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Timberwolves vs. Thunder Game 5 Predictions: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for May 28

Timberwolves vs. Thunder Game 5 Predictions: Odds, recent stats, trends, and best bets for May 28

NBC Sports28-05-2025

Minnesota Timberwolves vs. Oklahoma City Thunder Preview
It's Wednesday, May 28, and the Minnesota Timberwolves (49-33) and Oklahoma City Thunder (68-14) are all set to square off from Paycom Center in Oklahoma City.
The Thunder have a chance to clinch the series, win the West, and head to the NBA Finals with a win tonight.
In the last game, the Thunder were able to outlast a strong effort from the Timberwolves. They were led by a 40-point effort from Shai Gilgeous-Alexander. Jalen Williams was also spectacular, with 34 points and five assists.
Anthony Edwards, who only had 16 points in that game, will have to do more if he wants to fight off elimination.
The Timberwolves are currently 24-17 on the road with a point differential of 5, while the Thunder have a 8-2 record in their last ten games at home.
We've got all the info and analysis you need to know ahead of the game, including the latest info on the how to catch tipoff, odds, recent team performance, player stats, and of course, our predictions, picks & best bets for the game from our modeling tools and staff of experts.
Listen to the Rotoworld Basketball Show for the latest fantasy player news, waiver claims, roster advice and more from our experts all season long. Click here or download it wherever you get your podcasts.
Game details & how to watch Timberwolves vs. Thunder live today
Date: Wednesday, May 28, 2025
Time: 8:30PM EST
Site: Paycom Center
City: Oklahoma City, OK
Network/Streaming: ESPN
Never miss a second of the action and stay up to date with all the latest team stats and player news. Check out our day-by-day NBA schedule page, along with detailed matchup pages that update live in-game.
Game odds for Timberwolves vs. Thunder
The latest odds as of Wednesday:
Odds: Timberwolves (+282), Thunder (-358)
Spread: Thunder -8.5
Over/Under: 220 points
That gives the Timberwolves an implied team point total of 108.89, and the Thunder 113.32.
Want to know which sportsbook is offering the best lines for every game on the NBA calendar? Check out the NBC Sports' Live Odds tool to get all the latest updated info from DraftKings, FanDuel, BetMGM & more!
Expert picks & predictions for Wednesday's Timberwolves vs. Thunder game
Please bet responsibly. If you or someone you know has a gambling problem, call the National Gambling Helpline at 1-800-522-4700.
Our model calculates projections around each moneyline, spread and over/under bet for every game on the NBA calendar based on data points like recent performance, head-to-head player matchups, trends information and projected game totals.
Once the model is finished running, we put its projections next to the latest betting lines for the game to arrive at a relative confidence level for each wager.
Here are the best bets our model is projecting for today's Timberwolves & Thunder game:
Moneyline: NBC Sports Bet is recommending a play on the Oklahoma City Thunder on the Moneyline.
Spread: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play ATS on the Minnesota Timberwolves at +8.5.
Total: NBC Sports Bet is leaning towards a play on the over on the Game Total of 220.
Want even more NBA best bets and predictions from our expert staff & tools? Check out the Expert NBA Predictions page from NBC Sports for money line, spread and over/under picks for every game on today's calendar!
Important stats, trends & insights to know ahead of Timberwolves vs. Thunder on Wednesday
The Thunder have won five straight divisional matchups at home
The Thunder have scored 114 or more points in three of the four games in this series
The Thunder are 4-1 against the spread in their last five games as home favourites
The Timberwolves have won 7 of their last 10 games against teams with winning records
If you're looking for more key trends and stats around the spread, moneyline and total for every single game on the schedule today, check out our NBA Top Trends tool on NBC Sports!
Bet the Edge is your source for all things sports betting. Get all of Jay Croucher and Drew Dinsick's insight weekdays at 6AM ET right here or wherever you get your favorite podcasts.
Follow our experts on socials to keep up with all the latest content from the staff:
- Jay Croucher (@croucherJD)
- Drew Dinsick (@whale_capper)
- Vaughn Dalzell (@VmoneySports)
- Brad Thomas (@MrBradThomas)

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