logo
Tata Motors Shares Down 2% After Net Profit Falls 51% In Q4, Should You Buy, Hold Or Sell?

Tata Motors Shares Down 2% After Net Profit Falls 51% In Q4, Should You Buy, Hold Or Sell?

News1814-05-2025

Last Updated:
Tata Motors Share Price Target: Among 34 analysts covering Tata Motors, 19 recommend 'Buy', nine suggest 'Hold', and six advise 'Sell'.
Tata Motors Share Price, Tata Motors Share Price Target: Tata Motors Limited's shares opened 1.15 per cent lower to Rs 699.75 apiece on BSE after the automaker's net profit fell 51 per cent Year-on-Year to Rs 8,556 crore in Q4 FY25, against Rs 17,528 crore in Q4 FY24. Meanwhile, the automaker's revenue growth remained flat to Rs 119,502 crore in Q4 FY25, against Rs 119,033 crore in Q4 FY24. However, the net profit sill beat the street estimates.
The scrip was trading at Rs 692.75 apiece with a drop of 2 per cent at the time of writing this report.
For FY25, TML reported record revenues of Rs 439.7K Cr with EBITDA at Rs 57.6K Cr, highest ever PBT(bei) of Rs 34.3K Cr(+Rs 5.0K Cr over the previous year) and net profit of Rs 28.1K Cr. TML group turned net auto cash positive in FY25 with net cash balance of Rs 1.0K Cr.
Lower depreciation and amortization at JLR, better CV profitability and savings in interest cost were partially offset by lower volumes and lower operating leverage.
The management of Tata Motors Limited expects tariffs and related geo-political actions making the operating environment uncertain and challenging. The global premium luxury segment and Indian domestic markets are expected to weather this relatively better.
Tata Motors Share Price Target 2025
Brokerage opinions on Tata Motors are divided, with CLSA maintaining an 'Outperform" rating and a price target of Rs 805, suggesting a potential upside of 14% from Wednesday's closing price. CLSA noted that while Jaguar Land Rover (JLR) remains cautious about demand in FY26 due to tariff concerns and macroeconomic challenges, the overall luxury passenger vehicle segment may not be significantly affected. Despite these headwinds, JLR is confident in achieving its FY26 EBIT margin guidance.
In contrast, Jefferies has rated the stock 'Underperform" with a price target of Rs 630, implying an 11% downside. The brokerage flagged multiple concerns, including U.S. tariffs, intensifying competition in China, and rising customer acquisition costs. Additionally, a slowdown in the Indian commercial vehicle (CV) market and increasing competition in the electric passenger vehicle (PV) space are expected to weigh on performance. As a result, Jefferies has cut Tata Motors' FY26 and FY27 EBITDA estimates by 8% and 9%, respectively, while slightly raising its EPS forecasts by 3–4%.
Citi has suspended its rating on the stock but highlighted that while Tata Motors' management remains optimistic about the India CV business, the PV segment—especially electric vehicles—may face near-term challenges.
Kotak Institutional Equities has downgraded Tata Motors to 'Sell" from 'Reduce" and assigned a price target of Rs 600, indicating a potential 15% downside. It echoed concerns about JLR's exposure to weak demand in China and tariff risks in the U.S., despite the unit turning net cash positive in FY25. Kotak also flagged market share losses in both the CV and PV segments in India as key risks. It has cut its consolidated EBITDA estimates for Tata Motors by 4–10% over FY25–FY27.
Among 34 analysts covering Tata Motors, 19 recommend 'Buy", nine suggest 'Hold", and six advise 'Sell", highlighting a split in sentiment as the company navigates both global and domestic headwinds.
First Published:
May 14, 2025, 09:23 IST

Orange background

Try Our AI Features

Explore what Daily8 AI can do for you:

Comments

No comments yet...

