Who will win Eurovision 2025? Favourites and latest odds revealed

Yahoo

13-05-2025

Eurovision fever has gripped the continent, with a line-up of wacky and wonderful acts set to take to the stage in Basel, Switzerland.
As one of the Big Five, UK act Remember Monday is pre-approved for the grand final on Saturday, 17 May along with Spain, France, Germany, Italy and host nation Switzerland. However, the others will have to battle it out at the semi-finals on Tuesday, 13 and Thursday, 15 May.
Who will make the final, and who looks likely to lift the trophy this year? We take a look at the latest odds for the Eurovision Song Contest 2025 winner, who is being tipped for success, and how Remember Monday's chances are looking.
Ahead of the semi-finals beginning, there is already a stand-out favourite to win Eurovision 2025.
Sweden's trio KAJ are the hot favourites to win with their witty song Bara Bada Bastu, which translates as "Just Take A Sauna".
The BBC's Eurovision semi-final presenter Scott Mills said of KAJ's entry: "It's very Scandinavian. There are dancers in towels, uh, because they're in a sauna, and there is a sauna on stage. It's not the kind of thing that Sweden would send to the contest at all normally. Normally they send perfectly polished pop, which is why they win a lot, like Loreen with Tattoo.
"This is the first time they've sent a song sung in Swedish in over a decade, maybe more - it is a kind of novelty song, but it's very catchy...you hear it once and it's in your head and it's got a little bit that goes 'Sauna'. In Scandinavia, this song is massive. They can sing, the staging is good so far and by the time it gets to Eurovision, they will make the staging even better."
Sweden has history of doing very well at the contest - they are tied with Ireland on the most number of wins at seven, but if predictions are correct, 2025 could see them edge ahead of their rivals.
They have also benefitted from Nordic bloc voting in previous years, which could swing the final in their favour again.
The latest odds from bookmaker William Hill have consistently put Sweden in first place. They currently stand as follows for the top five most likely to win:
Sweden - 10/11
Austria - 11/4
Belgium - 10/1
France - 12/1
Israel - 14/1
William Hill spokesperson Lee Phelps told Yahoo UK: "Sweden are our clear favourites and are now odds-on at 10/11. The money for them has been pretty overwhelming and they are rightfully strong favourites, leading the way in both stakes and total bets.
"Despite being 50/1 outsiders, the public haven't lost faith in Remember Monday and the United Kingdom have attracted the second most bets, to land a shock win, with Austria also popular at 11/4.
"Interest in Belgium has also been strong and they're now third in the betting at 10/1. With a few large bets placed on them in recent weeks they're now one of our worst results in the book."
The UK's act Remember Monday might not feature in the bookies' top five, but an upset in voting on the night is not unheard of at Eurovision - particularly if some of the favourites don't make it through the semi-finals.
Remember Monday's Holly said: "For us it's not necessarily the size of the audience, it's that we so badly want to do a good job and that's where our nerves are coming from, we want to be able to watch it back and be so proud!"
The BBC's Eurovision Song Contest host for the final coverage Graham Norton backed the trio's chances: "Remember Monday have a great advantage in that they are unlike any other act this year. Their vocals and harmonies are flawless, the song has a very strong hook and the trio are hugely likeable. With a decent place in the running order they should do very well indeed."
Here's what William Hill are predicting for Remember Monday and their song What The Hell Just Happened? at the final:
To finish last - 9/4
To score 0 - 10/1
Top 10 - 5/1
Top 5 - 14/1
Outright winner - 50/1
Mills also offered some hope for the UK, saying: "They've got what it takes. I never take any notice of Eurovision odds because Sam Ryder was so far down in them and then look what happened. But I really think people are sleeping on our entry a little bit because these girls can sing, they've got harmonies, like the best Wilson Phillips record ever.
"They have history in musical theatre, so they know how to perform, both to a TV camera and to a crowd, and it's a dramatic song, so I have high hopes."
His semi-finals co-host and Eurovision superfan Rylan agreed: "I was lucky enough to see one of their first performances and I turned to the BBC Studios Eurovision boss and said 'they are the girls', and luckily he agreed.
"We've said it before, but we have no concern that these girls will not be able to perform on the night - let's show the world we do girl bands really well!"
The coverage team at BBC Radio 2 are also backing a high score for the UK as Sara Cox said: "They're great performers, excellent singers and I think the song has all the drama and just the right amount of camp."
Richie Anderson added: "I was blown away the first time I saw them perform. They're so fun and their vocals are incredible."
However, the UK last won at Eurovision in 1997 and aside from Sam Ryder placing second in 2022, recent years have seen some low scores. Even established star Olly Alexander only managed to place 18th in 2024, calling it a "brutal" experience.
The Eurovision Song Contest semi-finals air on Tuesday and Thursday, and the final on Saturday, all at 8pm on BBC One.