Islanders win the Lottery!
Follow live reaction to the New York Islanders winning the NHL Draft Lottery today Getty Images Getty Images
From the 10th spot all the way up to No. 1!
They had just a 3.5 percent chance of winning the first-place lottery!
The Draft Lottery show has a window of the lottery drawing machine going during commercial break.
This entire show's aim is seemingly to disprove conspiracy theories.
This draft lottery style is actually quite entertaining.
The Blackhawks, Penguins, Flyers and Islanders each have an 18.2 percent chance of winning the lottery.
The Sharks, Kraken and Sabres have half that at 9.1 percent odds.
All other teams have been ruled out.
The third draw is 12.
San Jose's odds have plummeted to 9 percent!
The leaders are Chicago, Philly, Pittsburgh and the Islanders.
Here comes the final ball! Getty Images
The second ball is 11.
San Jose's chances are up to 24.2 percent. Teams that started 12th-16th have all been eliminated.
Calgary is no longer able to win the lottery.
The first ball is 7!
San Jose's chances have improved, Chicago's have worsened.
The briefcase of lottery balls has been unlocked and each ball is being dramatically dropped into the drawing machine.
As part of the Lottery broadcast, the NHL has just announced the three finalists for the Calder Memorial Trophy, the league's award for the best rookie of the year: Macklin Celebrini , Sharks
, Sharks Lane Hutson , Canadiens
, Canadiens Dustin Wolf, Flames
Celebrini, of course, was the first overall draft pick last year after the Sharks won the 2024 Lottery. The Athletic
Here's a reminder of each team's odds of winning the Lottery.
Time to find out who gets the first overall pick in this summer's draft! Getty Images
The right to draft Matthew Schaefer first overall this summer is the big prize tonight.
Schaefer is a potential No. 1 defenseman in the NHL. He's a great skating blueliner who makes a lot of difficult offensive plays. He defends and competes at a high level and projects to play big all-situation minutes in the league. He has dominated at several events and in the OHL when healthy this season, but he's missed a lot of time due to mono and a broken clavicle.
GO FURTHER
2025 NHL Draft ranking: Matthew Schaefer, Michael Misa lead Wheeler's May top 64 list Getty Images
All 16 teams that failed to qualify for the playoffs can win the NHL Draft Lottery. However, a team can improve its position by no more than 10 selections, meaning that only teams seeded No. 1 to No. 11 (the teams with the 11 worst records during the regular season) can secure the No. 1 overall pick.
If the Detroit Red Wings (No. 12), Columbus Blue Jackets (No. 13), Utah Hockey Club (No. 14), Vancouver Canucks (No. 15) or Calgary Flames (No. 16) come up with the winning four-number combination, they will not pick No. 1 but will move up 10 spots — and the Sharks will 'win' the No. 1 pick. Getty Images
The drawing is conducted in two phases. The first sequence of four numbered lottery balls determines the No. 1 overall pick. The second sequence determines which team picks No. 2.
For each phase, there are 14 lottery balls, each numbered between 1 and 14. They are placed in a machine, and four balls are drawn.
A four-digit series is matched against a 'look-up table' that lists 1,000 possible numeral combinations to determine the team that was assigned the winning combination. The odds change, and teams are eliminated, as each of the four balls is drawn.
San Jose, which had the worst record in the regular season, has been assigned the most combinations (185 out of 1,000), followed by the Chicago Blackhawks (135) and Nashville Predators (115). Getty Images
For the first time in the history of the NHL Draft Lottery, the drawing of the lottery balls will take place live on television.
Previous broadcasts of the lottery — which began in 1995 — have revealed results that were determined before the live television show. The exception was the COVID-19-pandemic-impacted lottery in 2020, which included a live-broadcast draw of team-logo lottery balls.
The usual process — conducting the actual lottery in advance, under the supervision of a lottery technician, an accounting firm and media witnesses — sometimes led to unfounded accusations of fixed results. This was especially true when draft featured so-called generational prospects, most notably in 2005 with Sidney Crosby, 2015 with Connor McDavid, and 2023 with Connor Bedard.
Matters weren't helped in 2023, when ESPN accidentally tipped, before deputy commissioner Bill Daly had a chance to turn over the card, that the Columbus Blue Jackets had fallen to the No. 3 spot. Getty Images
One of my favorite columns The Athletic publishes every year is Sean McIndoe's NHL Draft Lottery power rankings.
He's been writing it for a decade, dating back to the Connor McDavid lottery, and it's always a ton of fun to read.
He assesses which teams need to win the lottery, which teams would consider trading out of the first overall pick, and most importantly, which teams deserve to win the lottery the most.
One choice bit from his column to illustrate my point: The whole idea behind the awarding top picks to teams at the lower end of the standings is to prevent hopelessness from setting in, and the thing about that is (gestures at entire modern history of the Buffalo Sabres).
Follow the link below to read the column.
GO FURTHER
NHL Draft Lottery power rankings: Who needs it, who deserves it, who might trade it? Getty Images
Boston didn't expect to be here. The Bruins still have elite players in Charlie McAvoy and David Pastrnak, but the rest of the roster has aged, and their depth has declined. They haven't picked this high in over a decade, and this lottery is their best shot to start rebuilding.
They'll take whoever falls to them, and that player will become the centerpiece of their next core. I have a hard time seeing them go with Porter Martone given how badly they need a center in their organization, though. Getty Images
Caleb Desnoyers, C, Moncton (QMJHL)
Desnoyers was a top player in the Q this season. He's well-rounded, smart and consistent. Desnoyers isn't dynamic, but plays in all situations and could be a big-minutes center in the NHL.
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