Related Articles

How is India benefiting from supply chain diversification away from China? Morgan Stanley's Chetan Ahya explains
How is India benefiting from supply chain diversification away from China? Morgan Stanley's Chetan Ahya explains

Economic Times

time32 minutes ago

  • Economic Times

How is India benefiting from supply chain diversification away from China? Morgan Stanley's Chetan Ahya explains

Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads , Chief Asia Economist,says India is gaining advantage due to tariff differences with China. American companies are considering increased imports from India. Government policies are boosting manufacturing and exports. Electronics manufacturing is expanding beyond mobile phones. Infrastructure development will further strengthen India's manufacturing exports. Optimism in Indian equity markets aligns with positive economic fundamentals. The organization maintains a bullish outlook on think that the government capex has been the key anchor of the capex cycle and to the extent to which India has been embarking on this focus on manufacturing capex, the government's focus on infrastructure would be an important anchor to that private capex eventually improving as now, it is still the government capex and we had seen a bump down or a small slowdown period for government capex post general elections last year. But we have seen that in the last three-four months, there has been a meaningful pick up in government capex. In March, we saw that both central and state government capex growing at a very high pace and that has now taken the 12-month trailing centre plus state combined capital expenditure to close to the peaks that we had seen right before the general have seen this strength in government capex coming back again. As far as private capex is concerned, we were expecting that would have picked up a lot more by this time, but to the extent to which we have seen this trade tensions emerge from early this year that is going to affect the capex outlook not only in the region, but also in India, despite the fact that India has lower exposure to global goods reality is that it still has a meaningful exposure of 12% of GDP being its goods exports to GDP. We are expecting private capex to be going through a bit of an adjustment period in the environment of global trade tensions and then, over the next calendar year, that is, in 2026, we should see a pick up in private capex because by that time, the damage out of this global trade tensions would have been behind is benefiting on account of it. Right now, during a period where tariffs on China, even after having come down, are still at a very high run rate of 30% and from the 2018 period, you also have about 11% weighted average tariff on imports from China that the US has imposed. Cumulatively, we still have a 41% tariff rate for import from China for the US and that does give some sectors an advantage over China in terms of pricing and even sort of thinking about a bit more from a medium-term corporate sector in America is beginning to think about importing more from India. India is probably benefiting on account of that. Then, from a medium-term perspective, we have always argued that look, it is not just about taking away market share from China, but just getting rightful market share for India in the global goods exports and for that India's policies that were important and the government has been taking the right policies to boost that manufacturing sector have seen electronics manufacturing getting a leg up. We are going to see that expand into more and more products within the electronic segment apart from mobile phones and laptops. And at the same time, we think that from a medium-term perspective, this whole push towards infrastructure will really strengthen India's manufacturing exports. It is really a lot of the domestic policies that will be important from the long term apart from the short-term benefit that it may get on account of differential tariff rates between India and our regional and India strategists have been very constructive on India. So, we are aligned up as a house on being bullish on India.

Tariff jitters temporary, long-term upside intact for India Inc.: Deepak Shenoy
Tariff jitters temporary, long-term upside intact for India Inc.: Deepak Shenoy

