2025 Fayez Sarofim & Co. US Men's Clay Court Championship: Walton [85th] vs. Tiafoe [17th] Prediction, Odds and Match Preview

USA Today

02-04-2025

On Thursday, Adam Walton (No. 85 in the world) takes on Frances Tiafoe (No. 17) in the Round of 16 at the Fayez Sarofim & Co. US Men's Clay Court Championship.
Tiafoe is favored over Walton for this match, with -325 odds compared to the underdog's +240.
Tennis odds courtesy of BetMGM Sportsbook. Odds updated Wednesday at 10:35 AM ET. For a full list of sports betting odds, access USA TODAY Sports Betting Scores Odds Hub. Adam Walton vs. Frances Tiafoe matchup info Tournament: Fayez Sarofim & Co. US Men's Clay Court Championship
Fayez Sarofim & Co. US Men's Clay Court Championship Round: Round of 16
Round of 16 Date: Thursday, April 3
Thursday, April 3 Court Surface: Clay Watch the Tennis Channel and more sports on Fubo! Walton vs. Tiafoe Prediction
Based on the implied probility from the moneyline, Walton has a 76.5% to win. Walton vs. Tiafoe Betting Odds Walton's odds to win match: +240
+240 Tiafoe's odds to win match: -325
-325 Walton's odds to win tournament: +2500
+2500 Tiafoe's odds to win tournament: +500
Walton vs. Tiafoe matchup performance & stats Walton has a record of 0-1 on clay over the last 12 months.
In terms of serve/return winning percentages on clay over the past 12 months, Walton has won 66.7% of his games on serve, and 6.7% on return.
Walton has converted one of four break points on clay (25.0%) over the past 12 months and is 324th in break points won.
In his last tournament (the Miami Open presented by Itau), Walton was eliminated by Taylor Fritz 3-6, 3-6 on March 25, in the Round of 16.
The 27-year-old Tiafoe, who is looking for his first tournament victory on clay in 2025, is 5-5 over the past year on that surface.
Tiafoe has an 83.8% winning percentage in service games on clay courts, and a 16.2% winning percentage in return games.
On clay courts Tiafoe is 140th in break point win percentage (25.0%) after going 20-for-80.
In the Round of 32 of his last tournament (the Miami Open presented by Itau) on March 24, Tiafoe was taken down by No. 18-ranked Arthur Fils 6-7, 7-5, 2-6.
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