How Trump obliterated the best-laid plans of world's most powerful military alliance
London: NATO wanted this week's summit to be relatively boring. A controversy-free meeting, a bland communique, and a polished photo op to show unity. What it's getting instead is a flashpoint – one lit by the United States itself.
Just days before 32 NATO leaders descend on the Dutch capital, the world's most powerful military alliance is watching its agenda be torched by a fresh theatre of war: Iran. And not just Israeli warplanes this time, but American ones, too.
In a stunning military escalation, US forces joined Israel in bombing Iran 's most fortified nuclear sites, including the Fordow enrichment facility buried deep under a mountainside. GBU-57 'bunker-busting' bombs – some of the heaviest non-nuclear ordnance in the American arsenal – were used to punch through rock and concrete. Other strikes hit Natanz and Isfahan.
Trump's message was blunt: 'Obliterated.'
And just like that, the fragile choreography of what might have been NATO's most consequential summit in its 76-year history – carefully designed to hide its internal fractures – has been blown off course.
The summit was never supposed to be about Iran. Or even Ukraine, for that matter.
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To keep US President Donald Trump happy – and at the table – NATO Secretary-General Mark Rutte stripped the agenda down to its bare bones. Gone was any serious discussion on Russia's war in Ukraine. Ukrainian President Volodymyr Zelensky has been downgraded to dinner guest, rather than council participant. The alliance's evolving strategy on Russia? Hidden in a drawer.
Instead, the headline act was supposed to be a carefully pre-cooked pledge from European allies: more defence spending, more kit, more readiness. Trump demands 5 per cent of GDP. Rutte's trying to sell a compromise – 3.5 per cent for core defence, another 1.5 per cent for 'infrastructure' and cybersecurity.

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West Australian
24 minutes ago
- West Australian
Aussie petrol prices: Trump's move in Israel-Iran fight sparks warnings of bowser pain
Australians could be set for renewed pain at the bowser after US President Donald Trump stepped in to the raging conflict between Israel and Iran, with a shock weekend aerial strike. Mr Trump claimed to have taken out Iran's ability to enrich uranium through a bombing campaign on three key underground facilities. The Middle Eastern nation has reportedly warned 'all options' are on the table for a response. That will leave the west's energy security hanging in the balance, as Iran borders the crucial Strait of Hormuz waterway — a 33 kilometre-wide passage which transits about 20 per cent of global oil supply. Oil prices rallied on Monday morning as the threat of escalation loomed. Brent crude lifted more than 5 per cent to surge past $US80 per barrel. Share markets rose only modestly, a signal that investors hope for a quick return to peace. The benchmark ASX200 declined 0.3 per cent to 8,474.5 points at 12:30pm AWST, while Japan's Nikkei225 and futures for the US S&P500 slid a similar amount. Iran's next move will determine whether the cost of oil gets pushed even higher, according to AMP chief economist Shane Oliver. A disruption to shipping in the Strait or an Iranian attack on the oil infrastructure of other major Middle Eastern producers would be among the worst risks, Dr Oliver said. 'As 20 per cent of global oil supplies and 25 per cent of LNG trade flows through the Strait, any disruption could push oil prices above $US100 a barrel, possibly to around $US150/bbl,' he said. 'This would likely only be brief, as the US military would likely quickly move to stop Iran.' Oil reaching $US100/bbl would add 25 cents per litre to the price of petrol for Aussies, Mr Oliver said. That's on top of a 15¢/L increase already in the pipeline following the turmoil of recent weeks. It will mean cost of living pain returns to the agenda for Australian households, just as inflation looked to be coming under control following a four-year fight. But the overall impact of rising petrol prices on inflation will be moderated because consumers will need to switch spending from other categories to petrol. Demand for discretionary goods will fall and there will be less room for price hikes in other sectors of the economy, including services. Inflation remained under control during oil price breakouts across more than a decade from 2002 to 2014, partly for this reason. Prices for key Aussie energy export LNG will likely also head higher and ANZ researchers expected a 'meaningful' impact on gas. 'Over 20 per cent of the world's LNG trade would be at risk, namely exports from Qatar,' ANZ researcher Aaron Luk said. He said shippers would become 'even more cautious' about entering the waterway to pick up cargoes from Qatar, which is the world's third biggest producer. RBC Capital Markets head of strategy Helima Croft said Iran would struggle to close the Strait but may attack individual tankers. She said it was too early to know how the country would respond. 'Above all, we would caution against the knee-jerk 'the worst is behind us' hot take at this stage,' Ms Croft said. 'President Trump may indeed have successfully executed an 'escalate to de-escalate' move, but a wider expansion cannot still be ruled out at this juncture.'

