Trump dismisses US intelligence that Iran isn't building a nuclear weapon
Tulsi Gabbard left no doubt when she testified to Congress about Iran's nuclear programme earlier this year.
The country was not building a nuclear weapon, the national intelligence director told lawmakers, and its supreme leader had not reauthorised the dormant programme even though it had enriched uranium to higher levels.
But US President Donald Trump dismissed the assessment of US spy agencies during an overnight flight back to Washington as he cut short his trip to the Group of Seven summit to focus on the escalating conflict between Israel and Iran.
'I don't care what she said,' Trump told reporters. In his view, Iran was 'very close' to having a nuclear bomb.
Director of National Intelligence Tulsi Gabbard. Photo: EPA-EFE
Trump's statement aligned him more closely with Israeli Prime Minister Benjamin Netanyahu, who has described a nuclear-armed Iran as an imminent threat, than with his own top intelligence adviser. Trump met with national security officials, including Gabbard, in the Situation Room on Tuesday as he plans next steps.
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Asia Times
an hour ago
- Asia Times
Taking the tech measure of China's 'Little Giants'
The 'sudden' success of China's DeepSeek has drawn global attention to the small and medium-sized enterprises (SME) ecosystem that Beijing is cultivating to find solutions to its domestic and external economic challenges. One of the key pillars of this ecosystem is its 'Little Giants' (小巨人) policy, which aims to cultivate specialized, sophisticated, distinctive and innovative SMEs involved in strategic technological sectors, such as artificial intelligence (AI), robotics, low-altitude economy, semiconductors, and more. This policy and the relevance of China's innovation SME sector have gained prominence since the beginning of the US-China trade war during the first Trump administration and the subsequent curbs on exports of key strategic materials and technologies to China. This also gave rise to Xi Jinping's ambitious techno-nationalism, wherein the emphasis was placed on import substitution by building globally competitive firms. At the same time, a domestic crackdown on big technological giants for various reasons created gaps in China's innovation sector that were expected to be filled by its SMEs. In this context, China's Ministry of Industry and Information Technology (MIIT) introduced the Little Giants policy in 2018 with the objective to build a network of innovative SMEs involved in strategic industries and support them through financial and other measures. As of December 2024, six batches of such Little Giants companies have been announced with a total of 14,600 SMEs qualified to receive special concessions, surpassing the 14th 5-year plan goal of creating 10,000 by 2025. However, despite the state support, these Little Giants are not insulated from structural problems in the Chinese and global economy, which may limit the effectiveness of this policy. Nonetheless, as the US-China economic competition is likely to continue in various forms, these Little Giants will play a critical role in determining whether China can sustain and strengthen its position in global supply chains in the long run. The criteria for designating Little Giants set by the MIIT ensured that only strategically important firms with the potential to strengthen domestic supply chains are selected. Besides sustained profitability and sound governance standards of SMEs, a critical emphasis is given to the innovative ability as well as the strategic positioning of firms in domestic supply chains. To be eligible for the Little Giants program, SMEs are required to invest at least 3% of their operating income specifically in R&D and must possess a minimum of five class I patents with visible monetary benefits. Thus, SMEs are being reoriented and incentivized to invest significantly in innovation as Chinese leaders link innovation to their survival, thereby securitizing the innovation sector. Moreover, Little Giants must hold a domestic market share of at least 10% in their niche sector and have the ability to 'fix weaknesses' in domestic supply chains. These specific criteria indicate that Little Giants are encouraged to operate predominantly in the domestic market, rather than targeting global markets, and gradually replace their dependency on Western countries by bolstering supply chains within China. In fact, the majority of Little Giants have become critical suppliers of key raw materials for bigger Chinese firms with global presence, and in some cases, even dominance. For instance, Little Giants like Xinjiang-based Hami CRRC New Energy Motor, which produces specialized wind turbine components and Hebei-based ONOFF Electric, which produces wind power converters, are both crucial partners of Xinjiang Goldwind Technology, one of the largest wind turbine producers globally. With similar examples in other strategic domains, Little Giants form an important foundation for China's global tech domination efforts by de-risking its upstream supply chains. Another important feature of the Little Giants initiative is the strengthening of industry-academia linkages at the local level. As witnessed throughout China's post-reform development, eastern provinces hold major sway in the Little Giants program as a significant number of these firms are based in coastal provinces. Besides the economic clout of these provinces, a strong network of universities, research institutions and tech firms has also enabled these provinces to expand innovation abilities. In addition, dedicated clusters like Wuhan Optics Valley district, Hefei High-tech Zone, and Nanjing Jiangning District have also significantly contributed to concentrating supply chains, with Little Giants playing an increasingly critical role in this evolving ecosystem. The Chinese government allocates 6 million yuan for selected Little Giants to be distributed over three years, along with other financial support from the State and state-backed institutions. Additionally, state backing for Little Giants is also expected to enable firms to raise money from stock exchanges and