Brad Waters' Caulfield Saturday tips, race-by-race analysis
Form expert Brad Waters analyses Saturday's nine-race card at Caulfield, presenting his best bets, quaddie and exotic selections.
BEST BET
PIVOT CITY (Race 9, No. 10)
Flying this time in and wasn't far away again at Bendigo last time. He's hard-fit for this and has drawn to have the perfect run at Caulfield.
VALUE BET
Reset The Jazz led and gave a great sight at Mornington second-up from a long spell. He'll be fitter again and should be hard to run down.
EARLY QUADDIE
1, 2, 6/5, 9, 10, 16, 19/4, 5, 6, 10, 11/5, 6, 8, 10
$100 flexi for 33.3 per cent
QUADDIE
Race 7: 9, 10, 11, 13, 14
Race 8: 5, 6, 7, 9
Race 9: 5, 8, 13, 15
Race 10: 3, 10, 15
$100 flexi for 41.6 per cent
MULTI
Race 2 No. 6 – Fernao (win)
Race 9 No. 10 – Pivot City (win)
Odds – $13.65
RACE 1: 12:10PM NEXT PAYMENTS HANDICAP (1100m)
Expecting a good track at Caulfield on Saturday. LATIN BOSS (3) is improving with racing this time in and could make it two wins in a row. SALTY PEARL (9) ran on well at Bendigo first-up and will be much fitter for this. PRINCE TYCOON (8) has trialled well and should be prominent from the perfect draw. ALZARO (10) finished off well on debut and will be better for the experience.
SUGGESTED BET: Box quinella 2, 8, 9, 10
MARKET MOVER: Prince Tycoon 4.20 – $2.90.
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FERNAO (6) is racing in consistent form and can go one better than his narrow defeat at Flemington. GOLDEN CRUSADER (2) tried hard behind the in-form Immediacy at Mornington and has a good 2400m record. ZIRYAB (1) was solid in the Warrnambool Cup and gets back onto firmer footing. DIWALI (9) won easily at Moe and could sneak a place in this.
SUGGESTED BET: Fernao to win.
MARKET MOVER: Savoir Faire $11 – $9.
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RACE 3: 1:15PM MANHARI HANDICAP (2000m)
One of the harder races on the card but MR BUSTER (19) could be ready to win after two excellent efforts over shorter trips this time in. FORTUNE (5) has drawn poorly but his last run at Caulfield was good and could show up with a little bit of luck. PREFERENTIAL (16) wasn't disgraced over a longer trip at Flemington and has drawn well. OFF HIS ROCA (13) was sound with a big weight at Warrnambool and will be fitter.
SUGGESTED BET: Mr Buster each-way.
MARKET MOVER: Nearing Liberty $12 – $6.
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RACE 4: 1:50PM ASSURED INSURANCE BROKERS HANDICAP (1400m)
Some promising types engaged here but MADIYYA (6) could continue to improve again after her impressive maiden win at Sale second-up. STORM SEASON (4) improved when ridden closer at Mornington and should go well again. ALL BUSINESS (11) ran on for a strong win at Pakenham and could build on that. AHHA AHHA (10) is racing well and could measure up.
SUGGESTED BET: Madiyya to win.
MARKET MOVER: Madiyya $4.20 – $3.
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SIRIUS STATEMENT (8) is racing in super form and could measure up to this harder assignment. AVEBURY (5) hasn't been far away in two runs this time in and has a good 1400m record. EXTREME VIRTUE (6) raced in great form last time in and has trialled well. GRID GIRL (10) wasn't far away at Geelong and likes 1400m.
SUGGESTED BET: Sirius Statement to win.
MARKET MOVER: Pariah Pearl $11 – $8.
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MARY ELIZA (11) didn't have the best of luck at Mornington when resuming but will be much fitter for this. FAUCI (13) charged home to win his maiden at Cranbourne second-up and could improve again. MUIRFIELD (14) tried hard in a small field at Sandown and will be fitter again. IN HER EYES (9) worked home solidly at Flemington and won't be far away.
SUGGESTED BET: Mary Eliza to win.
MARKET MOVER: Supernima $13 – $8.
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RESET THE JAZZ (7) improved significantly when run down late at Mornington second-up and should have every chance here. ANGRY SKIES (5) was too good in the Warracknabeal Cup and can run well again. TOO MUCH CAVIAR (6) will be much fitter for his honest first-up run at Flemington. AMBASSADORIAL (9) will be fitter for two excellent efforts for new trainer Alex Rae.
SUGGESTED BET: Reset The Jazz each-way.
MARKET MOVER: Saban $3.90 – $3.60.
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Another hard race but happy to have something each-way on the former Singapore galloper LIM'S SALTORO (5), who has a good record and has trialled well. WAR MACHINE (8) has drawn poorly but drops in class on a strong first-up second. REGAL VOW (13) is on the fresh side but should be finishing strongly. ELOUYOU (15) has impressed on soft track at his last two runs and has drawn well.
SUGGESTED BET: Lim's Saltoro each-way.
MARKET MOVER: Lim's Saltoro $14 – $8.
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Big field to finish but PIVOT CITY (9) is racing in terrific form and has drawn to have the perfect run. LAA DE SHA (15) steps up a level in class but was close-up at Mornington and will be fitter. OH TOO GOOD (3) has drawn wide but is a talented type while WINNASEDGE (5) drops in class after a good effort in Adelaide.
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