Daily Telegraph
29 minutes ago
- Daily Telegraph
Iran could be banned from the 2026 World Cup in USA over bombings
Don't miss out on the headlines from Football. Followed categories will be added to My News. Iran could be spectacularly banned from participating in the 2026 FIFA World Cup amid the threat of war between the Islamic Republic and tournament host nation USA. The national team back in March were the sixth team to qualify for the tournament set to take place in America, Mexico and Canada next year, but the latest air strikes on the country's nuclear facilities have the world watching on with ongoing military tensions continuing to escalate. The situation makes it unlikely Team Melli — Iran's national football team — will be playing games on US soil. Their fourth successive World Cup appearance is now in serious jeopardy. A tournament ban is a genuine possibility given several teams have been barred from international tournaments previously on the basis that warring nations cannot participate. Russia have been indefinitely suspended by FIFA since invading Ukraine while FIFA and UEFA also banned Yugoslavia during 1990s as a result of the Balkans conflict. Even if Iran do participate in next year's tournament, they are most likely to be without supporters as the country remains on President Donald Trump's banned travel list which bars citizens from travelling to America. The decision was made back in March and included severe travel restrictions to over 40 countries including Iran, Afghanistan, the Republic of Congo, Libya, Myanmar, Somalia, Sudan, Yemen and others. Exemptions will most likely be granted for the team and associated staff only. There is no associated ban from Mexico and Canada, who will host the other 26 matches of the tournament. Despite already qualifying for the 2026 World Cup in the US, Iran's hopes of participating may be quashed as the threat of war continues to loom between them and the tournaments host nation. Photo: AP Photo/Vahid Salemi. With the schedule already drawn up to decide cities, date and stages, the best case scenario would be for Iran to be drawn into Group A and play all three group stage matches in Mexico. However, any progress to the knockout stages means the side will play at least one match in America, creating a logistic nightmare for organisers. Meanwhile, Iran and Inter Milan striker Milan Mehdi Taremi has found himself stuck in his home country in the capital city of Tehran amid the ongoing war with no way of getting out. Taremi was named by Inter in the 32 man squad for the ongoing FIFA Club World Cup in the US, but is unable to join his side as the conflict continues. The 32-year-old initially flew back to Iran to compete in their qualifiers against Qatar and North Korea and to accept Iran's footballer of the Year award, and planned to leave for Los Angeles straight after but was left stranded. Iran and Inter Milan striker Mehdi Taremi remains stranded in Iran and unable to join his teammates currently in America playing the FIFA Club World Cup. Photo: AP Photo/Vahid Salemi. It was Taremi's two goals in the 2-2 draw against Uzbekistan that sealed his sides World Cup qualification back in March, but the striker has now been left stranded as his club scrambles to find a way out. It is reported that Inter president Giuseppe Marotta has been in contact with the Ministry of Foreign Affairs and Italian ambassador to Tehran to find a way out for the Milan striker, but has been unsuccessful. The player himself is said to been in constant contact with teammates, who won their most recent group stage match against Urawa Reds. Neither FIFA president Gianni Infantino nor host nation President Trump have yet commented on Iran's participation in the tournament. Originally published as Iran could be banned from the 2026 World Cup in USA over bombings


SBS Australia
44 minutes ago
- SBS Australia
America First? Why MAGA is split on the US strikes on Iran
United States President Donald Trump's Republican base is divided over his decision to join Israel's assault on Iran. On Sunday morning, 125 US aircraft dropped 14 'bunker buster' bombs on three Iranian nuclear sites: Fordow, Natanz and Isfahan. The strikes, which were carried out without consulting Congress, have caused some Republicans to break ranks with the president and join Democrats in criticising the move. Here's what's been said and why the Make America Great Again (MAGA) movement is split on the issue: Georgia congresswoman Marjorie Taylor Greene is usually a steadfast supporter of Trump, even going so far as to question the integrity of the 2020 presidential election, which Trump lost to Joe Biden. However, she has broken with him to criticise the bombing of Iran. "Every time America is on the verge of greatness, we get involved in another foreign war ... This is not our fight," she's said. Kentucky congressman Thomas Massie — previously a pro-Trump Republican but not as reliable a supporter as Greene — has also been a vocal opponent of bombing Iran. On CNN's