General Debate 19 May 2025
The AI singularity (the point where our ability to predict the likely future landscape with even loose accuracy) is upon us. AIs can now pass Turing test and outperform most humans in written tasks and are expected to surpass human intellectual accomplishment for all but perhaps a tiny percentage of humans in some specific fields within the next 1-2 years. Dooming white collar careers. Alongside this robot are rapidly improving capabilities and will likely economically supplant physical labor in most roles withing 5-10 years dooming blue collar careers.
And yet almost the entire human population is just carrying on in practiced joyful ignorance pretending that everything is going to be fine and will continue in much the same as always, making life plans for futures that simply will not exist.
But in reality AI is going to be able to replace almost all workers in nearly every job over the next 10 years, and left unchecked that is going to destroy every facet of the fragile interconnected economies and systems of governance we take for granted. Peoples hopes, dreams destroyed, lives irrevocably upended. Options eradicated.
If you have time this is a good discussion of some of implications between some delusionally gung-ho AI entrepreneurs the like of which are currently charting the course of AI development, and Bret Weinstein painting a considered picture of the likely impacts on vast majority of non-tech-bro humans.
https://youtu.be/JMYQmGfTltY?si=7GtzIAEt-n5PFjB2
I predict that if you watch it your level of comfort is going to drop dramatically.
It is going to come to dominate political discourse in next 1-2 years as AI shifts ahead of humans and the first wave of AI redundancies hit – and I think will likely determine the next election – with a strong political swing to the repressive left as they signal a willingness to try to ban the use of AI to save peoples jobs.
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