Alabama at Arkansas odds, picks and predictions
Nathan Beighle
USA TODAY Sports
The Arkansas Razorbacks (14-8, 3-6 SEC) welcome the No. 3 Alabama Crimson Tide (19-3, 8-1) to Bud Walton Arena in Fayetteville, Ark., Saturday. Tip is set for 8:30 p.m. ET (ESPN). Let's analyze BetMGM Sportsbook's college basketball odds around the Alabama vs. Arkansasodds, and make our expert college basketball picks and predictions.
Alabama, which is No. 3 in the USA TODAY Sports Men's Basketball Coaches Poll, enters on a 5-game win streak. The Crimson Tide beat the Georgia Bulldogs 90-69 Saturday, closing as a 12.5-point home favorite. They have covered in 4 of their last 5 games and are 13-9 against the spread (ATS) on the season.
The Razorbacks beat the Texas Longhorns 78-70 on the road Wednesday a few days after taking down the No. 14 Kentucky Wildcats 89-79 on the road. They respectively closed as a 7-point and 9-point underdog, covering in both. Arkansas is 3-1 ATS in its last 4 games yet just 7-14-1 ATS on the season.
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Alabama at Arkansas odds
Provided by BetMGM Sportsbook; access USA TODAY Sports Scores and Sports Betting Odds hub for a full list. Lines last updated at 1 p.m. ET.
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Moneyline (ML) : Alabama -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Arkansas +165 (bet $100 to win $165)
: Alabama -200 (bet $200 to win $100) | Arkansas +165 (bet $100 to win $165) Against the spread (ATS) : Alabama -4.5 (-110) | Arkansas +4.5 (-110)
: Alabama -4.5 (-110) | Arkansas +4.5 (-110) Over/Under (O/U): 164.5 (O: -115 | U: -105)
Alabama at Arkansas picks and predictions
Prediction
Alabama 88, Arkansas 81
PASS.
There's no reason to look at the moneyline. Alabama has been on fire and is too expensive to take as a road favorite while Arkansas hasn't consistently proven it can beat good teams. Avoid this option.
BET ALABAMA -4.5 (-110).
The Crimson Tide have covered in every conference road game it has played, going 4-0 ATS in those. They have been on fire offensively as well, scoring at least 88 in 4 of their last 5, so they have the potency to pull ahead by this margin. Alabama is 9-2 ATS in its last 11.
The Razorbacks, despite going 3-1 ATS in their last 4, are just 3-6 ATS in their last 9, all of which have been SEC games. Arkansas has scored 78 or fewer in all but one of those, so it might be able to keep pace with Alabama. It is just 1-3 ATS in its last 4 at home as well.
Considering those trends, back ALABAMA -4.5 (-110).
BET OVER 164.5 (-115).
The Razorbacks have found their groove on the offensive end over the last 2 games and will play at the hectic Alabama pace. Arkansas is 2-0 O/U in its last 2 and 3-3 O/U in its last 6.
The Crimson Tide, who have hit triple digits 6 times this season, have gone Over in 3 of their last 5 and in 6 of their last 9. Three of their top-4 scoring weapons are shooting over 48% from the field as well.
Play OVER 164.5 (-115).
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