Inside Politics program, he said he was concerned that "three bombings to neutralise Iran" might be the 2025 version of "two weeks to slow the spread", referencing the COVID-19 pandemic. "This could turn into a protracted, prolonged engagement ... most of us were tired of the wars in the Middle East and Eastern Europe and we were promised that we wouldn't be engaged in another one." He argues the move is "unconstitutional" and last week introduced a motion to block the US from entering the conflict. South Carolina senator Lindsey Graham has disputed claims that Trump had acted outside his authority. "He had all the authority he needs under the constitution. They are wrong," he said on NBC's Meet the Press. Missouri senator Eric Schmitt has also expressed support for Trump, describing him as a "foreign policy realist, not an ideologue". "He has taken limited military action to achieve a crucial objective that is in the core national interest of the United States: preventing Iran from developing nuclear weapons," Schmitt wrote on X. "He doesn't want another Forever War. He wants peace ... What happens now is up to Iran." Michael Green is a professor and CEO of the United States Studies Centre at the University of Sydney. He told SBS News there are tensions between a group supportive of Israel, which "sees the logic of taking out the nuclear weapons capability while Iran is weak", and an isolationist group that "wants no more interventions and wars". While there's division within Trump's ranks, Green stresses the group opposing Trump is a minority. It's a section within MAGA that shares an "America First" ideology and is against military interventionism, dating back to the early 1940s when they were opposed to entering the war in Europe. "There's a history to this America First movement and this isolationism on the right wing of the Republican Party that goes back to the pre-war era, and even longer, so it's always been there," he said. Green said Trump made one of the group's most vocal members, Tulsi Gabbard, director of national intelligence as an acknowledgement to that part of MAGA that "he was hearing them and was sympathetic on this interventionist stance". However, he said the majority of Republicans support Trump. Professor Wesley Widmaier, from the Australian National University's Department of International Relations, said these tensions are evident in the now-viral interview between Republican senator Ted Cruz and political commentator Tucker Carlson. In a heated exchange, Carlson quizzed Cruz's knowledge on Iran — from its population to ethnic make-up — in an attempt to highlight his ignorance about the country and more broadly question his support of Israel's war with Iran. "Not that social media is real life. I completely concede that, but that illustrates the kind of tensions within Trump's base," he said. Alongside Massie, many Democrats are calling on Trump to be held accountable by Congress, arguing it's unconstitutional to order military intervention without consulting Congress. Over the weekend, Senate minority leader Chuck Schumer said "no president should be allowed to unilaterally march this nation into something as consequential as war with erratic threats and no strategy". Schumer also called on Trump to enforce the 1973 War Powers Act, which requires a president to obtain a Congressional declaration of war before committing to military action. However, interpretation of the act is debated and it contends with a constitutional designation of the president as the "commander-in-chief" of the nation's military — a power that presidents have previously invoked to justify strikes without congressional approval. Green explains that the main political issue is that Trump made the call without bipartisan support, potentially causing an issue with Democrats as well as Republicans down the line. "Not getting a vote from Congress, but consulting leadership, that's the norm," he said. "When you have a significant piece of intelligence for a military strike, the president — Republican or Democrat — informs ... the eight most prominent members of the Congress on national security — Republicans and Democrats." "Trump didn't tell anyone on the Hill. He just did it without informing Congress, and the Democrats are saying he didn't tell us. So if it goes badly, he has left himself without bipartisan support." Green said this isn't unconstitutional and previous presidents have signed off on military intervention without bipartisan support. He points to former president Barack Obama authorising a military campaign against the self-proclaimed Islamic State group in Syria in 2014 and Bill Clinton signing off on intervention, including airstrikes, in Kosovo in 1999. Although Trump's decision to act unilaterally could backfire with the Democrats and Republicans, Green is confident the president has factored that into his calculations. "I think Trump probably calculated correctly that Iran's options are limited, and so the politics would probably hold for him," he said.