 11% of independents picked the Democratic Party as the more formidable one. There's also, of course, Republicans' big edge on the 'strong leaders' question. None of this means Democrats are sunk in the 2026 elections — or anything close to it. History shows the party that doesn't hold the White House almost always wins midterm elections, in large part because they're viewed as a check on the president. Democrats and liberal candidates have also been doing well in special elections and other races held since the 2024 election. In other words, being not-Trump could be good enough to at least reclaim a very closely split House. But if the Democratic Party wants to run up the score in 2026 and really chart a path for the 2028 election, it has some real work to do on its branding.
Daily Mail
13 hours ago
- Business
- Daily Mail
CNN polling guru left stunned by GOP's economic approval amid tariff troubles and erratic stock market
CNN polling analyst Harry Enten was left stunned by Republicans' still-high economic approval ratings despite President Donald Trump's unpopular global tariffs and an erratic stock market. Enten appeared on CNN News Central on Monday when anchor Kate Bouldan asked him which party was faring better when it comes to economic messaging. 'You'd expect that Democrats would have this massive lead on the economy - it ain't so! It ain't so!' the pollster cried out as he unveiled the network's polling showing the GOP still holding a lead on economic issues. The May survey showed that Americans preferred Republicans over Democrats by eight points when asked which party was 'closer to your economic views.' 'How is that possible Democrats?' Enten asked, incredulously. 'How is it possible after all the recession fears? After the stock market's been doing all of this, after all the tariffs that Americans are against and Republicans still hold an eight point lead on the economy? Are you kidding me!?' Other polls were even worse for Democrats, including one from Reuters/Ipsos poll, which found that Republicans were actually widening their margins on economic issues under Trump. '"Party with a better economic plan?" Well in May of 2024, just before Donald Trump was re-elected president, Republicans had a nine-point advantage,' Enten noted. Enten appeared on CNN News Central on Monday when anchor Kate Bouldan asked him which party was faring better when it comes to economic messaging 'Look at where we are now in May 2025,' he continued. 'The advantage actually went up by three points. Now Republicans have a 12-point advantage when it comes to the party with a better economic plan. 'Again, this is after months of supposed economic uncertainty in which the stock market's been going bonkers, in which tariff wars that Americans are against have been going on. 'And yet, despite all of that, the Democrats are down by 12 points on the economy.' But he said, nothing 'speaks to Democratic problems on the economy better than' polls asking voters to choose which is the party of the middle class - which has traditionally given Democrats a 'huge advantage' over Republicans. In 1989, polling showed Democrats had a 23-point advantage, which dropped to a 17-point lead in 2016 and a four-point edge in 2022. 'In our latest CNN poll, among registered voters, "Which is the party of the middle class?" It is tied!' Enten declared. 'This, I think, speaks to Democratic ills more than anything else,' he concluded. 'They have traditionally been the party of the middle class. No more!' 'Donald Trump and the Republican Party have taken that mantle away, and now a key advantage for Democrats historically has gone "Adios Amigos!" and now there is no party that is the party of the middle class,' Enten argued. 'Republicans have completely closed the gap.' However, the polls came as economic analysts at JPMorgan Chase warned the United States may soon be entering a period of stagflation - when prices rise and economic growth slows at the same time. Economists consider stagflation, last seen in the US in the 1970s, to be worse than a recession. The ongoing uncertainty of the US's trade relations with its biggest partners will also keep stocks in check, the strategists wrote in a research note. The 'current tariffs picture is worse than most thought at the start of the year,' they explained. Still, there may be a light at the end of the tunnel as US Trade Representative Jamieson Greer told CNBC that an imminent deal could be struck with the E.U. after Trump threatened increasing the 'nasty' union's rate to 50 percent earlier this month. Greer also shared that he has been in nearly constant contact with India 's top trade representative, claiming to have calls with them 'every day.' In addition, the trade rep revealed that he plans on forwarding negotiations with Malaysia and Vietnam at the upcoming Organization for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) meeting next week.