venture capitalists. In fact, the Beijing Stock Exchange was launched in 2021 with a specific focus on supporting SMEs. As a result, around 40% of initial public offerings (IPOs) launched on the Shenzhen, Shanghai and Beijing stock exchanges in 2022 were by Little Giant companies. However, the Chinese stock market has not performed well since the pandemic, prompting comprehensive capital reforms by Chinese authorities. Similarly, venture capital funding in China has been on decline since 2021, with the 2024 investments plummeting by 32% compared to the previous year. Deflationary pressure in China, coupled with geopolitical uncertainties, have also eroded investor confidence in Chinese companies. Both these factors have caused Little Giants to eventually rely more on state finances, as evidenced by the increase in investments by Chinese state-owned enterprises in strategic emerging industries over the past few years. With Xi Jinping increasingly aiming to promote nationalism across all sectors, Little Giants will not remain isolated from these efforts as their operations are more likely to be driven by state and Party directives than market trends. This Party-driven approach threatens to blur the line between private firms and state-controlled entities, as these Little Giants would prefer to follow State guidelines in order to avoid any crackdown, as witnessed by their bigger peers like Alibaba and Tencent in the past. If private investments fail to grow in the next few years, Little Giants would become more dependent on state subsidies, further reducing their capacity to innovate independently. Moreover, concerns surrounding overcapacity have plagued several strategic industries in China, particularly the renewable energy and electric vehicles sectors. The recent government work report presented by Premier Li Qiang also talked about the cut-throat competition between Chinese companies, resulting in profit squeezing. In this regard, Little Giants policy, along with similar initiatives like Single Champions, can be viewed as China's solution to prioritize few winner firms over others and thereby curb excess capacity. However, in light of rising unemployment and stagnant demand in China, the reorganization of its industrial structure that prioritizes SMEs, particularly in strategic industries that are being touted as 'new productive forces', may exacerbate these issues at least in the short term. Thus, Beijing faces the herculean task of promoting Little Giants while steering the economy through structural headwinds. Given the different criteria prescribed for eligible Little Giants, these firms are being nurtured to overcome shortcomings in domestic supply chains and become reliable partners for downstream Chinese companies with a global presence. However, these firms also hold the potential to become single and national champions in the long run if they are able to sustain global competition in their early stages, much like Little Giants. Yet, in the short term, these firms face the fear of losing business from their Western partners due to ambiguity about the State and Party's role in these firms. Further, although these firms have largely remained outside the West's sanctions mechanisms, the success of DeepSeek may also bring China's Little Giants under scrutiny. Similarly, the future path of the US-China trade war will also decide the fate of Little Giants in global markets, albeit these firms will aim to strengthen China's domestic supply chain resilience while navigating economic challenges. While the success of Little Giants is evident in individual sectors, the cumulative effect of these efforts in terms of de-risking Chinese supply chains will take years to materialize. Meanwhile, a careful assessment of the objectives and actions of these Little Giants will help to predict the next DeepSeek-like event and may avoid sudden shocks in an already unstable global economic environment. This article was originally published by the Organization for Research on China and Asia (ORCA) and is republished here with permission.
South China Morning Post
an hour ago
- South China Morning Post
EU's Kallas says Russia doesn't ‘stand a chance' if Nato shows unity
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HKFP
2 hours ago
- HKFP
Almost 800 Chinese citizens evacuated from Iran, Beijing says
Almost 800 Chinese citizens have been evacuated from Iran since Israel launched military strikes against the country last week, Beijing said Wednesday. 'Currently… 791 Chinese nationals have been relocated from Iran to safe areas,' foreign ministry spokesman Guo Jiakun said at a regular news conference. 'More than 1,000 other people are in the process of relocating and withdrawing,' Guo added. And some Chinese nationals have also safely evacuated from Israel, he said. 'China expresses its thanks to the relevant countries for providing full support and assistance,' Guo said. Iran said early Wednesday it fired hypersonic missiles at Israel in the latest round of overnight strikes between the archfoes, hours after Donald Trump demanded the Islamic republic's 'unconditional surrender'. The US president insists Washington has played no part in ally Israel's bombing campaign, but also warned Iran his patience is wearing thin as the conflict enters a sixth day. World powers have pushed to find an off-ramp, hoping to prevent the conflict from spiralling into a region-engulfing war. Trump fuelled speculation about American intervention when he made a hasty exit from the G7 summit in Canada, where the leaders of the club of wealthy democracies jointly called for a 'de-escalation' of the conflict. Back in Washington on Tuesday, Trump demanded the Islamic republic's 'unconditional surrender'. He also boasted that the United States could easily assassinate Iran's supreme leader. 'Further escalation of tensions in the Middle East is not in the interests of any side,' Guo said on Wednesday. And in a thinly veiled reference to the United States, he said 'countries that have a particular influence on Israel should especially uphold an objective and fair position, assume their due responsibilities and play a positive and constructive role in easing the situation'.
