Is New York in for a sizzling summer? Here's what Old Farmer's Almanac predicts
Buds are starting to blossom and temperatures are on the rise. As spring starts to unfold in New York, many are already looking ahead to summer.
The Old Farmer's Almanac has released its long-range summer weather forecast. Depending on where you live in the Empire State will impact your predicted weather. After last year marked one of the hottest summers on record, the Old Farmer's Almanac has predicted this summer will be just as intense with "a scorcher of a summer."
Hot and dry conditions are expected throughout much of the country in June, July and August.
According to the report, "predictions indicate a gradual buildup to record-breaking heat." June temperatures are expected near normal, but July and August are expected to bring above-normal temperatures across most regions, including for much of New York state.
Western New York, including the Buffalo and Rochester regions and some counties along the Lake Erie and Ontario shorelines, are predicted to experience hot and rainy weather this summer, according to the Old Farmer's Almanac forecast.
The Old Farmers' Almanac's summer forecast also includes summer outlooks for precipitation and calls for "near to slightly below normal" rainfall across most of the country, especially in the western half. Northern and central New England could see more precipitation than normal, the outlook said.
In general, the forecast parallels the National Weather Service's Climate Prediction Center's outlook for summer, with much of the country expected to experience above average temperatures from June to August and about half the nation to get average or above average precipitation in that same timeframe. The Farmer's Almanac also predicts above- to high-above average temperatures, as well as near-average precipitation for much of the country.
In New York, the almanac predicts "broiling" temperatures and average precipitation, according to the report.
AccuWeather has not yet released its summer long-range forecast.
June 20, the date of the summer equinox, marks the first day of summer in the United States. This year it lands on a Friday and summer solstice is at 10:42 p.m. Meteorological summer, however, begins at the start of June and lasts three months, through the end of August.
Summer will end with the start of fall - which in 2025 lands on Monday, Sept. 22.
According to its website, the Old Farmer's Almanac makes its predictions by comparing solar activity with weather patterns. The almanac says it uses multiple academic disciplines for its predictions, including solar science, climatology and meteorology. It also says the weather forecast methodology is the modern version of a formula created by the Almanac's founder, Robert B. Thomas, in 1792.
The Old Farmer's Almanac, which is slightly different from the Farmers' Almanac, claims an 80% accuracy rate on its predictions. In a report analyzing the success of its predictions for winter that spanned 2023 and 2024, the Almanac listed its total accuracy rate for the season at 64%. The publication attributed the lower rate to "abnormal recent weather patterns."
This article originally appeared on Rochester Democrat and Chronicle: Is NY in for a sizzling summer? What Old Farmer's Almanac predicts
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