CNN
13 hours ago
- Business
- CNN
2 key findings on Democrats' brand problem from the new CNN poll
There's new evidence that the Democratic Party's reputation is in a bad place. That doesn't mean the party is doomed, electorally speaking. There's plenty of reason to doubt that, given lots of history and its performance in the 2025 elections thus far — but it is a complicating factor for the party's path forward. And a new CNN poll conducted by SSRS provides insights into the party's problems. It's worth a breakdown. The poll, which was released Sunday, asked a battery of questions about how people view both parties. Perhaps most striking was that people were more likely to view the Republicans than Democrats as the party with strong leaders (40% to 16%) and even the 'party of change' (32% to 25%). Neither party won close to a majority in either category. But the former is notable because there is such a gulf between the two parties. And the latter is notable because the party that's out of power is usually viewed as the party of change. Not this time. So what can we read into these findings? The 'strong leaders' question might be the most troublesome finding for Democrats. Only about 1 in 6 Americans said Democrats have stronger leaders than Republicans. As remarkably, only 39% of Democrats said that. We've seen hints of this in previous polls. A March CNN poll found about 3 in 10 Democrats and Democratic-leaning voters couldn't name a single leader who best reflected the party's core values. An AP-NORC poll last month showed just 35% of Democrats said they were at least 'somewhat' optimistic about the future of their party, compared with 55% of Republicans for their party. This might not seem too surprising. We just said goodbye to a Democratic president (Joe Biden) who was a diminished figure even when he was still in office. And the Democratic nominee who replaced him (Kamala Harris) wasn't exactly viewed as the future of the party when she took over the ticket in the 2024 race — and then lost. But there was a time when Democrats were at a somewhat similar crossroads, and the numbers weren't as dismal. A CNN/Opinion Research Corporation poll asked the same question in 2006 — after John Kerry's unsuccessful emergence as Democrats' 2004 presidential candidate — and found a smaller 14-point advantage for Republicans. Back then, 63% of Democrats said their party had stronger leaders than Republicans — 24 points higher than today. One reason for the difference is that the 2025 and 2006 polls asked the question in a slightly different way, partly because one was conducted entirely by phone and the other mostly online. Today's poll gave people an explicit 'neither' option, which the 2006 poll didn't (though some people volunteered that option back then). Nearly half of Democrats in the new poll (48%) chose that option. That's still a remarkable finding. Combined with the 13% of Democrats who said Republicans have the stronger leaders, that's 6 in 10 Democrats this year who don't think their side has stronger leaders than a party led by a president whom a huge majority of them revile. The other notable finding is on which party is the 'party of change.' Americans chose Republicans, 32% to 25%. That's not a big gap, but it is counterintuitive given Republicans swept the House, Senate and White House last fall. Historically speaking, it's almost always the party that's out of power that's viewed as the party of change. Before the 2006 election, the same CNN-ORC poll mentioned above showed Democrats had a huge, 56% to 29% lead on this measure. Then, as now, Democrats didn't hold the presidency or either chamber of Congress. But the numbers are very different today. Not only do Democrats trail on this measure, but only a slight majority of Democrats themselves — 51% — say their party is the party of change. And only 18% of independents say that. It's likely this is, in part, about Democrats' failure to position themselves as change agents, but also about what President Donald Trump is doing — and about people not necessarily seeing 'change' as a good thing. However you feel about the changes Trump is making, there is no question he is pushing lots of them. You see that in his and the Department of Government Efficiency's rapid overhaul of the federal government and in Trump's historic efforts to expand executive power — in ways that are often being halted by the courts because they go too far, too fast. It's possible that people just see Trump changing lots of things, whether for good or ill in their opinions, so the 'party of change' mantle doesn't mean what it usually does. We already saw during the 2024 campaign that people's definitions of 'change' were somewhat jumbled by unusual circumstances — i.e., Harris replacing Biden, and a former president running as the challenger. But it's also pretty clear that Democrats have failed to make themselves into a viable and attractive alternative to the party in power. The new CNN poll also asked which party people viewed as the 'party that can get things done.' Republicans led on this by a nearly 2-to-1 margin, 36% to 19%. Only 49% of Democrats and 11% of independents picked the Democratic Party as the more formidable one. There's also, of course, Republicans' big edge on the 'strong leaders' question. None of this means Democrats are sunk in the 2026 elections — or anything close to it. History shows the party that doesn't hold the White House almost always wins midterm elections, in large part because they're viewed as a check on the president. Democrats and liberal candidates have also been doing well in special elections and other races held since the 2024 election. In other words, being not-Trump could be good enough to at least reclaim a very closely split House. But if the Democratic Party wants to run up the score in 2026 and really chart a path for the 2028 election, it has some real work to do on its branding.
