Trump: A Man, a Plan, a Canal, Panama

The Atlantic

27-01-2025

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When the Panama Canal was unveiled by the United States in 1914, the roughly 50-mile-long waterway symbolized American power and technological advancement. But the glow of progress soon faded. Building the canal killed roughly 5,600 workers over a decade, and many historians think that the death toll was higher. 'Beginning with Lyndon B. Johnson, American presidents of both parties understood the strategic necessity of handing the canal back,' my colleague Franklin Foer wrote last week. The 1964 anti-American riots in Panama revealed that 'the anger over America's presence would never subside.'
The 1977 U.S.-Panama treaties signed by President Jimmy Carter relinquished control of the canal to Panama and established the passageway's neutrality. This move sowed discord in the Republican Party, the rumblings of which are most clearly felt in President Donald Trump's recent pledge to retake the canal. I spoke with Franklin about why Trump is fixated on this waterway, and what his preoccupation reveals about his vision for American expansionism.
Stephanie Bai: In Donald Trump's inauguration speech, and even before he assumed office, he promised to retake the Panama Canal. Is this an issue that Americans care about?
Franklin Foer: Until Trump started talking about it, the Panama Canal hardly ranked on the list of the top 500 strategic threats to America. Best I can tell, there were some toll increases, and the Chinese have started to pay greater interest to the canal over time. But there's zero national-security reason for the United States to deploy its prestige and military might to take back the canal. When it comes to his domestic audience, I think what Trump is betting on is a rising sense of nationalism that he can tap into. And I think by framing the canal as a lost fragment of the American empire and implying that it's rightfully ours, he's betting that it will be a piece of the broader 'Make America great again' sentiment that he coasts on.
Stephanie: You wrote in your recent story that 'reclaiming the Panama Canal is an old obsession of the American right.' Why is it important to that faction of the country?
Franklin: Many countries failed to build a canal connecting the Atlantic and Pacific Oceans, so America's success was seen as a feat of engineering—at least, Americans viewed it that way for much of the 20th century. But its construction exacted an enormous human toll; thousands of workers died. And by the 1960s, most American presidents pretty clearly realized that the canal generated so much resentment toward the United States that keeping it didn't make sense.
But you also had a large sector of the American right that felt like we were abandoning our empire. And so Ronald Reagan, when he ran for president in 1976, made reclaiming the Panama Canal one of his central slogans. The issue was something that the insurgent New Right movement, a rising force in American politics, exploited mercilessly in order to raise money and garner enthusiasm.
Stephanie: Trump's grievances include his claim that the canal's neutrality has been violated because it's under the control of China.
Franklin: China likes to involve itself in the operation of infrastructure, and it has lots of global trading routes that it aims to control and exert influence over. There is a new Chinese presence in the canal, but that doesn't mean that they're about to take it over.
One of the things that's ludicrously self-defeating about Trump's strategy within the hemisphere is that he's deliberately aggravating countries that could conceivably be thrown into the arms of China. So Panama may not want to enter into any sort of alliance with the Chinese, but because Trump is threatening military action against it, the country may decide that aligning more closely with China is in its interest.
Stephanie: In response to Trump's inauguration speech, Panama President José Raúl Mulino said that ' the canal is and will remain Panama's.' As you noted, Trump has already floated the idea of using military force to retake the canal. Do you think this could actually come to pass?
Franklin: I think Trump is testing limits to see what he can get. I would be surprised if he was asking the Pentagon to draw up plans right now to retake the Panama Canal. But the problem is: Once he goes down this road of threatening to use military force to take something back, what happens when Panama doesn't give it back? I don't think there's an extremely high chance that we will go to war to take back the canal. But I think there's at least some possibility that we're going down that road.
Stephanie: American expansionism seems to be top of mind for Trump. He talked about his 'manifest destiny' vision in his inauguration speech, and he has repeatedly spoken about annexing Greenland and Canada in addition to taking back the Panama Canal.
Franklin: The fact that he's using the term manifest destiny, which is a callback to American expansion in the West in the 1840s and 1850s, shows that this is not a departure from American history but a return to the American history of imperialism.
This is a big shift in the way that America now thinks of its role in the world. I think for Trump, who is a real-estate guy, acquiring real estate is a token of his greatness. He looks at Vladimir Putin and sees the way in which Putin has projected his power to expand his territory with Ukraine and thinks, Well, that's what powerful leaders and powerful nations do. And here he is starting to explore that possibility himself.
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