Economic Times

time33 minutes ago

  • Economic Times

Tariff jitters temporary, long-term upside intact for India Inc.: Deepak Shenoy

Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads Tired of too many ads? Remove Ads "Overall fund flows seem to be more concentrated towards domestic. There is also a lot more action in terms of results and some of these tariff news and all that stuff which is kind of still creating a lot of uncertainty," says Deepak Shenoy , Founder, Capital Mind We saw about 25,000 crores enter the markets as fresh entries into mutual funds in April and given that May was like a 9% plus month for smallcaps and smallcap funds have been the second largest recipient of funds in April, that will kind of bolster more retail investment into domestic funds even that, overall fund flows seem to be more concentrated towards domestic. There is also a lot more action in terms of results and some of these tariff news and all that stuff which is kind of still creating a lot of have come to the realisation that there is a little bit of back and forth and anybody says something about tariffs that is likely to be changed very quickly in whichever direction and mostly in the direction of removing those tariffs in a short period of I feel that in the end we will come down to 10% tariffs by the US to everybody and by and large some countries may receive a little more but I do not think this is going to be a major impact longer we realise this, it is less of an impact overall. The themes that seem to still be working is manufacturing, is financialization , and is maybe defence as themes that hurt perhaps are commodities because a large amount is based on world-wide demand as well, so that theme seems to be constant. I do not think today is any special day in that sense, but we have to be cognisant that as these tariffs come off and as eventually the wars in the world come to some kind of conclusion, the upside for India is definitely strong and I am biased, I am a fund manager, so we have to be positive but some of the positives are going to get more visible in the next six I will be honest. We run a company in this industry and therefore very-very heavily biased. But I still think this is the tip of the iceberg in terms of how much this industry can scale. I would not talk about who the winners will be and who the losers will be, but India is terribly under-financialized. Less than 18% of our GDP is in mutual funds whereas in America that number is more than 100%. So, to a certain extent there is a lot of room for the Indian organised financial industry to move. We are moving away from the real estate, gold, and chit funds kind of products to save into real financial products or financial products of a more regulated sort which has a lot more potential. You are seeing this happening. 25,000 crores a month net new inflows, most of that coming through SIPs This has not slowed down meaningfully even through the fact that the markets have corrected. We have seen more regulatory action that has fortified, so whether it is an RTA, whether it is an AMC, whether it is an exchange, or whether it is a depository all of them are getting more and more prominent in the overall structural framework of now it is becoming more and more easy to transact in them, to deal with them if a person dies transferring a financial product is way easier than trying to transfer say real estate or anything like a lot of these things add up over time and fortify people's minds into saying okay we will do this. You cannot sell half a house, but you could sell half a mutual therefore, people are actually getting more and more into financial products as such and the financial products themselves are investing in different things. You can buy gold through a mutual fund. You can buy stocks through a mutual fund. You can buy bonds and so on. So that way the industry itself has kind of scaled we are also seeing wealth management players, people who manage the money of relatively richer people even those stocks are kind of increasing in value and they are increasing in terms of growth as well, in terms of real profits. So, from that perspective we are yes, maybe we are overpaying for these stocks today, but a structural approach to buy them over a period of time is perhaps necessary for any growth oriented portfolio.

Ashok Leyland secures contract for supplying 543 buses to Tamil Nadu State Transport
Ashok Leyland secures contract for supplying 543 buses to Tamil Nadu State Transport

Business Standard

time33 minutes ago

  • Business Standard

Ashok Leyland secures contract for supplying 543 buses to Tamil Nadu State Transport

Ashok Leyland said that it has bagged an order for supplying 543 units of BS-VI diesel chassis and fully built buses to Tamil Nadu State Transport Corporation. The aforementioned order has been awarded to the company post normal tender process with standard business prudent norms, terms and conditions. The total consider that would be received by Ashok Leyland is Rs 183.80 crore. The buses have to be delivered during the period from June 2025 to December 2025. Seperatelty, Ashok Leyland stated that its subsidiary Optare Plc. UK has entered into a share purchase agreement with Dana Ltd for purchase of their 1.01% stake in Switch Mobility Limited, UK (SML UK). Post this acquisition, Optare Plcs shareholding in SML UK would increase from 98.56% to 99.57% and consequently, Optare Plc. UK along with Hinduja Automotive Limited, UK, will hold 100% in SML UK. Ashok Leyland is engaged in the manufacture and sale of a wide range of commercial vehicles. The company also manufactures engines for industrial and marine applications, forgings, and castings. The company reported a 38.4% year-on-year rise in standalone net profit at Rs 1,245.87 crore for the quarter ended March 2025, compared to Rs 900.41 crore in the same period last year. Revenue from operations rose 5.68% to Rs 11,906.71 crore posted in the fourth quarter of FY25 as against Rs 11,266.66 crore posted in Q4 FY24. The scrip shed 0.28% to currently trade at Rs 235.40 on the BSE.

DOWNLOAD THE APP

Get Started Now: Download the App

Ready to dive into the world of global news and events? Download our app today from your preferred app store and start exploring.
app-storeplay-store