30-04-2025
Where should the Tories be worried about at the local elections?
Kemi Badenoch faces her first big electoral test in this week's local elections. The Conservative party has much to lose. Of the 1,642 council seats up for grabs, 940, accounting for boundary changes, were won by the Tories back in 2021. For Badenoch, the only path on Thursday is down.
Four years ago, Boris Johnson was at the peak of his 'vaccine bounce'. Those were halcyon days, pre-Partygate, Trussonomics, and Toryism's worst defeat since James II's exile. In May 2021, the Conservatives poll ratings were at 45 per cent. Today, they barely top 20 per cent, falling back from last summer's defeat. Amongst party members, Badenoch's leadership is increasingly unpopular.
Thursday's local elections should be inconsequential. Thanks to nine councils taking up Angela Rayner's offer of delaying facing the voters for a year, fewer councillors are up for election than at any set of council elections since 1975.
